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FC Porto vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 76-64
15-18 17-19 20-13 24-14
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#10
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game76.0
PortugalLPBRound 1· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · FC Porto v CD Povoa
22 Nov 2026
POR v CD P
upcoming
19 Jan 2025
POR82
CD P60
26 Oct 2024
POR76
CD P64
05 Jan 2024
POR97
CD P81
07 Jan 2023
POR99
CD P69
14 Jan 2022
POR82
CD P55
12 Jan 2021
POR86
CD P61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
W
86-83
86
83
+3
81avg 75
A26/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
77-74
77
74
+3
63avg 75
A28/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
66-89
66
89
-23
52avg 75
H05/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
62-73
62
73
-11
60avg 75
H07/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 75
A10/06
LPB
Benfica
#2
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
no box
A28/09
Super Cup
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
77-68
77
68
+9
69avg 75
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#9
L
70-89
70
89
-19
58avg 75
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
88-80
88
80
+8
85avg 75
H19/10
LPB
Limburg
#26
W
80-61
80
61
+19
70avg 75
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-16
29-18
25-23
22-26
14-17
21-24
17-11
25-22
16-22
19-19
10-23
21-25
16-13
21-15
13-23
12-22
25-20
10-21
24-15
17-27
23-22
23-22
21-19
18-22
20-16
18-10
19-23
20-19
18-26
21-20
24-22
7-21
24-17
18-19
23-16
23-28
12-11
23-16
20-19
25-15
157.2Avg total
77.9Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)88.080.0168.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)88.080.0168.0+8.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.979.3157.2-1.460%
Last 5 (5)82.478.2160.6+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.281.8153.0-10.733%
vs Similar (5)72.875.2148.0-2.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)86.672.5159.1+14.189%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#7
W
75-73
75
73
+2
68avg 72
H23/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
66avg 72
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
62avg 72
A06/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
90-81
90
81
+9
86avg 72
H13/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
77-101
77
101
-24
67avg 72
A20/04
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
82-88
82
88
-6
82avg 72
H27/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
65-78
65
78
-13
47avg 72
A11/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
85-84
85
84
+1
79avg 72
H14/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
51avg 72
A17/05
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
L
71-76
71
76
-5
53avg 72
A19/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
19-12
15-21
28-24
12-13
26-19
21-32
13-23
28-22
8-24
14-8
24-18
18-21
25-21
25-19
22-20
18-24
19-22
25-34
15-21
21-34
23-19
20-18
18-17
21-22
10-21
12-21
22-14
22-11
25-26
23-25
15-22
15-15
19-26
21-16
14-21
29-20
18-24
11-19
13-13
157.8Avg total
76.0Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)71.076.0147.0-5.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)71.076.0147.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)76.081.8157.8-5.840%
Last 5 (5)74.480.8155.2-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)78.789.0167.7-10.327%
vs Similar (5)77.880.2158.0-2.460%
vs Weaker (9)87.678.1165.7+9.478%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
FC PortoCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A26/05
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A28/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H05/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H07/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A10/06
LPB
Benfica
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A28/09
Super Cup
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H19/10
LPB
Limburg
#26
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
74.5Avg total
38.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.678.4+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.636.175.7+3.664%-
Last 30 away (16)41.839.080.8+2.862%-
Last 10 (10)38.136.474.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.035.875.8+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.738.576.2-0.850%-
vs Similar (5)36.639.275.8-2.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.736.679.3+6.272%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#7
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H23/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A06/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H13/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A20/04
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H27/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A11/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/05
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A19/10
LPB
80.1Avg total
38.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.043.082.9-3.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.840.981.6-0.164%-
Last 30 away (16)39.244.884.1-5.631%-
Last 10 (10)38.941.280.1-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.684.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.344.782.0-7.527%-
vs Similar (5)41.439.480.8+2.080%-
vs Weaker (9)43.141.985.0+1.256%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.7
53.3%
51.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.8
32.1%
32.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws16.811.5
68.5%
69.2%11.5
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.117.4
46.9%
51.2%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.0
30.7%
32.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.116.5
68.5%
69.2%16.5
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWLWWLLLWW
CD Povoa
LLWLLLWWLW
#2
League position
#10
-1.0
Net rating
-7.0
107.1
Offensive rating
95.5
108.1
Defensive rating
102.4
51.2%
Effective FG%
46.5%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
17.4%
Turnover %
21.2%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.1%
3-point %
30.7%
52.8%
Assist %
56.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 95.5Defence108.1 · 102.4Shooting51.2% · 46.5%3-point %32.1% · 30.7%Ball care17.4% · 21.2%Off. rebounds30.6% · 28.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ FC Porto   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
FC Porto wins
0
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
05/01/24FC Porto v CD Povoa97-81
23/09/23CD Povoa v FC Porto76-91
07/01/23FC Porto v CD Povoa99-69
22/10/22CD Povoa v FC Porto66-75
14/01/22FC Porto v CD Povoa82-55
29/10/21CD Povoa v FC Porto60-67
12/01/21FC Porto v CD Povoa86-61
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/24HLimburg80-61
19/10/24HVitoria88-80
16/10/24APAOK70-89
09/10/24HSzolnoki Olaj77-68
28/09/24ABenfica97-93 OT
10/06/24ABenfica76-83
07/06/24HBenfica62-73
05/06/24HBenfica66-89
28/05/24AOvarense77-74
26/05/24AOvarense86-83
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24ACA Queluz71-76
17/05/24AOliveirense69-78
14/05/24HOliveirense85-84
11/05/24AOliveirense65-78
27/04/24HEsgueira82-88
20/04/24ABenfica77-101
13/04/24HOliveirense90-81
06/04/24APortimonense74-72
30/03/24HBenfica72-87
23/03/24HVitoria75-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game88.088.0-
Allowed / game80.080.0-
Point differential+8.0+8.0-
Avg total168.0168.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
CD Povoa
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game71.0-71.0
Allowed / game76.0-76.0
Point differential-5.0--5.0
Avg total147.0-147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica110100%96.061.0+35.0
2 Oliveirense220100%94.068.5+25.5
3 Ovarense110100%72.059.0+13.0
4 FC Porto110100%88.080.0+8.0
5 CA Queluz110100%76.071.0+5.0
6 Esgueira110100%82.081.0+1.0
7 Sporting CP1010%81.082.0-1.0
8 CD Povoa1010%71.076.0-5.0
9 Vitoria2020%78.090.5-12.5
10 Galitos Barreiro1010%59.072.0-13.0
11 Galomar1010%61.095.0-34.0
12 Imortal1010%61.096.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto1517202476
CD Povoa1819131464
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