PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cearense vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 62-84
21-26 9-14 15-29 17-15
Position#17
Record6-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#6
Record14-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game81.3
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cearense v Brasilia
13 Dec 2026
CEAR v BRAS
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
CEAR49
BRAS81
07 Feb 2025
CEAR62
BRAS84
29 Dec 2023
CEAR83
BRAS73
19 Oct 2022
CEAR62
BRAS75
15 Apr 2022
CEAR77
BRAS65
06 Dec 2020
CEAR71
BRAS63
06 Dec 2019
CEAR91
BRAS56
05 Dec 2018
CEAR76
BRAS63
17 Nov 2016
CEAR72
BRAS81
17 Nov 2015
CEAR81
BRAS85
13 Mar 2015
CEAR96
BRAS84
30 Jan 2014
CEAR88
BRAS77
26 Feb 2013
CEAR100
BRAS104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
W
76-69
76
69
+7
72avg 66
H06/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
55-75
55
75
-20
41avg 66
H09/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
83-92
83
92
-9
81avg 66
A12/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
74-76
74
76
-2
71avg 66
A14/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
76avg 66
A19/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
70-73
70
73
-3
69avg 66
A27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
60avg 66
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
64avg 66
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
74-75
74
75
-1
63avg 66
A18/01
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
83-74
83
74
+9
78avg 66
A20/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
22-19
18-19
18-17
14-16
11-21
18-22
12-16
24-25
23-22
11-23
25-22
20-14
16-21
17-22
21-19
24-16
25-19
8-19
24-23
18-21
20-18
12-20
20-14
22-28
14-19
16-16
19-19
17-31
29-19
23-16
11-10
18-21
14-18
23-17
19-19
17-20
18-17
21-19
27-18
151.6Avg total
74.7Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)70.577.0147.6-6.527%
Season at home (10)67.872.1139.9-4.340%
Season away (12)72.881.2154.0-8.317%
Last 10 (10)74.776.9151.6-2.240%
Last 5 (5)75.676.0151.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)69.378.4147.7-9.113%
vs Similar (13)73.174.8147.8-1.754%
vs Weaker (2)76.076.0152.0+0.050%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#12
L
87-102
87
102
-15
63avg 69
H18/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
83-85
83
85
-2
74avg 69
H21/12
NBB
Franca
#2
W
91-86
91
86
+5
84avg 69
H27/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
77-67
77
67
+10
74avg 69
H29/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
79-94
79
94
-15
69avg 69
A11/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
71-89
71
89
-18
53avg 69
A13/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 69
H22/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#5
W
85-75
85
75
+10
83avg 69
H25/01
Super 8
Minas
#2
L
58-61
58
61
-3
47avg 69
A28/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#11
L
67-80
67
80
-13
61avg 69
A05/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-32
27-22
22-24
17-24
23-30
25-27
21-13
14-15
20-20
26-21
17-26
28-19
26-18
18-18
18-20
15-11
23-28
18-18
21-20
17-28
17-28
25-17
14-27
15-17
9-15
18-14
21-13
26-28
24-18
21-21
20-16
20-20
10-17
18-18
15-7
15-19
20-20
20-11
11-26
16-23
158.1Avg total
77.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.981.3163.2+0.661%
Season at home (10)82.780.4163.1+2.380%
Season away (13)81.382.0163.3-0.746%
Last 10 (10)77.280.9158.1-3.740%
Last 5 (5)71.075.0146.0-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.988.0165.9-10.122%
vs Similar (15)82.181.5163.7+0.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)79.075.8154.8+3.280%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -2.1-2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -2.1-2.1
CearenseBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H06/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H09/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A12/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A14/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A19/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A18/01
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A20/01
NBB
78.3Avg total
38.4Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.639.273.8-4.627%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.037.970.9-4.929%-
Last 30 away (16)36.040.276.2-4.225%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.978.3-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.442.479.8-5.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)34.341.175.5-6.827%-
vs Similar (13)33.738.171.8-4.415%-
