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Cento vs Chiusi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 62-47
20-16 16-9 10-16 16-6
Position#12
Record16-18
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game78.0
Cento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#18
Record12-21
FormLWWWW
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game73.3
ItalySerie A2Round 3· Milwaukee Dinelli Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cento v Chiusi
12 May 2024
CENT62
CHIU47
23 Dec 2023
CENT71
CHIU62
04 Jan 2023
CENT74
CHIU65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chiusi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCento
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#9
L
60-76
60
76
-16
49avg 64
A03/03
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
82-70
82
70
+12
68avg 64
H08/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
99-81
99
81
+18
no box
A24/03
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
65-69
65
69
-4
53avg 64
H30/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
75-84
75
84
-9
68avg 64
A07/04
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
85-88
85
88
-3
73avg 64
H10/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
74-72
74
72
+2
66avg 64
H14/04
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
82-67
82
67
+15
79avg 64
A21/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
80-88
80
88
-8
72avg 64
H05/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 64
A08/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
14-26
11-17
16-16
19-19
19-19
20-23
24-9
30-26
26-21
21-23
22-11
17-17
16-11
10-21
22-20
27-21
21-18
13-23
14-22
23-19
21-20
16-26
25-23
11-19
17-26
24-14
22-13
20-22
22-17
28-15
12-13
20-20
22-20
23-25
15-23
27-27
24-18
13-16
20-18
156.0Avg total
78.6Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)75.678.0153.6-2.447%
Season at home (17)77.479.8157.1-2.441%
Season away (17)73.976.3150.2-2.453%
Last 10 (10)78.677.4156.0+1.250%
Last 5 (5)81.078.8159.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.281.6153.8-9.420%
vs Similar ◀ (18)77.575.0152.5+2.567%
vs Weaker (2)72.578.5151.0-6.00%
This opponent (Chiusi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChiusiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiusi
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#20
L
70-76
70
76
-6
62avg 59
A18/02
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
69-68
69
68
+1
58avg 59
A03/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
75-65
75
65
+10
75avg 59
H10/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
70-71
70
71
-1
56avg 59
H17/03
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
88-84
88
84
+4
75avg 59
A24/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
68-71
68
71
-3
60avg 59
H31/03
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
81-56
81
56
+25
76avg 59
A07/04
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
79-71
79
71
+8
70avg 59
H14/04
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
99-88
99
88
+11
95avg 59
A21/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
91-64
91
64
+27
86avg 59
A08/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
14-20
25-19
12-16
18-20
21-19
20-11
10-18
15-15
22-27
22-7
16-16
18-11
10-16
14-23
28-21
23-16
20-19
25-19
20-30
14-20
15-9
9-20
30-22
13-21
20-14
26-11
22-10
17-15
25-10
20-18
17-28
21-24
28-26
26-20
24-18
27-17
25-10
21-20
18-17
150.4Avg total
79.0Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)69.273.3142.5-4.136%
Season at home (16)66.571.2137.8-4.838%
Season away (17)71.775.2146.9-3.535%
Last 10 (10)79.071.4150.4+7.670%
Last 5 (5)83.670.0153.6+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)66.575.9142.4-9.414%
vs Similar ◀ (14)71.971.9143.7+0.057%
vs Weaker (2)86.060.0146.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
CentoChiusi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#9
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A03/03
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H08/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A24/03
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H30/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A07/04
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H10/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H14/04
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A21/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H05/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A08/05
Serie A2
81.8Avg total
41.5Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.077.5+1.463%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.136.976.9+3.264%-
Last 30 away (16)38.939.178.0-0.162%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.381.8+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.683.0-0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.041.679.6-3.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.536.577.0+4.072%-
vs Weaker (2)37.534.071.5+3.5100%-
This opponent (Chiusi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChiusiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#20
