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Karpos vs Cedevita Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 89-81
25-12 20-22 21-20 23-27
Position#11
Record1-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game82.4
Karpos 🏆
vs
Position#3
Record7-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game76.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 11
Domestic2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karpos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarposLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#7
L
79-102
79
102
-23
A15/10
ABA League
Trepca
#9
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A18/10
BIBL
MZT Skopje
#13
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A23/10
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
83-87 OT
83
87
-4
H31/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#9
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A07/11
ABA League
Tirana
#12
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H09/11
BIBL
Buducnost
#4
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H12/11
ABA League
Feni Industries
#5
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A16/11
BIBL
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
70-91
70
91
-21
A21/11
ABA League
Sutjeska
#7
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A23/11
BIBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
22-27
16-25
22-20
25-20
15-16
24-22
16-24
25-8
6-16
11-24
29-26
13-19
17-19
20-17
23-18
16-18
15-18
15-17
16-14
33-19
15-14
12-26
18-15
18-25
25-8
21-23
13-15
15-17
24-23
21-25
10-20
18-16
20-22
16-24
16-29
19-23
19-27
25-12
18-23
156.9Avg total
75.1Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.182.4154.5-10.310%
Season at home (4)79.081.5160.5-2.525%
Season away (6)67.583.0150.5-15.50%
Last 10 (10)75.181.8156.9-6.720%
Last 5 (5)75.281.2156.4-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)71.686.9158.5-15.212%
vs Similar (8)73.176.8149.9-3.612%
vs Weaker (14)84.675.0159.6+9.664%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#5
W
84-69
84
69
+15
A30/10
ABA League
Skrljevo
#9
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H02/11
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#8
W
99-73
99
73
+26
H06/11
ABA League
Nizhny Novgorod
#16
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H09/11
Eurocup
Partizan
#2
W
97-87
97
87
+10
A12/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#14
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A14/11
Premijer liga
Gran Canaria
#3
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H16/11
Eurocup
Zagreb
#8
W
95-73
95
73
+22
H19/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#7
W
100-80
100
80
+20
H20/11
ABA League
Lietkabelis
#14
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A23/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
19-18
28-13
14-23
21-24
21-18
26-15
25-21
19-25
26-20
30-8
24-20
23-33
19-19
17-14
33-11
22-23
27-28
24-15
24-21
24-16
24-25
19-19
18-18
24-19
22-29
21-26
30-16
25-15
20-29
18-15
32-14
32-18
23-22
26-18
19-22
17-16
22-16
14-16
16-20
168.4Avg total
91.1Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.376.5164.8+11.870%
Season at home (6)92.273.2165.3+19.067%
Season away (4)82.581.5164.0+1.075%
Last 10 (10)91.177.3168.4+13.8100%
Last 5 (5)89.277.8167.0+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.093.0172.0-14.033%
vs Similar (2)83.583.5167.0+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)91.173.2164.4+17.988%
This opponent (Karpos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +6.4+6.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +4.9+4.9
KarposCedevita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarposLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#7
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A15/10
ABA League
Trepca
#9
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A18/10
BIBL
MZT Skopje
#13
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A23/10
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H31/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#9
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/11
ABA League
Tirana
#12
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H09/11
BIBL
Buducnost
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H12/11
ABA League
Feni Industries
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A16/11
BIBL
Crvena zvezda
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/11
ABA League
Sutjeska
#7
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A23/11
BIBL
76.4Avg total
37.9Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.439.678.0-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.837.877.6+2.057%-
Last 30 away (16)37.241.178.4-3.925%-
Last 10 (10)37.938.576.4-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.238.880.0+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.844.081.8-6.212%-
vs Similar (8)33.239.072.2-5.825%-
vs Weaker (14)41.837.479.1+4.464%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#5
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A30/10
ABA League
Skrljevo
#9
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H02/11
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H06/11
ABA League
Nizhny Novgorod
#16
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H09/11
Eurocup
Partizan
#2
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A12/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A14/11
Premijer liga
Gran Canaria
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H16/11
Eurocup
Zagreb
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H19/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#7
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H20/11
ABA League
Lietkabelis
#14
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A23/11
Eurocup
88.1Avg total
45.3Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.539.284.7+6.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.439.084.4+6.459%-
Last 30 away (13)45.739.485.1+6.362%-
Last 10 (10)45.342.888.1+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.641.087.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.346.784.0-9.30%-
vs Similar (2)40.542.583.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)46.938.084.9+8.972%-
This opponent (Karpos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karpostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karpos: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.914.6
47.1%
51.9%29.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.9
30.3%
34.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.317.2
77.1%
73.3%17.2
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.624.4
60.1%
51.9%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.87.2
36.4%
34.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws22.317.1
76.7%
73.3%17.1
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 26 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karpos
LLLWWLLLLL
Cedevita
WWWWWWWWWW
#11
League position
#3
-15.0
Net rating
+16.3
95.7
Offensive rating
114.9
110.7
Defensive rating
98.6
46.4%
Effective FG%
58.3%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
16.8%
Turnover %
19.0%
20.0%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.3%
3-point %
36.4%
71.3%
Assist %
69.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence95.7 · 114.9Defence110.7 · 98.6Shooting46.4% · 58.3%3-point %30.3% · 36.4%Ball care16.8% · 19.0%Off. rebounds20.0% · 32.6%Free throws0.39 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)20% · 100%
■ Karpos   ■ Cedevita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Karpos wins
0
Cedevita wins
No previous meetings.
Karposlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/16ASutjeska81-85
21/11/16ACrvena zvezda70-91
16/11/16AFeni Industries70-85
12/11/16HBuducnost77-71
09/11/16HTirana78-74
07/11/16AFMP Beograd62-67
31/10/16HPetrol Olimpija83-87 OT
23/10/16AMZT Skopje71-74
18/10/16ATrepca80-82
15/10/16ACibona79-102
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/16ALietkabelis69-68
20/11/16HCibona100-80
19/11/16HZagreb95-73
16/11/16HGran Canaria97-90
14/11/16AKvarner85-78
12/11/16APartizan97-87
09/11/16HNizhny Novgorod92-77
06/11/16HMornar Bar99-73
02/11/16HSkrljevo93-78
30/10/16AIgokea84-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karpos
ABA League 2016
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL10%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %10%25%0%
Points / game72.179.067.5
Allowed / game82.481.583.0
Point differential-10.3-2.5-15.5
Avg total154.5160.5150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %10%25%0%
Cedevita
ABA League 2016
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %70%67%75%
Points / game88.392.282.5
Allowed / game76.573.281.5
Point differential+11.8+19.0+1.0
Avg total164.8165.3164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda10100100%84.966.8+18.1
2 Buducnost109190%85.375.3+10.0
3 Partizan118373%77.773.6+4.1
4 Cedevita107370%88.376.5+11.8
5 Cibona106460%83.982.7+1.2
6 Igokea105550%76.876.5+0.3
7 KK Krka Novo mesto105550%76.180.9-4.8
8 Zadar104640%79.790.5-10.8
9 Mega Bemax114736%83.385.8-2.5
10 Petrol Olimpija93633%82.383.9-1.6
11 FMP Beograd103730%73.077.8-4.8
12 MZT Skopje103730%76.184.5-8.4
13 Mornar Bar113827%78.280.5-2.4
14 Karpos101910%72.182.4-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karpos2520212389
Cedevita1222202781
← all games of the day
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