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Minas vs Caxias do Sul Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 84-55
17-22 26-14 23-4 18-15
Position#3
Record13-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game75.0
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Caxias do Sul
Brazil
Position#18
Record6-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game78.5
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2023-24
Meetings · Minas v Caxias do Sul
19 Mar 2026
MINA81
CAXI75
26 Mar 2025
MINA88
CAXI70
27 Dec 2023
MINA84
CAXI55
28 Oct 2022
MINA87
CAXI81
27 Jan 2022
MINA83
CAXI62
12 Mar 2021
MINA74
CAXI70
28 Nov 2017
MINA86
CAXI84
08 Nov 2016
MINA83
CAXI63
14 Jan 2016
MINA77
CAXI67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caxias do Sul winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
71-81
71
81
-10
67avg 83
H18/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
80avg 83
A23/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
86-71
86
71
+15
80avg 83
A25/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
85-82
85
82
+3
84avg 83
H29/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
no box
H01/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
67-68
67
68
-1
63avg 83
H06/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
96-105
96
105
-9
93avg 83
A14/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
91-61
91
61
+30
90avg 83
A16/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
91-71
91
71
+20
95avg 83
H20/12
NBB
Pato
#12
W
84-75
84
75
+9
86avg 83
H22/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
13-23
19-23
18-22
30-24
21-16
15-14
17-21
24-9
19-21
17-21
26-20
23-15
20-22
12-20
30-25
25-9
19-17
17-26
21-30
23-20
13-26
17-10
14-12
27-20
24-28
19-35
26-22
31-21
22-15
22-13
16-12
22-10
34-22
15-21
20-18
23-20
23-14
16-27
22-14
162.4Avg total
84.7Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.875.0159.8+9.881%
Season at home (7)84.377.9162.1+6.471%
Season away (9)85.272.8158.0+12.489%
Last 10 (10)84.777.7162.4+7.070%
Last 5 (5)85.876.0161.8+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)89.893.2183.0-3.333%
vs Similar (7)76.475.9152.3+0.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.676.1161.8+9.582%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Mogi
#14
W
81-77
81
77
+4
71avg 57
H15/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
82-90
82
90
-8
76avg 57
H17/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
59-94
59
94
-35
44avg 57
A22/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
60-89
60
89
-29
40avg 57
A24/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
79-84
79
84
-5
67avg 57
H28/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
65-81
65
81
-16
44avg 57
H30/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
80-94
80
94
-14
63avg 57
A06/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
63-62
63
62
+1
46avg 57
A08/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
79-80
79
80
-1
63avg 57
H19/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
73-64
73
64
+9
63avg 57
H21/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
16-11
23-17
27-26
23-24
17-27
17-9
25-30
18-19
6-29
16-17
19-29
15-21
13-21
17-24
15-23
19-15
20-20
18-19
22-30
15-22
15-19
22-16
13-24
13-25
15-28
24-25
28-16
23-17
9-15
17-15
14-15
16-22
22-20
18-19
23-19
14-21
14-14
28-9
17-20
153.6Avg total
72.1Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)72.378.5150.8-6.340%
Season at home (9)73.677.0150.6-3.433%
Season away (6)70.380.8151.2-10.550%
Last 10 (10)72.181.5153.6-9.430%
Last 5 (5)72.076.2148.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)70.579.7150.2-9.224%
vs Similar (6)72.574.7147.2-2.250%
vs Weaker (3)73.066.3139.3+6.767%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +8.8+8.8Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.9-2.9
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +8.8+8.8Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.9-2.9
MinasCaxias do Sul
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H18/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A23/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A25/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H29/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H01/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H06/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A14/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A16/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H20/12
NBB
Pato
#12
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H22/12
NBB
82.2Avg total
45.7Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.339.083.3+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.237.681.9+6.671%-
Last 30 away (16)44.440.184.5+4.256%-
