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Citadel vs Western Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-77 (OT)
33-40 38-31 8-6
Position#302
Record4-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game76.8
Citadel 🏆
USA
vs
Position#221
Record5-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game80.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Citadel v Western Carolina
10 Jan 2026
CITA79
WEST77
25 Jan 2025
CITA78
WEST80
03 Jan 2024
CITA71
WEST80
14 Jan 2023
CITA65
WEST61
26 Jan 2022
CITA68
WEST66
05 Mar 2021
CITA100
WEST86
06 Feb 2021
CITA74
WEST63
04 Jan 2020
CITA82
WEST86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#297
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H27/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
69-41
69
41
+28
A30/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A05/12
NCAA
Southern W.
#539
W
98-73
98
73
+25
H10/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A14/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A18/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
56-80
56
80
-24
A20/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
49-74
49
74
-25
H30/12
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
86-95
86
95
-9
H03/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
63-101
63
101
-38
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-35
33-37
33-17
36-24
29-36
34-43
54-40
44-33
28-35
27-36
36-35
42-47
32-42
24-38
23-40
26-34
35-42
51-53
31-54
32-47
145.0Avg total
68.2Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)71.276.8148.0-5.525%
Season at home (8)77.174.8151.9+2.438%
Season away (8)65.478.8144.1-13.412%
Last 10 (10)68.276.8145.0-8.620%
Last 5 (5)66.486.4152.8-20.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)64.679.5144.1-14.95%
vs Similar (8)67.173.2140.4-6.112%
vs Weaker (2)101.567.0168.5+34.5100%
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNC Asheville
#237
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A22/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
73-93
73
93
-20
A29/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
124-62
124
62
+62
H02/12
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A06/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
74-96
74
96
-22
A12/12
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
82-112
82
112
-30
A19/12
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H31/12
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
80-77 OT
80
77
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-38
39-35
23-34
39-49
43-45
30-48
58-32
66-30
38-40
29-38
34-53
40-43
40-54
42-58
33-39
41-40
38-30
27-35
38-34
39-48
162.8Avg total
79.3Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.280.9158.1-3.736%
Season at home (5)89.864.6154.4+25.280%
Season away (9)70.290.0160.2-19.811%
Last 10 (10)79.383.5162.8-4.230%
Last 5 (5)77.489.2166.6-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)69.384.1153.4-14.816%
vs Similar (8)73.880.2154.0-6.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)100.063.5163.5+36.5100%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.3-4.31st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: -3.2-3.2
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.3-4.31st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: -3.2-3.2
CitadelWestern Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#297
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H27/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
33-17
33
17
+16
A30/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A05/12
NCAA
Southern W.
#539
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H10/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A14/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A18/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A20/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H30/12
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H03/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A08/01
NCAA
70.9Avg total
33.3Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.437.368.7-6.023%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.935.969.7-2.027%-
Last 30 away (15)28.938.867.7-9.920%-
Last 10 (10)33.337.670.9-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)31.442.674.0-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)29.639.368.8-9.715%-
vs Similar (8)31.134.165.2-3.025%-
vs Weaker (2)50.530.581.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNC Asheville
#237
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A22/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A29/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
58-32
58
32
+26
H02/12
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A06/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A12/12
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A19/12
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H31/12
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A03/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A08/01
NCAA
78.5Avg total
38.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.437.672.0-3.330%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.835.971.8-0.133%-
Last 30 away (18)33.438.872.2-5.428%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.978.5-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.642.078.6-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)32.639.472.0-6.816%-
vs Similar (8)34.137.571.6-3.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)48.032.580.5+15.5100%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Citadel wins
5
Western Carolina wins
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26AMercer63-101
03/01/26HWofford86-95
30/12/25HEast Tennessee St49-74
20/12/25ARichmond Spiders56-80
18/12/25ACharleston78-82
14/12/25ASouth Carolina55-71
10/12/25HSouthern W.98-73
05/12/25ADavidson63-79
30/11/25APresbyterian69-41
27/11/25HHouston Christian65-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26ASamford77-82
03/01/26AFurman80-77 OT
31/12/25HWofford74-79
19/12/25AGeorgia82-112
12/12/25AVirginia Tech74-96
06/12/25AUSC Upstate67-78
02/12/25HVirginia-Lynchburg124-62
29/11/25AHigh Point73-93
22/11/25ALipscomb62-83
20/11/25HUNC Asheville80-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%38%12%
Points / game71.277.165.4
Allowed / game76.874.878.8
Point differential-5.5+2.4-13.4
Avg total148.0151.9144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Carolina
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL36%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLLWL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %36%80%11%
Points / game77.289.870.2
Allowed / game80.964.690.0
Point differential-3.7+25.2-19.8
Avg total158.1154.4160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St1611569%78.366.6+11.8
2 Furman1611569%78.270.9+7.3
3 Wofford1611569%78.274.9+3.2
4 Mercer169756%83.273.1+10.2
5 Samford169756%77.975.6+2.2
6 Chattanooga Mocs1661038%76.272.6+3.7
7 VMI1661038%76.276.3-0.1
8 NC Greensboro1661038%79.479.9-0.6
9 Western Carolina145936%77.280.9-3.7
10 Citadel1641225%71.276.8-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Citadel3338879
Western Carolina4031677
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