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Cento vs Latina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 65-69
17-17 16-11 10-21 22-20
Position#12
Record13-14
FormWWLWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#23
Record5-23
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game85.5
ItalySerie A2Round 29· Milwaukee Dinelli Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cento v Latina
05 May 2024
CENT80
LATI88
30 Mar 2024
CENT65
LATI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Latina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCento
Date
Competition
Rimini
#10
L
78-89
78
89
-11
66avg 63
H07/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
86-79 OT
86
79
+7
no box
A14/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
61-57
61
57
+4
53avg 63
H21/01
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
82-96
82
96
-14
72avg 63
H28/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
86-83
86
83
+3
80avg 63
A04/02
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
79-73
79
73
+6
70avg 63
H10/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
82-76
82
76
+6
72avg 63
A18/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
60-76
60
76
-16
49avg 63
A03/03
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
82-70
82
70
+12
68avg 63
H08/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
99-81
99
81
+18
no box
A24/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
16-20
23-16
18-28
13-14
24-16
14-19
20-22
18-14
18-13
10-13
15-17
24-25
17-20
13-21
28-30
18-29
28-14
15-15
25-25
16-17
24-20
17-19
22-17
16-20
29-16
18-17
19-23
19-17
14-26
11-17
16-16
19-19
19-19
20-23
24-9
30-26
26-21
21-23
22-11
157.5Avg total
79.5Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.078.0153.0-3.048%
Season at home (13)77.879.9157.7-2.246%
Season away (14)72.576.2148.7-3.750%
Last 10 (10)79.578.0157.5+1.570%
Last 5 (5)80.475.2155.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.781.1152.8-9.430%
vs Similar (20)76.177.1153.2-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Latina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LatinaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLatina
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#20
W
95-87
95
87
+8
95avg 67
A14/01
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
L
94-103
94
103
-9
87avg 67
H21/01
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
76-84 OT
76
84
-8
no box
A28/01
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
80-71
80
71
+9
80avg 67
H04/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
68-70
68
70
-2
56avg 67
A11/02
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
70-67
70
67
+3
58avg 67
H03/03
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
69avg 67
H06/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
58-75
58
75
-17
50avg 67
A09/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
73-92
73
92
-19
58avg 67
A17/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
63-77
63
77
-14
47avg 67
H23/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
23-24
22-18
22-19
19-24
19-29
26-22
30-28
19-22
19-15
25-18
9-17
22-22
23-12
13-21
22-16
18-18
20-17
17-14
13-21
14-18
19-16
19-17
18-16
18-25
14-19
16-13
24-24
19-18
13-22
11-12
15-23
23-27
14-17
20-25
16-23
15-24
9-20
19-20
20-13
155.6Avg total
74.9Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.485.5161.9-9.118%
Season at home (14)77.385.6162.9-8.414%
Season away (14)75.685.4160.9-9.821%
Last 10 (10)74.980.7155.6-5.830%
Last 5 (5)67.278.4145.6-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)72.686.0158.6-13.46%
vs Similar (13)80.684.0164.6-3.431%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
CentoLatina
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H07/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A14/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H21/01
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H28/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A04/02
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H10/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A18/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A03/03
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H08/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A24/03
Serie A2
80.0Avg total
40.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.679.0-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.940.181.1+0.843%-
Last 30 away (16)37.939.277.1-1.256%-
Last 10 (10)40.939.180.0+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.282.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.043.779.7-7.720%-
vs Similar (20)41.037.678.6+3.465%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Latina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LatinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#20
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A14/01
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H21/01
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A28/01
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H04/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A11/02
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H03/03
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H06/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A09/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A17/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H23/03
Serie A2
78.3Avg total
36.8Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.743.582.2-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.744.582.3-6.827%-
Last 30 away (15)39.642.582.1-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)36.841.578.3-4.740%-
Last 5 (5)31.641.272.8-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.244.181.3-6.824%-
vs Similar (13)40.542.883.3-2.238%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Centotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cento: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.3
52.4%
50.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.7
28.7%
34.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws15.911.5
72.3%
74.2%11.5
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Latinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latina: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.9
51.1%
50.3%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.4
32.3%
34.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.415.6
72.9%
74.2%15.6
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cento
WWLWWWLWWL
Latina
LLLLWLWLLW
#12
League position
#23
-2.8
Net rating
-10.9
101.0
Offensive rating
103.0
103.7
Defensive rating
113.9
48.5%
Effective FG%
50.1%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
15.1%
Turnover %
17.4%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.36
28.7%
3-point %
32.3%
47.8%
Assist %
57.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 103.0Defence103.7 · 113.9Shooting48.5% · 50.1%3-point %28.7% · 32.3%Ball care15.1% · 17.4%Off. rebounds24.6% · 23.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Cento   ■ Latina
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cento wins
0
Latina wins
No previous meetings.
Centolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24AUrania Milano99-81
08/03/24HAgrigento82-70
03/03/24ABasket Torino60-76
18/02/24AJuVi Cremona82-76
10/02/24HMonferrato79-73
04/02/24ACividale86-83
28/01/24HOrzinuovi82-96
21/01/24HFortitudo Bologna61-57
14/01/24ANardo86-79 OT
07/01/24HRimini78-89
Latinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HFortitudo Bologna63-77
17/03/24ARimini73-92
09/03/24ACividale58-75
06/03/24HUdine72-81
03/03/24HTrieste70-67
11/02/24ANardo68-70
04/02/24HAgrigento80-71
28/01/24ATreviglio76-84 OT
21/01/24HMonferrato94-103
14/01/24AVigevano95-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cento
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW48%
HomeLWLWW46%
AwayWWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %48%46%50%
Points / game75.077.872.5
Allowed / game78.079.976.2
Point differential-3.0-2.2-3.7
Avg total153.0157.7148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%15%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %11%15%7%
Latina
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL18%
HomeLWWLL14%
AwayWLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %18%14%21%
Points / game76.477.375.6
Allowed / game85.585.685.4
Point differential-9.1-8.4-9.8
Avg total161.9162.9160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2725293%89.376.5+12.8
2 Forli2823582%79.273.0+6.3
3 Fortitudo Bologna2720774%76.671.6+5.0
4 Udine2921872%78.869.8+9.0
5 Cantu2820871%86.979.8+7.1
6 Basket Torino2820871%84.980.8+4.1
7 Sebastiani Rieti28171161%81.178.0+3.1
8 Verona28171161%76.173.8+2.4
9 Trieste28161257%80.278.8+1.4
10 Rimini28141450%77.876.1+1.7
11 Urania Milano28141450%82.484.0-1.6
12 Cento27131448%75.078.0-3.0
13 Assigeco Piacenza28131546%77.476.1+1.3
14 Cividale28131546%75.275.7-0.4
15 JuVi Cremona28131546%83.684.6-1.0
16 Treviglio28121643%79.079.5-0.5
17 Vigevano28111739%78.280.9-2.7
18 Nardo28111739%74.880.6-5.8
19 Luiss Roma2891932%78.185.1-7.0
20 Orzinuovi2882029%74.278.0-3.7
21 Chiusi2882029%66.673.9-7.2
22 Monferrato2862221%79.484.6-5.1
23 Agrigento2862221%74.080.8-6.8
24 Latina2852318%76.485.5-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cento1716102265
Latina1711212069
← all games of the day
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