PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Aris vs Rigas Zelli Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 87-75
Projected total 161.4
Final 105-81
28-14 35-18 25-20 17-29
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game76.3
Aris 🏆
Vs
84%
16%
■ ARI 84%■ RZE 16%
Pythia win probability
Position#20
Record3-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeEurocupRound 7· Alexandreio Mellathron
European cup2026
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Aris will host Rigas Zelli in the EuroCup on 11 November 2026, with the model favouring Aris at 85% because of their 5-1 record, 88.2 points per game and 76.3 allowed per game, placing them 5th in the league, while Rigas Zelli sit 18th with a 3-3 record, 78.2 points per game and 82.0 allowed per game; Aris are undefeated at home (3-0, 86.3 points, 73.7 allowed) and have won four of their last five, including a 101-91 victory over Panathinaikos, whereas Rigas Zelli are 1-2 on the road (76.3 points, 86.0 allowed) and have won three of five away games, notably a 93-87 win over BC Kalev/Cramo; the last meeting saw Aris win 88-75, matching the projected score, and the projected total is 162.7 with Aris covering the -16.5 line 38% of the time and the over on the 165.5 line 43%; the game carries a 3% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
84.1%fair 1.19
Best odds1.10
Implied85.6%
Edge-1.5pp
Rigas Zelli winLost
15.9%fair 6.31
Best odds8.25
Implied14.4%
Edge+1.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 18:25 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
93-80
93
80
+13
86avg 81
H07/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#10
W
88-58
88
58
+30
84avg 81
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#17
W
88-68
88
68
+20
85avg 81
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
74-57
74
57
+17
65avg 81
H17/10
Basket League
Rostock
#28
W
110-79
110
79
+31
109avg 81
A20/10
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
W
88-72
88
72
+16
87avg 81
A24/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
78-73
78
73
+5
74avg 81
H28/10
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
101-91
101
91
+10
96avg 81
H01/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
A07/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-14
25-16
16-25
24-25
23-10
19-11
22-14
24-23
31-21
14-23
17-11
26-13
15-13
22-15
23-15
14-14
29-20
29-17
25-14
27-28
28-21
21-15
15-20
24-16
21-19
17-20
19-18
21-16
18-15
28-29
33-24
22-23
19-18
21-17
16-22
17-27
32-23
19-12
17-19
20-23
162.0Avg total
88.1Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.276.3164.5+11.883%
Season at home (3)86.373.7160.0+12.7100%
Season away (3)90.079.0169.0+11.067%
Last 10 (10)88.173.9162.0+14.290%
Last 5 (5)85.679.4165.0+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.594.8183.2-6.225%
vs Similar (9)84.683.7168.2+0.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.975.2164.1+13.894%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
Rostock
#28
L
86-87
86
87
-1
75avg 83
A06/10
Eurocup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
94-74
94
74
+20
94avg 83
A09/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
89-79
89
79
+10
80avg 83
H14/10
Eurocup
BK Liepaja
#10
W
85-69
85
69
+16
77avg 83
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
64-100
64
100
-36
53avg 83
A21/10
Eurocup
Keila KK
#9
W
103-70
103
70
+33
107avg 83
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
79-71
79
71
+8
72avg 83
A28/10
Eurocup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
88avg 83
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Le Mans
#12
L
65-71
65
71
-6
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Tal Tech
#6
W
92-66
92
66
+26
no box
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
15-22
25-22
20-23
29-19
17-18
24-26
24-11
27-18
29-22
16-19
17-20
21-20
20-14
24-19
20-16
20-29
16-21
19-27
9-23
25-18
27-21
26-14
25-17
17-21
22-14
23-19
17-17
21-18
24-20
22-35
26-14
27-18
13-10
9-19
16-24
21-15
21-16
32-12
18-23
162.4Avg total
85.0Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.282.0160.2-3.850%
Season at home (3)80.078.0158.0+2.067%
Season away (3)76.386.0162.3-9.733%
Last 10 (10)85.077.4162.4+7.670%
Last 5 (5)86.473.0159.4+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)81.789.3171.0-7.717%
vs Similar (8)84.984.6169.5+0.250%
vs Weaker (16)91.576.9168.4+14.694%
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1201%1252%1304%1356%1408%14510%15012%15512%16012%16510%1708%1755%1804%1852%1901%1951%2000%205
1%1202%1306%14010%15012%16010%1705%1802%1901%200
Pythia expects about 161 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 160-164 (12%). The market's main line is 164.25.
