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Central Connecticut State vs Quinnipiac Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 77-68
Projected total 145.6
Scheduled
Position#247
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game79.0
Vs
78%
22%
■ CENT 78%■ QUIN 22%
Pythia win probability
Position#243
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game75.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Central Connecticut State v Quinnipiac
15 Nov 2026
CENT v QUIN
upcoming
21 Dec 2024
CENT84
QUIN80
13 Nov 2022
CENT70
QUIN72
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Central Connecticut State faces Quinnipiac in the NCAA on 15 November 2026, with the model favouring the Huskies at 78% versus 22% for the Blue Devils, a reflection of Central Connecticut State's higher points per game of 65.5 to Quinnipiac's 68.5 and a slightly better defensive record of 79.0 allowed versus 75.5, despite both teams sitting at 2-2 in the season. Central Connecticut State's season shows a 2-2 record, 65.5 points scored and 79.0 allowed, while Quinnipiac also sits at 2-2, 68.5 points scored and 75.5 allowed; each has played five games recently with two wins and three losses, and the Huskies' last five include a 79-75 win over Sacred Heart and a 78-71 win over Dartmouth, but a 49-102 loss to Syracuse, whereas the Blue Devils' recent results include a 70-74 loss to Monmouth, a 79-76 win over Vermont and a 66-56 win over Bryant University. In head-to-head history Quinnipiac leads 4-1, most recently defeating Central Connecticut State 71-49 on 6 November 2025. The Pythia model projects a 77-68 score for the Huskies, a total of 145.6 points, a 2.5 point spread favouring Central Connecticut State with an 82% chance of covering, and a 58% probability of the over on the 142.0 line, with a 4% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Central Connecticut State win
77.8%fair 1.29
Best odds2.60
Implied37.5%
Edge+40.3pp
Quinnipiac win
22.2%fair 4.50
Best odds1.55
Implied62.5%
Edge-40.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 18:31 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Central Connecticut StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A14/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H20/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
51-70
51
70
-19
A21/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H27/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H05/03
NCAA
Temple
#288
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A02/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#148
L
49-102
49
102
-53
A06/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#106
W
78-71 OT
78
71
+7
A08/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#187
W
79-75
79
75
+4
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-25
33-32
39-34
39-43
25-28
26-42
34-30
46-48
32-29
37-35
35-31
25-39
16-36
40-32
23-47
26-55
33-30
33-36
31-43
48-32
139.5Avg total
66.3Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)65.579.0144.5-13.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)65.579.0144.5-13.550%
Last 10 (10)66.373.2139.5-6.960%
Last 5 (5)64.477.2141.6-12.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)65.579.0144.5-13.550%
vs Similar (11)69.373.6142.9-4.445%
vs Weaker (15)76.769.9146.5+6.873%
This opponent (Quinnipiac) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QuinnipiacUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#78
W
74-62
74
62
+12
A14/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H15/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A01/03
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H07/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#28
L
59-96
59
96
-37
A03/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H06/11
NCAA
Vermont
#193
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A08/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#329
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-27
40-35
21-21
28-35
36-39
43-46
32-31
36-37
29-30
38-33
32-42
43-35
24-52
35-44
33-29
33-27
37-40
42-36
37-36
33-38
141.7Avg total
69.4Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.575.5144.0-7.050%
Season at home (2)68.065.0133.0+3.050%
Season away (2)69.086.0155.0-17.050%
Last 10 (10)69.472.3141.7-2.940%
Last 5 (5)69.875.8145.6-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.082.0150.0-14.033%
vs Similar (12)73.673.0146.6+0.642%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)75.269.2144.4+6.073%
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 137
Over 137
70.1%
@ 2.55+28.3pp
Under 137
29.9%
@ 1.68-28.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.55
Marathon Be
1.89
Under
Marathon Be
1.68
Bet365
1.47
Over/Under 142 · main line
Over 142
58.5%
@ 1.86+9.4pp
Under 142