vs Weaker (2)42.531.574.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#12
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H18/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H21/12
NBB
Franca
#2
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H27/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H29/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A13/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H22/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H25/01
Super 8
Minas
#2
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A28/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A05/02
NBB
82.2Avg total
40.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.882.2-1.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.043.185.1-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)39.040.679.6-1.625%-
Last 10 (10)40.941.382.2-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.435.872.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.646.082.6-9.411%-
vs Similar (15)40.740.381.1+0.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)45.439.084.4+6.440%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.3
50.6%
50.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.1
32.7%
33.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.513.0
66.7%
72.7%13.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.016.6
51.9%
50.9%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.69.9
30.4%
33.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.013.5
79.4%
72.7%13.5
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
WLWLLWLLLW
Brasilia
LLWWLLWWLL
#17
League position
#6
-3.6
Net rating
-4.7
103.0
Offensive rating
103.5
106.7
Defensive rating
108.2
49.9%
Effective FG%
48.7%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
17.6%
Turnover %
14.0%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.7%
3-point %
30.4%
61.4%
Assist %
57.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 103.5Defence106.7 · 108.2Shooting49.9% · 48.7%3-point %32.7% · 30.4%Ball care17.6% · 14.0%Off. rebounds28.9% · 23.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Cearense   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cearense wins
5
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
05/11/24Brasilia v Cearense73-72
11/04/24Brasilia v Cearense69-68
29/12/23Cearense v Brasilia83-73
09/01/23Brasilia v Cearense80-82
19/10/22Cearense v Brasilia62-75
15/04/22Cearense v Brasilia77-65
11/01/22Brasilia v Cearense82-75
09/02/21Brasilia v Cearense87-67
06/12/20Cearense v Brasilia71-63
06/12/19Cearense v Brasilia91-56
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/25ABotafogo83-74
18/01/25AVasco74-75
13/01/25HPato80-76
29/12/24AUniao Corinthians71-82
27/12/24ACaxias do Sul70-73
19/12/24AUnifacisa81-77
14/12/24APinheiros74-76
12/12/24ACorinthians Paulista83-92
09/12/24HSao Jose55-75
06/12/24HMogi76-69
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/25AUnifacisa67-80
28/01/25AMinas58-61
25/01/25HUniao Corinthians85-75
22/01/25HCorinthians Paulista74-70
13/01/25AMogi71-89
11/01/25ASao Jose79-94
29/12/24HBauru77-67
27/12/24HFranca91-86
21/12/24HSao Paulo83-85
18/12/24HPaulistano87-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW27%
HomeWLWLW40%
AwayWLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %27%40%17%
Points / game70.567.872.8
Allowed / game77.072.181.2
Point differential-6.5-4.3-8.3
Avg total147.6139.9154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Brasilia
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL61%
HomeLLWWW80%
AwayLWLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %61%80%46%
Points / game81.982.781.3
Allowed / game81.380.482.0
Point differential+0.6+2.3-0.7
Avg total163.2163.1163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%10%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)86% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2118386%83.371.2+12.1
2 Flamengo2116576%84.172.8+11.4
3 Brasilia2314961%81.981.3+0.6
4 Uniao Corinthians2213959%78.478.3+0.1
5 Franca2112957%80.978.0+2.9
6 Paulistano22121055%78.074.7+3.4
7 Pinheiros22121055%75.574.7+0.8
8 Bauru22121055%78.580.2-1.7
9 Sao Jose23121152%78.877.0+1.7
10 Unifacisa23121152%75.975.1+0.8
11 Vasco24121250%74.675.3-0.7
12 Corinthians Paulista23111248%81.480.2+1.2
13 Sao Paulo23101343%77.079.1-2.2
14 Pato2491538%81.883.9-2.1
15 Mogi2491538%73.879.2-5.4
16 Caxias do Sul2371630%73.078.6-5.6
17 Cearense2261627%70.577.0-6.5
18 Botafogo2361726%72.680.8-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense219151762
Brasilia2614291584
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.