Over/Under 159Actual: Over 159
Over 159
55.5%
@ 1.50-7.0pp
Under 159
44.5%
@ 2.50+7.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Marathon Be
1.48
Under
Bet365
2.50
Over/Under 164.25 · main lineActual: Over 164.25
Over 164.25
42.1%
@ 1.82-7.6pp
Under 164.25
57.9%
@ 1.80+7.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 169Actual: Over 169
Over 169
31.5%
@ 2.35-8.1pp
Under 169
68.5%
@ 1.54+8.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.35
Under
Bet365
1.54
Marathon Be
1.51

📊 3. Team Totals

Aris total 85.5Actual: Aris over 85.5
Over 85.5
55.3%
@ 1.40-9.2pp
Under 85.5
44.7%
@ 2.55+9.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.36
Under
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.46
Aris total 89.5 · main lineActual: Aris over 89.5
Over 89.5
40.0%
@ 1.83-11.1pp
Under 89.5
60.0%
@ 1.91+11.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.78
Marathon Be
1.78
BetVictor
1.78
1xBet
1.69
Under
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.86
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.75
Aris total 93.5Actual: Aris over 93.5
Over 93.5
26.2%
@ 2.37-11.7pp
Under 93.5
73.8%
@ 1.47+11.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.33
Under
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.40
Rigas Zelli total 70.5Actual: Rigas Zelli over 70.5
Over 70.5
64.7%
@ 1.42+0.9pp
Under 70.5
35.3%
@ 2.75-0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Under
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.33
Rigas Zelli total 74.5 · main lineActual: Rigas Zelli over 74.5
Over 74.5
49.6%
@ 1.86+0.1pp
Under 74.5
50.4%
@ 1.83-0.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.77
Under
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.82
Marathon Be
1.81
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.68
Rigas Zelli total 78.5Actual: Rigas Zelli over 78.5
Over 78.5
34.7%
@ 2.50-1.6pp
Under 78.5
65.3%
@ 1.50+1.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.50
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.49
Under
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.36

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-211%-181%-152%-123%-94%-65%-34%+08%+39%+69%+910%+129%+158%+187%+216%+244%+273%+302%+331%+361%+391%+42
1%-182%-124%-64%+09%+610%+128%+186%+243%+301%+361%+42
Margin from Aris's side (positive = Aris win). Pythia's expected margin is +12.3; Aris win by 1+ in 79% of simulations.
Spread Aris -18.5Actual: Aris -18.5
ARI -18.5
30.3%
@ 2.50-9.4pp
RZE +18.5
69.7%
@ 1.57+9.4pp
Best 5 market prices
ARI
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.38
Betano
2.30
BetVictor
2.25
1xBet
2.24
RZE
Betano
1.57
BetVictor
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Marathon Be
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Spread Aris -15.5 · main lineActual: Aris -15.5
ARI -15.5
39.4%
@ 1.95-11.5pp
RZE +15.5
60.6%
@ 1.94+11.5pp
Best 5 market prices
ARI
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.90
Betfair
1.90
BetVictor
1.88
Pinnacle
1.87
RZE
Pinnacle
1.94
Betfair
1.90
SBO
1.88
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Spread Aris -12.5Actual: Aris -12.5
ARI -12.5
49.2%
@ 1.64-10.7pp
RZE +12.5
50.8%
@ 2.36+10.7pp
Best 5 market prices
ARI
Bet365
1.64
Betano
1.62
BetVictor
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
Marathon Be
1.53
RZE
Pinnacle
2.36
1xBet
2.24
Betano
2.22
Marathon Be
2.21
BetVictor
2.20

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
ArisRigas Zelli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H07/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#10
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#17
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H17/10
Basket League
Rostock
#28
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A20/10
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A24/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/10
