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Valencia vs Forca Lleida Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 30 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 107-92
26-26 23-17 30-22 28-27
Position#2
Record10-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game84.7
Valencia 🏆
Spain
vs
Forca Lleida
Spain
Position#16
Record5-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game86.3
SpainACBRound 14· Font de Sant Lluis
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Valencia v Forca Lleida
27 Sep 2026
VAL100
FLL105
01 Feb 2026
VAL101
FLL65
30 Dec 2024
VAL107
FLL92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forca Lleida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#7
W
116-91
116
91
+25
116avg 81
A01/12
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
96-83
96
83
+13
91avg 81
H04/12
Eurocup
Basquet Girona
#14
W
98-78
98
78
+20
94avg 81
H07/12
ACB
Hamburg
#17
W
86-78
86
78
+8
54avg 81
A10/12
Eurocup
Tenerife
#3
W
96-81
96
81
+15
91avg 81
H13/12
ACB
Murcia
#10
W
96-88
96
88
+8
95avg 81
A15/12
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
108-80
108
80
+28
107avg 81
H18/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#18
L
106-107 OT
106
107
-1
97avg 81
H20/12
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
W
85-84
85
84
+1
76avg 81
H22/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
94-97
94
97
-3
86avg 81
A27/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
26-15
36-23
29-28
33-26
26-12
20-24
17-21
21-22
23-23
26-15
28-18
27-18
25-24
22-11
12-25
17-25
25-13
30-24
24-19
31-25
24-23
19-20
22-20
35-26
38-22
16-18
19-14
26-24
31-21
15-34
25-18
17-9
23-21
16-29
29-25
24-17
14-19
28-35
28-26
184.8Avg total
98.1Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)94.784.7179.4+10.077%
Season at home (6)93.878.8172.7+15.0100%
Season away (7)95.489.7185.1+5.757%
Last 10 (10)98.186.7184.8+11.480%
Last 5 (5)97.891.2189.0+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.093.0192.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (5)80.487.0167.4-6.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)96.583.7180.2+12.983%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
75avg 76
H20/10
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
81-77
81
77
+4
77avg 76
A27/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
68avg 76
H03/11
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
99-100
99
100
-1
92avg 76
A10/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
78-85
78
85
-7
67avg 76
A17/11
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
101-106 OT
101
106
-5
79avg 76
H01/12
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
88-91
88
91
-3
84avg 76
A07/12
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
84-66
84
66
+18
82avg 76
H15/12
ACB
Granada
#17
W
87-74
87
74
+13
80avg 76
H21/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
72-92
72
92
-20
56avg 76
A27/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
23-19
14-15
23-20
29-22
16-20
16-15
20-20
19-18
20-28
15-14
26-10
21-19
27-28
22-35
29-18
13-28
12-23
34-15
19-19
16-15
22-27
29-25
21-21
25-27
21-23
18-21
24-20
18-20
17-13
23-12
26-21
14-23
32-12
14-23
27-16
16-22
22-28
22-12
12-30
169.5Avg total
85.3Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.286.3169.5-3.238%
Season at home (6)84.879.2164.0+5.767%
Season away (7)81.792.4174.1-10.714%
Last 10 (10)85.384.2169.5+1.150%
Last 5 (5)86.485.8172.2+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)79.689.7169.3-10.114%
vs Similar (10)83.880.0163.8+3.870%
vs Weaker (13)85.170.0155.1+15.1100%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.2+3.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.2+3.2
ValenciaForca Lleida
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A01/12
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
59-38
59
38
+21
H04/12
Eurocup
Basquet Girona
#14
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H07/12
ACB
Hamburg
#17
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A10/12
Eurocup
Tenerife
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H13/12
ACB
Murcia
#10
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A15/12
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
73-48
73
48
+25
H18/12
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#18
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H20/12
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H22/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A27/12
ACB
92.1Avg total
