Chemnitz vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 18:00

Projected 87-87

Projected total 173.8

Final 90-112

22-24 19-35 28-20 21-33

Position#13

Record4-2

FormLWWLL

Points / game87.5

Allowed / game81.0

Chemnitz

49%

51%

■ CHE 49%■ NAP 51%

Pythia win probability

Basket Napoli 🏆

Position#2

Record6-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game92.0

Allowed / game83.0

EurocupRound 7· Messe Chemnitz

European cup2026

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Chemnitz hosts Basket Napoli on 11 November 2026 in the EuroCup, a matchup that feels almost evenly matched as each side brings a strong record yet no clear edge. Chemnitz enters with a 4-2 season tally, scoring 87.5 points per game while allowing 81.0, and sits seventh in the league; at home they are undefeated 3-0, averaging 94.7 points and conceding 76.0. Their last five games include a loss to Buducnost 84-96 away, a 94-78 win over Ludwigsburg at home, and a 96-77 victory against JL Bourg. Basket Napoli is flawless, 6-0 overall, averaging 92.0 points and 83.0 allowed, positioned second; on the road they are 3-0, 91.0 points and 80.7 allowed. Their recent five are all wins, including 90-79 over Trento, 99-81 over Venezia, and 94-85 against Neptunas. The Pythia model sees a 50% chance for each team, favouring Chemnitz, and projects a tight 88-87 score for a total of 175.0 points. The home line is 4.5, with a 63% probability that Chemnitz covers, and the over line of 170.5 carries a 60% chance of exceeding. The game has a 5% chance of overtime, and the final play will be decided by the last basket.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winLost

48.8%fair 2.05

Best odds2.22

Implied46.1%

Edge+2.7pp

Basket Napoli winWon

51.2%fair 1.95

Best odds1.77

Implied53.9%

Edge-2.7pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 18:25 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormChemnitz

Date

Competition

Jena

#18

76-82

-6

66avg 75

A04/10

BBL

Neptunas

#26

93-84

88avg 75

H07/10

Eurocup

Bayern

83-87

-4

77avg 75

H10/10

BBL

Trento

#27

88-80

75avg 75

A13/10

Eurocup

Slask Wroclaw

#31

95-67

+28

88avg 75

H21/10

Eurocup

Wurzburg

88-98

-10

87avg 75

A26/10

BBL

JL Bourg

#24

96-77

+19

92avg 75

H28/10

Eurocup

Ludwigsburg

94-78

+16

no box

H31/10

BBL

Buducnost

#10

84-96

-12

no box

A03/11

Eurocup

Vechta

#13

90-99

-9

no box

A07/11

BBL

19-21

19-19

16-22

22-20

31-15

26-24

18-27

18-18

25-21

25-24

12-22

21-20

19-17

18-17

18-24

33-22

20-21

26-19

24-20

25-7

17-27

25-23

15-27

31-21

25-19

21-13

29-17

21-28

18-23

25-25

24-10

27-20

22-23

22-26

22-24

18-23

24-27

26-18

14-33

26-21

173.5Avg total

88.7Scored

84.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	87.5	81.0	168.5	+6.5	67%
Season at home (3)	94.7	76.0	170.7	+18.7	100%
Season away (3)	80.3	86.0	166.3	-5.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	88.7	84.8	173.5	+3.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	90.4	89.6	180.0	+0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	75.0	80.3	155.3	-5.3	33%
vs Similar (11)	86.1	88.3	174.4	-2.2	36%
vs Weaker (10)	89.7	85.0	174.7	+4.7	70%

This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Basket NapoliLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNapoli

Date

Competition

Buducnost

#10

93-75

+18

94avg 81

A06/10

Eurocup

Cantu

#16

99-80

+19

90avg 81

A11/10

Lega A

Slask Wroclaw

#31

86-82

84avg 81

A14/10

Eurocup

Olimpia Milano

82-98

-16

72avg 81

H18/10

Lega A

Tofas

105-101 OT

105

101

99avg 81

H21/10

Eurocup

Tortona

#14

92-90

86avg 81

A25/10

Lega A

Neptunas

#26

94-85

98avg 81

A28/10

Eurocup

Venezia

99-81

+18

100avg 81

H01/11

Lega A

Trento

#27

90-79

+11

no box

H03/11

Eurocup

Scafati

#15

91-89

no box

A08/11

Lega A

25-19

28-14

22-18

18-24

20-19

29-22

17-20

33-19

22-18

18-19

21-24

25-21

25-18

13-23

23-25

21-32

29-20

24-22

20-24

20-27

19-26

22-21

26-17

25-26

24-20

23-25

24-20

23-20

19-16

25-22

30-20

25-23

24-21

13-18

28-15

25-25

22-19

15-28

27-28

27-14

179.1Avg total

93.1Scored

86.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	92.0	83.0	175.0	+9.0	100%
Season at home (3)	93.0	85.3	178.3	+7.7	100%
Season away (3)	91.0	80.7	171.7	+10.3	100%
Last 10 (10)	93.1	86.0	179.1	+7.1	90%
Last 5 (5)	93.2	84.8	178.0	+8.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	77.6	94.2	171.8	-16.6	0%
vs Similar (15)	87.7	85.2	172.9	+2.5	53%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	92.7	83.0	175.7	+9.7	100%

This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

Pythia expects about 174 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 170-174 (12%). The market's main line is 174.