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H01/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A04/11
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#9
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A07/11
Basket League
80.8Avg total
45.9Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82
Last 30 (30)44.340.684.9+3.753%63%
Last 30 at home (13)43.436.479.8+7.077%54%
Last 30 away (17)45.043.888.8+1.235%71%
Last 10 (10)45.934.980.8+11.090%60%
Last 5 (5)44.837.882.6+7.080%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.844.085.8-2.225%50%
vs Similar (9)43.443.787.1-0.256%78%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.438.283.5+7.259%59%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#28
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A06/10
Eurocup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A09/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H14/10
Eurocup
BK Liepaja
#10
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A21/10
Eurocup
Keila KK
#9
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/10
Eurocup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Le Mans
#12
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H04/11
Eurocup
Tal Tech
#6
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
81.2Avg total
43.8Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82
Last 30 (30)44.540.284.6+4.370%60%
Last 30 at home (14)46.138.684.7+7.479%50%
Last 30 away (16)43.141.584.6+1.662%69%
Last 10 (10)43.837.481.2+6.480%60%
Last 5 (5)43.634.277.8+9.4100%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)42.542.785.2-0.267%67%
vs Similar (8)43.142.986.0+0.238%62%
vs Weaker (16)45.937.983.8+8.088%56%
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Aris win
ARI win
75.7%
@ 1.20-8.7pp
RZE win
24.3%
@ 6.01+8.7pp
1st half Spread Aris -9 · main lineActual: Aris -9
ARI -9
38.4%
@ 1.92-11.3pp
RZE +9
61.6%
@ 1.90+11.3pp
1st half Over/Under 82 · main lineActual: Over 82
Over
46.6%
@ 1.90-3.5pp
Under
53.4%
@ 1.91+3.5pp
Aris 1st half total 45.5 · main lineActual: Aris over 45.5
Over
40.5%
@ 1.83-9.5pp
Under
59.5%
@ 1.85+9.5pp
Rigas Zelli 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Rigas Zelli under 37.5
Over
49.2%
@ 1.93+0.3pp
Under
50.8%
@ 1.83-0.3pp
1st half: ARI + total 82.5
ARI & over
33.2%
@ 2.45-2.4pp
ARI & under
40.0%
@ 2.30+2.1pp
1st half: Draw + total 82.5
Draw & over
1.4%
@ 34.00-1.1pp
Draw & under
1.8%
@ 31.00-1.0pp
1st half: RZE + total 82.5
RZE & over
10.3%
@ 8.50+0.0pp
RZE & under
13.3%
@ 8.00+2.4pp
1st half Over/Under 83.25Actual: Over 83.25
Over
41.3%
@ 1.87-7.0pp
Under
58.7%
@ 1.75+7.0pp
1st half Over/Under 80.5Actual: Over 80.5
Over
52.5%
@ 1.68-4.0pp
Under
47.5%
@ 2.13+4.0pp
1st half Spread Aris -10Actual: Aris -10
ARI -10
34.4%
@ 2.11-10.7pp
RZE +10
65.6%
@ 1.73+10.7pp
1st half Spread Aris -8Actual: Aris -8
ARI -8
42.7%
@ 1.83-11.5pp
RZE +8
57.3%
@ 2.07+11.5pp
1st half Over/Under 84.5Actual: Over 84.5
Over
37.5%
@ 2.22-5.0pp
Under
62.5%
@ 1.62+5.0pp
1st half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Over 78.5
Over
60.4%
@ 1.50-2.1pp
Under
39.6%
@ 2.50+2.1pp
1st half Spread Aris -11.5Actual: Aris -11.5
ARI -11.5
29.5%
@ 2.72-8.4pp
RZE +11.5
70.5%
@ 1.52+8.4pp
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Aris (regulation)
ARI
73.2%
@ 1.23-3.3pp
Draw
3.2%
@ 21.00-1.6pp
RZE
23.6%
@ 5.00+4.9pp

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
ARI win + total 164.5
🔒 Pro
RZE win + total 164.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ARI leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: RZE leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (ARI:RZE): ARI wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
1st half: Under 87.572.8%1.52
Betano
1.52
----+12.6ppLost
Aris under 97.584.6%1.24
Betano
1.24
----+11.9ppLost
Q4: Rigas Zelli over 15.572.8%1.43
1xBet
1.43
----+11.7ppWon
Aris under 93.573.8%1.44
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.40
