Sao Paulo vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Jan 2022

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 91-87

29-25 20-24 19-10 23-28

Position#4

Record9-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game78.2

Allowed / game71.8

Sao Paulo 🏆

Minas

Position#3

Record11-2

FormWWWWW

Points / game84.4

Allowed / game73.6

NBB

Other2021-22

Meetings · Sao Paulo v Minas

SAO 105

SAO 100

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Minas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao Paulo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unifacisa

78-66

+12

A06/11

NBB

Bauru

79-77

H16/11

NBB

Pinheiros

86-70

+16

H18/11

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#16

66-71

-5

A02/12

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

79-69

+10

A04/12

NBB

Nacional

#11

98-73

+25

A12/12

Champions League Americas

Quimsa

#10

83-74

A13/12

Champions League Americas

Mogi

#13

89-72

+17

H16/12

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#10

83-78

A18/12

NBB

Paulistano

75-60

+15

A23/12

NBB

22-12

17-14

24-22

15-18

19-16

19-21

23-21

18-19

20-17

26-16

21-17

19-20

19-13

15-15

19-21

13-22

14-10

14-16

23-23

28-20

22-19

32-12

24-20

20-22

26-17

15-18

27-21

15-18

20-17

27-11

23-19

19-25

17-16

23-20

22-27

21-15

24-19

21-6

15-20

15-15

152.6Avg total

81.6Scored

71.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	78.2	71.8	149.9	+6.4	75%
Season at home (6)	79.3	74.8	154.2	+4.5	67%
Season away (6)	77.0	68.7	145.7	+8.3	83%
Last 10 (10)	81.6	71.0	152.6	+10.6	90%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	71.4	157.0	+14.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	77.2	86.4	163.6	-9.2	0%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	78.8	76.8	155.6	+2.0	80%
vs Weaker (20)	83.7	72.4	156.1	+11.2	90%

This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Minas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paulistano

96-67

+29

A13/11

NBB

Flamengo

63-99

-36

A20/11

NBB

Franca

75-96

-21

H02/12

NBB

Rio Claro

89-61

+28

H04/12

NBB

Cerrado

#14

90-74

+16

A07/12

NBB

Brasilia

#17

82-77

A09/12

NBB

Bigua

95-73

+22

H13/12

Champions League Americas

Obras Sanitarias

95-84

+11

H15/12

Champions League Americas

Cearense

#15

101-74

101

+27

H19/12

NBB

Unifacisa

71-68

H21/12

NBB

26-15

16-11

25-16

29-25

14-23

16-22

16-31

17-23

19-26

22-24

18-21

16-25

21-14

15-17

28-15

25-15

20-13

22-17

23-22

25-22

20-19

27-31

22-12

13-15

26-20

16-6

25-23

28-24

27-19

16-15

28-24

24-26

24-12

18-22

31-18

28-22

14-14

17-17

20-14

20-23

163.0Avg total

85.7Scored

77.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	84.4	73.6	158.0	+10.8	85%
Season at home (6)	87.3	73.5	160.8	+13.8	83%
Season away (7)	81.9	73.7	155.6	+8.1	86%
Last 10 (10)	85.7	77.3	163.0	+8.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	88.8	75.2	164.0	+13.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	69.0	97.5	166.5	-28.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	80.7	78.8	159.5	+1.9	50%
vs Weaker (18)	87.2	70.8	157.9	+16.4	89%

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sao PauloMinas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.9	37.4	+1.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.4	19.2	37.5	-0.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.2	17.0	37.2	+3.2	76%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	15.6	35.9	+4.7	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	17.6	39.4	+4.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.8	22.4	39.2	-5.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (20)	19.9	16.4	36.2	+3.5	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.3	38.4	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	17.9	37.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	18.6	39.3	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	17.5	38.6	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	16.8	39.0	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	24.5	41.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.7	19.6	39.3	+0.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.8	16.8	37.6	+3.9	72%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.1	37.1	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.8	18.8	37.6	-0.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.2	17.6	36.8	+1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	14.9	35.8	+6.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	13.4	37.0	+10.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.4	20.0	37.4	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (20)	19.6	17.1	36.8	+2.5	45%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.1	38.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	17.9	38.2	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	18.3	38.6	+1.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.2	36.7	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.0	17.1	36.1	+1.9	70%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.2	18.1	39.3	+3.1	61%	-

Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unifacisa

39-26

+13

A06/11

NBB

Bauru

38-37

H16/11

NBB

Pinheiros

46-33

+13

H18/11

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#16

34-28

A02/12

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

28-26

A04/12

NBB

Nacional

#11

54-31

+23

A12/12

Champions League Americas

Quimsa

#10

41-35

A13/12

Champions League Americas

Mogi

#13

47-28

+19

H16/12

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#10

40-36

A18/12

NBB

Paulistano

45-25

+20

A23/12

NBB

71.7Avg total

41.2Scored

30.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	36.1	74.5	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.2	38.0	75.2	-0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.4	34.6	74.0	+4.8	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	30.5	71.7	+10.7	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	31.0	76.4	+14.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	34.2	42.4	76.6	-8.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	38.4	39.8	78.2	-1.4	20%	-
vs Weaker (20)	39.5	33.5	73.0	+6.0	80%	-

