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Cento vs Chiusi Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 71-62
18-10 25-12 12-21 16-19
Position#12
Record5-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game78.8
Cento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#18
Record2-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game63.0
Allowed / game74.5
ItalySerie A2Round 16· Milwaukee Dinelli Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cento v Chiusi
12 May 2024
CENT62
CHIU47
23 Dec 2023
CENT71
CHIU62
04 Jan 2023
CENT74
CHIU65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chiusi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCento
Date
Competition
Udine
#6
L
80-93
80
93
-13
72avg 61
H29/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
82-77
82
77
+5
81avg 61
A01/11
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
no box
H05/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
59avg 61
A12/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
67-56
67
56
+11
59avg 61
A19/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
78-67
78
67
+11
68avg 61
H26/11
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
62-82
62
82
-20
48avg 61
A02/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
78-85
78
85
-7
69avg 61
H06/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
59-77
59
77
-18
49avg 61
A10/12
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
66-80
66
80
-14
59avg 61
A17/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
20-22
11-25
27-24
26-22
19-18
13-20
24-17
20-16
25-21
13-22
23-22
17-24
23-23
11-23
21-14
13-13
18-9
15-12
21-22
24-17
22-15
17-22
15-13
15-24
14-25
18-22
15-11
22-15
24-22
16-25
16-23
20-26
16-8
11-19
12-24
10-21
16-23
23-18
17-18
153.2Avg total
73.7Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.378.8152.1-5.533%
Season at home (7)79.784.6164.3-4.929%
Season away (8)67.673.8141.4-6.138%
Last 10 (10)73.779.5153.2-5.830%
Last 5 (5)68.678.2146.8-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.083.5159.5-7.527%
vs Similar ◀ (16)73.076.2149.2-3.231%
vs Weaker (3)73.069.7142.7+3.367%
This opponent (Chiusi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChiusiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiusi
Date
Competition
Cento
#12
W
57-53
57
53
+4
49avg 51
H22/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
64-78
64
78
-14
54avg 51
A29/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
59-64
59
64
-5
51avg 51
H01/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
71-76
71
76
-5
62avg 51
A05/11
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
62-71
62
71
-9
60avg 51
H12/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
no box
H19/11
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
69-71
69
71
-2
62avg 51
A26/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
66avg 51
H03/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
51-69
51
69
-18
40avg 51
H10/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
43-79
43
79
-36
29avg 51
H17/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-10
16-15
13-17
19-11
19-21
11-15
12-16
22-26
12-13
14-17
25-18
8-16
13-22
19-19
18-19
21-16
13-21
11-11
19-22
19-17
18-24
26-19
20-17
18-22
13-14
20-13
14-23
22-21
19-23
21-23
16-15
19-21
10-13
11-17
12-17
18-22
16-26
9-20
12-17
6-16
138.3Avg total
64.8Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)63.074.5137.5-11.514%
Season at home (8)63.673.2136.9-9.625%
Season away (6)62.276.2138.3-14.00%
Last 10 (10)64.873.5138.3-8.720%
Last 5 (5)67.078.6145.6-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)63.574.2137.8-10.78%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.174.5144.6-4.333%
vs Weaker (2)80.075.5155.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.6-1.6
CentoChiusi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H29/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A01/11
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H05/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A12/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
31-22
31
22
+9
A19/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H26/11
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A02/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H06/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A10/12
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A17/12
Serie A2
77.2Avg total
38.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.739.977.6-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.042.781.7-3.729%-
Last 30 away (16)36.537.473.9-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.677.2+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.275.8-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.845.283.0-7.418%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.837.375.1+0.550%-
