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Central Michigan vs Buffalo Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 13 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#60
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game65.8
Central Michigan
USA
vs
Buffalo
USA
Position#279
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game79.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Central Michigan v Buffalo
12 Jan 2027
CENT v BUFF
upcoming
25 Feb 2025
CENT73
BUFF69
02 Jan 2024
CENT64
BUFF76
14 Jan 2023
CENT87
BUFF78
05 Feb 2022
CENT54
BUFF74
13 Feb 2021
CENT v BUFF
upcoming
18 Jan 2020
CENT67
BUFF86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Central Michigan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Central MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A17/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
81-83
81
83
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A28/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H04/03
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#343
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A03/11
NCAA
Alma Scots
#461
W
93-50
93
50
+43
H07/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#242
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H11/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#270
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-35
27-31
40-33
43-37
42-32
39-51
34-26
41-44
33-39
31-38
26-42
43-43
32-43
51-35
43-23
50-27
50-34
41-44
22-26
46-31
147.5Avg total
76.1Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.865.8149.5+18.0100%
Season at home (2)92.064.0156.0+28.0100%
Season away (2)75.567.5143.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.171.4147.5+4.760%
Last 5 (5)80.869.6150.4+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.383.5153.8-13.225%
vs Similar (9)72.675.7148.2-3.122%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)79.269.3148.5+9.867%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#342
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H17/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
A21/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
85-99
85
99
-14
A25/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H28/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H03/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
78-98
78
98
-20
A07/03
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A12/03
NCAA
Marshall
#301
L
65-92
65
92
-27
A03/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#58
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A06/11
NCAA
Penn State-Schuylkill
#458
W
107-65
107
65
+42
H09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-29
35-43
29-34
39-34
35-39
50-60
26-34
44-41
43-27
29-40
33-37
45-61
29-42
41-31
24-45
41-47
45-32
16-48
58-31
49-34
156.7Avg total
76.4Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.779.0156.7-1.333%
Season at home (1)107.065.0172.0+42.0100%
Season away (2)63.086.0149.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)76.480.3156.7-3.930%
Last 5 (5)76.281.6157.8-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.083.6161.6-5.625%
vs Similar (11)75.181.5156.5-6.427%
vs Weaker (9)74.868.8143.6+6.067%
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: -5.0-5.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: -5.0-5.0
Central MichiganBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Central MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A17/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H21/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A25/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A28/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H04/03
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A07/03
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#343
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A03/11
NCAA
Alma Scots
#461
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H07/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#242
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H11/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#270
L
22-26
22
26
-4
A14/11
NCAA
68.2Avg total
34.9Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.935.371.2+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.132.071.1+7.169%-
Last 30 away (17)33.537.971.4-4.435%-
Last 10 (10)34.933.368.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)34.633.668.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.439.273.7-4.842%-
vs Similar (9)32.136.068.1-3.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)39.730.570.2+9.267%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#342
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H17/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A25/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H03/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A12/03
NCAA
Marshall
#301
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A03/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#58
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A06/11
NCAA
Penn State-Schuylkill
#458
W
58-31
58
31
+27
H09/11
NCAA
70.7Avg total
35.7Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.735.772.4+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.135.671.7+0.538%-
Last 30 away (17)37.235.772.9+1.559%-
Last 10 (10)35.735.070.7+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.837.475.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.139.476.5-2.238%-
vs Similar (11)31.838.069.8-6.227%-
vs Weaker (9)38.329.968.2+8.478%-
This opponent (Central Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Central Michigan wins
7
Buffalo wins
DateGameScore
28/02/26Buffalo v Central Michigan70-75
26/02/25Central Michigan v Buffalo73-69
29/01/25Buffalo v Central Michigan75-69
03/01/24Central Michigan v Buffalo64-76
22/02/23Buffalo v Central Michigan63-35
14/01/23Central Michigan v Buffalo87-78 OT
05/02/22Central Michigan v Buffalo54-74
25/02/21Buffalo v Central Michigan85-73
08/02/20Buffalo v Central Michigan65-60
18/01/20Central Michigan v Buffalo67-86
Central Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANorthern Kentucky68-57
11/11/26HYoungstown State91-78
07/11/26HAlma Scots93-50
03/11/26ALouisiana Monroe83-78
07/03/26ABall State69-85
04/03/26HAkron64-77
28/02/26ABuffalo75-70
25/02/26AKent State81-83
21/02/26HWestern Michigan83-70
17/02/26AEastern Michigan54-66
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HPenn State-Schuylkill107-65
06/11/26APittsburgh61-80
03/11/26AMarshall65-92
12/03/26AAkron70-73
07/03/26AToledo78-98
03/03/26HEastern Michigan72-67
28/02/26HCentral Michigan70-75
25/02/26AAkron85-99
21/02/26AUMass86-82 OT
17/02/26HNorthern Illinois70-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Central Michigan
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.892.075.5
Allowed / game65.864.067.5
Point differential+18.0+28.0+8.0
Avg total149.5156.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game77.7107.063.0
Allowed / game79.065.086.0
Point differential-1.3+42.0-23.0
Avg total156.7172.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron330100%84.062.7+21.3
2 Central Michigan440100%83.865.8+18.0
3 Bowling Green330100%86.376.0+10.3
4 Miami (Ohio)330100%84.076.0+8.0
5 Western Michigan43175%79.060.8+18.2
6 Eastern Michigan32167%77.363.3+14.0
7 UMass32167%66.064.3+1.7
8 Ohio32167%76.075.7+0.3
9 Northern Illinois53260%79.473.2+6.2
10 Toledo52340%73.077.2-4.2
11 Kent State31233%83.375.3+8.0
12 Buffalo31233%77.779.0-1.3
13 Ball State41325%68.872.5-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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