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Botafogo vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 78-102
22-31 21-21 22-26 13-24
Position#15
Record6-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game85.0
Botafogo
Brazil
vs
Flamengo 🏆
Brazil
Position#2
Record19-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game74.5
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Botafogo v Flamengo
11 Apr 2026
BOTA89
FLAM102
29 Mar 2025
BOTA85
FLAM92
20 Apr 2024
BOTA87
FLAM92
06 Feb 2024
BOTA78
FLAM102
24 Mar 2020
BOTA v FLAM
upcoming
14 May 2019
BOTA75
FLAM90
03 May 2019
BOTA77
FLAM79
01 Mar 2019
BOTA67
FLAM73
12 Mar 2018
BOTA84
FLAM90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 64
A07/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
78avg 64
A09/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 64
H18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
87-104
87
104
-17
72avg 64
H20/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
88-84
88
84
+4
83avg 64
A29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
52-89
52
89
-37
36avg 64
A08/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
68-85
68
85
-17
58avg 64
H14/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 64
H18/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
77-78
77
78
-1
74avg 64
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#12
L
86-97
86
97
-11
74avg 64
A24/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-16
21-26
19-23
28-20
15-19
23-18
21-18
32-31
26-24
21-15
20-26
23-21
20-28
15-24
24-26
28-26
18-22
23-18
21-18
26-26
5-26
12-21
18-25
17-17
17-22
19-17
12-21
20-25
24-12
17-27
19-22
16-21
23-20
19-25
24-14
11-19
19-24
30-27
23-26
14-20
166.8Avg total
79.2Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.085.0162.0-8.026%
Season at home (12)77.783.8161.5-6.233%
Season away (11)76.286.3162.5-10.118%
Last 10 (10)79.287.6166.8-8.430%
Last 5 (5)71.886.2158.0-14.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.686.8163.4-10.229%
vs Similar (10)79.181.9161.0-2.840%
vs Weaker (3)82.775.0157.7+7.7100%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 79
H08/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
70avg 79
A11/01
NBB
Pato
#12
L
91-97 OT
91
97
-6
no box
A13/01
NBB
Boca Juniors
#10
W
65-62
65
62
+3
52avg 79
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
W
78-65
78
65
+13
72avg 79
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
105-62
105
62
+43
120avg 79
H23/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
89-71
89
71
+18
92avg 79
H25/01
NBB
Bauru
#8
W
86-67
86
67
+19
82avg 79
H28/01
Super 8
Paulistano
#3
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 79
H31/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#2
W
83-77
83
77
+6
78avg 79
H03/02
Super 8
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
24-16
21-21
22-22
19-21
18-28
22-23
19-14
17-21
20-20
26-19
18-21
17-13
19-15
15-18
14-16
17-20
19-16
22-10
20-19
30-19
34-12
22-11
19-20
33-15
21-13
23-13
12-30
25-19
30-12
12-21
19-15
22-20
18-10
16-19
27-33
23-19
20-19
24-14
16-25
159.0Avg total
84.2Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)85.674.5160.1+11.083%
Season at home (12)88.871.0159.8+17.892%
Season away (11)82.178.4160.5+3.773%
Last 10 (10)84.274.8159.0+9.480%
Last 5 (5)89.271.8161.0+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)81.080.5161.5+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)84.373.8158.1+10.588%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.9-2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.9-2.9
BotafogoFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A07/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A09/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H20/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
17-47
17
47
-30
A08/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H18/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#12
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A24/01
NBB
80.7Avg total
37.6Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.941.979.8-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.342.382.5-2.033%-
Last 30 away (15)35.541.577.1-6.033%-
Last 10 (10)37.643.180.7-5.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.044.281.2-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.544.181.6-6.624%-
vs Similar (10)38.539.077.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (3)38.039.077.0-1.033%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H08/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A11/01