---+11.7ppLost
Rigas Zelli +2381.6%1.33
Bet365
1.33
----+11.6ppLost
Q4: Rigas Zelli over 14.578.8%1.31
1xBet
1.31
----+11.5ppWon
Aris under 92.570.6%1.51
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.47
--+11.4ppLost
Aris under 94.576.8%1.38
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.34
--+11.2ppLost
Aris under 95.579.7%1.31
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.29
---+11.2ppLost
Aris under 96.582.3%1.29
Bet365
1.29
Betano
1.28
---+10.9ppLost
Rigas Zelli +2483.6%1.27
Bet365
1.27
----+10.8ppPush
Rigas Zelli +23.582.0%1.29
Bet365
1.31
Betano
1.28
---+10.6ppLost
Aris under 98.586.8%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+10.6ppLost
1st half: Aris under 48.574.5%1.41
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.38
1xBet
1.37
--+10.6ppLost
Q4: Rigas Zelli +8.577.7%1.32
1xBet
1.32
----+10.5ppWon
Q4: Rigas Zelli +7.573.4%1.41
1xBet
1.41
----+10.4ppWon
Q1: Aris under 27.586.5%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+10.4ppLost
1st half: Aris under 49.578.9%1.32
Bet365
1.34
1xBet
1.30
---+10.2ppLost
1st half: Aris under 51.586.2%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+10.0ppLost
Aris under 100.590.5%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+10.0ppLost
2nd half: Rigas Zelli +13.578.4%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+9.9ppWon
Aris under 99.588.7%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+9.9ppLost
Q1: Aris under 25.575.5%1.38
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.34
--+9.8ppLost
2nd half: Rigas Zelli +12.575.4%1.35
1xBet
1.35
----+9.7ppWon
Q2: Aris under 25.577.0%1.31
1xBet
1.31
----+9.7ppLost
Rigas Zelli +25.585.8%1.21
Betano
1.21
----+9.7ppWon
Rigas Zelli +19.572.4%1.45
Betano
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Marathon Bet
1.46
Bet365
1.41
1xBet
1.38
+9.6ppLost
2nd half: Rigas Zelli +11.572.0%1.42
1xBet
1.42
----+9.5ppWon
Q1: Rigas Zelli +8.577.3%1.31
1xBet
1.31
----+9.3ppLost
Q2: Aris under 24.570.9%1.41
1xBet
1.41
----+9.2ppLost
Rigas Zelli +20.575.1%1.39
BetVictor
1.44
Betano
1.42
Marathon Bet
1.39
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.32
+9.0ppLost
Q1: Rigas Zelli +7.572.7%1.42
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.39
Bet365
1.38
--+9.0ppLost
Rigas Zelli +26.587.4%1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18
---+8.9ppWon
1st half: Rigas Zelli +12.574.1%1.41
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.41
1xBet
1.36
--+8.7ppLost
Rigas Zelli +21.577.5%1.34
Betano
1.37
Marathon Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.31
--+8.5ppLost
Under 17274.7%1.40
Bet365
1.40
----+8.4ppLost
Under 175.580.5%1.28
Betano
1.28
----+8.4ppLost
1st half: Rigas Zelli +11.570.5%1.45
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.43
Bet365
1.40
--+8.4ppLost
Aris under 102.593.4%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+8.4ppLost
Q1: Rigas Zelli over 15.574.3%1.35
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.31
---+8.3ppLost
1st half: Aris under 53.591.4%1.12
Bet365
1.12
----+8.3ppLost
2nd half: Aris under 48.577.6%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+8.3ppWon
Under 17172.7%1.43
Bet365
1.44
Marathon Bet
1.42
---+8.2ppLost
Rigas Zelli +22.579.8%1.29
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.26
---+8.2ppLost
Under 17070.6%1.48
Bet365
1.50
Marathon Bet
1.46
---+8.1ppLost
Aris under 104.595.5%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+8.0ppLost
Q1: Aris under 26.581.7%1.26
Bet365
1.26
----+7.9ppLost
1st half: Rigas Zelli +14.580.3%1.28
Bet365
1.28
----+7.9ppLost
Under 172.575.2%1.37
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.37
---+7.8ppLost
2nd half: Aris under 47.573.2%1.34
1xBet
1.34
----+7.8ppWon
Under 173.577.0%1.33
Betano
1.33
----+7.7ppLost
Q1: Aris under 29.593.2%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+7.7ppWon
1st half: Aris under 52.589.1%1.14
