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Gran Canaria vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 97-94
17-24 19-14 35-28 26-28
Position#8
Record8-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Position#2
Record10-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game94.8
Allowed / game83.7
SpainACBRound 13· Gran Canaria Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Gran Canaria v Valencia
25 Jan 2026
GKA80
VAL90
04 Jun 2025
GKA94
VAL102
14 Feb 2025
GKA79
VAL65
27 Dec 2024
GKA97
VAL94
31 Mar 2024
GKA79
VAL71
15 Feb 2024
GKA81
VAL89
27 Dec 2022
GKA95
VAL89
08 May 2022
GKA89
VAL83
01 Feb 2022
GKA91
VAL90
19 May 2021
GKA92
VAL86
30 Mar 2019
GKA111
VAL92
30 May 2018
GKA97
VAL70
04 Mar 2018
GKA87
VAL78
23 Sep 2017
GKA63
VAL69
09 Oct 2016
GKA75
VAL84
10 Apr 2016
GKA68
VAL84
03 May 2015
GKA90
VAL76
06 Apr 2014
GKA81
VAL86
01 Dec 2012
GKA65
VAL79
08 Jan 2012
GKA63
VAL71
05 May 2011
GKA68
VAL66
09 May 2010
GKA78
VAL63
09 May 2009
GKA74
VAL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gran Canaria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gran CanariaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#9
W
76-74
76
74
+2
69avg 75
A13/11
Eurocup
Basquet Girona
#14
W
89-84
89
84
+5
82avg 75
H17/11
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
84-58
84
58
+26
86avg 75
H28/11
Eurocup
Murcia
#10
W
83-63
83
63
+20
78avg 75
A01/12
ACB
Trento
#16
W
81-70
81
70
+11
75avg 75
A03/12
Eurocup
Breogan
#13
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 75
H08/12
ACB
Buducnost
#14
W
82-71
82
71
+11
84avg 75
H11/12
Eurocup
Unicaja
#4
W
94-88
94
88
+6
90avg 75
A14/12
ACB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
65-73
65
73
-8
56avg 75
A17/12
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
96-94
96
94
+2
95avg 75
H22/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
17-15
15-24
23-17
22-15
20-22
25-25
22-22
19-10
20-21
23-11
22-16
20-13
21-22
29-12
13-16
19-22
26-18
21-16
15-14
19-21
22-18
19-20
13-23
21-9
22-16
24-26
15-20
17-17
20-23
26-24
31-24
16-29
16-15
13-17
20-12
22-27
22-14
24-22
28-31
158.0Avg total
82.3Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.279.4161.7+2.867%
Season at home (6)85.080.8165.8+4.283%
Season away (6)79.578.0157.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)82.375.7158.0+6.680%
Last 5 (5)82.081.6163.6+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)72.780.6153.3-7.929%
vs Similar (13)84.778.2162.8+6.569%
vs Weaker (10)81.176.2157.3+4.970%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#12
W
107-96
107
96
+11
108avg 81
A28/11
Eurocup
Baskonia
#7
W
116-91
116
91
+25
116avg 81
A01/12
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
96-83
96
83
+13
91avg 81
H04/12
Eurocup
Basquet Girona
#14
W
98-78
98
78
+20
94avg 81
H07/12
ACB
Hamburg
#17
W
86-78
86
78
+8
54avg 81
A10/12
Eurocup
Tenerife
#3
W
96-81
96
81
+15
91avg 81
H13/12
ACB
Murcia
#10
W
96-88
96
88
+8
95avg 81
A15/12
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
108-80
108
80
+28
107avg 81
H18/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#18
L
106-107 OT
106
107
-1
97avg 81
H20/12
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
W
85-84
85
84
+1
76avg 81
H22/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
23-22
32-19
23-29
25-25
26-15
36-23
29-28
33-26
26-12
20-24
17-21
21-22
23-23
26-15
28-18
27-18
25-24
22-11
12-25
17-25
25-13
30-24
24-19
31-25
24-23
19-20
22-20
35-26
38-22
16-18
19-14
26-24
31-21
15-34
25-18
17-9
23-21
16-29
29-25
186.0Avg total
99.4Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)94.883.7178.4+11.183%
Season at home (6)93.878.8172.7+15.0100%
Season away (6)95.788.5184.2+7.267%
Last 10 (10)99.486.6186.0+12.890%
Last 5 (5)98.288.0186.2+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.093.0192.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (5)80.487.0167.4-6.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)96.182.8178.9+13.388%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
Gran CanariaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#9
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A13/11
Eurocup
Basquet Girona
#14
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H17/11
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H28/11
Eurocup
Murcia
#10
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A01/12
ACB
Trento
#16
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A03/12
Eurocup
Breogan
#13
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H08/12
ACB
Buducnost
#14
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H11/12
Eurocup
Unicaja
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A14/12
ACB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A17/12
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H22/12