NBB
Pato
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A13/01
NBB
Boca Juniors
#10
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
64-31
64
31
+33
H23/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H25/01
NBB
Bauru
#8
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H28/01
Super 8
Paulistano
#3
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H31/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H03/02
Super 8
79.1Avg total
44.3Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.436.979.3+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.936.181.1+8.876%-
Last 30 away (13)39.237.877.0+1.354%-
Last 10 (10)44.334.879.1+9.570%-
Last 5 (5)51.231.682.8+19.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)41.041.882.8-0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)42.236.378.5+5.868%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.6
49.3%
51.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.7
32.6%
33.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.614.9
72.3%
72.6%14.9
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.6
54.6%
51.8%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.0
33.1%
33.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.817.2
75.4%
72.6%17.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LLLLLWLWWL
Flamengo
WWWWWWWLLW
#15
League position
#2
-10.9
Net rating
+16.3
101.9
Offensive rating
112.2
112.8
Defensive rating
95.8
49.1%
Effective FG%
52.7%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.4%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.6%
3-point %
33.1%
59.0%
Assist %
68.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 112.2Defence112.8 · 95.8Shooting49.1% · 52.7%3-point %32.6% · 33.1%Ball care16.1% · 17.4%Off. rebounds24.1% · 30.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Botafogo   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Botafogo wins
9
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
07/11/23Flamengo v Botafogo92-69
25/11/19Flamengo v Botafogo81-72
15/05/19Botafogo v Flamengo75-90
11/05/19Flamengo v Botafogo77-81
09/05/19Flamengo v Botafogo81-69
04/05/19Botafogo v Flamengo77-79
02/03/19Botafogo v Flamengo67-73
07/12/18Flamengo v Botafogo102-73
12/03/18Botafogo v Flamengo84-90
19/01/18Flamengo v Botafogo107-54
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24APato86-97
20/01/24HUniao Corinthians77-78
18/01/24HCaxias do Sul76-82
14/01/24HPaulistano68-85
08/01/24AMinas52-89
29/12/23APinheiros88-84
20/12/23HUnifacisa87-104
18/12/23HCearense90-86
09/12/23ACorinthians Paulista91-86
07/12/23APaulistano77-85
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HUnifacisa83-77
31/01/24HPaulistano83-82
28/01/24HBauru86-67
25/01/24HUniao Corinthians89-71
23/01/24HCaxias do Sul105-62
19/01/24AHebraica y Macabi78-65
18/01/24ABoca Juniors65-62
13/01/24APato91-97 OT
11/01/24AMinas78-86
08/01/24HVasco84-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLWWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %26%33%18%
Points / game77.077.776.2
Allowed / game85.083.886.3
Point differential-8.0-6.2-10.1
Avg total162.0161.5162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Flamengo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW83%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWLL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %83%92%73%
Points / game85.688.882.1
Allowed / game74.571.078.4
Point differential+11.0+17.8+3.7
Avg total160.1159.8160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%75%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %13%0%27%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2320387%86.472.0+14.4
2 Flamengo2319483%85.674.5+11.0
3 Franca2218482%88.276.7+11.5
4 Vasco2316770%74.371.0+3.3
5 Paulistano2214864%74.672.5+2.1
6 Bauru2214864%80.078.2+1.9
7 Unifacisa2415962%83.279.4+3.9
8 Cearense24131154%79.877.6+2.2
9 Sao Jose23121152%79.776.3+3.4
10 Corinthians Paulista22111150%79.779.0+0.8
11 Pato24111346%77.278.5-1.3
12 Pinheiros22101245%77.178.3-1.2
13 Sao Paulo23101343%78.080.4-2.5
14 Caxias do Sul2271532%72.280.1-7.9
15 Uniao Corinthians2371630%72.582.0-9.5
16 Cerrado2361726%73.676.3-2.7
17 Botafogo2361726%77.085.0-8.0
18 Brasilia2241818%71.386.3-15.0
19 Mogi2231914%73.080.1-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo2221221378
Flamengo31212624102
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