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Cearense vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 83-73
18-15 20-18 20-21 25-19
Position#8
Record9-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game75.9
vs
Position#19
Record3-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game85.4
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cearense v Brasilia
13 Dec 2026
CEAR v BRAS
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
CEAR49
BRAS81
07 Feb 2025
CEAR62
BRAS84
29 Dec 2023
CEAR83
BRAS73
19 Oct 2022
CEAR62
BRAS75
15 Apr 2022
CEAR77
BRAS65
06 Dec 2020
CEAR71
BRAS63
06 Dec 2019
CEAR91
BRAS56
05 Dec 2018
CEAR76
BRAS63
17 Nov 2016
CEAR72
BRAS81
17 Nov 2015
CEAR81
BRAS85
13 Mar 2015
CEAR96
BRAS84
30 Jan 2014
CEAR88
BRAS77
26 Feb 2013
CEAR100
BRAS104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
80avg 72
H21/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
78-65
78
65
+13
71avg 72
H24/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
76-75
76
75
+1
73avg 72
A29/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
no box
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
74-78
74
78
-4
64avg 72
H06/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
62-63
62
63
-1
56avg 72
H08/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
86-90
86
90
-4
80avg 72
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
74-77
74
77
-3
70avg 72
A22/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
67avg 72
A23/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
87-76
87
76
+11
86avg 72
H27/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
25-25
18-22
25-21
20-13
17-17
24-17
17-18
17-15
19-16
20-17
20-27
9-25
17-19
26-17
30-21
24-21
18-21
16-20
16-16
17-23
15-9
15-17
15-14
24-26
15-21
26-20
21-23
23-13
20-27
13-14
18-23
21-21
22-24
16-16
16-20
25-12
15-19
24-20
23-25
156.9Avg total
78.7Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.175.9154.1+2.256%
Season at home (7)77.972.6150.4+5.371%
Season away (9)78.378.6156.9-0.244%
Last 10 (10)78.778.2156.9+0.540%
Last 5 (5)76.877.4154.2-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.686.4162.0-10.921%
vs Similar (10)78.977.2156.1+1.770%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)76.875.7152.5+1.250%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
L
54-79
54
79
-25
34avg 56
A19/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
53-84
53
84
-31
32avg 56
A24/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 56
H30/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
66-92
66
92
-26
43avg 56
H04/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
77-100
77
100
-23
55avg 56
A07/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
73-82
73
82
-9
58avg 56
A09/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
69-91
69
91
-22
52avg 56
H16/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
71-91
71
91
-20
53avg 56
A20/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
63-72
63
72
-9
51avg 56
H23/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
69-93
69
93
-24
55avg 56
A27/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-12
12-19
12-28
16-20
13-21
15-20
16-24
9-19
24-19
20-20
14-18
23-23
21-17
11-24
18-30
16-21
20-32
26-19
11-28
20-21
21-16
23-17
21-19
8-30
14-17
21-21
14-32
20-21
10-22
22-34
21-15
18-20
17-13
20-15
12-28
14-16
13-18
16-32
20-24
20-19
154.0Avg total
67.6Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)70.985.4156.4-14.518%
Season at home (8)74.583.0157.5-8.525%
Season away (9)67.887.6155.3-19.811%
Last 10 (10)67.686.4154.0-18.810%
Last 5 (5)69.085.8154.8-16.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)73.289.9163.1-16.711%
vs Similar (3)74.782.7157.3-8.033%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -8.7-8.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -4.6-4.6
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -8.7-8.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -4.6-4.6
CearenseBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H21/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H24/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A29/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H06/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H08/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A22/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A23/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H27/12
NBB
76.5Avg total
38.2Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.839.278.0-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.339.477.7-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)39.239.178.2+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.376.5-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.078.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.940.177.0-3.343%-
vs Similar (10)41.338.379.6+3.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)39.038.777.7+0.333%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A19/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A24/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H30/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H04/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A07/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A09/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H16/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A20/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H23/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A27/12
NBB
76.1Avg total
35.3Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.044.781.7-7.723%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.941.180.0-2.333%-
Last 30 away (15)35.148.283.3-13.113%-
Last 10 (10)35.340.876.1-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.441.076.4-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.944.781.6-7.822%-
vs Similar (3)38.044.382.3-6.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.7
56.9%
51.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.0
34.6%
33.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.711.6
65.5%
72.6%11.6
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 66.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.816.2
40.7%
51.8%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.27.9
30.2%
33.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.110.7
66.5%
72.6%10.7
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
WLLLLLLWWW
Brasilia
LLLLLLLWLL
#8
League position
#19
+3.9
Net rating
-24.5
108.2
Offensive rating
87.1
104.3
Defensive rating
111.7
55.0%
Effective FG%
42.5%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.6%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.0%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.6%
3-point %
30.2%
54.4%
Assist %
46.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 87.1Defence104.3 · 111.7Shooting55.0% · 42.5%3-point %34.6% · 30.2%Ball care18.0% · 17.0%Off. rebounds27.1% · 21.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Cearense   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Cearense wins
4
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
09/01/23Brasilia v Cearense80-82
19/10/22Cearense v Brasilia62-75
15/04/22Cearense v Brasilia77-65
11/01/22Brasilia v Cearense82-75
09/02/21Brasilia v Cearense87-67
06/12/20Cearense v Brasilia71-63
06/12/19Cearense v Brasilia91-56
05/02/19Brasilia v Cearense80-87
05/12/18Cearense v Brasilia76-63
03/02/17Brasilia v Cearense88-52
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/23HCerrado87-76
23/12/23AVasco75-81
22/12/23AFlamengo74-77
18/12/23ABotafogo86-90
08/12/23HCaxias do Sul62-63
06/12/23HUniao Corinthians74-78
01/12/23AMinas88-93 OT
29/11/23APato76-75
24/11/23HCorinthians Paulista78-65
21/11/23HPinheiros87-84
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/23AUnifacisa69-93
23/12/23HSao Paulo63-72
20/12/23AMinas71-91
16/12/23HPaulistano69-91
09/12/23ABauru73-82
07/12/23AFranca77-100
04/12/23HSao Jose66-92
30/11/23HMogi81-80
24/11/23ACerrado53-84
19/11/23AVasco54-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW56%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayWLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %56%71%44%
Points / game78.177.978.3
Allowed / game75.972.678.6
Point differential+2.2+5.3-0.2
Avg total154.1150.4156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Brasilia
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %18%25%11%
Points / game70.974.567.8
Allowed / game85.483.087.6
Point differential-14.5-8.5-19.8
Avg total156.4157.5155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1614288%84.873.1+11.7
2 Minas1815383%85.373.7+11.7
3 Franca1613381%86.174.0+12.1
4 Paulistano1813572%75.270.7+4.5
5 Vasco1813572%73.769.5+4.2
6 Unifacisa1610662%79.876.6+3.2
7 Cearense169756%78.175.9+2.2
8 Bauru1810856%78.877.7+1.1
9 Sao Jose179853%79.574.8+4.6
10 Corinthians Paulista178947%80.681.6-1.0
11 Sao Paulo178947%76.779.0-2.3
12 Pinheiros1771041%75.978.5-2.6
13 Caxias do Sul1661038%71.278.9-7.7
14 Pato1761135%75.078.2-3.2
15 Cerrado1751229%73.474.4-1.1
16 Botafogo1751229%77.884.7-6.9
17 Uniao Corinthians1751229%71.980.9-8.9
18 Brasilia1731418%70.985.4-14.5
19 Mogi1721512%73.881.0-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense1820202583
Brasilia1518211973
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