Over/Under 169Actual: Over 169

Over 169

60.7%

@ 1.68+2.6pp

Under 169

39.3%

@ 2.60-2.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.68

Marathon Be

1.47

Bet365

1.45

Under

Bet365

2.60

1xBet

1.82

Over/Under 174 · main lineActual: Over 174

Over 174

48.6%

@ 1.91-1.4pp

Under 174

51.4%

@ 2.00+1.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.91

SBO

1.82

1xBet

1.71

Bet365

1.71

Marathon Be

1.69

Under

Bet365

2.00

Marathon Be

1.95

Pinnacle

1.91

SBO

1.86

1xBet

1.78

Over/Under 179Actual: Over 179

Over 179

36.7%

@ 2.20-5.4pp

Under 179

63.3%

@ 1.61+5.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.20

Under

Marathon Be

1.61

Bet365

1.60

📊 3. Team Totals

Chemnitz total 79.5Actual: Chemnitz over 79.5

Over 79.5

74.5%

@ 1.27+2.8pp

Under 79.5

25.5%

@ 3.45-2.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.27

Betano

1.26

1xBet

1.24

Under

Bet365

3.45

Betano

3.20

1xBet

2.99

Chemnitz total 83.5 · main lineActual: Chemnitz over 83.5

Over 83.5

61.4%

@ 1.88+2.2pp

Under 83.5

38.6%

@ 2.40-2.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.88

Betano

1.53

Bet365

1.52

1xBet

1.47

Under

Bet365

2.40

Betano

2.22

1xBet

2.12

BetVictor

1.88

Chemnitz total 87.5Actual: Chemnitz over 87.5

Over 87.5

46.8%

@ 2.02+1.2pp

Under 87.5

53.2%

@ 1.67-1.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.02

1xBet

1.88

Under

Betano

1.67

1xBet

1.60

Basket Napoli total 83.5Actual: Basket Napoli over 83.5

Over 83.5

63.0%

@ 1.40-3.2pp

Under 83.5

37.0%

@ 2.75+3.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.40

1xBet

1.35

Betano

1.35

Under

Betano

2.75

Bet365

2.75

1xBet

2.53

Basket Napoli total 87.5 · main lineActual: Basket Napoli over 87.5

Over 87.5

48.1%

@ 1.83-3.0pp

Under 87.5

51.9%

@ 1.98+3.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

Marathon Be

1.78

Betano

1.70

1xBet

1.65

Under

Betano

1.98

BetVictor

1.88

Marathon Be

1.86

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.81

Basket Napoli total 91.5Actual: Basket Napoli over 91.5

Over 91.5

33.6%

@ 2.27-6.2pp

Under 91.5

66.4%

@ 1.57+6.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.27

Bet365

2.25

1xBet

2.21

Under

Bet365

1.57

Betano

1.50

1xBet

1.44

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

Margin from Chemnitz's side (positive = Chemnitz win). Pythia's expected margin is -0.4; Chemnitz win by 1+ in 42% of simulations.

Spread Chemnitz -0.5Actual: Basket Napoli +0.5

CHE -0.5

48.8%

NAP +0.5

51.2%

Best 5 market prices

CHE

No market prices yet.

NAP

No market prices yet.

