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CD Povoa vs Oliveirense Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 May 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 85-84
22-11 25-26 23-25 15-22
Position#6
Record12-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game84.0
CD Povoa 🏆
Portugal
vs
Oliveirense
Portugal
Position#3
Record17-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game74.5
PortugalLPBLPB - Quarter-finals· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2023-24
Meetings · CD Povoa v Oliveirense
05 Dec 2026
CD P v OLIV
upcoming
19 Apr 2025
CD P61
OLIV68
14 May 2024
CD P85
OLIV84
13 Apr 2024
CD P90
OLIV81
18 Feb 2023
CD P71
OLIV61
29 Dec 2021
CD P76
OLIV70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oliveirense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
70avg 73
A02/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
99-87
99
87
+12
86avg 73
H09/03
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
86-103
86
103
-17
74avg 73
A16/03
Taca de Portugal
Vitoria
#7
W
75-73
75
73
+2
68avg 73
H23/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
66avg 73
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
62avg 73
A06/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
90-81
90
81
+9
86avg 73
H13/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
77-101
77
101
-24
67avg 73
A20/04
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
82-88
82
88
-6
82avg 73
H27/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
65-78
65
78
-13
47avg 73
A11/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
15-19
24-16
23-21
25-23
24-26
28-13
22-25
28-29
17-31
22-19
19-24
13-16
19-12
15-21
28-24
12-13
26-19
21-32
13-23
28-22
8-24
14-8
24-18
18-21
25-21
25-19
22-20
18-24
19-22
25-34
15-21
21-34
23-19
20-18
18-17
21-22
10-21
12-21
22-14
164.7Avg total
79.9Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.384.0165.3-2.752%
Season at home (11)80.784.0164.7-3.345%
Season away (12)81.984.0165.9-2.158%
Last 10 (10)79.984.8164.7-4.950%
Last 5 (5)77.684.0161.6-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.990.2169.2-11.323%
vs Similar (4)79.581.2160.8-1.875%
vs Weaker (12)86.879.8166.5+7.067%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Galomar
#8
W
79-64
79
64
+15
79avg 77
A03/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
73-76
73
76
-3
54avg 77
H09/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 77
A16/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
85-73
85
73
+12
82avg 77
A22/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
98-64
98
64
+34
102avg 77
H06/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
81-90
81
90
-9
68avg 77
A13/04
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
78-73
78
73
+5
69avg 77
H20/04
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
94-77
94
77
+17
92avg 77
A27/04
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
62-71
62
71
-9
48avg 77
H04/05
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#6
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 77
H11/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-9
16-13
23-18
15-24
18-21
14-20
17-16
24-19
22-17
22-21
21-21
33-24
27-22
17-19
17-15
24-17
23-15
25-22
24-20
26-7
21-18
21-25
19-25
20-22
26-25
12-15
20-15
20-18
30-14
21-17
26-18
17-28
13-12
12-20
25-15
12-24
22-21
21-10
21-12
14-22
156.2Avg total
82.6Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.374.5155.8+6.974%
Season at home (12)82.876.3159.1+6.475%
Season away (11)79.872.5152.3+7.473%
Last 10 (10)82.673.6156.2+9.070%
Last 5 (5)78.675.2153.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.778.0155.7-0.367%
vs Similar (6)77.579.0156.5-1.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.469.9154.3+14.494%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
CD PovoaOliveirense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#4
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A02/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H09/03
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A16/03
Taca de Portugal
Vitoria
#7
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H23/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A06/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H13/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A20/04
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H27/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A11/05
LPB
82.7Avg total
38.7Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.642.682.3-3.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.640.880.4-1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)39.644.283.9-4.638%-
Last 10 (10)38.744.082.7-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.246.084.2-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.845.682.4-8.823%-
vs Similar (4)40.038.278.2+1.875%-
vs Weaker (12)42.240.882.9+1.458%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#8
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A03/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H09/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A16/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A22/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H06/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A13/04
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H20/04
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A27/04
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H04/05
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#6
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H11/05
LPB
76.4Avg total
40.8Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.636.477.0+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.737.979.6+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)39.534.974.4+4.560%-
Last 10 (10)40.835.676.4+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.835.475.2+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.741.884.5+0.867%-
vs Similar (6)36.739.075.7-2.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.034.176.1+7.965%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.0
52.1%
51.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.5
29.5%
33.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.514.5
64.4%
69.3%14.5
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.3
49.6%
51.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.2
35.8%
33.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.414.6
71.6%
69.3%14.6
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
LLLWWLWLWW
Oliveirense
WLWWLWWWLW
#6
League position
#3
-6.0
Net rating
+11.4
98.7
Offensive rating
104.4
104.7
Defensive rating
93.0
49.1%
Effective FG%
51.4%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
21.8%
Turnover %
20.2%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.5%
3-point %
35.8%
54.0%
Assist %
64.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 104.4Defence104.7 · 93.0Shooting49.1% · 51.4%3-point %29.5% · 35.8%Ball care21.8% · 20.2%Off. rebounds33.3% · 30.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Oliveirense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
CD Povoa wins
5
Oliveirense wins
DateGameScore
11/05/24Oliveirense v CD Povoa78-65
13/04/24CD Povoa v Oliveirense90-81
14/02/24Oliveirense v CD Povoa86-83 OT
01/12/23Oliveirense v CD Povoa104-75
18/02/23CD Povoa v Oliveirense71-61
03/12/22Oliveirense v CD Povoa74-70
29/12/21CD Povoa v Oliveirense76-70
09/10/21Oliveirense v CD Povoa88-67
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/24AOliveirense65-78
27/04/24HEsgueira82-88
20/04/24ABenfica77-101
13/04/24HOliveirense90-81
06/04/24APortimonense74-72
30/03/24HBenfica72-87
23/03/24HVitoria75-73
16/03/24ABenfica86-103
09/03/24HLusitania99-87
02/03/24ASporting CP79-78
Oliveirenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/24HCD Povoa78-65
04/05/24HFC Porto62-71
27/04/24AVitoria94-77
20/04/24HPortimonense78-73
13/04/24ACD Povoa81-90
06/04/24HLusitania98-64
22/03/24ASporting CP85-73
16/03/24ALusitania98-83
09/03/24HOvarense73-76
03/03/24AGalomar79-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL52%
HomeWWWWL45%
AwayWWWLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %52%45%58%
Points / game81.380.781.9
Allowed / game84.084.084.0
Point differential-2.7-3.3-2.1
Avg total165.3164.7165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%18%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %13%18%8%
Oliveirense
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW74%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %74%75%73%
Points / game81.382.879.8
Allowed / game74.576.372.5
Point differential+6.9+6.4+7.4
Avg total155.8159.1152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica2420483%90.668.9+21.7
2 FC Porto2420483%88.574.7+13.8
3 Oliveirense2317674%81.374.5+6.9
4 Ovarense2416867%82.279.7+2.5
5 Sporting CP2415962%89.180.8+8.4
6 CD Povoa23121152%81.384.0-2.7
7 Vitoria24111346%79.380.1-0.8
8 Imortal2481633%77.384.7-7.4
9 Esgueira2271532%74.384.5-10.2
10 Galomar2261627%74.381.2-7.0
11 Portimonense2261627%71.580.0-8.5
12 Lusitania221215%72.693.0-20.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CD Povoa2225231585
Oliveirense1126252284
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