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CD Povoa vs CA Queluz Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 17 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game75.3
CD Povoa
Portugal
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.3/10
Below normal
4.7/10
Around normal
CA Queluz
Portugal
Position#8
Record3-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game91.7
PortugalLPBRound 21· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2026-27
Meetings · CD Povoa v CA Queluz
17 Apr 2027
CD P v CA Q
upcoming
02 Feb 2025
CD P98
CA Q102
10 Dec 2023
CD P88
CA Q84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
CA Queluz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
L
72-90
72
90
-18
59avg 65
A24/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
78-61
78
61
+17
71avg 65
H30/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
90-72
90
72
+18
77avg 65
H31/05
Proliga
Esgueira
#12
W
84-64
84
64
+20
76avg 65
A03/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
73-69
73
69
+4
55avg 65
H10/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
48avg 65
A17/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
71-80
71
80
-9
56avg 65
H25/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
75-68
75
68
+7
63avg 65
A01/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
84-74
84
74
+10
no box
H07/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
69-94
69
94
-25
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
20-28
19-18
18-23
26-26
22-11
17-17
13-7
30-13
18-18
21-27
21-14
16-25
25-7
17-20
26-12
21-20
18-12
19-20
15-17
12-17
17-20
23-25
17-16
22-20
14-23
14-19
21-18
12-18
16-21
23-14
24-15
19-15
19-14
23-15
23-30
19-25
15-17
13-29
22-23
151.5Avg total
76.5Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.075.3150.3-0.357%
Season at home (3)76.074.3150.3+1.767%
Season away (4)74.276.0150.2-1.850%
Last 10 (10)76.575.0151.5+1.560%
Last 5 (5)73.678.8152.4-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.784.0153.7-14.30%
vs Similar ◀ (1)73.069.0142.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker (26)81.071.4152.3+9.681%
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQueluz
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
H04/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
74-73
74
73
+1
no box
A11/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
69-83
69
83
-14
52avg 77
A18/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
105-74
105
74
+31
99avg 77
H25/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
93-110
93
110
-17
80avg 77
H02/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
87-83
87
83
+4
84avg 77
A17/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-89
72
89
-17
54avg 77
H24/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
104-93
104
93
+11
96avg 77
A31/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
90-86
90
86
+4
no box
H07/11
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
22-26
22-20
24-17
25-16
13-16
14-24
22-17
13-12
18-19
27-26
11-26
27-16
22-17
21-24
35-17
20-26
23-28
28-29
22-27
28-20
18-18
22-24
19-21
20-22
29-22
10-18
13-27
23-24
26-29
34-13
21-27
20-18
23-18
20-30
27-20
20-14
24-23
26-24
11-28
173.0Avg total
86.6Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.891.7179.5-3.850%
Season at home (3)85.095.0180.0-10.033%
Season away (3)90.788.3179.0+2.367%
Last 10 (10)86.686.4173.0+0.260%
Last 5 (5)86.888.0174.8-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.093.5173.5-13.59%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.183.8166.8-0.754%
vs Weaker (6)97.089.2186.2+7.867%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -2.2-2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -2.2-2.2
CD PovoaCA Queluz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A24/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H30/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H31/05
Proliga
Esgueira
#12
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A03/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H10/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A17/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H25/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A01/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H07/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A14/11
LPB
74.7Avg total
37.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.477.0+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.836.279.1+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)35.838.874.6-3.021%-
Last 10 (10)37.637.174.7+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)33.038.071.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.040.773.7-7.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)39.032.071.0+7.0100%-
vs Weaker (26)40.337.377.6+3.054%-
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H04/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A11/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A18/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H25/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H02/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A17/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H24/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A31/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/11
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A14/11
LPB
84.2Avg total
43.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.644.688.2-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.445.589.9-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.786.5-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)43.740.584.2+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)46.241.687.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.646.488.0-4.736%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.242.784.9-0.531%-
vs Weaker (6)50.045.795.7+4.367%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.319.8
49.1%
51.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.76.8
25.5%
31.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws22.914.2
62.0%
71.1%14.2
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CA Queluztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CA Queluz: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.2
52.7%
51.1%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.0
36.4%
31.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.318.0
74.1%
71.1%18.0
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
LWWLLWWWWL
CA Queluz
LWWLWLWLWW
#7
League position
#8
+2.7
Net rating
+0.7
82.9
Offensive rating
98.7
80.2
Defensive rating
98.0
44.8%
Effective FG%
53.4%
44.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
14.2%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
25.5%
3-point %
36.4%
50.8%
Assist %
63.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence82.9 · 98.7Defence80.2 · 98.0Shooting44.8% · 53.4%3-point %25.5% · 36.4%Ball care14.2% · 13.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ CD Povoa   ■ CA Queluz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
CD Povoa wins
2
CA Queluz wins
DateGameScore
02/02/25CD Povoa v CA Queluz98-102
19/10/24CA Queluz v CD Povoa76-71
10/12/23CD Povoa v CA Queluz88-84
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASporting CP69-94
07/11/26HPortimonense84-74
01/11/26AVitoria75-68
25/10/26HBraga71-80
17/10/26AOvarense69-78
10/10/26HCAB Madeira73-69
03/10/26AEsgueira84-64
31/05/26HCAB Madeira90-72
30/05/26HCAB Madeira78-61
24/05/26ACAB Madeira72-90
CA Queluzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AOvarense81-89
07/11/26HCAB Madeira90-86
31/10/26AEsgueira104-93
24/10/26HBenfica72-89
17/10/26APortimonense87-83
02/10/26HFC Porto93-110
25/04/26HGalitos Barreiro105-74
18/04/26ASporting CP69-83
11/04/26AOvarense74-73
04/04/26HOliveirense91-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game75.076.074.2
Allowed / game75.374.376.0
Point differential-0.3+1.7-1.8
Avg total150.3150.3150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
CA Queluz
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game87.885.090.7
Allowed / game91.795.088.3
Point differential-3.8-10.0+2.3
Avg total179.5180.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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