Spread Chemnitz +2.5 · main lineActual: Basket Napoli -2.5

CHE +2.5

55.5%

@ 1.90+4.8pp

NAP -2.5

44.5%

@ 1.93-4.8pp

Best 5 market prices

CHE

Betano

1.90

Betfair

1.90

SBO

1.90

Pinnacle

1.88

Marathon Be

1.85

NAP

Pinnacle

1.93

Betfair

1.90

BetVictor

1.88

Bet365

1.86

1xBet

1.85

Spread Chemnitz +5.5Actual: Basket Napoli -5.5

CHE +5.5

65.3%

@ 1.60+6.1pp

NAP -5.5

34.7%

@ 2.40-6.1pp

Best 5 market prices

CHE

Pinnacle

1.60

Betano

1.57

Marathon Be

1.53

Bet365

1.52

BetVictor

1.50

NAP

Bet365

2.40

BetVictor

2.38

Pinnacle

2.32

Betano

2.30

1xBet

2.29

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ChemnitzBasket Napoli

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.5
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.1	40%	33%
Last 30 at home (13)	21.8	19.5	41.2	+2.3	54%	31%
Last 30 away (17)	20.2	21.7	41.9	-1.5	29%	35%
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.4	43.4	+0.6	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	21.2	23.8	45.0	-2.6	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.3	44%	44%
vs Similar (11)	20.7	21.5	42.2	-0.7	36%	36%
vs Weaker (10)	21.4	19.9	41.3	+1.5	40%	20%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.5
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.2	41.4	+0.9	67%	27%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	18.7	39.4	+1.9	67%	20%
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	21.7	43.3	-0.1	67%	33%
Last 10 (10)	22.9	19.6	42.5	+3.3	90%	30%
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.2	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.8	60%	40%
vs Similar (15)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.7	60%	20%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.7	20.9	42.6	+0.8	80%	30%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.2	42.1	+1.8	67%	40%
Last 30 at home (13)	23.5	18.8	42.2	+4.7	85%	38%
Last 30 away (17)	20.8	21.2	42.1	-0.4	53%	41%
Last 10 (10)	23.3	20.8	44.1	+2.5	70%	70%
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.0	44.8	+2.8	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	20.9	20.4	41.3	+0.4	67%	44%
vs Similar (11)	23.5	20.1	43.6	+3.5	64%	45%
vs Weaker (10)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	70%	30%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.7	41.8	+0.3	50%	30%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.5	53%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	22.3	43.6	-0.9	47%	33%
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.4	42.4	-0.4	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.8	42.4	-3.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.8	22.8	39.6	-6.0	20%	20%
vs Similar (15)	21.3	20.3	41.5	+1.0	53%	27%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.8	20.4	43.2	+2.4	60%	40%

ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jena

#18

38-40

-2

A04/10

BBL

Neptunas

#26

57-39

+18

H07/10

Eurocup

Bayern

50-45

H10/10

BBL

Trento

#27

37-34

A13/10

Eurocup

Slask Wroclaw

#31

46-40

H21/10

Eurocup

Wurzburg

42-50

-8

A26/10

BBL

JL Bourg

#24

46-32

+14

H28/10

Eurocup

Ludwigsburg

43-48

-5

H31/10

BBL

Buducnost

#10

44-49

-5

A03/11

Eurocup

Vechta

#13

50-45

A07/11

BBL

87.5Avg total

45.3Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 88.25
Last 30 (30)	42.8	40.9	83.7	+1.9	53%	33%
Last 30 at home (13)	45.2	38.2	83.5	+7.0	69%	31%
Last 30 away (17)	41.0	42.9	83.9	-1.9	41%	35%
Last 10 (10)	45.3	42.2	87.5	+3.1	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	45.0	44.8	89.8	+0.2	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	41.3	41.2	82.6	+0.1	44%	33%
vs Similar (11)	44.3	41.5	85.8	+2.7	55%	45%
vs Weaker (10)	42.6	39.9	82.5	+2.7	60%	20%

This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Buducnost

#10

53-33

+20

A06/10

Eurocup

Cantu

#16

49-41

A11/10

Lega A

Slask Wroclaw

#31

40-37

A14/10

Eurocup

Olimpia Milano

38-41

-3

H18/10

Lega A

Tofas

53-42

+11

H21/10

Eurocup

Tortona

#14

41-47

-6

A25/10

Lega A

Neptunas

#26

47-45

A28/10

Eurocup

Venezia

44-38

H01/11

Lega A

Trento

#27

37-39

-2

H03/11

Eurocup

Scafati

#15

37-47

-10

A08/11

Lega A

84.9Avg total

43.9Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 88.25
Last 30 (30)	42.2	41.0	83.1	+1.2	67%	27%
Last 30 at home (15)	41.4	37.9	79.3	+3.5	67%	20%
Last 30 away (15)	42.9	44.0	86.9	-1.1	67%	33%
Last 10 (10)	43.9	41.0	84.9	+2.9	60%	30%
Last 5 (5)	41.2	43.2	84.4	-2.0	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	39.2	43.4	82.6	-4.2	60%	20%
vs Similar (15)	41.6	39.9	81.5	+1.7	67%	27%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	44.5	41.3	85.8	+3.2	70%	30%

This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Basket Napoli win

CHE win

50.5%

@ 2.10+4.8pp

NAP win

49.5%

@ 1.76-4.8pp

1st half Spread Chemnitz +1 · main lineActual: Basket Napoli -1

CHE +1

55.1%

@ 1.91+4.8pp

NAP -1

44.9%

@ 1.92-4.8pp

1st half Over/Under 88.25 · main lineActual: Over 88.25

Over

43.8%

@ 1.83-5.6pp

Under

56.2%

@ 1.79+5.6pp

Chemnitz 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Chemnitz under 42.5

Over

55.2%

@ 1.83+2.8pp

Under

44.8%

@ 1.93-2.8pp

Basket Napoli 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Basket Napoli over 43.5