Bet365
1.14
----+7.7ppLost
Q3: Aris under 24.574.3%1.32
1xBet
1.32
----+7.7ppLost
Aris under 106.597.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+7.6ppWon
Under 171.573.3%1.41
Bet365
1.41
Marathon Bet
1.41
Betano
1.40
--+7.6ppLost
1st half: Aris under 50.582.8%1.23
Bet365
1.23
----+7.5ppLost
Rigas Zelli +24.584.0%1.21
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.18
---+7.5ppWon
Under 174.578.8%1.29
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.29
---+7.5ppLost
Q1: Aris under 31.597.1%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+7.4ppWon
Under 170.571.3%1.45
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.45
Marathon Bet
1.44
--+7.4ppLost
Rigas Zelli +2074.4%1.40
Marathon Bet
1.41
Bet365
1.38
---+7.4ppLost
1st half: Aris under 55.594.9%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+7.4ppLost
Aris under 108.598.1%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+7.3ppWon
Q1: Aris under 28.590.3%1.12
Bet365
1.12
----+7.3ppWon
Rigas Zelli +1971.7%1.46
Marathon Bet
1.48
Bet365
1.44
---+7.1ppLost
Aris under 109.598.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+7.0ppWon
Under 179.586.3%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+6.8ppLost
Q1: Aris under 32.598.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+6.8ppWon
2nd half: Rigas Zelli over 32.573.1%1.33
1xBet
1.33
----+6.8ppWon
1st half: Rigas Zelli +16.585.6%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+6.8ppLost
Q1: Aris under 30.595.4%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+6.7ppWon
1st half: Rigas Zelli +18.589.8%1.12
Bet365
1.12
----+6.7ppLost
1st half: Aris under 54.593.3%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+6.6ppLost
Aris under 110.598.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+6.6ppWon
1st half: Rigas Zelli +13.577.4%1.28
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.27
---+6.6ppLost
Rigas Zelli +2177.0%1.33
Marathon Bet
1.35
Bet365
1.32
---+6.5ppLost
Rigas Zelli +2279.4%1.27
Bet365
1.27
----+6.3ppLost
Q1: Aris under 33.599.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+6.2ppWon
Q3: Rigas Zelli under 21.573.9%1.31
1xBet
1.31
----+6.2ppWon
Rigas Zelli +36.597.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+6.1ppWon
Rigas Zelli +31.593.8%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+5.9ppWon
1st half: Under 92.586.3%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+5.8ppLost
Q4: Aris under 25.576.3%1.24
1xBet
1.24
----+5.7ppWon
Under 189.595.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+5.6ppWon
Q1: Rigas Zelli +9.581.6%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+5.4ppLost
1st half: Under 90.581.5%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+5.4ppLost
Under 184.591.7%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+5.1ppLost
Q1: Under 45.574.5%1.34
Bet365
1.34
----+5.1ppWon
Q1: Under 47.582.8%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+5.0ppWon
Rigas Zelli over 57.595.5%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+5.0ppWon
Q4: Aris under 24.570.0%1.35
1xBet
1.35
----+5.0ppWon
Rigas Zelli +34.596.1%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+5.0ppWon
1st half: Rigas Zelli over 26.593.9%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+4.9ppWon
Rigas Zelli over 53.598.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.7ppWon
1st half: Rigas Zelli over 30.583.5%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+4.7ppWon
1st half: Under 88.576.1%1.30
Bet365
1.30
----+4.6ppLost
Overtime: no97.1%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+4.6ppWon
Rigas Zelli under 92.595.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+4.5ppWon
Rigas Zelli under 95.597.2%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.5ppWon
Rigas Zelli under 94.596.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.4ppWon
Rigas Zelli over 55.597.2%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.4ppWon