41.5%
@ 1.86-9.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Under
1xBet
1.86
Marathon Be
1.73
Over/Under 147
Over 147
46.0%
Under 147
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Central Connecticut State total 63.5
Over 63.5
no forecast
@ 1.72
Under 63.5
no forecast
@ 2.02
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
Under
Betano
2.02
Central Connecticut State total 67.5 · main line
Over 67.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
Under 67.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
Betano
1.50
Central Connecticut State total 71.5
Over 71.5
71.4%
Under 71.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Quinnipiac total 66.5
Over 66.5
57.1%
@ 1.53-2.1pp
Under 66.5
42.9%
@ 2.22+2.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.53
Under
Betano
2.22
Quinnipiac total 70.5 · main line
Over 70.5
41.6%
@ 2.07-5.7pp
Under 70.5
58.4%
@ 1.85+5.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
Betano
1.67
Quinnipiac total 74.5
Over 74.5
27.5%
@ 2.90-3.6pp
Under 74.5
72.5%
@ 1.31+3.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.90
Under
Betano
1.31

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Central Connecticut State -0.5
CENT -0.5
77.8%
QUIN +0.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
CENT
No market prices yet.
QUIN
No market prices yet.
Spread Central Connecticut State +2.5 · main line
CENT +2.5
82.5%
@ 2.12+35.3pp
QUIN -2.5
17.5%
@ 1.87-35.3pp
Best 5 market prices
CENT
Betano
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.83
QUIN
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.68
Betano
1.62
Spread Central Connecticut State +5.5
CENT +5.5
88.3%
@ 1.78+34.5pp
QUIN -5.5
11.7%
@ 2.05-34.5pp
Best 5 market prices
CENT
Betano
1.78
Marathon Be
1.76
Bet365
1.71
QUIN
Bet365
2.05
Betano
2.00

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -3.5-3.51st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: -4.1-4.12nd half: +0.5+0.5
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -3.5-3.51st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: -4.1-4.12nd half: +0.5+0.5
Central Connecticut StateQuinnipiac
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Central Connecticut StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A14/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H20/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H27/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H28/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H05/03
NCAA
Temple
#288
L
16-36
16
36
-20
A02/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#148
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A06/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#106
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A08/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#187
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A13/11
NCAA
63.1Avg total
29.8Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 65.5
Last 30 (30)33.233.266.4-0.163%47%
Last 30 at home (13)36.832.969.8+3.977%54%
Last 30 away (17)30.433.563.8-3.153%41%
Last 10 (10)29.833.363.1-3.560%40%
Last 5 (5)27.637.465.0-9.840%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)25.839.064.8-13.225%50%
vs Similar (11)32.333.365.5-1.055%64%
vs Weaker (15)35.831.767.5+4.180%33%
This opponent (Quinnipiac) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QuinnipiacLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#78
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A14/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
D
21-21
21
21
+0
H15/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A27/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A01/03
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H07/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#28
L
24-52
24
52
-28
A03/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H06/11
NCAA
Vermont
#193
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#329
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H13/11
NCAA
66.2Avg total
31.5Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 65.5
Last 30 (30)35.335.070.2+0.353%67%
Last 30 at home (15)35.332.968.3+2.460%67%
Last 30 away (15)35.237.072.2-1.847%67%
Last 10 (10)31.534.766.2-3.240%50%
Last 5 (5)32.639.872.4-7.240%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.741.071.7-10.30%67%
vs Similar (12)34.636.871.3-2.242%75%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)36.732.369.1+4.473%60%
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
CENT win
no forecast
@ 2.42
QUIN win
no forecast
@ 1.57
1st half Spread Central Connecticut State +2.5 · main line
CENT +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
QUIN -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half Over/Under 65.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 2.18
