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Centauros vs Guaros de Lara Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 65-83
22-18 16-21 16-21 11-23
Position#12
Record5-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game73.4
vs
Position#3
Record7-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game76.2
VenezuelaSuperliga· Gimnasio Lara Figueroa (Portuguesa)
Other2023
Meetings · Centauros v Guaros de Lara
12 Apr 2023
CENT65
GUAR83
02 Apr 2023
CENT65
GUAR80
29 Jul 2022
CENT83
GUAR64
28 Jul 2022
CENT68
GUAR62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Centauros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guaros de Lara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CentaurosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCentauros
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
L
70-74
70
74
-4
62avg 60
A18/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
87-82
87
82
+5
72avg 60
A19/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
64-68
64
68
-4
50avg 60
H24/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
64-56
64
56
+8
48avg 60
H26/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
68-73
68
73
-5
61avg 60
A28/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
81avg 60
H30/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
65-80
65
80
-15
44avg 60
H02/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
71-81
71
81
-10
57avg 60
A06/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
67-63
67
63
+4
55avg 60
A08/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
79-74
79
74
+5
71avg 60
A09/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
24-15
15-20
14-23
26-27
21-17
20-18
20-20
19-28
19-10
12-9
14-21
15-14
18-17
17-9
14-16
20-25
20-19
16-12
12-17
17-27
21-13
23-21
24-22
14-22
23-14
15-28
13-16
10-31
23-23
19-13
19-14
14-9
16-23
14-11
23-20
15-14
25-20
21-20
18-20
145.4Avg total
72.0Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.073.4145.4-1.450%
Season at home (4)69.571.8141.2-2.250%
Season away (6)73.774.5148.2-0.850%
Last 10 (10)72.073.4145.4-1.450%
Last 5 (5)73.476.2149.6-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)72.077.5149.5-5.525%
vs Similar (21)79.378.6157.9+0.862%
vs Weaker (5)82.873.0155.8+9.8100%
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guaros de LaraVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLara
Date
Competition
Broncos
#5
L
56-100
56
100
-44
47avg 72
A19/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
99-81
99
81
+18
96avg 72
A21/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
87-75
87
75
+12
81avg 72
A22/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
86-72
86
72
+14
69avg 72
H25/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
73-68
73
68
+5
60avg 72
H28/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
47avg 72
H29/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
80-65
80
65
+15
82avg 72
A02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
82-68
82
68
+14
80avg 72
H05/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
80-59
80
59
+21
76avg 72
H08/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
92-100
92
100
-8
85avg 72
A10/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
14-27
19-21
8-30
28-20
18-16
25-18
28-27
19-24
28-20
26-16
14-15
26-11
21-23
18-14
21-24
25-20
19-20
12-16
17-12
21-16
14-23
19-26
9-9
22-14
14-23
28-15
16-13
21-20
17-17
14-23
30-8
11-18
29-14
14-14
26-13
21-21
24-22
24-24
23-33
156.0Avg total
79.8Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.876.2156.0+3.670%
Season at home (5)76.868.2145.0+8.680%
Season away (5)82.884.2167.0-1.460%
Last 10 (10)79.876.2156.0+3.670%
Last 5 (5)79.473.2152.6+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.882.0150.8-13.220%
vs Similar (13)78.084.4162.4-6.431%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.070.1155.1+14.9100%
This opponent (Centauros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.8+0.8
CentaurosGuaros de Lara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CentaurosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A18/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A19/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H24/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H26/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A28/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H30/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H02/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A06/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A08/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A09/04
Superliga
76.1Avg total
37.7Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.278.3-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.137.976.0+0.350%-
Last 30 away (16)40.040.480.4-0.444%-
Last 10 (10)37.738.476.1-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.274.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.037.876.8+1.250%-
vs Similar (21)38.940.479.3-1.538%-
vs Weaker (5)40.235.475.6+4.880%-
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Broncos
#5
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A19/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A21/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A22/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H25/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H28/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H29/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H05/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H08/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A10/04
Superliga
79.8Avg total
40.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.379.3+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.936.578.4+5.464%-
Last 30 away (16)40.139.980.1+0.262%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.179.8+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.676.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.840.277.0-3.440%-
vs Similar (13)39.740.880.5-1.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.034.878.8+9.283%-
This opponent (Centauros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Centaurostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Centauros: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.116.5
43.3%
50.8%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.17.7
28.4%
31.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws23.015.5
67.4%
65.6%15.5
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guaros de Laratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guaros de Lara: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.7
53.8%
50.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.7
32.8%
31.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.211.7
68.0%
65.6%11.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Centauros
WWLLWLWLWL
Guaros de Lara
LWWWLWWWWL
#12
League position
#3
-0.7
Net rating
+5.1
95.7
Offensive rating
101.7
96.4
Defensive rating
96.6
43.0%
Effective FG%
51.9%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.6%
19.3%
Turnover %
17.3%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.26
28.4%
3-point %
32.8%
53.3%
Assist %
60.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.7 · 101.7Defence96.4 · 96.6Shooting43.0% · 51.9%3-point %28.4% · 32.8%Ball care19.3% · 17.3%Off. rebounds32.8% · 22.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Centauros   ■ Guaros de Lara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Centauros wins
3
Guaros de Lara wins
Centauroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/23AGaiteros del Zulia79-74
08/04/23AGaiteros del Zulia67-63
06/04/23AHeroes de Falcon71-81
02/04/23HGuaros de Lara65-80
30/03/23HBrillantes85-83
28/03/23AGuaros de Lara68-73
26/03/23HToros de Aragua64-56
24/03/23HLlaneros64-68
19/03/23ALlaneros87-82
18/03/23ATrotamundos70-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/23ATrotamundos92-100
08/04/23HTrotamundos80-59
05/04/23HFrontinos82-68
02/04/23ACentauros80-65
29/03/23HBrillantes63-74
28/03/23HCentauros73-68
25/03/23HLlaneros86-72
22/03/23AToros de Aragua87-75
21/03/23AFrontinos99-81
19/03/23ABroncos56-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Centauros
Superliga 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game72.069.573.7
Allowed / game73.471.874.5
Point differential-1.4-2.2-0.8
Avg total145.4141.2148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guaros de Lara
Superliga 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL70%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game79.876.882.8
Allowed / game76.268.284.2
Point differential+3.6+8.6-1.4
Avg total156.0145.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%60%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores109190%81.271.6+9.6
2 Piratas de La Guaira98189%82.772.3+10.3
3 Broncos108280%90.675.5+15.1
4 Cocodrilos107370%74.568.8+5.7
5 Guaros de Lara107370%79.876.2+3.6
6 Brillantes106460%83.578.2+5.3
7 Heroes de Falcon106460%84.681.0+3.6
8 Trotamundos106460%79.078.8+0.2
9 Guaiqueries116555%86.681.6+5.0
10 Panteras116555%76.073.3+2.7
11 Centauros105550%72.073.4-1.4
12 Gaiteros del Zulia105550%75.477.8-2.4
13 Marinos73443%83.089.6-6.6
14 Llaneros114736%78.281.0-2.8
15 Gigantes93633%76.881.7-4.9
16 Frontinos103730%80.489.3-8.9
17 Spartans92722%72.076.9-4.9
18 Diablos102820%75.586.9-11.4
19 Cangrejeros81712%75.686.0-10.4
20 Toros de Aragua111109%70.481.3-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Centauros2216161165
Guaros de Lara1821212383
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