Q1: Aris over 12.597.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.3ppWon
Q1: Aris over 13.595.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+4.3ppWon
Rigas Zelli under 84.583.0%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+4.2ppWon
1st half: Rigas Zelli over 32.575.6%1.30
Bet365
1.30
----+4.2ppLost
Rigas Zelli over 59.593.2%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+4.2ppWon
1st half: Rigas Zelli over 28.589.7%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+4.2ppWon
Rigas Zelli over 56.596.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.2ppWon
Rigas Zelli over 54.597.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.2ppWon
1st half: Rigas Zelli +15.583.0%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+4.1ppLost
Rigas Zelli over 63.586.4%1.13
Bet365
1.13
----+4.1ppWon
Rigas Zelli under 82.578.0%1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
---+4.1ppWon
Q1: Aris over 14.593.7%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+4.1ppWon
Q1: Rigas Zelli over 10.595.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+4.0ppWon
1st half: Rigas Zelli +17.587.8%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+4.0ppLost
Aris over 68.596.2%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.0ppWon
Rigas Zelli over 58.594.4%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+3.9ppWon
Aris over 69.595.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+3.9ppWon
Rigas Zelli under 90.593.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+3.9ppWon
Rigas Zelli under 85.585.3%1.14
Bet365
1.14
----+3.8ppWon
Q2: Rigas Zelli over 15.573.0%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+3.8ppWon
Q1: Rigas Zelli under 28.597.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.7ppWon
1st half: Rigas Zelli under 47.592.7%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+3.7ppWon
Rigas Zelli +29.591.6%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+3.6ppWon
Rigas Zelli over 61.590.2%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+3.6ppWon
Q1: Rigas Zelli under 26.593.9%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+3.5ppWon
Rigas Zelli under 88.590.6%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+3.5ppWon
Rigas Zelli under 86.587.2%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+3.4ppWon
1st half: Rigas Zelli over 27.592.1%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+3.4ppWon
Q1: Aris or Rigas Zelli94.8%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+3.2ppWon
Aris over 70.593.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+3.2ppWon
Rigas Zelli over 60.591.7%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+3.0ppWon
Q4: Aris over 18.572.8%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+3.0ppLost
Q2: Rigas Zelli under 21.571.0%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+2.9ppWon
Rigas Zelli under 81.575.1%1.25
Betano
1.25
----+2.9ppWon
1st half: Rigas Zelli over 33.570.9%1.33
Bet365
1.34
1xBet
1.32
---+2.7ppLost
Rigas Zelli over 67.574.9%1.25
Betano
1.25
----+2.6ppWon
Q1: Rigas Zelli over 12.589.6%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+2.5ppWon
1st half: Rigas Zelli over 29.586.7%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+2.4ppWon
Rigas Zelli under 80.572.0%1.30
Bet365
1.35
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.24
--+2.3ppLost
Rigas Zelli over 68.571.7%1.29
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.28
--+2.2ppWon
1st half: Rigas Zelli under 45.587.7%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+2.2ppWon
1st half: Rigas Zelli over 31.579.9%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+2.1ppWon
1st half: Aris over 34.590.1%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+2.1ppWon
Rigas Zelli over 65.581.5%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+2.0ppWon
Aris over 71.592.7%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+2.0ppWon