ACB
76.7Avg total
40.2Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.076.6+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.137.678.7+3.553%-
Last 30 away (15)36.238.374.5-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.236.576.7+3.780%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.877.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.939.473.3-5.614%-
vs Similar (13)39.837.277.0+2.546%-
vs Weaker (10)40.537.978.4+2.660%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#12
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A28/11
Eurocup
Baskonia
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A01/12
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
59-38
59
38
+21
H04/12
Eurocup
Basquet Girona
#14
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H07/12
ACB
Hamburg
#17
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A10/12
Eurocup
Tenerife
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H13/12
ACB
Murcia
#10
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A15/12
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
73-48
73
48
+25
H18/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#18
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H20/12
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H22/12
ACB
94.7Avg total
52.5Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.841.087.8+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.639.888.4+8.981%-
Last 30 away (14)44.642.587.1+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)52.542.294.7+10.390%-
Last 5 (5)53.441.895.2+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.049.096.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (5)39.639.679.2+0.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)48.241.089.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.618.9
58.0%
54.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.6
38.4%
35.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.111.7
72.7%
76.4%11.7
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 98.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.9
57.8%
54.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.214.9
40.1%
35.6%44.7
🏀 Free throws17.614.3
81.2%
76.4%14.3
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gran Canaria
WLWWLWWWWW
Valencia
WLWWWWWWWW
#8
League position
#2
+9.1
Net rating
+17.2
112.5
Offensive rating
126.6
103.3
Defensive rating
109.5
57.8%
Effective FG%
59.0%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
21.1%
Turnover %
16.0%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
37.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.4%
3-point %
40.1%
59.3%
Assist %
64.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 126.6Defence103.3 · 109.5Shooting57.8% · 59.0%3-point %38.4% · 40.1%Ball care21.1% · 16.0%Off. rebounds33.1% · 37.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Gran Canaria   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Gran Canaria wins
3
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HBasket Zaragoza96-94
17/12/24ABahcesehir Kol.65-73
14/12/24AUnicaja94-88
11/12/24HBuducnost82-71
08/12/24HBreogan73-82
03/12/24ATrento81-70
01/12/24AMurcia83-63
28/11/24HTrefl Sopot84-58
17/11/24HBasquet Girona89-84
13/11/24ABesiktas76-74
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HReal Madrid85-84
20/12/24HLietkabelis106-107 OT
18/12/24HCluj-Napoca108-80
15/12/24AMurcia96-88
13/12/24HTenerife96-81
10/12/24AHamburg86-78
07/12/24HBasquet Girona98-78
04/12/24HHapoel Jerusalem96-83
01/12/24ABaskonia116-91
28/11/24AJL Bourg107-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gran Canaria
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game82.285.079.5
Allowed / game79.480.878.0
Point differential+2.8+4.2+1.5
Avg total161.7165.8157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game94.893.895.7
Allowed / game83.778.888.5
Point differential+11.1+15.0+7.2
Avg total178.4172.7184.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia1210283%94.883.7+11.1
2 Unicaja129375%88.484.1+4.3
3 Real Madrid128467%87.976.8+11.1
4 Tenerife128467%85.882.1+3.8
5 Gran Canaria128467%82.279.4+2.8
6 Joventut Badalona138562%83.680.2+3.4
7 Barcelona127558%90.486.1+4.3
8 Basket Zaragoza127558%91.889.6+2.2
9 Manresa126650%85.081.5+3.5
10 Murcia125742%79.882.0-2.2
11 MoraBanc Andorra125742%87.590.1-2.6
12 Baskonia125742%86.089.1-3.1
13 Forca Lleida135838%83.286.3-3.2
14 Bilbao124833%80.883.2-2.3
15 Granada124833%77.180.6-3.5
16 Leyma Coruna124833%85.090.9-5.9
17 Breogan124833%72.884.3-11.6
18 Basquet Girona1221017%76.888.8-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gran Canaria1719352697
Valencia2414282894
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