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Karpos vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 88-81 (OT)
26-16 14-16 22-17 13-26 13-6
Position#11
Record8-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game79.0
Karpos 🏆
vs
Position#9
Record8-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game79.4
EuropeABA LeagueRound 21
Domestic2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karpos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarposLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H18/12
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A24/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H30/12
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A07/01
ABA League
Cibona
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H14/01
ABA League
Tirana
#12
W
100-83
100
83
+17
A17/01
BIBL
MZT Skopje
#13
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H20/01
ABA League
Feni Industries
#5
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H25/01
BIBL
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
97-92
97
92
+5
A29/01
ABA League
Kumanovo
#4
L
101-106
101
106
-5
H01/02
BIBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
15-10
24-13
19-17
16-23
18-27
13-16
24-13
24-11
13-18
23-16
15-18
17-21
14-13
16-26
25-16
15-17
18-18
21-17
22-18
18-20
30-28
26-10
26-25
14-17
17-17
18-12
28-28
16-13
22-25
20-11
21-14
23-24
28-18
23-29
23-21
20-26
13-27
24-24
44-29
159.3Avg total
83.1Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.579.0154.5-3.540%
Season at home (10)79.174.2153.3+4.970%
Season away (10)71.983.8155.7-11.910%
Last 10 (10)83.176.2159.3+6.970%
Last 5 (5)90.883.6174.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)75.681.8157.5-6.241%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.477.9156.3+0.536%
vs Weaker (2)89.078.5167.5+10.5100%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#4
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H27/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
62-93
62
93
-31
A05/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
89-96
89
96
-7
H11/12
ABA League
Zadar
#12
W
94-77
94
77
+17
H16/12
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#6
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A25/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H03/01
ABA League
Igokea
#5
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A10/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
H15/01
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
70-97
70
97
-27
A21/01
ABA League
Cibona
#7
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H29/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-29
20-12
11-26
23-10
16-25
14-24
16-25
16-19
19-24
17-26
26-19
27-27
25-23
18-21
25-19
26-14
22-18
17-26
14-16
19-16
20-15
19-14
14-15
25-16
27-22
19-11
23-27
15-14
20-24
21-20
26-18
25-23
19-24
18-30
19-19
14-24
19-21
26-20
22-13
17-21
160.4Avg total
79.4Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.279.4155.6-3.240%
Season at home (10)80.376.2156.5+4.160%
Season away (10)72.182.6154.7-10.520%
Last 10 (10)79.481.0160.4-1.650%
Last 5 (5)81.678.2159.8+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.983.8157.7-9.921%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.280.4158.5-2.245%
vs Weaker (5)79.265.8145.0+13.480%
This opponent (Karpos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +2.3+2.3
KarposFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarposLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H18/12
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A24/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H30/12
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A07/01
ABA League
Cibona
#7
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H14/01
ABA League
Tirana
#12
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A17/01
BIBL
MZT Skopje
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H20/01
ABA League
Feni Industries
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H25/01
BIBL
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A29/01
ABA League
Kumanovo
#4
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H01/02
BIBL
76.5Avg total
37.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.977.3-2.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.437.975.2-0.544%-
Last 30 away (14)37.442.179.6-4.721%-
Last 10 (10)37.638.976.5-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.083.2-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.441.478.7-4.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.537.573.0-1.936%-
vs Weaker (2)48.040.588.5+7.550%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#4
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H27/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A05/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H11/12
ABA League
Zadar
#12
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H16/12
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A25/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H03/01
ABA League
Igokea
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A10/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H15/01
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A21/01
ABA League
Cibona
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H29/01
ABA League
82.0Avg total
39.1Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.279.5-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.439.479.7+1.057%-
Last 30 away (16)36.542.979.4-6.431%-
Last 10 (10)39.142.982.0-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.281.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.943.680.5-6.829%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.841.881.6-2.045%-
vs Weaker (5)39.033.272.2+5.880%-
This opponent (Karpos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karpostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karpos: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.2
52.3%
51.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.2
35.5%
34.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.014.3
75.3%
73.3%14.3
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.4
50.0%
51.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.7
34.1%
34.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.315.7
73.7%
73.3%15.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karpos
LWWWWWLWLW
FMP Beograd
WLWWWLWLLL
#11
League position
#9
+5.0
Net rating
-1.5
104.8
Offensive rating
99.9
99.9
Defensive rating
101.4
52.7%
Effective FG%
50.5%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
15.7%
Turnover %
21.7%
21.1%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.5%
3-point %
34.1%
59.5%
Assist %
70.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 99.9Defence99.9 · 101.4Shooting52.7% · 50.5%3-point %35.5% · 34.1%Ball care15.7% · 21.7%Off. rebounds21.1% · 30.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Karpos   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Karpos wins
1
FMP Beograd wins
DateGameScore
07/11/16FMP Beograd v Karpos67-62
Karposlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/17HKumanovo101-106
29/01/17APetrol Olimpija97-92
25/01/17HFeni Industries79-63
20/01/17HMZT Skopje77-74
17/01/17ATirana100-83
14/01/17HCibona76-70
07/01/17APartizan72-76
30/12/16HMornar Bar75-63
24/12/16AIgokea71-79
18/12/16HKK Krka Novo mesto83-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/17HCibona84-75
21/01/17APartizan70-97
15/01/17HMornar Bar92-85
10/01/17AIgokea84-74
03/01/17HKK Krka Novo mesto78-60
25/12/16AMega Bemax72-76
16/12/16HZadar94-77
11/12/16HCedevita89-96
05/12/16ACrvena zvezda62-93
27/11/16HBuducnost69-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karpos
ABA League 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW40%
HomeWWWWW70%
AwayLLLLW10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%70%10%
Points / game75.579.171.9
Allowed / game79.074.283.8
Point differential-3.5+4.9-11.9
Avg total154.5153.3155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
FMP Beograd
ABA League 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW40%
HomeLWWWW60%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game76.280.372.1
Allowed / game79.476.282.6
Point differential-3.2+4.1-10.5
Avg total155.6156.5154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda20200100%86.267.5+18.7
2 Partizan2015575%79.873.6+6.2
3 Cedevita2115671%89.380.7+8.6
4 Buducnost2014670%80.875.6+5.2
5 Cibona2011955%80.579.5+1.0
6 Petrol Olimpija2091145%79.881.0-1.2
7 Igokea2091145%74.377.7-3.4
8 FMP Beograd2081240%76.279.4-3.2
9 Karpos2081240%75.579.0-3.5
10 Mornar Bar2171433%77.978.1-0.2
11 Mega Bemax2171433%80.382.7-2.4
12 KK Krka Novo mesto2171433%72.180.3-8.2
13 MZT Skopje2061430%77.083.3-6.2
14 Zadar2061430%77.889.2-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Karpos261422131388
FMP Beograd16161726681
← all games of the day
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