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Caxias do Sul vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 58-78
16-17 10-22 19-21 13-18
Position#15
Record3-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game76.4
Caxias do Sul
Brazil
vs
Minas 🏆
Brazil
Position#1
Record9-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game69.2
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Caxias do Sul v Minas
20 Oct 2026
CAXI66
MINA78
03 Dec 2025
CAXI72
MINA88
16 Nov 2024
CAXI58
MINA78
10 Apr 2024
CAXI88
MINA99
10 Feb 2023
CAXI80
MINA63
27 Oct 2021
CAXI75
MINA83
04 Dec 2020
CAXI63
MINA94
06 Feb 2018
CAXI71
MINA91
28 Jan 2017
CAXI66
MINA52
06 Nov 2015
CAXI48
MINA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caxias do Sul winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
88-99
88
99
-11
82avg 60
H10/04
NBB
Pato
#12
L
68-85
68
85
-17
57avg 60
H12/04
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
68-76
68
76
-8
54avg 60
A15/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
81-63
81
63
+18
82avg 60
A18/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
77-89
77
89
-12
66avg 60
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#14
W
81-80
81
80
+1
76avg 60
H31/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
55-84
55
84
-29
45avg 60
A04/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
71-80
71
80
-9
65avg 60
A07/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
69-63
69
63
+6
62avg 60
A10/11
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
71-76
71
76
-5
58avg 60
H14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
21-25
20-24
22-33
17-16
13-30
14-23
24-16
18-15
17-18
13-25
20-18
21-12
18-15
22-11
20-25
18-23
20-25
13-20
26-21
15-16
19-26
28-19
19-19
14-22
16-27
15-21
10-14
18-19
13-19
24-26
16-16
15-25
19-15
17-13
18-10
21-15
21-21
13-12
16-28
152.4Avg total
72.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)71.676.4148.0-4.838%
Season at home (3)76.381.7158.0-5.333%
Season away (5)68.873.2142.0-4.440%
Last 10 (10)72.979.5152.4-6.630%
Last 5 (5)69.476.6146.0-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)71.982.9154.8-11.012%
vs Similar (5)73.675.0148.6-1.440%
vs Weaker (1)79.067.0146.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#6
W
74-66
74
66
+8
91avg 82
H12/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 82
A15/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
74avg 82
A17/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
91-64
91
64
+27
85avg 82
H21/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
91-61
91
61
+30
89avg 82
H24/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 82
A29/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
86-60
86
60
+26
86avg 82
A31/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
86-64
86
64
+22
93avg 82
H07/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 82
H11/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 82
A14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
18-18
17-13
23-20
21-20
20-20
10-17
25-25
9-12
23-14
22-13
17-32
16-22
28-14
25-17
22-11
21-14
17-24
24-10
29-13
18-17
26-12
17-20
16-18
21-14
20-18
14-11
31-17
25-10
24-10
21-16
16-28
19-19
22-20
19-27
18-10
18-24
27-18
27-13
17-16
152.2Avg total
83.0Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.069.2152.2+13.890%
Season at home (5)84.066.2150.2+17.8100%
Season away (5)82.072.2154.2+9.880%
Last 10 (10)83.069.2152.2+13.890%
Last 5 (5)83.267.6150.8+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)76.781.8158.5-5.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)84.872.7157.5+12.283%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
Caxias do SulMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H10/04
NBB
Pato
#12
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H12/04
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A15/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A18/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#14
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H31/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A04/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A07/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A10/11
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H14/11
NBB
76.0Avg total
35.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.941.376.2-6.423%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.841.177.9-4.231%-
Last 30 away (17)33.441.574.9-8.118%-
Last 10 (10)35.940.176.0-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.241.075.2-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)34.742.377.0-7.717%-
vs Similar (5)33.838.272.0-4.440%-
vs Weaker (1)46.033.079.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#6
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A17/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H21/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H24/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A29/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A31/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
49-20
49
20
+29
H07/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H11/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/11
NBB
74.4Avg total
40.9Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.336.476.7+3.970%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.533.373.8+7.279%-
Last 30 away (16)40.239.179.3+1.162%-
Last 10 (10)40.933.574.4+7.490%-
Last 5 (5)44.032.476.4+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)35.838.374.2-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.535.977.4+5.575%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.115.1
44.3%
50.9%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.2
32.5%
33.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.513.9
71.3%
72.7%13.9
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.8
53.3%
50.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.8
38.1%
33.0%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.412.4
71.3%
72.7%12.4
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caxias do Sul
LWLLWLWLLL
Minas
WWWWWWWWLW
#15
League position
#1
-9.0
Net rating
+18.7
100.4
Offensive rating
109.9
109.4
Defensive rating
91.2
46.3%
Effective FG%
54.7%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
43.4%
19.8%
Turnover %
20.2%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.5%
3-point %
38.1%
65.8%
Assist %
57.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 109.9Defence109.4 · 91.2Shooting46.3% · 54.7%3-point %32.5% · 38.1%Ball care19.8% · 20.2%Off. rebounds34.3% · 33.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Caxias do Sul   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Caxias do Sul wins
9
Minas wins
DateGameScore
10/04/24Caxias do Sul v Minas88-99
27/12/23Minas v Caxias do Sul84-55
10/02/23Caxias do Sul v Minas80-63
28/10/22Minas v Caxias do Sul87-81
27/01/22Minas v Caxias do Sul83-62
27/10/21Caxias do Sul v Minas75-83
12/03/21Minas v Caxias do Sul74-70
04/12/20Caxias do Sul v Minas63-94
06/02/18Caxias do Sul v Minas71-91
28/11/17Minas v Caxias do Sul86-84 OT
Caxias do Sullast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/24HBrasilia71-76
10/11/24ABotafogo69-63
07/11/24AVasco71-80
04/11/24AFlamengo55-84
31/10/24HPato81-80
23/10/24HUniao Corinthians77-89
18/10/24AUnifacisa81-63
15/10/24ACearense68-76
12/04/24HPato68-85
10/04/24HMinas88-99
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/24AUniao Corinthians89-71
11/11/24HUnifacisa78-76
07/11/24HCearense86-64
31/10/24ACorinthians Paulista86-60
29/10/24APinheiros77-67
24/10/24HMogi91-61
21/10/24HSao Jose91-64
17/10/24ABauru82-81 OT
15/10/24AFranca76-82
12/10/24HBrasilia74-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caxias do Sul
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%33%40%
Points / game71.676.368.8
Allowed / game76.481.773.2
Point differential-4.8-5.3-4.4
Avg total148.0158.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game83.084.082.0
Allowed / game69.266.272.2
Point differential+13.8+17.8+9.8
Avg total152.2150.2154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%60%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas109190%83.069.2+13.8
2 Flamengo119282%80.966.5+14.4
3 Brasilia107370%81.879.1+2.7
4 Sao Paulo107370%78.476.6+1.8
5 Bauru96367%79.679.6+0.0
6 Uniao Corinthians85362%78.679.2-0.6
7 Franca106460%80.378.4+1.9
8 Vasco105550%70.568.5+2.0
9 Pinheiros105550%72.174.0-1.9
10 Corinthians Paulista94544%81.681.0+0.6
11 Paulistano104640%76.774.5+2.2
12 Caxias do Sul83538%71.676.4-4.8
13 Botafogo114736%69.875.4-5.5
14 Pato93633%78.679.8-1.2
15 Sao Jose103730%71.576.4-4.9
16 Mogi103730%70.680.3-9.7
17 Unifacisa92722%75.480.0-4.6
18 Cearense102820%66.374.9-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caxias do Sul1610191358
Minas1722211878
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