Over

49.6%

@ 1.83-3.3pp

Under

50.4%

@ 2.02+3.3pp

1st half: CHE + total 87.5

CHE & over

24.0%

@ 4.10+2.8pp

CHE & under

24.3%

@ 3.90+2.0pp

1st half: Draw + total 87.5

Draw & over

2.1%

@ 26.00-1.2pp

Draw & under

2.3%

@ 26.00-1.0pp

1st half: NAP + total 87.5

NAP & over

21.5%

@ 3.55-2.9pp

NAP & under

25.8%

@ 3.40+0.3pp

1st half Over/Under 87Actual: Over 87

Over

49.5%

@ 1.95+0.7pp

Under

50.5%

@ 1.87-0.7pp

1st half Over/Under 89.5Actual: Over 89.5

Over

40.2%

@ 2.20-2.6pp

Under

59.8%

@ 1.62+2.6pp

1st half Spread Chemnitz 0Actual: Basket Napoli 0

CHE 0

50.5%

@ 1.98+2.8pp

NAP 0

49.5%

@ 1.80-2.8pp

1st half Spread Chemnitz +2Actual: Basket Napoli -2

CHE +2

59.5%

@ 1.81+4.9pp

NAP -2

40.5%

@ 2.09-4.9pp

1st half Over/Under 85.75Actual: Over 85.75

Over

55.0%

@ 1.75+3.3pp

Under

45.0%

@ 1.88-3.3pp

1st half Over/Under 91.5Actual: Over 91.5

Over

33.4%

@ 2.60-2.4pp

Under

66.6%

@ 1.45+2.4pp

1st half Spread Chemnitz -1Actual: Basket Napoli +1

CHE -1

45.9%

@ 2.29+4.5pp

NAP +1

54.1%

@ 1.66-4.5pp

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Basket Napoli (regulation)

CHE

48.2%

@ 2.20+5.1pp

Draw

4.5%

@ 16.50-1.5pp

NAP

47.3%

@ 1.80-3.7pp

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	17.8	21.6	39.4	-3.8	33%	30%
Last 30 at home (13)	18.1	20.5	38.5	-2.4	38%	31%
Last 30 away (17)	17.6	22.5	40.1	-4.9	29%	29%
Last 10 (10)	19.2	22.6	41.8	-3.4	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	15.3	19.0	34.3	-3.7	44%	0%
vs Similar (11)	18.8	23.7	42.5	-4.9	18%	45%
vs Weaker (10)	18.9	21.6	40.5	-2.7	40%	40%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.2	43.5	+1.0	57%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	19.7	42.2	+2.7	67%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	22.7	44.7	-0.7	47%	53%
Last 10 (10)	23.8	21.1	44.9	+2.7	50%	80%
Last 5 (5)	27.0	20.0	47.0	+7.0	80%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.0	25.4	41.4	-9.4	20%	40%
vs Similar (15)	23.2	20.5	43.7	+2.7	67%	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.9	20.3	44.2	+3.6	60%	70%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.4	41.8	+0.9	50%	40%
Last 30 at home (13)	19.3	18.8	38.2	+0.5	54%	23%
Last 30 away (17)	22.9	21.6	44.5	+1.2	47%	53%
Last 10 (10)	24.2	20.0	44.2	+4.2	70%	50%
Last 5 (5)	24.6	22.6	47.2	+2.0	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.3	20.1	38.4	-1.8	33%	22%
vs Similar (11)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.4	45%	55%
vs Weaker (10)	23.7	19.0	42.7	+4.7	70%	40%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	22.9	23.5	46.4	-0.6	40%	67%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	24.0	46.9	-1.1	33%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	23.0	45.9	-0.1	47%	67%
Last 10 (10)	24.2	23.1	47.3	+1.1	50%	80%
Last 5 (5)	25.0	21.6	46.6	+3.4	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.4	25.4	47.8	-3.0	20%	60%
vs Similar (15)	22.1	24.3	46.3	-2.2	33%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	24.3	21.4	45.7	+2.9	60%	70%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 86.5
Last 30 (30)	39.1	42.0	81.2	-2.9	33%	30%
Last 30 at home (13)	37.4	39.3	76.7	-1.9	38%	15%
Last 30 away (17)	40.5	44.1	84.6	-3.6	29%	41%
Last 10 (10)	43.4	42.6	86.0	+0.8	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	45.4	44.8	90.2	+0.6	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	33.7	39.1	72.8	-5.4	44%	0%
vs Similar (11)	40.5	45.7	86.2	-5.3	9%	55%
vs Weaker (10)	42.6	40.6	83.2	+2.0	50%	30%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 86.5
Last 30 (30)	45.1	44.7	89.8	+0.4	53%	63%
Last 30 at home (15)	45.3	43.7	89.1	+1.6	60%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	44.9	45.7	90.6	-0.9	47%	60%
Last 10 (10)	48.0	44.2	92.2	+3.8	70%	90%
Last 5 (5)	52.0	41.6	93.6	+10.4	100%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.4	50.8	89.2	-12.4	0%	40%
vs Similar (15)	45.3	44.7	90.0	+0.5	53%	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	48.2	41.7	89.9	+6.5	80%	80%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

