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Tortona vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 90-92
26-19 21-22 17-26 26-25
Position#14
Record1-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game95.8
Tortona
Italy
vs
Basket Napoli 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game86.5
ItalyLega ARound 5· Cittadella dello Sport
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Tortona v Basket Napoli
25 Oct 2026
TOR90
NAP92
02 Nov 2025
TOR87
NAP76
04 May 2025
TOR82
NAP89
10 Mar 2024
TOR97
NAP72
27 Nov 2022
TOR74
NAP73
19 Mar 2022
TOR83
NAP77
02 May 2021
TOR83
NAP62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best odds1.83
Implied54.7%
Edge-
Basket Napoli winWon
-no forecast
Best odds2.11
Implied45.3%
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 78
H24/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
83-89
83
89
-6
72avg 78
A26/05
Lega A
Verona
#10
W
101-93
101
93
+8
101avg 78
H27/09
Lega A
Rigas Zelli
#18
L
84-86
84
86
-2
78avg 78
A30/09
Eurocup
BC Roma
#12
L
70-108
70
108
-38
52avg 78
A04/10
Lega A
Le Mans
#13
W
89-83
89
83
+6
86avg 78
H07/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
L
86-93
86
93
-7
77avg 78
A11/10
Lega A
Aris
#5
L
68-88
68
88
-20
54avg 78
A14/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#4
L
75-89
75
89
-14
69avg 78
H18/10
Lega A
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
89-79
89
79
+10
75avg 78
H21/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
15-16
25-15
26-23
23-23
17-25
26-20
17-21
30-24
22-24
24-27
25-18
21-31
25-19
16-13
22-23
23-25
21-31
15-24
11-28
22-20
24-24
20-22
23-17
25-25
23-22
19-22
19-24
21-31
23-14
11-17
13-26
20-22
18-25
24-25
13-17
18-25
18-20
22-17
31-17
171.3Avg total
83.4Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.095.8178.8-12.825%
Season at home (2)88.091.0179.0-3.050%
Season away (2)78.0100.5178.5-22.50%
Last 10 (10)83.487.9171.3-4.540%
Last 5 (5)81.486.4167.8-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)78.190.3168.4-12.114%
vs Similar (14)83.681.3164.9+2.457%
vs Weaker (9)89.384.2173.6+5.167%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
69avg 80
A03/05
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
98-71
98
71
+27
92avg 80
H10/05
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#4
W
94-75
94
75
+19
94avg 80
A27/09
Lega A
JL Bourg
#23
W
84-76
84
76
+8
76avg 80
H30/09
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
W
99-93
99
93
+6
95avg 80
H03/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
W
93-75
93
75
+18
94avg 80
A06/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#16
W
99-80
99
80
+19
90avg 80
A11/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
86-82
86
82
+4
84avg 80
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
82-98
82
98
-16
72avg 80
H18/10
Lega A
Tofas
#6
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
99avg 80
H21/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
22-18
15-21
17-28
16-21
26-15
29-22
27-13
21-18
24-24
26-12
23-21
19-17
28-20
18-13
19-26
23-34
27-15
26-28
23-16
25-19
28-14
22-18
18-24
20-19
29-22
17-20
33-19
22-18
18-19
21-24
25-21
25-18
13-23
23-25
21-32
29-20
24-22
20-24
20-27
176.2Avg total
92.0Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.586.5180.0+7.075%
Season at home (2)90.595.5186.0-5.050%
Season away (2)96.577.5174.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.084.2176.2+7.880%
Last 5 (5)93.087.2180.2+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.494.6174.0-15.10%
vs Similar (18)87.483.7171.2+3.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)92.281.2173.4+11.0100%
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 172Actual: Over 172
Over 172
no forecast
@ 1.50
Under 172
no forecast
@ 2.50
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Marathon Be
1.49
Under
Bet365
2.50
Over/Under 177.25 · main lineActual: Over 177.25
Over 177.25
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under 177.25
no forecast
@ 1.82
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.82
Over/Under 182Push
Over 182
no forecast
@ 2.30
Under 182
no forecast
@ 1.55
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.30
Under
Bet365
1.55
Marathon Be
1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

