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CD Povoa vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 82-88
21-34 23-19 20-18 18-17
Position#6
Record12-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game84.1
CD Povoa
Portugal
vs
Esgueira 🏆
Portugal
Position#9
Record6-15
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game84.6
PortugalLPBRound 22· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2023-24
Meetings · CD Povoa v Esgueira
29 Dec 2026
CD P v ESGU
upcoming
30 Nov 2024
CD P82
ESGU84
27 Apr 2024
CD P82
ESGU88
11 Nov 2023
CD P79
ESGU71
16 Apr 2023
CD P75
ESGU60
22 Dec 2022
CD P63
ESGU52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
80avg 74
H10/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
no box
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
70avg 74
A02/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
99-87
99
87
+12
86avg 74
H09/03
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
86-103
86
103
-17
74avg 74
A16/03
Taca de Portugal
Vitoria
#7
W
75-73
75
73
+2
68avg 74
H23/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
66avg 74
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
62avg 74
A06/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
90-81
90
81
+9
86avg 74
H13/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
77-101
77
101
-24
67avg 74
A20/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
19-23
29-16
23-19
19-19
25-16
22-20
10-21
17-22
15-19
24-16
23-21
25-23
24-26
28-13
22-25
28-29
17-31
22-19
19-24
13-16
19-12
15-21
28-24
12-13
26-19
21-32
13-23
28-22
8-24
14-8
24-18
18-21
25-21
25-19
22-20
18-24
19-22
25-34
15-21
166.6Avg total
82.2Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.184.1166.2-2.057%
Season at home (10)80.683.6164.2-3.050%
Season away (11)83.584.5168.0-1.164%
Last 10 (10)82.284.4166.6-2.260%
Last 5 (5)77.682.8160.4-5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.291.4170.6-12.121%
vs Similar (4)79.581.2160.8-1.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.279.0166.2+8.273%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
64-100
64
100
-36
51avg 62
H03/02
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
78-60
78
60
+18
72avg 62
A10/02
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
53-77
53
77
-24
37avg 62
A14/02
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
L
45-104
45
104
-59
25avg 62
H02/03
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
76-92
76
92
-16
66avg 62
H09/03
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
80-68
80
68
+12
75avg 62
A23/03
LPB
Ovarense
#6
L
81-82
81
82
-1
65avg 62
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
W
85-82
85
82
+3
71avg 62
H06/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
66avg 62
A13/04
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
89-61
89
61
+28
no box
H20/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-31
14-11
14-34
19-24
23-11
8-17
27-16
20-16
17-27
17-7
12-27
7-16
9-24
7-32
17-21
12-27
26-19
16-30
13-24
21-19
20-23
14-10
25-10
21-25
13-21
25-15
19-21
24-25
21-23
19-27
29-16
16-16
15-25
24-23
15-16
19-24
24-8
22-18
25-16
18-19
153.8Avg total
72.4Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)73.784.6158.3-11.029%
Season at home (11)72.485.1157.5-12.736%
Season away (10)75.184.1159.2-9.020%
Last 10 (10)72.481.4153.8-9.040%
Last 5 (5)81.676.2157.8+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)68.788.8157.5-20.112%
vs Similar (10)81.079.2160.2+1.850%
vs Weaker (3)84.377.3161.7+7.033%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -3.4-3.4
CD PovoaEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H10/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A02/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H09/03
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A16/03
Taca de Portugal
Vitoria
#7
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H23/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A06/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H13/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A20/04
LPB
81.1Avg total
39.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.782.4-2.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.341.080.3-1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)40.244.384.5-4.140%-
Last 10 (10)39.142.081.1-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.876.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.546.283.7-8.721%-
vs Similar (4)40.038.278.2+1.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.039.681.6+2.464%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H03/02
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A10/02
LPB
Benfica
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A14/02
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
L
16-56
16
56
-40
H02/03
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H09/03
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A23/03
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H06/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A13/04
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H20/04
LPB
75.3Avg total
35.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.540.977.4-4.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.540.879.2-2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)34.341.075.3-6.721%-
Last 10 (10)35.140.275.3-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.678.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)32.043.175.1-11.112%-
vs Similar (10)42.039.081.0+3.060%-
vs Weaker (3)39.736.776.3+3.067%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.420.9
50.5%
51.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.6
30.6%
33.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws26.516.7
63.0%
69.3%16.7
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.317.8
47.7%
51.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.9
33.7%
33.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws14.79.9
67.3%
69.3%9.9
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
LWWLWLWWLW
Esgueira
WLWLWLLLWL
#6
League position
#9
-5.2
Net rating
-11.7
100.6
Offensive rating
95.1
105.8
Defensive rating
106.8
48.8%
Effective FG%
48.9%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
22.3%
Turnover %
16.2%
36.0%
Off. rebound %
18.6%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.6%
3-point %
33.7%
51.6%
Assist %
57.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 95.1Defence105.8 · 106.8Shooting48.8% · 48.9%3-point %30.6% · 33.7%Ball care22.3% · 16.2%Off. rebounds36.0% · 18.6%Free throws0.40 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Esgueira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
CD Povoa wins
2
Esgueira wins
DateGameScore
28/12/23Esgueira v CD Povoa72-80
11/11/23CD Povoa v Esgueira79-71
16/04/23CD Povoa v Esgueira75-60
18/03/23Esgueira v CD Povoa83-78 OT
22/12/22CD Povoa v Esgueira63-52
05/10/22Esgueira v CD Povoa67-66
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24ABenfica77-101
13/04/24HOliveirense90-81
06/04/24APortimonense74-72
30/03/24HBenfica72-87
23/03/24HVitoria75-73
16/03/24ABenfica86-103
09/03/24HLusitania99-87
02/03/24ASporting CP79-78
14/02/24AOliveirense83-86 OT
10/02/24HOvarense87-76
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HLusitania89-61
13/04/24ASporting CP73-88
06/04/24HOvarense85-82
30/03/24HOvarense81-82
23/03/24AGalomar80-68
09/03/24HImortal76-92
02/03/24HFC Porto45-104
14/02/24ABenfica53-77
10/02/24AVitoria78-60
03/02/24HBenfica64-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL57%
HomeLWWWW50%
AwayLWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%50%64%
Points / game82.180.683.5
Allowed / game84.183.684.5
Point differential-2.0-3.0-1.1
Avg total166.2164.2168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %14%20%9%
Esgueira
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW29%
HomeLLLWW36%
AwayLLWWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%36%20%
Points / game73.772.475.1
Allowed / game84.685.184.1
Point differential-11.0-12.7-9.0
Avg total158.3157.5159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica2117481%90.269.9+20.3
2 FC Porto2117481%88.275.6+12.6
3 Oliveirense2115671%80.974.8+6.1
4 Sporting CP2114767%89.280.7+8.5
5 Ovarense2113862%81.179.3+1.9
6 CD Povoa2112957%82.184.1-2.0
7 Vitoria21111052%81.078.8+2.2
8 Imortal2181338%78.884.1-5.3
9 Galomar2161529%74.280.9-6.7
10 Portimonense2161529%72.078.8-6.8
11 Esgueira2161529%73.784.6-11.0
12 Lusitania211205%72.992.8-19.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CD Povoa2123201882
Esgueira3419181788
← all games of the day
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