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Sturt Sabres vs South Adelaide Panthers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 05:45
Final 97-94
25-21 28-31 30-20 14-22
Position#3
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game98.7
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.3
Allowed / game83.7
AustraliaNBL1 Central
Other2024
Meetings · Sturt Sabres v South Adelaide Panthers
21 Jun 2025
STUR85
SOUT97
14 Apr 2024
STUR97
SOUT94
30 Jul 2023
STUR98
SOUT71
01 Apr 2023
STUR64
SOUT76
30 Jul 2022
STUR72
SOUT92
29 May 2021
STUR84
SOUT64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sturt Sabres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Adelaide Panthers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sturt SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Tigers
#10
W
110-54
110
54
+56
H02/07
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
91-82
91
82
+9
H08/07
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A09/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
W
123-73
123
73
+50
A15/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
89-90
89
90
-1
A22/07
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H30/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A05/08
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
100-84
100
84
+16
H23/03
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#10
W
104-62
104
62
+42
A30/03
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
92-77
92
77
+15
A06/04
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
32-7
26-7
25-21
24-17
17-27
26-21
24-17
31-27
12-28
17-20
25-21
29-23
22-18
41-12
31-20
20-27
27-21
12-22
30-20
22-19
29-25
22-19
25-8
12-25
25-29
12-21
24-21
21-25
26-20
28-20
25-19
27-16
17-14
27-10
33-22
11-19
31-32
26-16
24-10
175.0Avg total
96.5Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)98.774.3173.0+24.3100%
Season at home (1)100.084.0184.0+16.0100%
Season away (2)98.069.5167.5+28.5100%
Last 10 (10)96.578.5175.0+18.070%
Last 5 (5)93.478.0171.4+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.190.3169.4-11.129%
vs Similar ◀ (5)83.285.2168.4-2.020%
vs Weaker (18)94.273.2167.4+21.183%
This opponent (South Adelaide Panthers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South Adelaide PanthersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H24/06
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A01/07
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#10
W
95-74
95
74
+21
A06/07
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
95-66
95
66
+29
H08/07
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H15/07
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H22/07
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#4
L
71-98
71
98
-27
A30/07
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H23/03
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
98-92
98
92
+6
A29/03
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#10
W
104-82
104
82
+22
H06/04
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
21-21
21-27
25-9
19-16
16-21
23-17
27-29
20-26
28-18
28-16
19-14
26-16
19-16
26-25
24-9
18-23
20-17
19-13
19-26
33-20
16-25
22-23
21-13
19-22
25-29
19-22
8-25
32-22
16-21
13-16
20-18
25-22
30-18
22-25
21-27
23-16
30-20
24-23
27-23
169.8Avg total
88.3Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)94.383.7178.0+10.7100%
Season at home (2)92.579.5172.0+13.0100%
Season away (1)98.092.0190.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.381.5169.8+6.880%
Last 5 (5)89.286.0175.2+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)82.286.5168.7-4.342%
vs Similar ◀ (3)82.089.3171.3-7.333%
vs Weaker (15)89.876.3166.1+13.587%
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +8.7+8.7Q4: +1.8+1.8
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +8.7+8.7Q4: +1.8+1.8
Sturt SabresSouth Adelaide Panthers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Tigers
#10
W
59-26
59
26
+33
H02/07
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H08/07
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A09/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A15/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A22/07
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H30/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A05/08
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H23/03
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#10
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A30/03
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A06/04
NBL1 Central
90.0Avg total
46.2Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.642.886.5+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.643.287.9+1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)42.842.585.2+0.256%-
Last 10 (10)46.243.890.0+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)44.244.889.0-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.347.086.3-7.743%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)44.047.091.0-3.020%-
vs Weaker (18)45.240.185.3+5.267%-
This opponent (South Adelaide Panthers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South Adelaide PanthersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Districts Lions
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H24/06
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A01/07
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#10
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A06/07
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H08/07
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H15/07
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H22/07
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#4
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A30/07
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H23/03
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A29/03
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#10
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H06/04
NBL1 Central
87.0Avg total
45.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.685.4+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.637.480.0+5.262%-
Last 30 away (17)44.844.889.6-0.141%-
Last 10 (10)45.541.587.0+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)49.843.092.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.944.085.9-2.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)45.743.088.7+2.767%-
vs Weaker (15)45.039.484.4+5.660%-
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24ANorwood Flames92-77
30/03/24ANorth Adelaide Rockets104-62
23/03/24HForestville Eagles100-84
05/08/23AWest Adelaide Bearcats73-96
30/07/23HSouth Adelaide Panthers98-71
22/07/23AForestville Eagles89-90
15/07/23AEastern Mavericks123-73
09/07/23AWoodville Warriors85-96
08/07/23HCentral Districts Lions91-82
02/07/23HSouthern Tigers110-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24HNorth Adelaide Rockets104-82
29/03/24AWest Adelaide Bearcats98-92
23/03/24HSouthern Tigers81-77
30/07/23ASturt Sabres71-98
22/07/23HWoodville Warriors92-81
15/07/23HWoodville Warriors76-79
08/07/23HNorwood Flames95-66
06/07/23ASouthern Tigers95-74
01/07/23ANorth Adelaide Rockets85-83
24/06/23HCentral Districts Lions86-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sturt Sabres
NBL1 Central 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game98.7100.098.0
Allowed / game74.384.069.5
Point differential+24.3+16.0+28.5
Avg total173.0184.0167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Adelaide Panthers
NBL1 Central 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.392.598.0
Allowed / game83.779.592.0
Point differential+10.7+13.0+6.0
Avg total178.0172.0190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sturt Sabres330100%98.774.3+24.3
2 South Adelaide Panthers330100%94.383.7+10.7
3 Forestville Eagles43175%98.888.0+10.8
4 Eastern Mavericks43175%84.885.5-0.8
5 Woodville Warriors32167%93.788.0+5.7
6 Central Districts Lions42250%94.892.8+2.0
7 West Adelaide Bearcats41325%87.292.0-4.8
8 Norwood Flames41325%92.298.8-6.5
9 Southern Tigers3030%83.796.0-12.3
10 North Adelaide Rockets4040%76.098.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sturt Sabres2528301497
South Adelaide Panthers2131202294
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