Last 10 (10)45.736.582.2+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)48.439.287.6+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)48.046.594.5+1.533%-
vs Similar (7)39.435.474.9+4.071%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.037.882.8+7.271%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#14
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H15/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H17/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A22/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A24/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H28/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H30/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A06/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A08/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H19/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H21/12
NBB
73.1Avg total
31.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.139.672.7-6.523%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.438.072.4-3.629%-
Last 30 away (13)31.541.673.1-10.215%-
Last 10 (10)31.841.373.1-9.510%-
Last 5 (5)31.240.671.8-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)32.940.072.9-7.019%-
vs Similar (6)31.540.271.7-8.717%-
vs Weaker (3)37.735.773.3+2.067%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.7
53.9%
51.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.811.2
40.3%
33.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws18.613.5
72.6%
72.6%13.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.717.8
46.0%
51.8%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.6
30.8%
33.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.412.9
70.1%
72.6%12.9
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWLLWWWWL
Caxias do Sul
WLWLLLLLLW
#3
League position
#18
+11.8
Net rating
-12.1
115.9
Offensive rating
95.6
104.1
Defensive rating
107.6
56.8%
Effective FG%
46.1%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
16.4%
Turnover %
20.5%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.3%
3-point %
30.8%
71.6%
Assist %
65.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 95.6Defence104.1 · 107.6Shooting56.8% · 46.1%3-point %40.3% · 30.8%Ball care16.4% · 20.5%Off. rebounds30.4% · 29.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Minas   ■ Caxias do Sul
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Minas wins
2
Caxias do Sul wins
DateGameScore
10/02/23Caxias do Sul v Minas80-63
28/10/22Minas v Caxias do Sul87-81
27/01/22Minas v Caxias do Sul83-62
27/10/21Caxias do Sul v Minas75-83
12/03/21Minas v Caxias do Sul74-70
04/12/20Caxias do Sul v Minas63-94
06/02/18Caxias do Sul v Minas71-91
28/11/17Minas v Caxias do Sul86-84 OT
28/01/17Caxias do Sul v Minas66-52
08/11/16Minas v Caxias do Sul83-63
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23HPato84-75
20/12/23HBrasilia91-71
16/12/23APinheiros91-61
14/12/23ACorinthians Paulista96-105
06/12/23HCerrado67-68
01/12/23HCearense93-88 OT
29/11/23HUnifacisa85-82
25/11/23APaulistano86-71
23/11/23ASao Paulo83-75
18/11/23HFranca71-81
Caxias do Sullast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23HPinheiros73-64
19/12/23HCorinthians Paulista79-80
08/12/23ACearense63-62
06/12/23AUnifacisa80-94
30/11/23HPaulistano65-81
28/11/23HSao Paulo79-84
24/11/23AFranca60-89
22/11/23ABauru59-94
17/11/23HSao Jose82-90
15/11/23HMogi81-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW81%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWWWLW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %81%71%89%
Points / game84.884.385.2
Allowed / game75.077.972.8
Point differential+9.8+6.4+12.4
Avg total159.8162.1158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%29%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %6%14%0%
Caxias do Sul
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game72.373.670.3
Allowed / game78.577.080.8
Point differential-6.3-3.4-10.5
Avg total150.8150.6151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1412286%83.972.5+11.4
2 Minas1613381%84.875.0+9.8
3 Franca1512380%85.473.9+11.5
4 Vasco1712571%73.469.0+4.4
5 Paulistano1712571%74.270.2+4.0
6 Sao Jose159660%79.973.5+6.4
7 Unifacisa159660%78.977.1+1.8
8 Bauru1710759%79.076.6+2.4
9 Cearense158753%77.575.9+1.6
10 Corinthians Paulista158753%81.380.8+0.5
11 Pinheiros167944%75.577.9-2.4
12 Sao Paulo167944%76.679.3-2.7
13 Caxias do Sul156940%72.378.5-6.3
14 Uniao Corinthians1551033%72.680.1-7.5
15 Cerrado1651131%73.273.6-0.4
16 Pato1651131%74.879.1-4.4
17 Botafogo1751229%77.884.7-6.9
18 Brasilia1631319%71.184.9-13.9
19 Mogi1721512%73.881.0-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas1726231884
Caxias do Sul221441555
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