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Cedevita Olimpija vs Aris Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 30 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#25
Record2-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.6/10
Below normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#4
Record6-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game77.0
EuropeEurocupRound 12· Arena Stozice
European cup2026
Meetings · Cedevita Olimpija v Aris
30 Dec 2026
COL v ARI
upcoming
14 Oct 2025
COL80
ARI59
08 Jan 2025
COL98
ARI79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cedevita Olimpija win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Aris win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
Siroki Brijeg
#7
L
69-70
69
70
-1
56avg 81
A10/10
ABA League
Rigas Zelli
#20
L
79-89
79
89
-10
72avg 81
A14/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#11
W
93-81
93
81
+12
91avg 81
A17/10
ABA League
Le Mans
#12
L
66-84
66
84
-18
49avg 81
H21/10
Eurocup
Buducnost
#4
L
81-95
81
95
-14
65avg 81
H24/10
ABA League
Aris
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
54avg 81
A28/10
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#17
W
96-87
96
87
+9
88avg 81
H31/10
ABA League
Tortona
#17
W
73-71 OT
73
71
+2
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A07/11
ABA League
Rostock
#28
W
88-71
88
71
+17
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
18-20
16-11
16-23
18-27
22-29
19-16
20-17
23-23
20-18
25-17
25-23
16-22
22-21
14-28
14-13
13-21
21-28
26-26
21-20
19-21
20-17
18-19
16-21
27-18
27-27
20-18
22-24
16-20
11-16
17-14
21-15
18-21
30-18
16-19
21-13
24-21
26-20
20-19
18-11
160.0Avg total
80.3Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.979.0153.9-4.129%
Season at home (3)67.776.7144.3-9.033%
Season away (4)80.280.8161.0-0.525%
Last 10 (10)80.379.7160.0+0.650%
Last 5 (5)83.075.6158.6+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.282.2155.4-9.00%
vs Similar (12)85.585.3170.8+0.250%
vs Weaker (13)88.278.2166.3+10.069%
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#11
W
88-58
88
58
+30
84avg 82
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#17
W
88-68
88
68
+20
85avg 82
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#10
W
74-57
74
57
+17
65avg 82
H17/10
Basket League
Rostock
#28
W
110-79
110
79
+31
109avg 82
A20/10
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
W
88-72
88
72
+16
87avg 82
A24/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
78-73
78
73
+5
74avg 82
H28/10
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
101-91
101
91
+10
96avg 82
H01/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
A07/11
Basket League
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
105-81
105
81
+24
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-10
19-11
22-14
24-23
31-21
14-23
17-11
26-13
15-13
22-15
23-15
14-14
29-20
29-17
25-14
27-28
28-21
21-15
15-20
24-16
21-19
17-20
19-18
21-16
18-15
28-29
33-24
22-23
19-18
21-17
16-22
17-27
32-23
19-12
17-19
20-23
28-14
35-18
25-20
17-29
163.3Avg total
89.3Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.677.0167.6+13.686%
Season at home (4)91.075.5166.5+15.5100%
Season away (3)90.079.0169.0+11.067%
Last 10 (10)89.374.0163.3+15.390%
Last 5 (5)89.081.2170.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.594.8183.2-6.225%
vs Similar (9)84.683.7168.2+0.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.573.6162.1+14.894%
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
Cedevita OlimpijaAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siroki Brijeg
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A10/10
ABA League
Rigas Zelli
#20
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A14/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A17/10
ABA League
Le Mans
#12
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H21/10
Eurocup
Buducnost
#4
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H24/10
ABA League
Aris
#4
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A28/10
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#17
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H31/10
ABA League
Tortona
#17
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H04/11
Eurocup
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A07/11
ABA League
Rostock
#28
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A10/11
Eurocup
83.4Avg total
41.0Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.184.8+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.043.585.5-1.538%-
Last 30 away (17)43.240.984.2+2.359%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.483.4-1.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.883.4+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.440.878.2-3.420%-
