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Mornar Bar vs Cedevita Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 74-79
15-22 18-23 19-17 22-17
Position#8
Record7-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#3
Record14-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game81.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 21
Domestic2016
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Cedevita
15 Dec 2018
MBA102
CED103
10 Feb 2018
MBA89
CED94
04 Feb 2017
MBA74
CED79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#7
W
92-57
92
57
+35
H27/12
ABA League
Karpos
#11
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A30/12
ABA League
Cibona
#37
L
81-92
81
92
-11
H03/01
Champions League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
93-70
93
70
+23
H08/01
ABA League
Avellino
#10
W
60-53
60
53
+7
A11/01
Champions League
FMP Beograd
#9
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A15/01
ABA League
Juventus
#17
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A17/01
Champions League
Buducnost
#4
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H22/01
ABA League
Strasbourg
#9
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H25/01
Champions League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A30/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
16-14
26-15
26-13
11-24
18-13
16-23
18-15
23-13
21-29
13-24
24-26
22-14
27-18
19-22
25-16
20-13
8-13
17-10
15-17
24-20
20-21
18-26
23-25
24-14
12-26
13-23
25-19
19-14
15-15
21-22
23-20
19-19
21-25
16-16
14-23
23-9
20-27
13-21
15-25
152.4Avg total
76.7Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.078.0156.1+0.035%
Season at home (10)79.969.9149.8+10.070%
Season away (10)76.286.2162.4-10.00%
Last 10 (10)76.775.7152.4+1.040%
Last 5 (5)75.682.0157.6-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)69.882.6152.3-12.817%
vs Similar (8)81.074.6155.6+6.450%
vs Weaker (4)79.580.5160.0-1.050%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#6
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A11/01
Eurocup
Alkar
#12
W
111-71
111
71
+40
H13/01
Premijer liga
Mega Bemax
#6
W
89-85
89
85
+4
H15/01
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#15
L
76-93
76
93
-17
A18/01
Eurocup
Split
#2
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A21/01
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A22/01
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#15
W
99-83
99
83
+16
H25/01
Eurocup
Igokea
#5
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H28/01
ABA League
Hermes
#13
W
106-85
106
85
+21
H29/01
Premijer liga
Valencia
#1
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A31/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
16-23
10-16
16-21
30-14
40-10
26-28
15-19
18-24
26-12
19-28
26-21
24-17
14-25
21-25
17-26
16-14
14-11
7-21
26-20
27-19
17-31
16-26
26-14
27-17
23-17
24-24
25-25
21-24
16-20
30-19
22-15
29-19
27-19
23-25
27-22
19-15
15-20
17-22
7-14
163.1Avg total
83.6Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)89.881.0170.9+8.870%
Season at home (10)92.478.4170.8+14.070%
Season away (10)87.383.7171.0+3.670%
Last 10 (10)83.679.5163.1+4.150%
Last 5 (5)87.681.4169.0+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.086.2169.2-3.225%
vs Similar (3)75.384.0159.3-8.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)90.379.5169.8+10.878%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
Mornar BarCedevita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#7
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H27/12
ABA League
Karpos
#11
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A30/12
ABA League
Cibona
#37
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H03/01
Champions League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H08/01
ABA League
Avellino
#10
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A11/01
Champions League
FMP Beograd
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A15/01
ABA League
Juventus
#17
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/01
Champions League
Buducnost
#4
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H22/01
ABA League
Strasbourg
#9
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H25/01
Champions League
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A30/01
ABA League
74.3Avg total
38.7Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.540.377.8-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.639.078.6+0.653%-
Last 30 away (15)35.541.577.0-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)38.735.674.3+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.077.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)36.341.477.7-5.133%-
vs Similar (8)39.237.276.5+2.050%-
vs Weaker (4)39.541.280.8-1.850%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#6
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A11/01
Eurocup
Alkar
#12
W
70-24
70
24
+46
H13/01
Premijer liga
Mega Bemax
#6
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H15/01
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#15
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A18/01
Eurocup
Split
#2
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A21/01
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A22/01
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H25/01
Eurocup
Igokea
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H28/01
ABA League
Hermes
#13
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H29/01
Premijer liga
Valencia
#1
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A31/01
Eurocup
80.0Avg total
43.6Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.739.583.2+4.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.739.286.9+8.567%-
Last 30 away (15)39.739.879.5-0.140%-
Last 10 (10)43.636.480.0+7.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.284.4+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.041.579.5-3.50%-
vs Similar (3)36.743.780.3-7.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.738.684.3+7.070%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.7
50.4%
51.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.3
36.6%
34.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.513.4
72.4%
73.3%13.4
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.5
55.6%
51.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.810.8
43.5%
34.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws24.119.0
78.8%
73.3%19.0
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLWLLWWLLW
Cedevita
LWWWLLLWWL
#8
League position
#3
+4.6
Net rating
+6.7
103.0
Offensive rating
117.1
98.4
Defensive rating
110.4
52.0%
Effective FG%
59.6%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
17.4%
Turnover %
18.6%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.40
36.6%
3-point %
43.5%
52.9%
Assist %
56.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 117.1Defence98.4 · 110.4Shooting52.0% · 59.6%3-point %36.6% · 43.5%Ball care17.4% · 18.6%Off. rebounds25.6% · 29.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Cedevita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mornar Bar wins
1
Cedevita wins
DateGameScore
06/11/16Cedevita v Mornar Bar99-73
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/17ACrvena zvezda71-82
25/01/17HStrasbourg70-83
22/01/17HBuducnost78-71
17/01/17AJuventus74-82
15/01/17AFMP Beograd85-92
11/01/17AAvellino60-53
08/01/17HPetrol Olimpija93-70
03/01/17HCibona81-92
30/12/16AKarpos63-75
27/12/16HCibona92-57
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/17AValencia58-71
29/01/17HHermes106-85
28/01/17HIgokea89-78
25/01/17HAlba Berlin99-83
22/01/17AKK Krka Novo mesto86-90
21/01/17ASplit63-66
18/01/17AAlba Berlin76-93
15/01/17HMega Bemax89-85
13/01/17HAlkar111-71
11/01/17AUnicaja59-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2016
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL35%
HomeWWWWW70%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%70%0%
Points / game78.079.976.2
Allowed / game78.069.986.2
Point differential+0.0+10.0-10.0
Avg total156.1149.8162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cedevita
ABA League 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayWWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%70%70%
Points / game89.892.487.3
Allowed / game81.078.483.7
Point differential+8.8+14.0+3.6
Avg total170.9170.8171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda20200100%86.267.5+18.7
2 Partizan2015575%79.873.6+6.2
3 Cedevita2014670%89.881.0+8.8
4 Buducnost2014670%80.875.6+5.2
5 Cibona2011955%80.579.5+1.0
6 Petrol Olimpija2091145%79.881.0-1.2
7 Igokea2091145%74.377.7-3.4
8 FMP Beograd2081240%76.279.4-3.2
9 Karpos2081240%75.579.0-3.5
10 Mornar Bar2071335%78.078.0+0.0
11 Mega Bemax2171433%80.382.7-2.4
12 KK Krka Novo mesto2171433%72.180.3-8.2
13 MZT Skopje2061430%77.083.3-6.2
14 Zadar2061430%77.889.2-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar1518192274
Cedevita2223171779
← all games of the day
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