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Centauros vs Guaros de Lara Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 65-80
14-22 23-14 15-28 13-16
Position#12
Record3-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#3
Record4-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game78.3
VenezuelaSuperliga· Gimnasio Lara Figueroa (Portuguesa)
Other2023
Meetings · Centauros v Guaros de Lara
12 Apr 2023
CENT65
GUAR83
02 Apr 2023
CENT65
GUAR80
29 Jul 2022
CENT83
GUAR64
28 Jul 2022
CENT68
GUAR62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Centauros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guaros de Lara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CentaurosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCentauros
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#1
L
66-79
66
79
-13
no box
H09/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
W
96-72
96
72
+24
no box
H10/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
H11/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
66-88
66
88
-22
no box
A14/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
70-74
70
74
-4
62avg 62
A18/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
87-82
87
82
+5
72avg 62
A19/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
64-68
64
68
-4
50avg 62
H24/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
64-56
64
56
+8
48avg 62
H26/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
68-73
68
73
-5
61avg 62
A28/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
81avg 62
H30/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
18-16
18-16
16-28
28-17
25-21
18-24
25-10
14-23
20-26
22-17
22-19
22-18
18-22
11-24
15-24
17-16
24-15
15-20
14-23
26-27
21-17
20-18
20-20
19-28
19-10
12-9
14-21
15-14
18-17
17-9
14-16
20-25
20-19
16-12
12-17
17-27
21-13
23-21
24-22
150.4Avg total
74.4Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.072.7145.7+0.350%
Season at home (3)71.069.0140.0+2.067%
Season away (3)75.076.3151.3-1.333%
Last 10 (10)74.476.0150.4-1.640%
Last 5 (5)73.672.4146.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)74.376.7151.0-2.333%
vs Similar (20)79.978.6158.5+1.360%
vs Weaker (7)86.476.1162.6+10.3100%
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guaros de LaraVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLara
Date
Competition
Brillantes
#7
L
60-89
60
89
-29
no box
A03/09
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#15
W
92-79
92
79
+13
no box
A04/09
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
H10/09
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
89-96
89
96
-7
no box
H11/09
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
56-100
56
100
-44
47avg 67
A19/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
99-81
99
81
+18
96avg 67
A21/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
87-75
87
75
+12
81avg 67
A22/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
86-72
86
72
+14
69avg 67
H25/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
73-68
73
68
+5
60avg 67
H28/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
47avg 67
H29/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
17-17
11-29
18-23
21-23
27-21
21-23
23-12
18-22
17-9
23-20
23-26
16-24
33-22
24-23
16-27
15-22
14-27
19-21
8-30
28-20
18-16
25-18
28-27
19-24
28-20
26-16
14-15
26-11
21-23
18-14
21-24
25-20
19-20
12-16
17-12
21-16
14-23
19-26
9-9
159.7Avg total
78.6Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.378.3155.7-1.067%
Season at home (3)74.071.3145.3+2.767%
Season away (3)80.785.3166.0-4.767%
Last 10 (10)78.681.1159.7-2.560%
Last 5 (5)81.674.0155.6+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.283.2154.5-12.012%
vs Similar (12)76.284.8161.1-8.625%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)85.870.8156.6+15.0100%
This opponent (Centauros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.8-2.8
CentaurosGuaros de Lara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CentaurosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H09/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H10/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H11/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A14/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A18/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A19/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H24/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H26/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A28/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H30/03
Superliga
78.6Avg total
39.6Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.379.0+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.438.576.9-0.147%-
Last 30 away (13)41.340.581.8+0.846%-
Last 10 (10)39.639.078.6+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.478.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.738.378.0+1.333%-
vs Similar (20)39.140.079.1-0.840%-
vs Weaker (7)41.138.079.1+3.171%-
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brillantes
#7
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A03/09
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#15
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A04/09
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H10/09
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H11/09
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A19/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A21/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A22/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H25/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H28/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H29/03
Superliga
81.1Avg total
41.1Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.279.2+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.537.279.7+5.357%-
Last 30 away (16)39.639.178.7+0.669%-
Last 10 (10)41.140.081.1+1.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.682.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.839.478.1-0.650%-
vs Similar (12)38.840.679.3-1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.434.479.8+11.090%-
This opponent (Centauros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Centaurostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Centauros: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.515.7
45.4%
50.8%31.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.0
29.8%
31.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.715.0
69.2%
65.6%15.0
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guaros de Laratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guaros de Lara: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.3 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.7
54.4%
50.8%41.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.8
28.7%
31.3%23.5
🏀 Free throws17.311.8
68.3%
65.6%11.8
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Centauros
WLWLWLLLWL
Guaros de Lara
LWWWWLLWWL
#12
League position
#3
+3.3
Net rating
-0.8
96.8
Offensive rating
97.6
93.5
Defensive rating
98.4
45.1%
Effective FG%
49.6%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
18.6%
Turnover %
16.4%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
19.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.8%
3-point %
28.7%
56.1%
Assist %
60.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 97.6Defence93.5 · 98.4Shooting45.1% · 49.6%3-point %29.8% · 28.7%Ball care18.6% · 16.4%Off. rebounds28.6% · 19.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Centauros   ■ Guaros de Lara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Centauros wins
2
Guaros de Lara wins
Centauroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/23HBrillantes85-83
28/03/23AGuaros de Lara68-73
26/03/23HToros de Aragua64-56
24/03/23HLlaneros64-68
19/03/23ALlaneros87-82
18/03/23ATrotamundos70-74
14/10/22ATrotamundos66-88
11/10/22HTrotamundos78-85
10/10/22HTrotamundos96-72
09/10/22HTrotamundos66-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/23HBrillantes63-74
28/03/23HCentauros73-68
25/03/23HLlaneros86-72
22/03/23AToros de Aragua87-75
21/03/23AFrontinos99-81
19/03/23ABroncos56-100
11/09/22HHeroes de Falcon89-96
10/09/22HHeroes de Falcon81-77
04/09/22AGaiteros del Zulia92-79
03/09/22ABrillantes60-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Centauros
Superliga 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game73.071.075.0
Allowed / game72.769.076.3
Point differential+0.3+2.0-1.3
Avg total145.7140.0151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guaros de Lara
Superliga 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game77.374.080.7
Allowed / game78.371.385.3
Point differential-1.0+2.7-4.7
Avg total155.7145.3166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Piratas de La Guaira660100%86.073.3+12.7
2 Cocodrilos76186%76.767.9+8.9
3 Gladiadores76186%81.172.3+8.9
4 Guaiqueries65183%93.381.3+12.0
5 Broncos75271%89.072.7+16.3
6 Trotamundos75271%78.475.1+3.3
7 Brillantes64267%85.578.3+7.2
8 Guaros de Lara64267%77.378.3-1.0
9 Gaiteros del Zulia74357%77.179.9-2.7
10 Heroes de Falcon63350%86.283.5+2.7
11 Centauros63350%73.072.7+0.3
12 Panteras83538%72.271.9+0.4
13 Gigantes62433%78.583.0-4.5
14 Frontinos62433%77.786.8-9.2
15 Marinos51420%78.688.4-9.8
16 Toros de Aragua61517%70.079.8-9.8
17 Cangrejeros61517%75.886.8-11.0
18 Diablos61517%72.086.3-14.3
19 Llaneros71614%72.781.1-8.4
20 Spartans5050%65.675.0-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Centauros1423151365
Guaros de Lara2214281680
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