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Oliveirense vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 May 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 78-65
22-21 21-10 21-12 14-22
Position#3
Record16-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#6
Record12-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game84.3
PortugalLPBLPB - Quarter-finals· Pavilhão Dr. Salvador Machado
Other2023-24
Meetings · Oliveirense v CD Povoa
03 Apr 2027
OLIV v CD P
upcoming
29 Dec 2024
OLIV92
CD P53
30 Nov 2024
OLIV v CD P
upcoming
17 May 2024
OLIV78
CD P69
11 May 2024
OLIV78
CD P65
14 Feb 2024
OLIV86
CD P83
01 Dec 2023
OLIV104
CD P75
03 Dec 2022
OLIV74
CD P70
09 Oct 2021
OLIV88
CD P67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oliveirense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Galomar
#10
W
74-55
74
55
+19
70avg 76
A01/03
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
79-64
79
64
+15
79avg 76
A03/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
73-76
73
76
-3
54avg 76
H09/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 76
A16/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
85-73
85
73
+12
82avg 76
A22/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
98-64
98
64
+34
102avg 76
H06/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
81-90
81
90
-9
68avg 76
A13/04
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
78-73
78
73
+5
69avg 76
H20/04
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
94-77
94
77
+17
92avg 76
A27/04
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
62-71
62
71
-9
48avg 76
H04/05
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-10
22-15
22-9
14-21
25-9
16-13
23-18
15-24
18-21
14-20
17-16
24-19
22-17
22-21
21-21
33-24
27-22
17-19
17-15
24-17
23-15
25-22
24-20
26-7
21-18
21-25
19-25
20-22
26-25
12-15
20-15
20-18
30-14
21-17
26-18
17-28
13-12
12-20
25-15
12-24
154.8Avg total
82.2Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.574.9156.4+6.673%
Season at home (11)83.277.4160.5+5.873%
Season away (11)79.872.5152.3+7.473%
Last 10 (10)82.272.6154.8+9.670%
Last 5 (5)82.675.0157.6+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.778.0155.7-0.367%
vs Similar (6)77.579.0156.5-1.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)83.169.5152.6+13.688%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
no box
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
70avg 74
A02/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
99-87
99
87
+12
86avg 74
H09/03
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
86-103
86
103
-17
74avg 74
A16/03
Taca de Portugal
Vitoria
#7
W
75-73
75
73
+2
68avg 74
H23/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
66avg 74
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
62avg 74
A06/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
90-81
90
81
+9
86avg 74
H13/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
77-101
77
101
-24
67avg 74
A20/04
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
82-88
82
88
-6
82avg 74
H27/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
25-16
22-20
10-21
17-22
15-19
24-16
23-21
25-23
24-26
28-13
22-25
28-29
17-31
22-19
19-24
13-16
19-12
15-21
28-24
12-13
26-19
21-32
13-23
28-22
8-24
14-8
24-18
18-21
25-21
25-19
22-20
18-24
19-22
25-34
15-21
21-34
23-19
20-18
18-17
167.3Avg total
81.7Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.184.3166.4-2.255%
Season at home (11)80.784.0164.7-3.345%
Season away (11)83.584.5168.0-1.164%
Last 10 (10)81.785.6167.3-3.950%
Last 5 (5)79.085.8164.8-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.891.2171.0-11.523%
vs Similar (4)79.581.2160.8-1.875%
vs Weaker (12)86.879.8166.5+7.067%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
OliveirenseCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#10
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A01/03
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A03/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H09/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A16/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A22/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H06/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A13/04
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H20/04
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A27/04
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H04/05
Taca da Liga
75.3Avg total
40.3Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.036.576.6+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.638.178.7+2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)39.534.974.4+4.560%-
Last 10 (10)40.335.075.3+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.677.4+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.741.884.5+0.867%-
vs Similar (6)36.739.075.7-2.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.134.275.3+6.859%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A02/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H09/03
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A16/03
Taca de Portugal
Vitoria
#7
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H23/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A06/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H13/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A20/04
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H27/04
LPB
83.2Avg total
40.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.882.8-2.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.941.381.1-1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)40.244.384.5-4.140%-
Last 10 (10)40.043.283.2-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.883.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.746.083.7-8.323%-
vs Similar (4)40.038.278.2+1.875%-
vs Weaker (12)42.240.882.9+1.458%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.1
48.5%
51.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.3
35.8%
33.5%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.814.1
71.2%
69.3%14.1
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.721.7
53.3%
51.0%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.4
30.3%
33.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws24.215.8
65.3%
69.3%15.8
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oliveirense
LWWLWWWLWW
CD Povoa
LLWWLWLWWL
#3
League position
#6
+11.7
Net rating
-2.5
104.2
Offensive rating
101.1
92.5
Defensive rating
103.6
50.8%
Effective FG%
50.4%
45.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
19.8%
Turnover %
22.2%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.8%
3-point %
30.3%
63.7%
Assist %
52.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 101.1Defence92.5 · 103.6Shooting50.8% · 50.4%3-point %35.8% · 30.3%Ball care19.8% · 22.2%Off. rebounds31.2% · 34.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Oliveirense   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Oliveirense wins
3
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
13/04/24CD Povoa v Oliveirense90-81
14/02/24Oliveirense v CD Povoa86-83 OT
01/12/23Oliveirense v CD Povoa104-75
18/02/23CD Povoa v Oliveirense71-61
03/12/22Oliveirense v CD Povoa74-70
29/12/21CD Povoa v Oliveirense76-70
09/10/21Oliveirense v CD Povoa88-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24HFC Porto62-71
27/04/24AVitoria94-77
20/04/24HPortimonense78-73
13/04/24ACD Povoa81-90
06/04/24HLusitania98-64
22/03/24ASporting CP85-73
16/03/24ALusitania98-83
09/03/24HOvarense73-76
03/03/24AGalomar79-64
01/03/24AGalomar74-55
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HEsgueira82-88
20/04/24ABenfica77-101
13/04/24HOliveirense90-81
06/04/24APortimonense74-72
30/03/24HBenfica72-87
23/03/24HVitoria75-73
16/03/24ABenfica86-103
09/03/24HLusitania99-87
02/03/24ASporting CP79-78
14/02/24AOliveirense83-86 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oliveirense
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %73%73%73%
Points / game81.583.279.8
Allowed / game74.977.472.5
Point differential+6.6+5.8+7.4
Avg total156.4160.5152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%27%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CD Povoa
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL55%
HomeWWWWL45%
AwayLWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %55%45%64%
Points / game82.180.783.5
Allowed / game84.384.084.5
Point differential-2.2-3.3-1.1
Avg total166.4164.7168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %14%18%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto2319483%88.775.0+13.7
2 Benfica2218482%90.969.5+21.4
3 Oliveirense2216673%81.574.9+6.6
4 Sporting CP2315865%89.080.2+8.8
5 Ovarense2315865%81.779.2+2.5
6 CD Povoa22121055%82.184.3-2.2
7 Vitoria22111150%80.979.5+1.4
8 Imortal2381535%77.884.8-7.0
9 Esgueira2271532%74.384.5-10.2
10 Galomar2261627%74.381.2-7.0
11 Portimonense2261627%71.580.0-8.5
12 Lusitania221215%72.693.0-20.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oliveirense2221211478
CD Povoa2110122265
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