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Flamengo vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 83-82
22-20 18-10 16-19 27-33
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game67.0
Flamengo 🏆
Brazil
vs
Paulistano
Brazil
Position#3
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game62.0
BrazilSuper 8Super 8 - Semi-finals· Maracanãzinho
Other2024
Meetings · Flamengo v Paulistano
17 Dec 2026
FLAM v PAUL
upcoming
23 Mar 2026
FLAM84
PAUL79
06 Apr 2025
FLAM70
PAUL63
26 Mar 2024
FLAM81
PAUL68
31 Jan 2024
FLAM83
PAUL82
05 Apr 2023
FLAM83
PAUL70
22 Jan 2023
FLAM71
PAUL65
28 Apr 2022
FLAM74
PAUL68
18 Mar 2022
FLAM73
PAUL70
15 Jan 2022
FLAM71
PAUL68
10 May 2021
FLAM92
PAUL69
10 Dec 2020
FLAM104
PAUL76
22 Oct 2019
FLAM78
PAUL75
01 Feb 2019
FLAM95
PAUL87
03 Feb 2018
FLAM71
PAUL72
03 Dec 2016
FLAM81
PAUL72
04 Feb 2016
FLAM75
PAUL65
15 Jan 2015
FLAM97
PAUL81
31 May 2014
FLAM78
PAUL73
30 Nov 2013
FLAM80
PAUL58
04 May 2013
FLAM84
PAUL64
02 May 2013
FLAM80
PAUL76
24 Jan 2013
FLAM94
PAUL70
19 Nov 2011
FLAM88
PAUL78
19 Dec 2010
FLAM116
PAUL76
27 Mar 2009
FLAM105
PAUL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
no box
A03/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
79-65
79
65
+14
65avg 79
A05/01
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 79
H08/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
70avg 79
A11/01
NBB
Pato
#12
L
91-97 OT
91
97
-6
no box
A13/01
NBB
Boca Juniors
#10
W
65-62
65
62
+3
52avg 79
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
W
78-65
78
65
+13
72avg 79
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
105-62
105
62
+43
120avg 79
H23/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
89-71
89
71
+18
92avg 79
H25/01
NBB
Bauru
#8
W
86-67
86
67
+19
82avg 79
H28/01
Super 8
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
18-15
18-22
21-25
18-14
22-18
26-24
13-9
17-20
24-16
21-21
22-22
19-21
18-28
22-23
19-14
17-21
20-20
26-19
18-21
17-13
19-15
15-18
14-16
17-20
19-16
22-10
20-19
30-19
34-12
22-11
19-20
33-15
21-13
23-13
12-30
25-19
30-12
12-21
19-15
157.8Avg total
84.0Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.067.0153.0+19.0100%
Season at home (1)86.067.0153.0+19.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.073.8157.8+10.280%
Last 5 (5)84.665.4150.0+19.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)80.380.0160.3+0.333%
vs Weaker (26)83.574.5158.0+9.181%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
58avg 67
H11/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
91-69
91
69
+22
91avg 67
A16/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
68-64
68
64
+4
62avg 67
A18/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
92-78
92
78
+14
95avg 67
H27/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
92-79
92
79
+13
78avg 67
H29/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
55-66
55
66
-11
44avg 67
H08/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
68avg 67
H10/01
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
85-68
85
68
+17
79avg 67
A14/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
71-90
71
90
-19
55avg 67
A23/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
76-62
76
62
+14
73avg 67
A28/01
Super 8
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
17-18
24-20
9-18
17-14
21-21
32-14
21-20
15-14
20-23
14-12
19-15
27-15
24-7
22-27
19-29
18-21
27-19
29-14
18-25
13-11
14-13
17-17
11-25
25-25
12-18
16-31
23-24
22-17
17-19
21-12
25-20
12-31
16-16
24-26
19-17
25-15
19-14
14-18
18-15
152.6Avg total
77.6Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.062.0138.0+14.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)76.062.0138.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.675.0152.6+2.660%
Last 5 (5)72.676.8149.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.287.5154.8-20.20%
vs Similar ◀ (11)72.972.1145.0+0.845%
vs Weaker (14)80.968.9149.7+12.093%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
FlamengoPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A03/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A05/01
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H08/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A11/01
NBB
Pato
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A13/01
NBB
Boca Juniors
#10
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
64-31
64
31
+33
H23/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H25/01