CHE win + total 174.5

🔒 Pro

NAP win + total 174.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: CHE leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: NAP leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (CHE:NAP): CHE wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Chemnitz +15.5	88.6%	1.19	Betano 1.19	-	-	-	-	+11.3pp	Lost
Q1: Basket Napoli under 25.5	77.4%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Won
Chemnitz +14.5	87.1%	1.19	Betano 1.19	-	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Lost
Basket Napoli under 99.5	88.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Lost
Q4: Basket Napoli over 17.5	78.6%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Q4: Chemnitz +5.5	77.0%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Lost
Chemnitz over 76.5	82.6%	1.23	Betano 1.25	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
Basket Napoli under 97.5	84.5%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Lost
Q4: Chemnitz over 17.5	78.2%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
Q4: Chemnitz +4.5	72.8%	1.37	1xBet 1.37	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Lost
Basket Napoli under 98.5	86.7%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Lost
1st half: Basket Napoli under 48.5	76.7%	1.31	Bet365 1.32	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Lost
Basket Napoli under 101.5	91.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Lost
Chemnitz +11.5	81.5%	1.25	Bet365 1.27	Betano 1.22	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Lost
Basket Napoli under 103.5	94.4%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Lost
Basket Napoli under 105.5	96.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Lost
Chemnitz over 75.5	84.9%	1.19	Betano 1.24	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Q1: Chemnitz +4.5	74.5%	1.35	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.33	1xBet 1.32	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Basket Napoli under 95.5	78.8%	1.28	Bet365 1.31	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Lost
Basket Napoli under 96.5	81.4%	1.23	Betano 1.25	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Lost
Basket Napoli under 107.5	97.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Lost
Q4: Chemnitz over 18.5	72.0%	1.35	1xBet 1.35	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Q4: Basket Napoli over 18.5	72.7%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
1st half: Basket Napoli under 50.5	84.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Lost
Basket Napoli under 109.5	98.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Lost
Q1: Basket Napoli under 26.5	83.0%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
2nd half: Chemnitz +7.5	77.0%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
1st half: Chemnitz over 31.5	95.1%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Basket Napoli under 108.5	98.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Lost
1st half: Chemnitz +5.5	72.5%	1.38	Bet365 1.41	Betano 1.39	1xBet 1.34	-	-	+6.8pp	Lost
Q1: Chemnitz over 18.5	74.8%	1.32	Betano 1.37	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
2nd half: Basket Napoli +6.5	75.8%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Chemnitz +11	81.0%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Lost
1st half: Basket Napoli under 52.5	90.3%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Lost
1st half: Chemnitz +7.5	78.8%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Lost
Basket Napoli under 106.5	96.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Lost
Chemnitz +10.5	79.2%	1.27	Bet365 1.28	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Lost
Basket Napoli under 104.5	95.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Lost
2nd half: Chemnitz over 37.5	76.0%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Q1: Basket Napoli under 30.5	96.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Basket Napoli under 93.5	73.0%	1.36	Bet365 1.41	Betano 1.36	1xBet 1.32	-	-	+6.3pp	Lost
1st half: Chemnitz +6.5	75.7%	1.33	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.30	1xBet 1.28	-	-	+6.3pp	Lost
1st half: Basket Napoli under 54.5	94.5%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Lost
1st half: Basket Napoli under 47.5	72.0%	1.37	1xBet 1.38	Bet365 1.36	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Lost
Basket Napoli under 94.5	76.0%	1.29	Bet365 1.31	Betano 1.30	1xBet 1.27	-	-	+6.1pp	Lost
Chemnitz over 62.5	98.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
2nd half: Chemnitz +6.5	73.6%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Chemnitz +13.5	85.4%	1.17	Bet365 1.18	Betano 1.16	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Lost
Basket Napoli under 102.5	93.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Lost
Q1: Basket Napoli under 24.5	71.0%	1.41	Bet365 1.43	1xBet 1.41	Betano 1.38	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Q4: Basket Napoli under 25.5	75.8%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Lost
Chemnitz over 78.5	77.4%	1.30	1xBet 1.37	Bet365 1.30	Betano 1.24	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Q3: Chemnitz under 24.5	75.1%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Lost
Basket Napoli under 100.5	90.3%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Lost
Under 183	71.8%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Lost
Chemnitz over 63.5	98.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
2nd half: Chemnitz over 38.5	71.4%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Basket Napoli over 66.5	98.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Over 161.5	76.4%	1.31	Betano 1.32	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
1st half: Chemnitz +11.5	88.8%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Lost
1st half: Chemnitz over 38.5	75.1%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Q1: Basket Napoli under 32.5	98.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Chemnitz over 66.5	97.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Chemnitz under 107.5	97.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
1st half: Basket Napoli under 51.5	87.8%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Lost
Q1: Basket Napoli under 28.5	91.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Chemnitz +23.5	96.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
1st half: Chemnitz +9.5	84.4%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Lost
Chemnitz over 64.5	98.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
1st half: Basket Napoli under 53.5	92.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Lost
Chemnitz over 68.5	95.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Over 146.5	94.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Chemnitz under 105.5	95.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Chemnitz +18.5	92.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Lost
Under 190.5	84.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Lost
Q2: Basket Napoli over 18.5	73.4%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Over 156.5	84.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Chemnitz +28.5	98.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Chemnitz +8.5	74.2%	1.33	BetVictor 1.36	Betano 1.35	Marathon Bet 1.33	Bet365 1.32	1xBet 1.27	+5.1pp	Lost
Q1: Chemnitz +6.5	82.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Under 200.5	94.1%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Lost
1st half: Over 76.5	83.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
1st half: Chemnitz over 35.5	86.4%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Basket Napoli over 68.5	96.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
2nd half: Basket Napoli over 38.5	72.9%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Q1: Chemnitz over 13.5	95.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Chemnitz over 70.5	93.2%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Chemnitz over 77.5	80.1%	1.23	Betano 1.25	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Chemnitz over 65.5	97.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Chemnitz +22.5	95.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Chemnitz +12.5	83.5%	1.17	Betano 1.19	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Lost
Chemnitz +9.5	76.8%	1.29	Betano 1.30	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Lost
Chemnitz over 67.5	96.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Q1: Basket Napoli over 12.5	97.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Q1: Chemnitz under 31.5	97.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Q3: Basket Napoli under 24.5	74.2%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Chemnitz under 103.5	93.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
1st half: Basket Napoli under 49.5	81.0%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Lost
Q2: Chemnitz over 18.5	73.0%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Chemnitz over 74.5	86.9%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Under 185.5	76.1%	1.29	Bet365 1.31	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Lost
Basket Napoli over 67.5	96.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
1st half: Basket Napoli over 35.5	87.7%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
1st half: Under 97.5	84.1%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Lost
Basket Napoli over 70.5	94.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
1st half: Basket Napoli over 33.5	92.5%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Q4: Basket Napoli +4.5	74.2%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
2nd half: Basket Napoli +5.5	72.6%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