51.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.841.187.9+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.440.189.5+9.380%-
Last 30 away (15)44.242.186.3+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)51.141.092.1+10.190%-
Last 5 (5)52.641.494.0+11.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.049.096.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (5)39.639.679.2+0.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)48.341.189.4+7.275%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H20/10
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A27/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/11
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A10/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
25-51
25
51
-26
A17/11
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H01/12
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A07/12
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H15/12
ACB
Granada
#17
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H21/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A27/12
ACB
84.8Avg total
40.6Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.079.0+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.637.079.6+5.657%-
Last 30 away (16)39.638.978.5+0.856%-
Last 10 (10)40.644.284.8-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.082.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.747.985.6-10.114%-
vs Similar (10)40.637.778.3+2.950%-
vs Weaker (13)43.132.976.0+10.285%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 97.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.9
57.0%
54.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.514.6
40.0%
35.6%43.8
🏀 Free throws17.513.9
79.4%
76.4%13.9
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.2
50.6%
54.0%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.111.2
36.0%
35.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.216.3
76.9%
76.4%16.3
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LWLWWWWWWW
Forca Lleida
LWWLLLLWWW
#2
League position
#16
+15.3
Net rating
+1.2
124.4
Offensive rating
108.6
109.1
Defensive rating
107.5
58.5%
Effective FG%
52.2%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.7%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.33
40.0%
3-point %
36.0%
62.3%
Assist %
66.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence124.4 · 108.6Defence109.1 · 107.5Shooting58.5% · 52.2%3-point %40.0% · 36.0%Ball care15.7% · 17.7%Off. rebounds34.9% · 30.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Valencia   ■ Forca Lleida
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valencia wins
0
Forca Lleida wins
No previous meetings.
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/24AGran Canaria94-97
22/12/24HReal Madrid85-84
20/12/24HLietkabelis106-107 OT
18/12/24HCluj-Napoca108-80
15/12/24AMurcia96-88
13/12/24HTenerife96-81
10/12/24AHamburg86-78
07/12/24HBasquet Girona98-78
04/12/24HHapoel Jerusalem96-83
01/12/24ABaskonia116-91
Forca Lleidalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/24AJoventut Badalona72-92
21/12/24HGranada87-74
15/12/24HBilbao84-66
07/12/24ATenerife88-91
01/12/24HLeyma Coruna101-106 OT
17/11/24AReal Madrid78-85
10/11/24ABaskonia99-100
03/11/24HMoraBanc Andorra80-70
27/10/24ABreogan81-77
20/10/24HManresa83-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%100%57%
Points / game94.793.895.4
Allowed / game84.778.889.7
Point differential+10.0+15.0+5.7
Avg total179.4172.7185.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%67%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forca Lleida
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%67%14%
Points / game83.284.881.7
Allowed / game86.379.292.4
Point differential-3.2+5.7-10.7
Avg total169.5164.0174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %15%17%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia1310377%94.784.7+10.0
2 Unicaja1310377%88.283.5+4.7
3 Real Madrid139469%86.876.4+10.4
4 Tenerife139469%86.382.2+4.2
5 Gran Canaria139469%83.480.5+2.8
6 Basket Zaragoza138562%92.187.9+4.2
7 Joventut Badalona138562%83.680.2+3.4
8 Barcelona137654%88.985.1+3.8
9 Manresa136746%84.681.5+3.1
10 Murcia136746%80.181.9-1.8
11 Baskonia136746%85.788.4-2.7
12 Bilbao135838%82.382.8-0.5
13 MoraBanc Andorra135838%87.290.2-3.1
14 Forca Lleida135838%83.286.3-3.2
15 Granada134931%77.480.8-3.5
16 Leyma Coruna134931%84.591.6-7.1
17 Breogan134931%73.184.5-11.4
18 Basquet Girona1321115%76.189.4-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia26233028107
Forca Lleida2617222792
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