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Bauru vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 89-79
27-15 20-18 18-23 24-23
Position#5
Record15-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game78.1
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#12
Record11-14
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game78.6
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Panela de Pressao
Other2023-24
Meetings · Bauru v Pato
24 Mar 2026
BAUR94
PATO70
13 Dec 2024
BAUR97
PATO91
27 Apr 2024
BAUR71
PATO62
15 Feb 2024
BAUR89
PATO79
11 Mar 2023
BAUR74
PATO55
24 Apr 2022
BAUR88
PATO79
22 Apr 2022
BAUR82
PATO71
31 Mar 2022
BAUR84
PATO74
27 Feb 2021
BAUR101
PATO55
25 Mar 2020
BAUR v PATO
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Mogi
#14
W
88-87 OT
88
87
+1
no box
A18/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
82-74
82
74
+8
74avg 69
A20/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
75-97
75
97
-22
57avg 69
A28/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
no box
A06/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
66-55
66
55
+11
60avg 69
A08/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
91-89
91
89
+2
90avg 69
H16/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
no box
H18/01
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
64avg 69
A28/01
Super 8
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
71-70
71
70
+1
61avg 69
A06/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
76-84
76
84
-8
66avg 69
A08/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
18-16
20-21
17-20
29-18
19-20
16-15
18-21
14-27
21-23
19-20
21-27
23-21
24-17
21-33
16-13
11-13
13-14
17-17
25-11
31-25
23-19
17-21
20-24
17-21
21-15
24-20
14-20
19-25
12-30
21-12
15-19
18-27
23-17
15-12
15-14
21-23
15-15
19-18
21-28
162.1Avg total
80.2Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.578.1157.6+1.462%
Season at home (10)86.173.8159.9+12.3100%
Season away (14)74.881.1155.9-6.436%
Last 10 (10)80.281.9162.1-1.770%
Last 5 (5)79.683.4163.0-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.789.4166.1-12.714%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.075.8152.8+1.269%
vs Weaker (9)83.374.4157.8+8.978%
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
66avg 68
A22/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
79-63
79
63
+16
77avg 68
H27/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
78-74
78
74
+4
65avg 68
H29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
77-65
77
65
+12
76avg 68
A06/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
82-75
82
75
+7
77avg 68
A08/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
97-91 OT
97
91
+6
no box
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
67-76
67
76
-9
56avg 68
H15/01
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
97-86
97
86
+11
92avg 68
H24/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
80-88
80
88
-8
71avg 68
H05/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
74-80
74
80
-6
57avg 68
H07/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
14-23
27-16
14-22
13-15
23-13
18-9
25-26
24-16
18-17
20-20
16-21
15-19
26-16
12-15
24-15
22-15
13-21
26-16
21-23
21-17
20-20
19-26
21-18
15-21
16-23
24-18
12-14
24-19
27-30
26-23
20-14
20-28
14-25
18-16
28-19
13-15
20-21
15-24
26-20
158.8Avg total
80.6Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.178.6155.6-1.544%
Season at home (13)79.476.9156.3+2.554%
Season away (12)74.680.3154.9-5.833%
Last 10 (10)80.678.2158.8+2.460%
Last 5 (5)83.084.2167.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.580.7154.2-7.327%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.580.3157.7-2.836%
vs Weaker (8)84.175.0159.1+9.188%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.5+1.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.5+1.5
BauruPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A18/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A20/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A28/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A06/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A08/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H16/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H18/01
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A28/01
Super 8
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A06/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A08/02
NBB
80.0Avg total
39.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.380.0-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.938.781.6+4.269%-
Last 30 away (17)37.341.578.8-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.680.0-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.483.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.346.084.3-7.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.738.277.8+1.554%-
vs Weaker (9)41.937.379.2+4.667%-
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A22/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H27/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A06/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A08/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H15/01
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H24/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H05/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H07/02
NBB
77.5Avg total
37.8Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.877.2-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.038.477.4+0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)37.939.277.1-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)37.839.777.5-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.043.881.8-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.440.376.6-3.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.238.575.6-1.336%-
vs Weaker (8)43.137.180.2+6.075%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.6
51.2%
51.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.5
30.9%
33.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.611.7
75.0%
72.6%11.7
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.7
54.0%
51.8%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.1
32.0%
33.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws16.211.1
68.5%
72.6%11.1
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bauru
LWLWWWWLWW
Pato
LLWLWWWWWL
#5
League position
#12
-3.8
Net rating
+1.1
101.8
Offensive rating
111.0
105.6
Defensive rating
109.8
49.1%
Effective FG%
51.4%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
14.3%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.9%
3-point %
32.0%
67.5%
Assist %
56.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 111.0Defence105.6 · 109.8Shooting49.1% · 51.4%3-point %30.9% · 32.0%Ball care16.5% · 14.3%Off. rebounds25.5% · 32.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Bauru   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bauru wins
4
Pato wins
DateGameScore
14/11/23Pato v Bauru73-70
11/03/23Bauru v Pato74-55
19/12/22Pato v Bauru85-96
24/04/22Bauru v Pato88-79
23/04/22Bauru v Pato82-71
20/04/22Pato v Bauru72-63
31/03/22Bauru v Pato84-74
18/12/21Pato v Bauru87-53
27/02/21Bauru v Pato101-55
10/12/20Pato v Bauru80-79
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24APinheiros76-84
06/02/24ACorinthians Paulista71-70
28/01/24AFlamengo67-86
18/01/24HCearense93-88 OT
16/01/24HUnifacisa91-89
08/01/24APaulistano66-55
06/01/24ASao Paulo93-89 OT
28/12/23AFranca75-97
20/12/23ASao Jose82-74
18/12/23AMogi88-87 OT
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24HSao Paulo74-80
05/02/24HSao Jose80-88
24/01/24HBotafogo97-86
15/01/24HVasco67-76
13/01/24HFlamengo97-91 OT
08/01/24ACerrado82-75
06/01/24ABrasilia77-65
29/12/23HCaxias do Sul78-74
27/12/23HUniao Corinthians79-63
22/12/23AMinas75-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %62%100%36%
Points / game79.586.174.8
Allowed / game78.173.881.1
Point differential+1.4+12.3-6.4
Avg total157.6159.9155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%30%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)100% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %12%10%14%
Pato
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeWLWLL54%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %44%54%33%
Points / game77.179.474.6
Allowed / game78.676.980.3
Point differential-1.5+2.5-5.8
Avg total155.6156.3154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%23%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2521484%87.072.6+14.4
2 Flamengo2521484%86.275.0+11.2
3 Franca2420483%87.375.7+11.6
4 Vasco2417771%75.371.6+3.7
5 Paulistano2416867%74.271.5+2.7
6 Bauru2415962%79.578.1+1.4
7 Unifacisa25151060%82.779.2+3.5
8 Sao Jose24131154%81.076.7+4.3
9 Cearense26141254%78.877.0+1.8
10 Sao Paulo25121348%78.780.4-1.7
11 Corinthians Paulista24111346%78.878.4+0.5
12 Pinheiros24111346%76.778.3-1.6
13 Pato25111444%77.178.6-1.5
14 Caxias do Sul2581732%72.679.9-7.3
15 Uniao Corinthians2581732%73.182.3-9.2
16 Cerrado2571828%74.576.5-2.0
17 Botafogo2662023%77.386.1-8.8
18 Mogi2442017%73.080.8-7.8
19 Brasilia2442017%70.685.4-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bauru2720182489
Pato1518232379
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