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Nevezis-OPTIBET vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 79-76
24-15 11-14 18-19 26-28
Position#10
Record5-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game84.5
Nevezis-OPTIBET 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas
Lithuania
Position#6
Record6-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game85.5
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Nevezis-OPTIBET v Neptunas
11 Apr 2021
NOP88
NEP77
27 Jan 2021
NOP79
NEP76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis-OPTIBET winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nevezis-OPTIBETLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis-OPTIBET
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
100-94
100
94
+6
102avg 71
H31/10
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
74-80
74
80
-6
61avg 71
A07/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
85-87
85
87
-2
78avg 71
A22/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
70-87
70
87
-17
60avg 71
H01/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
58-81
58
81
-23
47avg 71
H28/12
LKL
CBet
#5
L
85-87
85
87
-2
80avg 71
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
91-96
91
96
-5
74avg 71
A09/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
78-82
78
82
-4
69avg 71
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
69-98
69
98
-29
64avg 71
A20/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
59-94
59
94
-35
54avg 71
A24/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
27-24
21-29
29-21
16-14
22-25
20-22
16-19
13-20
33-27
16-20
23-20
22-25
15-24
16-16
17-22
12-27
12-23
20-18
14-13
23-17
12-33
31-16
19-21
23-24
19-18
29-23
20-31
24-23
18-17
14-22
22-20
14-29
17-21
23-23
15-25
10-27
14-17
25-30
10-20
165.5Avg total
76.9Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.884.5163.3-5.731%
Season at home (7)81.482.7164.1-1.357%
Season away (9)76.885.9162.7-9.111%
Last 10 (10)76.988.6165.5-11.710%
Last 5 (5)76.491.4167.8-15.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.087.1164.1-10.122%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.181.1162.3+0.043%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
80-90
80
90
-10
72avg 73
H05/12
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
84-85
84
85
-1
81avg 73
A13/12
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
71-63
71
63
+8
69avg 73
A30/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
74-104
74
104
-30
63avg 73
H03/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
91-76
91
76
+15
no box
A07/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#7
L
88-94
88
94
-6
90avg 73
H10/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
77-73
77
73
+4
64avg 73
A14/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
77-88
77
88
-11
no box
H17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
83-95
83
95
-12
77avg 73
A20/01
LKL
CBet
#5
W
92-69
92
69
+23
97avg 73
H24/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
18-13
23-28
17-25
13-18
26-20
24-25
21-22
16-18
17-10
13-14
25-21
20-34
20-25
14-25
20-20
16-21
27-22
28-14
20-19
24-23
19-22
23-26
22-23
19-19
22-23
10-13
26-18
17-21
28-22
14-21
18-24
20-26
20-16
17-31
26-22
23-15
19-17
29-20
21-17
165.4Avg total
81.7Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.485.5163.9-7.135%
Season at home (9)80.286.3166.6-6.144%
Season away (8)76.484.5160.9-8.125%
Last 10 (10)81.783.7165.4-2.040%
Last 5 (5)83.483.8167.2-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.090.3167.3-13.39%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.080.9157.9-3.950%
vs Weaker (6)90.278.3168.5+11.883%
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
Nevezis-OPTIBETNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nevezis-OPTIBETLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H31/10
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A07/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A22/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H01/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
24-50
24
50
-26
H28/12
LKL
CBet
#5
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A20/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A24/01
LKL
82.4Avg total
36.9Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)38.341.780.0-3.438%-
Last 30 at home (7)40.341.481.7-1.157%-
Last 30 away (9)36.841.978.7-5.122%-
Last 10 (10)36.945.582.4-8.620%-
Last 5 (5)34.845.280.0-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.342.079.3-4.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.641.380.9-1.743%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H05/12
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A13/12
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A30/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-59
40
59
-19
H03/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A07/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H10/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A14/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A20/01
LKL
CBet
#5
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H24/01
LKL
81.5Avg total
40.6Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.482.0-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.040.482.4+1.669%-
Last 30 away (14)39.042.581.5-3.521%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.981.5-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.883.0+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.544.084.5-3.545%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.541.781.2-2.233%-
vs Weaker (6)43.236.779.8+6.567%-
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezis-OPTIBETtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis-OPTIBET: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.7
51.6%
54.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.4
31.7%
36.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.715.5
78.7%
75.2%15.5
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.5
52.0%
54.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.0
33.2%
36.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.417.0
75.9%
75.2%17.0
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis-OPTIBET
LLLLLLLLLW
Neptunas
WLLWLWLWLL
#10
League position
#6
-15.9
Net rating
-5.1
97.6
Offensive rating
104.7
113.5
Defensive rating
109.8
49.8%
Effective FG%
51.1%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
23.5%
Turnover %
21.2%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
31.7%
3-point %
33.2%
57.5%
Assist %
69.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 104.7Defence113.5 · 109.8Shooting49.8% · 51.1%3-point %31.7% · 33.2%Ball care23.5% · 21.2%Off. rebounds29.5% · 32.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Nevezis-OPTIBET   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevezis-OPTIBET wins
1
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
28/09/20Neptunas v Nevezis-OPTIBET76-70
Nevezis-OPTIBETlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/21AZalgiris Kaunas59-94
20/01/21ALietkabelis69-98
14/01/21HAlytaus Dzukija78-82
09/01/21ARytas91-96
03/01/21ACBet85-87
28/12/20HPieno Zvaigzdes58-81
01/12/20HJuventus70-87
22/11/20ASiauliai85-87
07/11/20AAlytaus Dzukija74-80
31/10/20HRytas100-94
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/21HCBet92-69
20/01/21ARytas83-95
17/01/21HSiauliai77-88
14/01/21APieno Zvaigzdes77-73
10/01/21HSiauliai88-94
07/01/21ASiauliai91-76
03/01/21HZalgiris Kaunas74-104
30/12/20AAlytaus Dzukija71-63
13/12/20AJuventus84-85
05/12/20HLietkabelis80-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis-OPTIBET
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeWWLLL57%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %31%57%11%
Points / game78.881.476.8
Allowed / game84.582.785.9
Point differential-5.7-1.3-9.1
Avg total163.3164.1162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%14%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW35%
HomeWLLLW44%
AwayLLWWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%44%25%
Points / game78.480.276.4
Allowed / game85.586.384.5
Point differential-7.1-6.1-8.1
Avg total163.9166.6160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1312192%88.267.5+20.6
2 Lietkabelis1511473%84.774.2+10.5
3 Rytas1611569%89.281.7+7.6
4 Juventus1510567%86.586.1+0.4
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes157847%78.580.9-2.3
6 Neptunas1761135%78.485.5-7.1
7 Alytaus Dzukija124833%80.984.0-3.1
8 CBet1961332%85.590.9-5.5
9 Nevezis-OPTIBET1651131%78.884.5-5.7
10 Siauliai1441029%80.091.9-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis-OPTIBET2411182679
Neptunas1514192876
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