vs Weaker (3)36.334.370.7+2.067%-
This opponent (Chiusi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChiusiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#12
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H22/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A29/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H01/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A05/11
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H12/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H19/11
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A26/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H03/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
21-30
21
30
-9
H10/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
25-46
25
46
-21
H17/12
Serie A2
65.6Avg total
30.0Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.436.469.8-3.027%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.436.569.9-3.129%-
Last 30 away (13)33.436.369.7-2.923%-
Last 10 (10)30.035.665.6-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)32.638.471.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.536.268.7-3.623%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.736.970.6-3.320%-
vs Weaker (2)37.034.571.5+2.5100%-
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Centotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cento: 68.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.316.6
47.0%
50.3%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.7
32.2%
34.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws15.712.0
76.4%
74.2%12.0
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chiusitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiusi: 59.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.415.3
45.8%
50.3%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.05.9
26.8%
34.1%17.7
🏀 Free throws14.010.9
77.9%
74.2%10.9
They take 55.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cento
LLLLWWLLWL
Chiusi
LLLLWLLLLW
#12
League position
#18
-9.6
Net rating
-20.1
96.3
Offensive rating
88.6
105.9
Defensive rating
108.7
47.6%
Effective FG%
43.6%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
16.8%
Turnover %
20.6%
20.9%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.2%
3-point %
26.8%
48.6%
Assist %
53.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.3 · 88.6Defence105.9 · 108.7Shooting47.6% · 43.6%3-point %32.2% · 26.8%Ball care16.8% · 20.6%Off. rebounds20.9% · 25.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Cento   ■ Chiusi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cento wins
1
Chiusi wins
DateGameScore
22/10/23Chiusi v Cento57-53
04/01/23Cento v Chiusi74-65
Centolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23ATrieste66-80
10/12/23AAssigeco Piacenza59-77
06/12/23HVerona78-85
02/12/23AForli62-82
26/11/23HCividale78-67
19/11/23AOrzinuovi67-56
12/11/23AFortitudo Bologna72-84
05/11/23HNardo93-94 OT
01/11/23ARimini82-77
29/10/23HUdine80-93
Chiusilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HUdine43-79
10/12/23HCividale51-69
03/12/23HFortitudo Bologna75-82
26/11/23ANardo69-71
19/11/23HAssigeco Piacenza97-92 OT
12/11/23HForli62-71
05/11/23AOrzinuovi71-76
01/11/23HVerona59-64
29/10/23ARimini64-78
22/10/23HCento57-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cento
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeWLLWL29%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%29%38%
Points / game73.379.767.6
Allowed / game78.884.673.8
Point differential-5.5-4.9-6.1
Avg total152.1164.3141.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %13%29%0%
Chiusi
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game63.063.662.2
Allowed / game74.573.276.2
Point differential-11.5-9.6-14.0
Avg total137.5136.9138.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1514193%92.977.9+15.0
2 Cantu1512380%89.982.0+7.9
3 Forli1512380%80.975.4+5.5
4 Fortitudo Bologna1512380%78.673.2+5.4
5 Trieste1411379%79.673.7+5.9
6 Udine1612475%81.168.6+12.5
7 Basket Torino1612475%85.881.1+4.7
8 Verona1611569%77.273.5+3.7
9 Urania Milano1610662%83.583.5+0.0
10 Sebastiani Rieti159660%82.979.6+3.3
11 Assigeco Piacenza169756%79.875.8+4.0
12 JuVi Cremona158753%87.885.1+2.7
13 Treviglio158753%82.882.4+0.4
14 Nardo167944%77.984.1-6.1
15 Agrigento1551033%76.179.0-2.9
16 Cento1551033%73.378.8-5.5
17 Rimini1541127%76.078.9-2.9
18 Monferrato1541127%79.483.2-3.8
19 Vigevano1541127%77.584.4-6.9
20 Cividale1641225%71.976.9-5.0
21 Luiss Roma1641225%78.688.2-9.6
22 Orzinuovi1631319%71.377.8-6.4
23 Chiusi1421214%63.074.5-11.5
24 Latina1621412%77.287.1-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cento1825121671
Chiusi1012211962
← all games of the day
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