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Central Connecticut State 1st half total 32.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 2.30
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Quinnipiac 1st half total 34.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 2.18
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 64
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 67
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Spread Central Connecticut State +1.5
CENT +1.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
QUIN -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Spread Central Connecticut State +3.5
CENT +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.75
QUIN -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
1st half Over/Under 62.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.75
Under
no forecast
@ 2.05
1st half Spread Central Connecticut State +4.5
CENT +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
QUIN -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Spread Central Connecticut State +5.5
CENT +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
QUIN -5.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
1st half Over/Under 60.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.52
Under
no forecast
@ 2.35
1st half Spread Central Connecticut State -1.5
CENT -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.67
QUIN +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
1st half Spread Central Connecticut State +6.5
CENT +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
QUIN -6.5
no forecast
@ 2.67
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
CENT
no forecast
@ 2.47
Draw
no forecast
@ 21.00
QUIN
no forecast
@ 1.65

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
CENT win + total 133.5
🔒 Pro
QUIN win + total 133.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: CENT leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: QUIN leads at half
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: close (1-10 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Central Connecticut State over 69.577.7%2.80
Betano
2.80
----+45.4pp
Central Connecticut State (regulation)75.5%2.65
Betano
2.67
Marathon Bet
2.64
1xBet
2.64
--+41.2pp
Central Connecticut State -371.1%3.10
Bet365
3.10
----+41.1pp
Central Connecticut State win77.8%2.50
Betano
2.60
1xBet
2.50
WilliamHill
2.50
BetVictor
2.50
Bet365
2.50
+40.3pp
Over 13574.3%2.00
Bet365
2.15
Marathon Bet
1.86
---+28.9pp
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🔒 65 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Central Connecticut State wins
4
Quinnipiac wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ASacred Heart79-75
08/11/26ADartmouth78-71 OT
06/11/26ASyracuse49-102
02/11/26ATemple56-68
05/03/26HWagner60-70
28/02/26HSt. Francis (PA)69-64
27/02/26HMercyhurst Lakers80-78
21/02/26AChicago State51-70
20/02/26HLe Moyne78-77
14/02/26AFairleigh Dickinson63-57
Quinnipiaclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HMonmouth70-74
08/11/26AVermont79-76
06/11/26HBryant University66-56
03/11/26AMichigan State59-96
07/03/26HMarist75-77
01/03/26ACanisius67-63
27/02/26ANiagara76-78 OT
22/02/26HFairfield79-85
15/02/26HMerrimack Warriors49-56
14/02/26ASiena74-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Central Connecticut State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
Home--
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %50%-50%
Points / game65.5-65.5
Allowed / game79.0-79.0
Point differential-13.5--13.5
Avg total144.5-144.5
Over 14275%-75%
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%-25%
Quinnipiac
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game68.568.069.0
Allowed / game75.565.086.0
Point differential-7.0+3.0-17.0
Avg total144.0133.0155.0
Over 14275%50%100%
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Le Moyne42250%76.072.5+3.5
2 Central Connecticut State42250%65.579.0-13.5
3 Chicago State52340%68.078.8-10.8
4 Fairleigh Dickinson52340%68.285.0-16.8
5 New Haven Chargers31233%58.370.0-11.7
6 Wagner41325%66.273.2-7.0
7 Mercyhurst Lakers41325%61.270.8-9.5
8 Stonehill41325%59.875.5-15.8
9 LIU Sharks5050%60.875.0-14.2
10 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena43175%83.877.8+6.0
2 Sacred Heart42250%84.868.2+16.5
3 Merrimack Warriors42250%62.865.8-3.0
4 Canisius42250%77.281.5-4.2
5 Quinnipiac42250%68.575.5-7.0
6 Fairfield42250%60.071.8-11.8
7 Iona52340%64.869.6-4.8
8 Mount St. Mary's31233%60.778.7-18.0
9 Marist41325%67.869.2-1.5
10 Manhattan41325%63.873.8-10.0
11 Rider51420%64.077.6-13.6
12 St. Peters4040%47.563.8-16.2
13 Niagara3030%63.084.0-21.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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