Aris over 72.591.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+2.0ppWon
1st half: Rigas Zelli under 43.580.8%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+1.9ppWon
Q1: Aris over 15.590.6%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+1.9ppWon
Q3: Rigas Zelli over 15.571.1%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+1.9ppWon
1st half: Rigas Zelli under 41.571.9%1.29
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.29
---+1.8ppWon
Rigas Zelli over 64.584.1%1.13
Bet365
1.13
----+1.8ppWon
Q1: Rigas Zelli under 21.571.3%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+1.8ppWon
Rigas Zelli over 62.588.4%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+1.8ppWon
Q1: Rigas Zelli under 24.587.8%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+1.7ppWon
1st half: Rigas Zelli under 46.590.3%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+1.6ppWon
Q1: Rigas Zelli under 22.577.8%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+1.6ppWon
1st half: Aris over 36.584.6%1.12
Bet365
1.12
----+1.5ppWon
Q1: Rigas Zelli over 14.580.3%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+1.4ppLost
Q3: Aris over 18.570.2%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+1.3ppWon
Q2: Aris or Rigas Zelli94.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+1.2ppWon
Q1: Aris over 16.586.7%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+1.1ppWon
Rigas Zelli over 66.578.8%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+1.0ppWon
1st half: Over 72.579.7%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+0.8ppWon
Over 139.590.8%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+0.5ppWon
Aris over 74.588.0%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+0.5ppWon
1st half: Aris over 35.587.6%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+0.4ppWon
Aris over 73.589.8%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+0.4ppWon
1st half: Rigas Zelli under 44.584.5%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+0.1ppWon
Q1: Aris over 17.581.9%1.13
Bet365
1.13
-----0.4ppWon
1st half: Aris over 37.581.0%1.14
Bet365
1.14
-----0.4ppWon
Q1: Over 35.577.3%1.20
Bet365
1.20
-----0.5ppWon
2nd half: Aris win73.5%1.27
Betano
1.27
-----0.7ppLost
1st half: Over 74.573.7%1.25
Bet365
1.25
-----0.8ppWon
Aris +4.590.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02
-----0.8ppWon
1st half: Aris over 38.576.7%1.20
Bet365
1.20
-----1.1ppWon
Aris over 76.583.9%1.10
Bet365
1.10
-----1.2ppWon
2nd half: Aris (regulation)71.0%1.26
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.25
Marathon Bet
1.24
---1.3ppWon
1st half: Aris +2.582.5%1.11
Bet365
1.11
-----1.3ppWon
1st half: Rigas Zelli under 42.576.4%1.20
Bet365
1.20
-----1.4ppWon
Aris over 75.586.1%1.07
Bet365
1.07
-----1.5ppWon
Q1: Aris over 18.576.3%1.20
Bet365
1.20
-----1.5ppWon
Aris win84.1%1.07
WilliamHill
1.10
Pinnacle
1.10
Betano
1.09
SBO
1.09
Betfair
1.07
-1.5ppWon
Aris over 78.578.8%1.15
Bet365
1.15
-----1.7ppWon
Q1: Aris +0.570.9%1.27
Bet365
1.27
-----2.2ppWon
Q1: Aris +1.575.4%1.20
Bet365
1.20
-----2.4ppWon
1st half: Aris +0.576.4%1.18
Bet365
1.18
-----2.4ppWon
Aris (regulation)82.3%1.07
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.05
Marathon Bet
1.05
---2.4ppWon
Over 144.584.6%1.07
Bet365
1.07
-----2.5ppWon
1st half: Aris over 39.572.4%1.23
Bet365
1.23
-----2.9ppWon
Aris over 79.576.0%1.18
Bet365
1.18
-----2.9ppWon
Aris over 80.572.9%1.22
Bet365
1.22
-----3.3ppWon
1st half: Aris (regulation)73.2%1.19
Bet365
1.23
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.18
Marathon Bet
1.17
WilliamHill
1.14
-3.3ppWon
Aris +3.588.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01
-----3.4ppWon
Aris -4.574.7%1.18
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.16
----3.5ppWon
Aris over 77.581.5%1.10
Bet365
1.10
-----3.6ppWon
Aris -5.571.8%1.22
Betano
1.22
-----3.9ppWon
Q1: Aris or draw70.9%1.24
Bet365