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A18/02
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A03/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H10/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H17/03
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A24/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H31/03
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A07/04
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H14/04
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A21/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
52-27
52
27
+25
A08/05
Serie A2
73.5Avg total
38.5Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.036.570.5-2.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.634.766.3-3.133%-
Last 30 away (15)36.338.474.7-2.127%-
Last 10 (10)38.535.073.5+3.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.033.274.2+7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.437.970.2-5.57%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.436.070.4-1.650%-
vs Weaker (2)42.531.073.5+11.550%-
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Centotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cento: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.9
50.7%
50.3%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.1
30.9%
34.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.313.8
71.5%
74.2%13.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chiusitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiusi: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.0
49.3%
50.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.7
32.0%
34.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.915.3
76.9%
74.2%15.3
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cento
WLWWLLLWWL
Chiusi
WWWWLWLWWL
#12
League position
#18
+0.0
Net rating
+10.4
101.9
Offensive rating
104.2
101.9
Defensive rating
93.8
48.9%
Effective FG%
48.8%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
44.4%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.4%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.9%
3-point %
32.0%
51.1%
Assist %
48.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 104.2Defence101.9 · 93.8Shooting48.9% · 48.8%3-point %30.9% · 32.0%Ball care16.1% · 17.4%Off. rebounds25.1% · 28.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Cento   ■ Chiusi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cento wins
1
Chiusi wins
DateGameScore
23/12/23Cento v Chiusi71-62
22/10/23Chiusi v Cento57-53
04/01/23Cento v Chiusi74-65
Centolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/24AAgrigento84-79
05/05/24HLatina80-88
21/04/24ATreviglio82-67
14/04/24HVigevano74-72
10/04/24HTrapani85-88
07/04/24ASebastiani Rieti75-84
30/03/24HLatina65-69
24/03/24AUrania Milano99-81
08/03/24HAgrigento82-70
03/03/24ABasket Torino60-76
Chiusilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/24ALatina91-64
21/04/24AMonferrato99-88
14/04/24HTrapani79-71
07/04/24ALuiss Roma81-56
31/03/24HSebastiani Rieti68-71
24/03/24AAgrigento88-84
17/03/24HJuVi Cremona70-71
10/03/24HCantu75-65
03/03/24ATreviglio69-68
18/02/24AVigevano70-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cento
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW47%
HomeWLLWL41%
AwayLWLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %47%41%53%
Points / game75.677.473.9
Allowed / game78.079.876.3
Point differential-2.4-2.4-2.4
Avg total153.6157.1150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%12%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)50% (6)80% (5)
Overtime %9%12%6%
Chiusi
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW36%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayWWWWW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %36%38%35%
Points / game69.266.571.7
Allowed / game73.371.275.2
Point differential-4.1-4.8-3.5
Avg total142.5137.8146.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%6%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (8)50% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani3632489%87.275.9+11.3
2 Forli3528780%79.373.3+6.1
3 Cantu35251071%84.878.3+6.5
4 Fortitudo Bologna35251071%76.671.0+5.6
5 Udine35241169%78.671.0+7.6
6 Sebastiani Rieti35231266%80.776.9+3.8
7 Verona36231364%78.375.0+3.3
8 Trieste35211460%81.278.5+2.7
9 Basket Torino35201557%82.981.1+1.8
10 Rimini35181751%78.175.8+2.3
11 Cividale35181751%76.175.7+0.4
12 Assigeco Piacenza36171947%77.876.9+0.9
13 Cento34161847%75.678.0-2.4
14 Urania Milano36162044%82.584.7-2.2
15 Treviglio35142140%77.279.3-2.1
16 JuVi Cremona35142140%80.784.6-3.9
17 Nardo34132138%75.680.4-4.8
18 Chiusi33122136%69.273.3-4.1
19 Vigevano35122334%76.981.2-4.3
20 Orzinuovi32102231%75.378.3-2.9
21 Luiss Roma33102330%77.785.5-7.8
22 Agrigento3492526%74.680.9-6.3
23 Latina3482624%76.384.7-8.4
24 Monferrato3272522%79.485.0-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cento2016101662
Chiusi16916647
← all games of the day
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