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Cedevita vs Karpos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-77
14-20 22-19 25-20 20-18
Position#3
Record17-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#11
Record9-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game80.6
EuropeABA LeagueRound 24
Domestic2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cedevita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karpos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hermes
#13
W
106-85
106
85
+21
H29/01
Premijer liga
Valencia
#1
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A31/01
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A04/02
ABA League
Osijek
#7
W
98-70
98
70
+28
A06/02
Premijer liga
Unicaja
#6
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H08/02
Eurocup
Partizan
#2
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H12/02
ABA League
Kvarner
#11
W
98-76
98
76
+22
A15/02
Croatian Cup
Zadar
#5
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H17/02
Croatian Cup
Jolly Sibenik
#2
W
102-66
102
66
+36
H18/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#7
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A20/02
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
27-19
23-25
27-22
19-15
15-20
17-22
7-14
22-15
23-18
17-19
17-22
30-20
23-17
24-17
21-16
18-19
24-22
15-12
17-18
16-18
21-12
22-12
20-25
29-17
23-15
18-23
28-21
21-14
21-25
31-22
19-14
30-17
18-14
25-25
29-10
18-25
23-21
26-20
22-19
161.5Avg total
87.5Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)88.980.3169.2+8.674%
Season at home (11)91.277.4168.5+13.873%
Season away (12)86.883.0169.8+3.875%
Last 10 (10)87.574.0161.5+13.590%
Last 5 (5)92.073.8165.8+18.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.385.0163.3-6.70%
vs Similar (5)75.878.0153.8-2.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)92.179.3171.4+12.886%
This opponent (Karpos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarposLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
97-92
97
92
+5
A29/01
ABA League
Kumanovo
#4
L
101-106
101
106
-5
H01/02
BIBL
FMP Beograd
#9
W
88-81 OT
88
81
+7
H04/02
ABA League
Tivat
#6
L
81-98
81
98
-17
A08/02
BIBL
Buducnost
#4
L
61-95
61
95
-34
A11/02
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
61-98
61
98
-37
H14/02
ABA League
Vardar
#6
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H17/02
Macedonian Cup
Rabotnicki
#4
W
92-78
92
78
+14
A18/02
Macedonian Cup
Feni Industries
#2
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H19/02
Macedonian Cup
Tivat
#6
L
0-20
0
20
-20
H22/02
BIBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
28-18
23-29
23-21
20-26
13-27
24-24
44-29
26-16
14-16
22-17
13-26
22-23
19-21
18-31
22-23
15-35
18-23
12-17
16-20
24-23
13-26
12-21
12-28
30-13
23-24
20-22
19-25
25-18
23-19
25-24
19-17
21-20
21-17
13-15
25-17
–
–
–
–
157.4Avg total
75.3Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.880.6155.4-5.839%
Season at home (12)78.376.8155.1+1.667%
Season away (11)70.984.8155.7-13.99%
Last 10 (10)75.382.1157.4-6.850%
Last 5 (5)65.069.8134.8-4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)71.478.8150.2-7.441%
vs Similar (9)79.775.6155.2+4.167%
vs Weaker (3)90.078.3168.3+11.7100%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
CedevitaKarpos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hermes
#13
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H29/01
Premijer liga
Valencia
#1
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A31/01
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#8
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A04/02
ABA League
Osijek
#7
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A06/02
Premijer liga
Unicaja
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H08/02
Eurocup
Partizan
#2
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H12/02
ABA League
Kvarner
#11
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A15/02
Croatian Cup
Zadar
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H17/02
Croatian Cup
Jolly Sibenik
#2
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H18/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A20/02
ABA League
81.2Avg total
45.0Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.438.082.4+6.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.337.383.6+9.173%-
Last 30 away (15)42.538.781.3+3.847%-
Last 10 (10)45.036.281.2+8.880%-
Last 5 (5)44.035.679.6+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.339.374.7-4.00%-
vs Similar (5)37.840.478.2-2.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)47.037.584.5+9.471%-
This opponent (Karpos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarposLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A29/01
ABA League
Kumanovo
#4
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H01/02
BIBL
FMP Beograd
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H04/02
ABA League
Tivat
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A08/02
BIBL
Buducnost
#4
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A11/02
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H14/02
ABA League
Vardar
#6
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H17/02
Macedonian Cup
Rabotnicki
#4
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A18/02
Macedonian Cup
Feni Industries
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H19/02
Macedonian Cup
85.2Avg total
42.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.339.879.1-0.541%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.836.576.3+3.362%-
Last 30 away (13)38.643.882.5-5.215%-
Last 10 (9)42.043.285.2-1.256%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.686.2-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.641.479.1-3.831%-
vs Similar (9)37.837.375.1+0.444%-
vs Weaker (3)48.039.387.3+8.767%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.0
54.1%
51.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.39.2
39.5%
34.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.819.4
81.5%
73.3%19.4
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karpostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karpos: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.1
51.0%
51.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.3
33.5%
34.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.212.9
75.0%
73.3%12.9
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cedevita
WWWWWWWWLW
Karpos
LWWWLLLWLW
#3
League position
#11
+7.7
Net rating
-3.1
112.8
Offensive rating
98.8
105.2
Defensive rating
101.8
56.1%
Effective FG%
50.7%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
18.2%
Turnover %
17.6%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
21.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.5%
3-point %
33.5%
54.1%
Assist %
60.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 98.8Defence105.2 · 101.8Shooting56.1% · 50.7%3-point %39.5% · 33.5%Ball care18.2% · 17.6%Off. rebounds28.3% · 21.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Cedevita   ■ Karpos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cedevita wins
1
Karpos wins
DateGameScore
26/11/16Karpos v Cedevita89-81
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/17ACibona89-85
18/02/17HJolly Sibenik102-66
17/02/17HZadar92-75
15/02/17AKvarner98-76
12/02/17HPartizan79-67
08/02/17HUnicaja74-71
06/02/17AOsijek98-70
04/02/17AMornar Bar79-74
31/01/17AValencia58-71
29/01/17HHermes106-85
Karposlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/17HTivat0-20
19/02/17HFeni Industries80-69
18/02/17ARabotnicki92-78
17/02/17HVardar92-84
14/02/17HCrvena zvezda61-98
11/02/17ABuducnost61-95
08/02/17ATivat81-98
04/02/17HFMP Beograd88-81 OT
01/02/17HKumanovo101-106
29/01/17APetrol Olimpija97-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cedevita
ABA League 2016
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW74%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%73%75%
Points / game88.991.286.8
Allowed / game80.377.483.0
Point differential+8.6+13.8+3.8
Avg total169.2168.5169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%64%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)33% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karpos
ABA League 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL39%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLLWL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %39%67%9%
Points / game74.878.370.9
Allowed / game80.676.884.8
Point differential-5.8+1.6-13.9
Avg total155.4155.1155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2322196%85.767.5+18.2
2 Cedevita2317674%88.980.3+8.6
3 Partizan2317674%79.874.7+5.1
4 Buducnost2316770%82.075.7+6.3
5 Cibona23111248%79.980.0-0.2
6 Igokea23111248%75.378.4-3.0
7 FMP Beograd23101343%78.079.9-1.8
8 Petrol Olimpija23101343%79.581.7-2.2
9 Mega Bemax2391439%81.682.7-1.1
10 Karpos2391439%74.880.6-5.8
11 MZT Skopje2381535%78.482.8-4.4
12 Mornar Bar2371630%77.378.7-1.3
13 KK Krka Novo mesto2371630%71.880.9-9.1
14 Zadar2371630%78.287.4-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cedevita1422252081
Karpos2019201877
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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