1.27
Marathon Bet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
---4.1ppWon
Over 149.576.2%1.15
Bet365
1.15
-----4.3ppWon
1st half: Aris +1.579.5%1.11
Bet365
1.11
-----4.3ppWon
Highest quarter: Aris70.2%1.21
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.17
----5.0ppWon
1st half: Aris -0.573.2%1.18
Bet365
1.18
-----5.6ppWon
Aris -1.582.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04
-----6.9ppWon
1st half: Aris 075.7%1.12
1xBet
1.12
-----7.4ppWon
1st half: Aris win75.7%1.17
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
WilliamHill
1.17
Pinnacle
1.11
-8.7ppWon
Aris or draw85.2%1.01
Marathon Bet
1.01
-----Won
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.7
51.1%
54.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.2
36.6%
34.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.719.5
78.9%
75.6%19.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.1
55.5%
54.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.1
36.0%
34.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws26.219.0
72.5%
75.6%19.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
WLWWWWWWWW
Rigas Zelli
WLWWWLWWWL
#4
League position
#20
+16.5
Net rating
+9.4
96.8
Offensive rating
98.8
80.3
Defensive rating
89.4
52.7%
Effective FG%
54.9%
44.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.41
36.6%
3-point %
36.0%
71.6%
Assist %
62.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 98.8Defence80.3 · 89.4Shooting52.7% · 54.9%3-point %36.6% · 36.0%Ball care15.6% · 15.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Aris   ■ Rigas Zelli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aris wins
0
Rigas Zelli wins
No previous meetings.
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ALefkadas88-77
04/11/26AHapoel Jerusalem73-84
01/11/26HPanathinaikos101-91
28/10/26HCedevita Olimpija78-73
24/10/26AMykonos88-72
20/10/26ARostock110-79
17/10/26HMaroussi74-57
14/10/26HTortona88-68
10/10/26HAEK Athens88-58
07/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos93-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HTal Tech92-66
04/11/26HLe Mans65-71
31/10/26ABC Kalev/Cramo93-87
28/10/26ASan Pablo Burgos79-71
24/10/26HKeila KK103-70
21/10/26AHapoel Jerusalem64-100
17/10/26HBK Liepaja85-69
14/10/26HCedevita Olimpija89-79
09/10/26ATartu Ulikool94-74
06/10/26ARostock86-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game88.286.390.0
Allowed / game76.373.779.0
Point differential+11.8+12.7+11.0
Avg total164.5160.0169.0
Over 164.2533%33%33%
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rigas Zelli
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game78.280.076.3
Allowed / game82.078.086.0
Point differential-3.8+2.0-9.7
Avg total160.2158.0162.3
Over 164.2550%67%33%
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem660100%88.073.5+14.5
2 Basket Napoli660100%92.083.0+9.0
3 Bahcesehir Kol.76186%92.676.6+16.0
4 Tenerife76186%91.479.0+12.4
5 Tofas76186%91.782.9+8.9
6 Aris65183%88.276.3+11.8
7 PAOK75271%87.782.0+5.7
8 Manresa75271%88.183.3+4.9
9 Chemnitz64267%87.581.0+6.5
10 London Lions74357%81.175.3+5.9
11 Buducnost74357%88.484.4+4.0
12 Le Mans63350%79.577.8+1.7
13 Ulm63350%89.288.2+1.0
14 Maxima Roma63350%84.384.0+0.3
15 Tortona63350%81.282.0-0.8
16 Rigas Zelli63350%78.282.0-3.8
17 Frankfurt63350%86.291.7-5.5
18 Venezia73443%86.380.6+5.7
19 Turk Telekom73443%80.680.9-0.3
20 Siauliai73443%80.086.3-6.3
21 Lietkabelis73443%73.781.7-8.0
22 BC Roma62433%87.792.7-5.0
23 KK Bosna72529%79.981.9-2.0
24 JL Bourg72529%81.184.7-3.6
25 Cedevita Olimpija72529%74.979.0-4.1
26 Neptunas72529%84.790.3-5.6
27 Trento72529%82.189.0-6.9
28 Rostock72529%78.486.4-8.0
29 Cluj-Napoca72529%81.394.3-13.0
30 San Pablo Burgos61517%76.385.5-9.2
31 Slask Wroclaw71614%79.789.9-10.1
32 Balkan71614%67.480.6-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris28352517105
Rigas Zelli1418202981
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.