1st half: Chemnitz over 33.5	91.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Q3: Basket Napoli over 18.5	70.6%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Chemnitz under 97.5	83.9%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Chemnitz under 101.5	91.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Under 182.5	70.4%	1.40	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.37	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Lost
Chemnitz over 72.5	90.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Chemnitz over 69.5	94.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Under 195.5	89.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Lost
1st half: Chemnitz +10.5	86.6%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Lost
Q1: Chemnitz over 11.5	98.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Chemnitz +7	70.5%	1.41	Marathon Bet 1.42	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Lost
Under 183.5	72.4%	1.35	Bet365 1.38	Betano 1.33	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Lost
Q1: Chemnitz under 29.5	93.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Chemnitz under 106.5	96.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
1st half: Over 78.5	78.6%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Over 151.5	90.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Basket Napoli over 69.5	95.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Chemnitz under 99.5	87.9%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
1st half: Chemnitz over 37.5	79.4%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Q2: Basket Napoli under 24.5	71.6%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Lost
1st half: Chemnitz +8.5	81.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Lost
Chemnitz +8	73.5%	1.35	Marathon Bet 1.35	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Lost
2nd half: Basket Napoli under 47.5	73.3%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Lost
Chemnitz +10	78.7%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Lost
Q2: Chemnitz under 24.5	71.5%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Chemnitz +9	76.2%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Lost
Chemnitz +7.5	71.4%	1.37	Betano 1.42	Marathon Bet 1.39	Bet365 1.37	BetVictor 1.36	1xBet 1.30	+3.8pp	Lost
Over 148.5	93.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Chemnitz under 95.5	79.1%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
1st half: Over 80.5	72.7%	1.35	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Under 198.5	92.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Lost
1st half: Basket Napoli over 34.5	90.4%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Chemnitz +17.5	91.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Lost
1st half: Under 95.5	79.0%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Lost
1st half: Chemnitz over 39.5	70.7%	1.41	Betano 1.53	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.31	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Chemnitz under 104.5	94.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Chemnitz over 71.5	91.9%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Q1: Chemnitz over 15.5	89.7%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Under 184.5	74.3%	1.30	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Lost
Q1: Basket Napoli over 14.5	92.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Chemnitz under 102.5	92.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Q1: Chemnitz or Basket Napoli	94.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Basket Napoli over 71.5	93.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Basket Napoli over 72.5	91.7%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Basket Napoli +22.5	96.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
1st half: Chemnitz under 53.5	91.6%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Q1: Under 49.5	79.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Q2: Chemnitz or Basket Napoli	94.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
1st half: Basket Napoli over 36.5	84.3%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.0%	1.02	Betano 1.03	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Q4: Chemnitz under 24.5	70.9%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Q1: Chemnitz under 27.5	86.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Chemnitz over 80.5	71.4%	1.34	Bet365 1.41	Betano 1.31	1xBet 1.29	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Q1: Over 37.5	80.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Basket Napoli over 74.5	88.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
1st half: Basket Napoli over 37.5	80.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Q1: Chemnitz over 17.5	80.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Chemnitz over 79.5	74.5%	1.26	Bet365 1.27	Betano 1.26	1xBet 1.24	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
1st half: Under 93.5	73.2%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Lost
Basket Napoli over 76.5	84.2%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Chemnitz over 73.5	88.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Basket Napoli +21.5	95.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
1st half: Chemnitz under 51.5	86.4%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
1st half: Over 77.5	81.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Q1: Under 47.5	70.1%	1.37	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Over 153.5	88.6%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
2nd half: Chemnitz under 46.5	70.3%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Lost
Basket Napoli +17.5	92.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Over 160.5	78.2%	1.22	Betano 1.28	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Q1: Basket Napoli over 18.5	74.6%	1.26	1xBet 1.27	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
1st half: Chemnitz under 47.5	71.1%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Under 188.5	81.1%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Lost
Under 193.5	87.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Lost
1st half: Basket Napoli over 39.5	71.2%	1.31	Bet365 1.34	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Q1: Over 39.5	72.1%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Basket Napoli over 73.5	90.1%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Chemnitz under 100.5	90.1%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Over 150.5	91.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Over 158.5	81.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
1st half: Under 96.5	81.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Lost
1st half: Chemnitz under 49.5	79.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Over 162.5	74.4%	1.27	Betano 1.27	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Q1: Basket Napoli over 16.5	85.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Q1: Chemnitz under 25.5	76.3%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Under 196.5	90.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Lost
Chemnitz under 93.5	73.5%	1.28	Bet365 1.32	Betano 1.24	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
1st half: Basket Napoli over 38.5	76.2%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
1st half: Over 79.5	75.8%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Basket Napoli over 79.5	76.3%	1.23	Betano 1.25	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Over 163.5	72.5%	1.29	Bet365 1.30	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Basket Napoli over 75.5	86.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
1st half: Under 94.5	76.1%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Lost
Basket Napoli +16.5	90.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Basket Napoli over 80.5	73.2%	1.26	Bet365 1.28	Betano 1.24	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Chemnitz under 98.5	86.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Basket Napoli over 77.5	81.7%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Won
Basket Napoli over 78.5	79.1%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
Chemnitz under 92.5	70.4%	1.28	Betano 1.29	Bet365 1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
Chemnitz under 96.5	81.6%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
Over 155.5	86.0%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Q1: Basket Napoli +5.5	77.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
1st half: Basket Napoli +9.5	84.2%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Under 191.5	85.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Lost
Basket Napoli +9.5	78.6%	1.17	Betano 1.17	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Won
1st half: Basket Napoli +7.5	78.9%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Won
Basket Napoli +12.5	84.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Won
Under 186.5	77.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-1.0pp	Lost
Over 164.5	70.4%	1.29	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	-	-1.2pp	Won
Chemnitz under 94.5	76.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Won
1st half: Basket Napoli +5.5	72.2%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	-1.9pp	Won
1st half: Basket Napoli +8.5	81.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-2.2pp	Won
Basket Napoli +8.5	76.1%	1.17	Betano 1.17	-	-	-	-	-2.5pp	Won
Basket Napoli +7.5	73.4%	1.21	Bet365 1.22	Betano 1.21	-	-	-	-2.8pp	Won
Basket Napoli +11.5	83.0%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-3.1pp	Won
1st half: Basket Napoli +6.5	75.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-3.3pp	Won
Basket Napoli +6.5	70.5%	1.23	Betano 1.25	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-4.5pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 87.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	21.8	55.5%	54.0%	43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.0	9.5	31.7%	34.0%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	19.3	14.9	77.2%	75.6%	14.9

