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CBet vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 72-66
10-28 15-18 28-13 19-7
Position#5
Record7-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game91.7
CBet 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas
Lithuania
Position#6
Record8-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game85.1
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · CBet v Neptunas
07 Mar 2021
CBE72
NEP66
10 Oct 2020
CBE99
NEP67
01 Feb 2020
CBE85
NEP95
02 Nov 2019
CBE59
NEP101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CBet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CBetLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCBet
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
81-105
81
105
-24
63avg 77
A27/12
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
87-85
87
85
+2
75avg 77
H03/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
93-78
93
78
+15
91avg 77
H06/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
70-92
70
92
-22
no box
H09/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
83avg 77
A13/01
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
91-105
91
105
-14
81avg 77
H20/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
69-92
69
92
-23
51avg 77
A24/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
105-99
105
99
+6
no box
A31/01
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
91-94
91
94
-3
82avg 77
A10/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
67-97
67
97
-30
55avg 77
H27/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
16-31
31-24
13-31
17-23
33-12
16-31
21-19
26-24
23-18
24-20
20-16
15-26
20-19
22-25
13-22
17-28
25-28
24-15
20-24
28-32
21-27
21-22
21-24
15-23
17-19
20-29
17-21
25-20
31-22
29-26
20-31
18-27
18-27
29-12
26-28
19-24
21-24
7-28
20-21
178.2Avg total
84.0Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.891.7177.5-6.032%
Season at home (11)84.588.2172.7-3.645%
Season away (11)87.095.3182.3-8.318%
Last 10 (10)84.094.2178.2-10.230%
Last 5 (5)84.697.4182.0-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.092.3173.3-11.313%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.883.7169.5+2.160%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
L
77-88
77
88
-11
no box
H17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
83-95
83
95
-12
77avg 73
A20/01
LKL
CBet
#5
W
92-69
92
69
+23
97avg 73
H24/01
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
L
76-79
76
79
-3
70avg 73
A27/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
99-93
99
93
+6
103avg 73
H06/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
81-64
81
64
+17
82avg 73
H09/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-84
72
84
-12
no box
A13/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
69-86
69
86
-17
no box
H14/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
65avg 73
A28/02
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
58-98
58
98
-40
37avg 73
A03/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
28-22
14-21
18-24
20-26
20-16
17-31
26-22
23-15
19-17
29-20
21-17
15-24
14-11
19-18
28-26
20-28
29-17
20-21
30-27
15-10
26-23
22-16
18-15
21-15
14-23
18-17
19-29
11-21
22-19
18-25
18-21
26-22
11-27
17-16
18-20
17-22
13-24
16-29
12-23
162.0Avg total
77.9Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.185.1163.2-7.036%
Season at home (11)82.084.9166.9-2.955%
Season away (11)74.385.3159.5-11.018%
Last 10 (10)77.984.1162.0-6.230%
Last 5 (5)70.483.4153.8-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.989.6164.5-14.67%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.778.9158.6+0.857%
vs Weaker (1)90.070.0160.0+20.0100%
This opponent (CBet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
CBetNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CBetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A27/12
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H03/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H06/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H09/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A13/01
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H20/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A24/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A31/01
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A10/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H27/02
LKL
89.9Avg total
42.6Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.744.585.2-3.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.944.085.9-2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)39.545.084.5-5.540%-
Last 10 (10)42.647.389.9-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)42.649.091.6-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.346.486.7-6.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.142.683.7-1.560%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A20/01
LKL
CBet
#5
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H24/01
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A27/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H06/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H09/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A13/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H14/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A28/02
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A03/03
LKL
78.4Avg total
38.1Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.541.380.8-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.041.082.0+0.062%-
Last 30 away (14)37.941.679.4-3.721%-
Last 10 (10)38.140.378.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.241.276.4-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.743.582.2-4.836%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.940.179.9-0.243%-
vs Weaker (1)46.030.076.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (CBet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CBettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CBet: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.621.1
48.4%
54.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.29.1
39.2%
36.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.613.7
73.7%
75.2%13.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.1
52.8%
54.2%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.2
35.9%
36.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.613.6
69.4%
75.2%13.6
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CBet
LLWLLLLWWL
Neptunas
LLLLWWLWLL
#5
League position
#6
-14.2
Net rating
-7.5
106.6
Offensive rating
106.3
120.8
Defensive rating
113.8
52.0%
Effective FG%
53.2%
60.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
18.2%
Turnover %
19.7%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.2%
3-point %
35.9%
58.6%
Assist %
68.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 106.3Defence120.8 · 113.8Shooting52.0% · 53.2%3-point %39.2% · 35.9%Ball care18.2% · 19.7%Off. rebounds29.5% · 30.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ CBet   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
CBet wins
4
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
24/01/21Neptunas v CBet92-69
10/10/20CBet v Neptunas99-67
01/02/20CBet v Neptunas85-95
04/01/20Neptunas v CBet86-73
02/11/19CBet v Neptunas59-101
CBetlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21HRytas67-97
10/02/21AJuventus91-94
31/01/21ASiauliai105-99
24/01/21ANeptunas69-92
20/01/21HJuventus91-105
13/01/21ASiauliai86-95
09/01/21HLietkabelis70-92
06/01/21HLietkabelis93-78
03/01/21HNevezis-OPTIBET87-85
27/12/20ARytas81-105
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/21AJuventus58-98
28/02/21AZalgiris Kaunas72-85
14/02/21HJuventus69-86
13/02/21AZalgiris Kaunas72-84
09/02/21HAlytaus Dzukija81-64
06/02/21HPieno Zvaigzdes99-93
27/01/21ANevezis-OPTIBET76-79
24/01/21HCBet92-69
20/01/21ARytas83-95
17/01/21HSiauliai77-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CBet
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL32%
HomeWWLLL45%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%45%18%
Points / game85.884.587.0
Allowed / game91.788.295.3
Point differential-6.0-3.6-8.3
Avg total177.5172.7182.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %9%0%18%
Neptunas
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL36%
HomeLLWWW55%
AwayWLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %36%55%18%
Points / game78.182.074.3
Allowed / game85.184.985.3
Point differential-7.0-2.9-11.0
Avg total163.2166.9159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1816289%88.867.6+21.3
2 Rytas2116576%89.480.5+8.9
3 Juventus2216673%88.584.2+4.3
4 Lietkabelis2215768%84.077.5+6.5
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes2291341%79.081.6-2.7
6 Neptunas2281436%78.185.1-7.0
7 Alytaus Dzukija2071335%80.283.7-3.5
8 CBet2271532%85.891.7-6.0
9 Nevezis-OPTIBET2371630%75.484.8-9.4
10 Siauliai2261627%83.191.3-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CBet1015281972
Neptunas281813766
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