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Caxias do Sul vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 70-63
16-18 15-12 23-14 16-19
Position#13
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Caxias do Sul 🏆
Brazil
vs
Pato
Brazil
Position#17
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Caxias do Sul v Pato
12 Nov 2026
CAXI v PATO
upcoming
21 Oct 2025
CAXI70
PATO63
31 Oct 2024
CAXI81
PATO80
12 Apr 2024
CAXI68
PATO85
06 Dec 2022
CAXI73
PATO84
28 Dec 2021
CAXI80
PATO67
07 Apr 2021
CAXI83
PATO85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caxias do Sul winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
L
67-84
67
84
-17
49avg 64
A29/03
NBB
Franca
#2
L
57-117
57
117
-60
43avg 64
A31/03
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
82-75 OT
82
75
+7
72avg 64
H09/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
73-77
73
77
-4
71avg 64
H11/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
93avg 64
A16/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
65-81
65
81
-16
46avg 64
A18/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
52-98
52
98
-46
42avg 64
H23/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
78-76
78
76
+2
70avg 64
A27/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
77-80
77
80
-3
65avg 64
A30/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
63-86
63
86
-23
52avg 64
H02/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
16-23
19-17
15-16
14-31
16-33
13-28
14-25
23-19
8-14
14-18
19-13
19-20
20-19
15-17
19-21
16-17
14-23
27-16
22-23
17-20
16-30
14-16
18-15
15-20
18-29
2-24
17-25
16-9
18-25
22-22
22-20
19-22
14-26
19-13
25-19
15-20
13-20
21-23
14-23
158.9Avg total
71.2Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.287.7158.9-16.520%
Last 5 (5)67.084.2151.2-17.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)73.984.7158.5-10.823%
vs Similar (4)76.071.5147.5+4.575%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#6
W
98-80
98
80
+18
124avg 75
H14/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
94-77
94
77
+17
97avg 75
A26/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
69-65
69
65
+4
62avg 75
A28/03
NBB
Minas
#1
L
72-75
72
75
-3
64avg 75
H03/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
67-76
67
76
-9
59avg 75
H05/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
76-90
76
90
-14
67avg 75
A16/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
89-77
89
77
+12
88avg 75
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
91-96
91
96
-5
82avg 75
H24/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
65-84
65
84
-19
50avg 75
A29/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
82-101
82
101
-19
69avg 75
A01/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
22-24
28-19
23-22
26-14
20-23
23-20
25-20
19-19
23-17
16-19
11-10
15-21
17-12
20-17
20-25
11-20
16-17
13-18
27-21
21-27
14-27
27-18
14-18
25-23
17-23
30-16
17-15
18-29
31-22
18-18
24-27
11-23
20-25
19-17
15-19
24-31
27-24
11-20
20-26
162.4Avg total
80.3Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.382.1162.4-1.840%
Last 5 (5)80.689.6170.2-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)80.891.5172.3-10.60%
vs Similar (14)81.580.4161.9+1.157%
vs Weaker (5)83.686.0169.6-2.440%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -8.9-8.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.7-0.7
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -8.9-8.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.7-0.7
Caxias do SulPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A29/03
NBB
Franca
#2
L
30-64
30
64
-34
A31/03
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H09/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H11/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A16/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A18/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H23/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A27/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A30/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H02/05
NBB
77.2Avg total
32.4Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.341.276.5-5.823%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.639.275.8-2.638%-
Last 30 away (14)33.943.477.3-9.67%-
Last 10 (10)32.444.877.2-12.40%-
Last 5 (5)32.244.276.4-12.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)35.042.077.0-7.019%-
vs Similar (4)37.235.873.0+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H14/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A26/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A28/03
NBB
Minas
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H03/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H05/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A16/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H24/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A01/05
NBB
83.8Avg total
40.2Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.242.784.0-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.780.8-0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)42.444.787.1-2.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.243.683.8-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.650.892.4-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.245.585.6-5.318%-
vs Similar (14)40.939.780.6+1.157%-
vs Weaker (5)44.645.289.8-0.660%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.118.7
47.8%
52.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.6
28.1%
32.5%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.813.2
70.2%
72.8%13.2
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.6
53.3%
52.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.7
37.5%
32.5%35.1
🏀 Free throws10.99.0
82.6%
72.8%9.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caxias do Sul
LLWLLLLWLL
Pato
LLLWLLLWWW
#13
League position
#17
-22.0
Net rating
-2.7
94.1
Offensive rating
108.9
116.1
Defensive rating
111.6
45.7%
Effective FG%
54.8%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
19.2%
Turnover %
16.3%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.17
28.1%
3-point %
37.5%
58.1%
Assist %
62.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.1 · 108.9Defence116.1 · 111.6Shooting45.7% · 54.8%3-point %28.1% · 37.5%Ball care19.2% · 16.3%Off. rebounds27.1% · 22.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Caxias do Sul   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Caxias do Sul wins
6
Pato wins
DateGameScore
20/01/25Pato v Caxias do Sul78-65
31/10/24Caxias do Sul v Pato81-80
12/04/24Caxias do Sul v Pato68-85
29/12/23Pato v Caxias do Sul78-74
06/02/23Pato v Caxias do Sul88-80
06/12/22Caxias do Sul v Pato73-84
08/04/22Pato v Caxias do Sul59-68
28/12/21Caxias do Sul v Pato80-67
07/04/21Caxias do Sul v Pato83-85 OT
08/01/21Pato v Caxias do Sul77-92
Caxias do Sullast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/25HFlamengo63-86
30/04/25AFlamengo77-80
27/04/25AFlamengo78-76
23/04/25HFlamengo52-98
18/04/25APinheiros65-81
16/04/25ACorinthians Paulista98-103 OT
11/04/25HSao Jose73-77
09/04/25HMogi82-75 OT
31/03/25AFranca57-117
29/03/25ABauru67-84
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/25AFranca82-101
29/04/25AFranca65-84
24/04/25HFranca91-96
18/04/25ASao Jose89-77
16/04/25AMogi76-90
05/04/25HFranca67-76
03/04/25HMinas72-75
28/03/25ASao Paulo69-65
26/03/25APaulistano94-77
14/03/25HBrasilia98-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caxias do Sul
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca110100%105.060.0+45.0
2 Flamengo110100%102.086.0+16.0
3 Cearense220100%86.079.0+7.0
4 Paulistano110100%66.059.0+7.0
5 Minas220100%85.583.5+2.0
6 Pinheiros110100%88.086.0+2.0
7 Sao Jose21150%85.575.0+10.5
8 Corinthians Paulista1010%81.083.0-2.0
9 Rio Claro1010%86.088.0-2.0
10 Botafogo1010%80.084.0-4.0
11 Vasco1010%78.088.0-10.0
12 Bauru2020%72.584.0-11.5
13 Cruzeiro1010%62.085.0-23.0
14 Osasco1010%60.0105.0-45.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caxias do Sul1615231670
Pato1812141963
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