They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 93.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.7	20.5	59.1%	54.0%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	11.5	41.7%	34.0%	34.5
🏀 Free throws	24.7	17.8	72.1%	75.6%	17.8

They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.0	22.6	55.1%	54.0%	45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	7.8	31.7%	34.0%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	20.1	14.7	73.1%	75.6%	14.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.5	53.7%	54.0%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	8.2	33.2%	34.0%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	28.9	22.5	77.9%	75.6%	22.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	19.1	55.4%	54.0%	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.2	9.3	31.8%	34.0%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	20.1	15.1	75.1%	75.6%	15.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	21.7	55.7%	54.0%	43.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	9.7	37.3%	34.0%	29.2
🏀 Free throws	21.0	15.1	71.9%	75.6%	15.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	20.7	55.5%	54.0%	41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	8.9	33.4%	34.0%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	19.1	13.6	71.4%	75.6%	13.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	20.2	53.5%	54.0%	40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	8.8	32.0%	34.0%	26.3
🏀 Free throws	25.3	19.5	76.9%	75.6%	19.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Chemnitz

LLWWLWWLWL

Basket Napoli

WWWWWWLWWW

#13

League position

+4.0

Net rating

+8.2

94.5

Offensive rating

106.6

90.5

Defensive rating

98.4

52.0%

Effective FG%

60.6%

52.3%

Opp. effective FG%

52.1%

16.6%

Turnover %

15.8%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.40

31.7%

3-point %

41.7%

60.4%

Assist %

68.1%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

90%

Profile

■ Chemnitz ■ Basket Napoli

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Chemnitz wins

Basket Napoli wins

No previous meetings.

Chemnitzlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	A	Vechta	90-99
03/11/26	A	Buducnost	84-96
31/10/26	H	Ludwigsburg	94-78
28/10/26	H	JL Bourg	96-77
26/10/26	A	Wurzburg	88-98
21/10/26	H	Slask Wroclaw	95-67
13/10/26	A	Trento	88-80
10/10/26	H	Bayern	83-87
07/10/26	H	Neptunas	93-84
04/10/26	A	Jena	76-82

Basket Napolilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/26	A	Scafati	91-89
03/11/26	H	Trento	90-79
01/11/26	H	Venezia	99-81
28/10/26	A	Neptunas	94-85
25/10/26	A	Tortona	92-90
21/10/26	H	Tofas	105-101 OT
18/10/26	H	Olimpia Milano	82-98
14/10/26	A	Slask Wroclaw	86-82
11/10/26	A	Cantu	99-80
06/10/26	A	Buducnost	93-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz

Eurocup 2026

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	67%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	LWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	67%	100%	33%
Points / game	87.5	94.7	80.3
Allowed / game	81.0	76.0	86.0
Point differential	+6.5	+18.7	-5.7
Avg total	168.5	170.7	166.3
Over 174	33%	33%	33%
Win by 10+	33%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Basket Napoli

Eurocup 2026

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	92.0	93.0	91.0
Allowed / game	83.0	85.3	80.7
Point differential	+9.0	+7.7	+10.3
Avg total	175.0	178.3	171.7
Over 174	33%	33%	33%
Win by 10+	33%	33%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	17%	33%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Hapoel Jerusalem	6	6	0	100%	88.0	73.5	+14.5
2	Basket Napoli	6	6	0	100%	92.0	83.0	+9.0
3	Bahcesehir Kol.	7	6	1	86%	92.6	76.6	+16.0
4	Tenerife	7	6	1	86%	91.4	79.0	+12.4
5	Tofas	7	6	1	86%	91.7	82.9	+8.9
6	Aris	6	5	1	83%	88.2	76.3	+11.8
7	PAOK	7	5	2	71%	87.7	82.0	+5.7
8	Manresa	7	5	2	71%	88.1	83.3	+4.9
9	Chemnitz	6	4	2	67%	87.5	81.0	+6.5
10	London Lions	7	4	3	57%	81.1	75.3	+5.9
11	Buducnost	7	4	3	57%	88.4	84.4	+4.0
12	Le Mans	6	3	3	50%	79.5	77.8	+1.7
13	Ulm	6	3	3	50%	89.2	88.2	+1.0
14	Maxima Roma	6	3	3	50%	84.3	84.0	+0.3
15	Tortona	6	3	3	50%	81.2	82.0	-0.8
16	Rigas Zelli	6	3	3	50%	78.2	82.0	-3.8
17	Frankfurt	6	3	3	50%	86.2	91.7	-5.5
18	Venezia	7	3	4	43%	86.3	80.6	+5.7
19	Turk Telekom	7	3	4	43%	80.6	80.9	-0.3
20	Siauliai	7	3	4	43%	80.0	86.3	-6.3
21	Lietkabelis	7	3	4	43%	73.7	81.7	-8.0
22	BC Roma	6	2	4	33%	87.7	92.7	-5.0
23	KK Bosna	7	2	5	29%	79.9	81.9	-2.0
24	JL Bourg	7	2	5	29%	81.1	84.7	-3.6
25	Cedevita Olimpija	7	2	5	29%	74.9	79.0	-4.1
26	Neptunas	7	2	5	29%	84.7	90.3	-5.6
27	Trento	7	2	5	29%	82.1	89.0	-6.9
28	Rostock	7	2	5	29%	78.4	86.4	-8.0
29	Cluj-Napoca	7	2	5	29%	81.3	94.3	-13.0
30	San Pablo Burgos	6	1	5	17%	76.3	85.5	-9.2
31	Slask Wroclaw	7	1	6	14%	79.7	89.9	-10.1
32	Balkan	7	1	6	14%	67.4	80.6	-13.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Chemnitz	22	19	28	21	90
Basket Napoli	24	35	20	33	112

← all games of the day

Chemnitz vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Total points distribution

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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