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East Tennessee St vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 84-55
49-27 35-28
Position#61
Record14-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game66.9
East Tennessee St 🏆
USA
vs
Citadel
USA
Position#302
Record7-13
FormLWLWW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game75.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · East Tennessee St v Citadel
07 Mar 2026
EAST83
CITA76
23 Jan 2026
EAST84
CITA55
11 Jan 2025
EAST70
CITA52
03 Feb 2024
EAST62
CITA60
22 Feb 2023
EAST78
CITA70
04 Mar 2022
EAST76
CITA84
22 Jan 2022
EAST73
CITA75
30 Jan 2021
EAST112
CITA84
12 Feb 2020
EAST91
CITA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

East Tennessee St winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

East Tennessee StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#49
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A13/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A17/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H20/12
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
74-49
74
49
+25
A30/12
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H03/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H08/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
86-60
86
60
+26
H10/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A14/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A17/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-43
41-33
30-38
28-39
34-31
41-50
40-23
34-26
32-35
45-36
41-30
40-37
38-34
48-26
35-36
33-36
38-31
38-44
29-30
38-36
143.1Avg total
73.7Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.566.9144.4+10.670%
Season at home (11)83.563.0146.5+20.591%
Season away (9)70.171.7141.8-1.644%
Last 10 (10)73.769.4143.1+4.360%
Last 5 (5)75.668.0143.6+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)70.268.9139.2+1.358%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)75.465.4140.7+10.076%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#278
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A14/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A18/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
56-80
56
80
-24
A20/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
49-74
49
74
-25
H30/12
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
86-95
86
95
-9
H03/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
63-101
63
101
-38
A08/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
H10/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
66-69 OT
66
69
-3
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A18/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-35
27-36
36-35
42-47
32-42
24-38
23-40
26-34
35-42
51-53
31-54
32-47
33-40
38-31
33-19
29-43
47-34
35-34
28-40
39-27
148.3Avg total
69.1Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)72.275.8148.1-3.635%
Season at home (10)77.375.0152.3+2.350%
Season away (10)67.176.7143.8-9.620%
Last 10 (10)69.179.2148.3-10.130%
Last 5 (5)73.478.0151.4-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)66.579.4145.9-12.816%
vs Similar (9)67.471.4138.9-4.022%
vs Weaker (2)101.567.0168.5+34.5100%
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: -5.5-5.52nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -4.7-4.7
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: -5.5-5.52nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -4.7-4.7
East Tennessee StCitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
East Tennessee StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#49
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A13/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A17/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H20/12
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
40-23
40
23
+17
A30/12
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H03/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H08/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H10/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A14/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A17/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A22/01
NCAA
68.2Avg total
35.1Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.331.566.9+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.830.467.1+6.469%-
Last 30 away (14)33.732.966.6+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)35.133.168.2+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.268.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)32.234.066.2-1.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)36.430.366.6+6.176%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#278
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A14/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A18/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A20/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H30/12
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H03/01
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A08/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H10/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
33-19
33
19
+14
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A18/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H22/01
NCAA
70.7Avg total
32.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.536.368.8-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.736.169.8-2.327%-
Last 30 away (15)31.336.667.9-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)32.638.170.7-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)34.437.471.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)30.138.969.0-8.816%-
vs Similar (9)33.632.265.8+1.344%-
vs Weaker (2)50.530.581.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
East Tennessee St wins
2
Citadel wins
DateGameScore
30/12/25Citadel v East Tennessee St49-74
01/03/25Citadel v East Tennessee St66-81
11/01/25East Tennessee St v Citadel70-52
29/02/24Citadel v East Tennessee St63-81
03/02/24East Tennessee St v Citadel62-60
23/02/23East Tennessee St v Citadel78-70
12/01/23Citadel v East Tennessee St74-96
04/03/22East Tennessee St v Citadel76-84 OT
19/02/22Citadel v East Tennessee St67-77
22/01/22East Tennessee St v Citadel73-75
East Tennessee Stlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26AChattanooga Mocs67-66
17/01/26ASamford76-75
14/01/26AWestern Carolina68-72
10/01/26HNC Greensboro86-60
08/01/26HVMI81-67
03/01/26HMercer77-71
30/12/25ACitadel74-49
20/12/25HJacksonville State75-81
17/12/25ANorth Carolina58-77
13/12/25AAustin Peay75-76
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26HFurman77-75 OT
18/01/26AVMI82-68
16/01/26ANC Greensboro66-69 OT
10/01/26HWestern Carolina79-77 OT
08/01/26AMercer63-101
03/01/26HWofford86-95
30/12/25HEast Tennessee St49-74
20/12/25ARichmond Spiders56-80
18/12/25ACharleston78-82
14/12/25ASouth Carolina55-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

East Tennessee St
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWLWWW91%
AwayLWLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %70%91%44%
Points / game77.583.570.1
Allowed / game66.963.071.7
Point differential+10.6+20.5-1.6
Avg total144.4146.5141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%82%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)-50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Citadel
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW35%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%50%20%
Points / game72.277.367.1
Allowed / game75.875.076.7
Point differential-3.6+2.3-9.6
Avg total148.1152.3143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %15%20%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St2014670%77.566.9+10.6
2 Furman2114767%77.770.1+7.6
3 Mercer2013765%85.475.0+10.3
4 Wofford2013765%78.876.6+2.2
5 Chattanooga Mocs2091145%77.072.8+4.2
6 Samford2091145%77.577.0+0.6
7 NC Greensboro2181338%78.281.0-2.8
8 Citadel2071335%72.275.8-3.6
9 Western Carolina1861233%77.181.0-3.9
10 VMI2061430%74.076.7-2.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
East Tennessee St493584
Citadel272855
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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