This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paulistano

42-26

+16

A13/11

NBB

Flamengo

30-45

-15

A20/11

NBB

Franca

41-50

-9

H02/12

NBB

Rio Claro

36-31

H04/12

NBB

Cerrado

#14

42-30

+12

A07/12

NBB

Brasilia

#17

47-50

-3

A09/12

NBB

Bigua

42-26

+16

H13/12

Champions League Americas

Obras Sanitarias

43-34

H15/12

Champions League Americas

Cearense

#15

42-34

H19/12

NBB

Unifacisa

31-31

H21/12

NBB

75.3Avg total

39.6Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	36.4	76.8	+4.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	35.8	75.7	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.9	36.9	77.9	+4.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	35.7	75.3	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	35.0	76.0	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.5	47.5	83.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.7	36.7	75.4	+2.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (18)	41.9	34.9	76.9	+7.0	72%	-

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.3	42.2	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.5	21.1	43.6	+1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	21.1	43.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.4	43.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.4	22.8	42.2	-3.4	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (20)	22.7	19.4	42.1	+3.2	65%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	18.2	41.4	+4.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.5	17.9	42.4	+6.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	18.5	40.4	+3.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	19.6	43.2	+4.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	18.2	43.4	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	26.0	43.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.2	21.0	43.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	24.4	15.8	40.2	+8.6	89%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	18.8	39.9	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.2	19.5	41.7	+2.6	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.4	37.7	-1.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.6	21.2	44.8	+2.4	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	19.0	16.0	35.0	+3.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (20)	21.1	18.9	40.0	+2.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	21.7	40.5	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	22.0	44.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.0	44.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	24.0	40.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.8	21.1	40.9	-1.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	39.1	82.1	+4.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.4	38.7	82.1	+4.7	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.8	39.4	82.2	+3.5	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	40.5	80.9	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	40.4	80.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	43.0	44.0	87.0	-1.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	40.4	37.0	77.4	+3.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (20)	43.8	38.4	82.1	+5.4	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	38.9	82.2	+4.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.1	37.5	83.6	+8.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.7	40.2	80.9	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.1	41.6	87.7	+4.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	40.2	88.0	+7.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	33.5	50.0	83.5	-16.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	42.0	42.1	84.1	-0.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (18)	45.2	35.8	81.1	+9.4	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sao Paulo wins

Minas wins

Date	Game	Score
15/05/21	Sao Paulo v Minas	80-79
12/05/21	Sao Paulo v Minas	90-85
10/05/21	Minas v Sao Paulo	70-88
13/04/21	Minas v Sao Paulo	75-58
25/02/21	Sao Paulo v Minas	90-92
19/01/21	Minas v Sao Paulo	70-78
19/12/20	Minas v Sao Paulo	96-92
08/02/20	Minas v Sao Paulo	85-87
02/11/19	Sao Paulo v Minas	75-78

Sao Paulolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/12/21	A	Paulistano	75-60
18/12/21	A	Corinthians Paulista	83-78
16/12/21	H	Mogi	89-72
13/12/21	A	Quimsa	83-74
12/12/21	A	Nacional	98-73
04/12/21	A	Caxias do Sul	79-69
02/12/21	A	Uniao Corinthians	66-71
18/11/21	H	Pinheiros	86-70
16/11/21	H	Bauru	79-77
06/11/21	A	Unifacisa	78-66

Minaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/12/21	H	Unifacisa	71-68
19/12/21	H	Cearense	101-74
15/12/21	H	Obras Sanitarias	95-84
13/12/21	H	Bigua	95-73
09/12/21	A	Brasilia	82-77
07/12/21	A	Cerrado	90-74
04/12/21	H	Rio Claro	89-61
02/12/21	H	Franca	75-96
20/11/21	A	Flamengo	63-99
13/11/21	A	Paulistano	96-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo

NBB 2021-22

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	75%
Home	LWWWW	67%
Away	WLWWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	75%	67%	83%
Points / game	78.2	79.3	77.0
Allowed / game	71.8	74.8	68.7
Point differential	+6.4	+4.5	+8.3
Avg total	149.9	154.2	145.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	58%	50%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	8%	17%	0%

Minas

NBB 2021-22

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	85%
Home	WLWWW	83%
Away	WWLWW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	85%	83%	86%
Points / game	84.4	87.3	81.9
Allowed / game	73.6	73.5	73.7
Point differential	+10.8	+13.8	+8.1
Avg total	158.0	160.8	155.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	62%	67%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	14	14	0	100%	90.2	74.6	+15.6
2	Flamengo	14	12	2	86%	87.7	71.4	+16.3
3	Minas	13	11	2	85%	84.4	73.6	+10.8
4	Bauru	13	10	3	77%	77.2	72.6	+4.5
5	Sao Paulo	12	9	3	75%	78.2	71.8	+6.4
6	Caxias do Sul	14	7	7	50%	75.9	75.1	+0.8
7	Pinheiros	13	6	7	46%	78.5	77.9	+0.6
8	Unifacisa	13	6	7	46%	77.2	79.4	-2.2
9	Mogi	15	6	9	40%	76.4	83.9	-7.5
10	Paulistano	13	5	8	38%	74.9	77.5	-2.6
11	Cearense	13	5	8	38%	68.4	72.9	-4.5
12	Pato	14	5	9	36%	70.6	74.5	-3.9
13	Rio Claro	14	5	9	36%	67.0	71.4	-4.4
14	Cerrado	14	5	9	36%	78.0	83.7	-5.7
15	Uniao Corinthians	14	4	10	29%	73.9	82.0	-8.1
16	Corinthians Paulista	13	3	10	23%	73.4	78.5	-5.2
17	Brasilia	14	2	12	14%	67.4	76.8	-9.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sao Paulo	29	20	19	23	91
Minas	25	24	10	28	87

← all games of the day

Sao Paulo vs Minas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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