vs Similar (12)41.244.185.2-2.933%-
vs Weaker (13)46.240.786.8+5.577%-
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#11
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#17
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#10
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H17/10
Basket League
Rostock
#28
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A20/10
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A24/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/10
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H01/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A04/11
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#9
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A07/11
Basket League
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
63-32
63
32
+31
H11/11
Eurocup
82.0Avg total
46.9Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.084.8+4.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.836.180.9+8.779%-
Last 30 away (16)44.843.488.2+1.438%-
Last 10 (10)46.935.182.0+11.890%-
Last 5 (5)47.637.084.6+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.844.085.8-2.225%-
vs Similar (9)43.443.787.1-0.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.237.183.4+9.165%-
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cedevita Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Olimpija: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.1
51.1%
54.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.4
29.7%
34.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws25.618.7
73.0%
75.6%18.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.7
51.1%
54.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.2
36.6%
34.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.719.5
78.9%
75.6%19.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cedevita Olimpija
WWWWLLLWLL
Aris
WWLWWWWWWW
#25
League position
#4
-2.9
Net rating
+16.5
92.3
Offensive rating
96.8
95.2
Defensive rating
80.3
48.5%
Effective FG%
52.7%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
44.1%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.38
29.7%
3-point %
36.6%
49.1%
Assist %
71.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence92.3 · 96.8Defence95.2 · 80.3Shooting48.5% · 52.7%3-point %29.7% · 36.6%Ball care15.0% · 15.6%Free throws0.41 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Cedevita Olimpija   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cedevita Olimpija wins
1
Aris wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ARostock88-71
07/11/26ABorac Mozzart85-71
04/11/26HTortona73-71 OT
31/10/26HFMP Beograd96-87
28/10/26AAris73-78
24/10/26HBuducnost81-95
21/10/26HLe Mans66-84
17/10/26AIgokea93-81
14/10/26ARigas Zelli79-89
10/10/26ASiroki Brijeg69-70
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HRigas Zelli105-81
07/11/26ALefkadas88-77
04/11/26AHapoel Jerusalem73-84
01/11/26HPanathinaikos101-91
28/10/26HCedevita Olimpija78-73
24/10/26AMykonos88-72
20/10/26ARostock110-79
17/10/26HMaroussi74-57
14/10/26HTortona88-68
10/10/26HAEK Athens88-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cedevita Olimpija
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW29%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game74.967.780.2
Allowed / game79.076.780.8
Point differential-4.1-9.0-0.5
Avg total153.9144.3161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %14%33%0%
Aris
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game90.691.090.0
Allowed / game77.075.579.0
Point differential+13.6+15.5+11.0
Avg total167.6166.5169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem770100%88.474.0+14.4
2 Basket Napoli770100%94.984.0+10.9
3 Bahcesehir Kol.76186%92.676.6+16.0
4 Aris76186%90.677.0+13.6
5 Tenerife76186%91.479.0+12.4
6 Tofas76186%91.782.9+8.9
7 PAOK75271%87.782.0+5.7
8 Manresa75271%88.183.3+4.9
9 London Lions74357%81.175.3+5.9
10 Buducnost74357%88.484.4+4.0
11 Maxima Roma74357%88.484.7+3.7
12 Le Mans74357%80.778.1+2.6
13 Chemnitz74357%87.985.4+2.4
14 Venezia73443%86.380.6+5.7
15 Ulm73443%87.687.4+0.1
16 Turk Telekom73443%80.680.9-0.3
17 Tortona73443%80.683.3-2.7
18 BC Roma73443%87.090.6-3.6
19 Siauliai73443%80.086.3-6.3
20 Rigas Zelli73443%78.685.3-6.7
21 Lietkabelis73443%73.781.7-8.0
22 Frankfurt73443%86.694.7-8.1
23 KK Bosna72529%79.981.9-2.0
24 JL Bourg72529%81.184.7-3.6
25 Cedevita Olimpija72529%74.979.0-4.1
26 Neptunas72529%84.790.3-5.6
27 Trento72529%82.189.0-6.9
28 Rostock72529%78.486.4-8.0
29 Cluj-Napoca72529%81.394.3-13.0
30 San Pablo Burgos71614%76.985.9-9.0
31 Slask Wroclaw71614%79.789.9-10.1
32 Balkan71614%67.480.6-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.
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