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Flamengo vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 86-67
25-19 30-12 12-21 19-15
Position#1
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#8
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
BrazilSuper 8Super 8 - Quarter-finals· Maracanãzinho
Other2024
Meetings · Flamengo v Bauru
18 Oct 2026
FLAM81
BAUR82
21 Feb 2026
FLAM79
BAUR92
20 Dec 2024
FLAM94
BAUR79
18 May 2024
FLAM92
BAUR61
28 Jan 2024
FLAM86
BAUR67
27 Nov 2023
FLAM89
BAUR73
06 May 2023
FLAM86
BAUR84
27 Apr 2023
FLAM90
BAUR58
13 Feb 2023
FLAM66
BAUR54
11 Jan 2022
FLAM103
BAUR59
04 Mar 2021
FLAM91
BAUR86
19 Jan 2021
FLAM72
BAUR65
12 Mar 2019
FLAM80
BAUR72
17 Feb 2018
FLAM75
BAUR61
24 Jan 2017
FLAM63
BAUR72
11 Jun 2016
FLAM100
BAUR66
28 May 2016
FLAM89
BAUR84
26 May 2016
FLAM80
BAUR85
11 Mar 2016
FLAM81
BAUR83
13 Jan 2016
FLAM85
BAUR69
26 May 2015
FLAM91
BAUR69
13 Jan 2015
FLAM77
BAUR84
28 Apr 2014
FLAM86
BAUR69
26 Apr 2014
FLAM70
BAUR74
08 Mar 2014
FLAM85
BAUR66
09 Mar 2013
FLAM74
BAUR89
01 Dec 2011
FLAM81
BAUR64
27 Apr 2011
FLAM79
BAUR73
26 Apr 2011
FLAM79
BAUR71
20 Feb 2011
FLAM84
BAUR64
01 Mar 2009
FLAM103
BAUR97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
95-72
95
72
+23
94avg 79
A29/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
no box
A03/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
79-65
79
65
+14
65avg 79
A05/01
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 79
H08/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
70avg 79
A11/01
NBB
Pato
#12
L
91-97 OT
91
97
-6
no box
A13/01
NBB
Boca Juniors
#10
W
65-62
65
62
+3
52avg 79
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
W
78-65
78
65
+13
72avg 79
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
105-62
105
62
+43
120avg 79
H23/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
89-71
89
71
+18
92avg 79
H25/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
16-17
30-21
21-16
21-16
18-15
18-22
21-25
18-14
22-18
26-24
13-9
17-20
24-16
21-21
22-22
19-21
18-28
22-23
19-14
17-21
20-20
26-19
18-21
17-13
19-15
15-18
14-16
17-20
19-16
22-10
20-19
30-19
34-12
22-11
19-20
33-15
21-13
23-13
12-30
159.2Avg total
84.9Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.974.3159.2+10.680%
Last 5 (5)85.671.4157.0+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)80.380.0160.3+0.333%
vs Weaker (27)83.174.7157.8+8.478%
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
L
58-67
58
67
-9
46avg 70
A02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
82-73
82
73
+9
78avg 70
H09/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 70
H11/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
88-87 OT
88
87
+1
no box
A18/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
82-74
82
74
+8
74avg 70
A20/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
75-97
75
97
-22
57avg 70
A28/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
no box
A06/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
66-55
66
55
+11
60avg 70
A08/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
91-89
91
89
+2
90avg 70
H16/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
no box
H18/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
9-15
17-13
16-24
16-21
17-23
19-21
30-8
27-20
20-25
24-19
19-17
22-20
18-16
20-21
17-20
29-18
19-20
16-15
18-21
14-27
21-23
19-20
21-27
23-21
24-17
21-33
16-13
11-13
13-14
17-17
25-11
31-25
23-19
17-21
20-24
17-21
21-15
24-20
14-20
161.8Avg total
81.8Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.880.0161.8+1.880%
Last 5 (5)83.683.6167.2+0.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.789.4166.1-12.714%
vs Similar (12)77.576.2153.8+1.267%
vs Weaker (11)84.573.4157.8+11.182%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
FlamengoBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A29/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A03/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A05/01
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H08/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A11/01
NBB
Pato
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A13/01
NBB
Boca Juniors
#10
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
64-31
64
31
+33
H23/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H25/01
NBB
77.5Avg total
42.8Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.637.679.2+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.537.181.6+7.367%-
Last 30 away (15)38.738.076.7+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)42.834.777.5+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)45.432.878.2+12.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)41.345.787.0-4.333%-
vs Weaker (27)41.636.778.3+5.059%-
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H09/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H11/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A18/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A20/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A28/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A06/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A08/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H16/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H18/01
NBB
77.9Avg total
39.1Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.079.6+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.537.780.2+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)38.640.378.9-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)39.138.877.9+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.078.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.346.084.3-7.714%-
vs Similar (12)39.637.777.2+1.958%-
vs Weaker (11)43.036.179.1+6.973%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.5
56.0%
48.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.1
36.1%
33.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.016.9
73.5%
77.7%16.9
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.3
53.8%
48.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.2
32.2%
33.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.212.0
74.1%
77.7%12.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WWWWLLWWWW
Bauru
WWWWLWWWWL
#1
League position
#8
+19.2
Net rating
+2.2
115.3
Offensive rating
104.7
96.1
Defensive rating
102.5
55.3%
Effective FG%
51.5%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.4%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.1%
3-point %
32.2%
73.3%
Assist %
61.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 104.7Defence96.1 · 102.5Shooting55.3% · 51.5%3-point %36.1% · 32.2%Ball care17.5% · 16.4%Off. rebounds30.9% · 26.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Flamengo   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Flamengo wins
2
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
27/11/23Flamengo v Bauru89-73
06/05/23Flamengo v Bauru86-84
03/05/23Bauru v Flamengo91-80
01/05/23Bauru v Flamengo76-85
27/04/23Flamengo v Bauru90-58
13/02/23Flamengo v Bauru66-54
01/11/22Bauru v Flamengo82-77
14/04/22Bauru v Flamengo80-92
11/01/22Flamengo v Bauru103-59
04/03/21Flamengo v Bauru91-86
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/24HUniao Corinthians89-71
23/01/24HCaxias do Sul105-62
19/01/24AHebraica y Macabi78-65
18/01/24ABoca Juniors65-62
13/01/24APato91-97 OT
11/01/24AMinas78-86
08/01/24HVasco84-79
05/01/24AUniao Corinthians79-65
03/01/24ACaxias do Sul85-84 OT
29/12/23ACorinthians Paulista95-72
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24HCearense93-88 OT
16/01/24HUnifacisa91-89
08/01/24APaulistano66-55
06/01/24ASao Paulo93-89 OT
28/12/23AFranca75-97
20/12/23ASao Jose82-74
18/12/23AMogi88-87 OT
11/12/23HCerrado90-81
09/12/23HBrasilia82-73
02/12/23AVasco58-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
Super 8 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Bauru
Super 8 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paulistano110100%76.062.0+14.0
2 Minas110100%73.069.0+4.0
3 Unifacisa110100%94.092.0+2.0
4 Franca1010%92.094.0-2.0
5 Cearense1010%69.073.0-4.0
6 Vasco1010%62.076.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo2530121986
Bauru1912211567
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