NBB
Bauru
#8
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H28/01
Super 8
78.2Avg total
43.9Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.137.279.3+4.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.436.481.8+9.073%-
Last 30 away (15)38.738.076.7+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)43.934.378.2+9.670%-
Last 5 (5)49.030.879.8+18.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)41.345.787.0-4.333%-
vs Weaker (26)41.736.578.1+5.262%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H11/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A16/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A18/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H27/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H29/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H08/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H10/01
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A14/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A23/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A28/01
Super 8
73.2Avg total
38.1Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.334.972.2+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.134.572.6+3.656%-
Last 30 away (14)36.435.471.8+1.157%-
Last 10 (10)38.135.173.2+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.035.870.8-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.044.276.2-12.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.635.270.8+0.536%-
vs Weaker (14)39.632.472.1+7.286%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.8
54.1%
48.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.9
35.3%
33.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws23.417.4
74.4%
77.7%17.4
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.3
51.3%
48.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.6
30.5%
33.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.113.2
72.9%
77.7%13.2
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WWWWWLLWWW
Paulistano
WLWLLWWWWL
#1
League position
#3
+18.1
Net rating
+2.8
113.7
Offensive rating
101.9
95.6
Defensive rating
99.1
53.6%
Effective FG%
49.1%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
17.0%
Turnover %
18.9%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.3%
3-point %
30.5%
72.1%
Assist %
65.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 101.9Defence95.6 · 99.1Shooting53.6% · 49.1%3-point %35.3% · 30.5%Ball care17.0% · 18.9%Off. rebounds30.3% · 30.5%Free throws0.38 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Flamengo   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Flamengo wins
1
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
05/12/23Paulistano v Flamengo72-77
05/04/23Flamengo v Paulistano83-70
22/01/23Flamengo v Paulistano71-65
22/12/22Paulistano v Flamengo84-90
04/05/22Paulistano v Flamengo68-87
01/05/22Paulistano v Flamengo73-80
29/04/22Flamengo v Paulistano74-68 OT
18/03/22Flamengo v Paulistano73-70
15/01/22Flamengo v Paulistano71-68
11/11/21Paulistano v Flamengo87-81
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HBauru86-67
25/01/24HUniao Corinthians89-71
23/01/24HCaxias do Sul105-62
19/01/24AHebraica y Macabi78-65
18/01/24ABoca Juniors65-62
13/01/24APato91-97 OT
11/01/24AMinas78-86
08/01/24HVasco84-79
05/01/24AUniao Corinthians79-65
03/01/24ACaxias do Sul85-84 OT
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24AVasco76-62
23/01/24ASao Paulo71-90
14/01/24ABotafogo85-68
10/01/24HFranca76-98
08/01/24HBauru55-66
29/12/23HSao Jose92-79
27/12/23HMogi92-78
18/12/23ACerrado68-64
16/12/23ABrasilia91-69
11/12/23HVasco70-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
Super 8 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game67.067.0-
Point differential+19.0+19.0-
Avg total153.0153.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Paulistano
Super 8 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game76.0-76.0
Allowed / game62.0-62.0
Point differential+14.0-+14.0
Avg total138.0-138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo110100%86.067.0+19.0
2 Paulistano110100%76.062.0+14.0
3 Unifacisa220100%92.589.0+3.5
4 Minas21150%79.580.0-0.5
5 Franca1010%92.094.0-2.0
6 Cearense1010%69.073.0-4.0
7 Vasco1010%62.076.0-14.0
8 Bauru1010%67.086.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo2218162783
Paulistano2010193382
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