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Central Michigan vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 87-78 (OT)
40-30 30-40 17-8
Position#324
Record6-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game68.8
vs
Position#231
Record8-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game76.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Central Michigan v Buffalo
12 Jan 2027
CENT v BUFF
upcoming
25 Feb 2025
CENT73
BUFF69
02 Jan 2024
CENT64
BUFF76
14 Jan 2023
CENT87
BUFF78
05 Feb 2022
CENT54
BUFF74
13 Feb 2021
CENT v BUFF
upcoming
18 Jan 2020
CENT67
BUFF86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Central Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Central MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue Northwest
#402
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H30/11
NCAA
Alma College
#548
W
89-50
89
50
+39
H03/12
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H08/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A10/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
58-79
58
79
-21
A18/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#47
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H22/12
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A30/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H04/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
L
54-73
54
73
-19
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-34
38-33
39-25
50-25
25-32
41-39
25-31
38-39
30-40
28-39
32-41
33-35
27-28
36-33
26-29
42-27
30-18
26-44
30-40
24-33
132.1Avg total
65.6Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)67.268.8136.0-1.638%
Season at home (8)73.464.2137.6+9.162%
Season away (8)61.073.4134.4-12.412%
Last 10 (10)65.666.5132.1-0.940%
Last 5 (5)61.265.6126.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)66.573.2139.7-6.724%
vs Similar (6)67.064.7131.7+2.350%
vs Weaker (2)68.568.5137.0+0.050%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius
#310
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H27/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#252
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H03/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
91-53
91
53
+38
H06/12
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
63-88
63
88
-25
H10/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
78-96
78
96
-18
A18/12
NCAA
SUNY-Canton
#680
W
129-62
129
62
+67
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A30/12
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H07/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-27
47-39
37-31
46-35
51-26
40-27
29-46
34-42
39-47
39-49
66-30
63-32
30-41
38-48
39-32
36-40
45-28
35-34
34-37
46-54
157.8Avg total
83.3Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.876.9155.6+1.950%
Season at home (9)84.172.6156.7+11.678%
Season away (7)71.982.4154.3-10.614%
Last 10 (10)83.374.5157.8+8.860%
Last 5 (5)86.475.2161.6+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.886.8160.5-13.025%
vs Similar (12)73.272.2145.3+1.042%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.970.1156.0+15.8100%
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +2.4+2.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +2.4+2.4
Central MichiganBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Central MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue Northwest
#402
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H30/11
NCAA
Alma College
#548
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H03/12
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H08/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A10/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A18/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#47
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H22/12
NCAA
Michigan
#174
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A30/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H04/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
30-18
30
18
+12
A07/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A11/01
NCAA
61.8Avg total
30.0Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.732.562.2-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.931.462.3-0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)28.533.562.1-5.027%-
Last 10 (10)30.031.861.8-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)29.031.260.2-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)29.334.163.4-4.833%-
vs Similar (6)29.528.057.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (2)30.532.563.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius
#310
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H27/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#252
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H03/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H06/12
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H10/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A18/12
NCAA
SUNY-Canton
#680
W
66-30
66
30
+36
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A30/12
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H07/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A11/01
NCAA
75.4Avg total
40.9Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.335.172.4+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.534.873.3+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)36.135.571.6+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)40.934.575.4+6.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.833.676.4+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.140.575.6-5.425%-
vs Similar (12)34.232.967.1+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.233.974.1+6.389%-
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Central Michigan wins
4
Buffalo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23ANorthern Illinois54-73
07/01/23AEastern Michigan56-62
04/01/23HMiami (FL)68-56
30/12/22AMichigan63-61
22/12/22HYoungstown State65-76
18/12/22AMissouri State58-79
10/12/22ATulsa63-70
08/12/22HRobert Morris66-71
03/12/22HAlma College89-50
30/11/22HPurdue Northwest74-67
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23AMiami (FL)80-91
07/01/23HNorthern Illinois80-62
04/01/23HOhio75-72
30/12/22AMichigan State68-89
21/12/22HSUNY-Canton129-62
18/12/22AWest Virginia78-96
10/12/22HTulane63-88
06/12/22HSt. John's (N.Y.)91-53
03/12/22HSt. Bonaventure83-66
27/11/22HCanisius86-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Central Michigan
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL38%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%62%12%
Points / game67.273.461.0
Allowed / game68.864.273.4
Point differential-1.6+9.1-12.4
Avg total136.0137.6134.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWLWWW78%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %50%78%14%
Points / game78.884.171.9
Allowed / game76.972.682.4
Point differential+1.9+11.6-10.6
Avg total155.6156.7154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State1714382%74.562.2+12.3
2 Akron1712571%72.861.9+10.9
3 Ball State1712571%76.567.0+9.5
4 Toledo1610662%84.679.5+5.1
5 UMass1610662%71.569.4+2.1
6 Ohio179853%76.471.5+4.9
7 Buffalo168850%78.876.9+1.9
8 Bowling Green178947%78.176.1+2.0
9 Central Michigan1661038%67.268.8-1.6
10 Western Michigan1761135%72.272.9-0.7
11 Northern Illinois1651131%67.975.1-7.2
12 Eastern Michigan1741324%72.781.5-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Central Michigan40301787
Buffalo3040878
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