Tortona total 86.5Actual: Tortona over 86.5
Over 86.5
no forecast
@ 1.58
Under 86.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.58
WilliamHill
1.57
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.48
Under
WilliamHill
2.30
Betano
2.25
Bet365
2.22
1xBet
2.10
Tortona total 90.5 · main lineActual: Tortona under 90.5
Over 90.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
Under 90.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
2.10
Betano
2.02
Marathon Be
2.00
1xBet
1.89
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.72
Betano
1.67
WilliamHill
1.67
1xBet
1.59
Tortona total 94.5Actual: Tortona under 94.5
Over 94.5
no forecast
@ 2.82
Under 94.5
no forecast
@ 1.38
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.82
Bet365
2.80
1xBet
2.67
Under
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Basket Napoli total 83.5Actual: Basket Napoli over 83.5
Over 83.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
Under 83.5
no forecast
@ 2.72
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.35
Under
Bet365
2.72
Betano
2.62
1xBet
2.52
Basket Napoli total 87.5 · main lineActual: Basket Napoli over 87.5
Over 87.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 87.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.78
Marathon Be
1.78
WilliamHill
1.73
1xBet
1.65
Under
WilliamHill
2.00
Marathon Be
1.95
Betano
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.81
Basket Napoli total 91.5Actual: Basket Napoli over 91.5
Over 91.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
Under 91.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.30
1xBet
2.21
Under
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Tortona -5Actual: Basket Napoli +5
TOR -5
no forecast
@ 2.65
NAP +5
no forecast
@ 1.47
Best 5 market prices
TOR
Bet365
2.65
Marathon Be
2.42
NAP
Marathon Be
1.47
Bet365
1.45
Spread Tortona -2 · main lineActual: Basket Napoli +2
TOR -2
no forecast
@ 2.05
NAP +2
no forecast
@ 1.88
Best 5 market prices
TOR
Bet365
2.05
Marathon Be
1.98
Pinnacle
1.93
SBO
1.88
NAP
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.82
Marathon Be
1.81
Bet365
1.71
Spread Tortona +1Actual: Basket Napoli -1
TOR +1
no forecast
@ 1.72
NAP -1
no forecast
@ 2.11
Best 5 market prices
TOR
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
1.71
Marathon Be
1.71
NAP
Pinnacle
2.11
Marathon Be
2.09
Bet365
2.00

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
TortonaBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H24/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A26/05
Lega A
Verona
#10
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H27/09
Lega A
Rigas Zelli
#18
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A30/09
Eurocup
BC Roma
#12
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A04/10
Lega A
Le Mans
#13
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H07/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A11/10
Lega A
Aris
#5
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A14/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H18/10
Lega A
San Pablo Burgos
#30
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H21/10
Eurocup
89.5Avg total
43.2Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 88.25
Last 30 (30)42.742.485.1+0.460%47%
Last 30 at home (15)42.340.182.4+2.167%40%
Last 30 away (15)43.244.687.8-1.453%53%
Last 10 (10)43.246.389.5-3.140%60%
Last 5 (5)42.445.688.0-3.240%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)43.046.389.3-3.343%71%
vs Similar (14)41.740.582.2+1.264%29%
vs Weaker (9)44.142.286.3+1.967%56%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A03/05
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H10/05
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A27/09
Lega A
JL Bourg
#23
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H30/09
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H03/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A06/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#16
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A11/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H18/10
Lega A
Tofas
#6
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/10
Eurocup
86.5Avg total
46.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 88.25
Last 30 (30)42.740.883.5+1.967%30%
Last 30 at home (16)42.238.180.3+4.169%25%
Last 30 away (14)43.343.987.2-0.664%36%
Last 10 (10)46.540.086.5+6.590%40%
Last 5 (5)46.638.885.4+7.880%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.644.984.4-5.343%29%
vs Similar (18)42.539.782.2+2.867%28%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)47.839.487.2+8.4100%40%
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Tortona win
TOR win
no forecast
@ 1.86
NAP win
no forecast
@ 2.02
1st half Spread Tortona -0.5 · main lineActual: Tortona -0.5
TOR -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
NAP +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half Over/Under 88.25 · main lineActual: Under 88.25
Over
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under
no forecast
@ 1.81
Tortona 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: Tortona over 44.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
Basket Napoli 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Basket Napoli under 43.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half: TOR + total 88.5
TOR & over
no forecast
@ 3.65
TOR & under
no forecast
@ 3.60
1st half: Draw + total 88.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 26.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 26.00
1st half: NAP + total 88.5
NAP & over
no forecast
@ 3.80
NAP & under
no forecast
@ 3.80
1st half Over/Under 87Actual: Over 87
Over
no forecast
@ 1.76
Under
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half Over/Under 89.5Actual: Under 89.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.05
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Spread Tortona -1.5Actual: Tortona -1.5
TOR -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.04
NAP +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Spread Tortona +1Actual: Tortona +1
TOR +1
no forecast
@ 1.67
NAP -1
no forecast
@ 2.21
1st half Over/Under 85.5Actual: Over 85.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.60
Under
no forecast
@ 2.35
1st half Over/Under 91.5Actual: Under 91.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.50
Under
no forecast
@ 1.57
1st half Spread Tortona -2.5Actual: Tortona -2.5
TOR -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
NAP +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Basket Napoli (regulation)
TOR
no forecast
@ 1.90
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
NAP
no forecast
@ 2.08

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
TOR win + total 177.5
🔒 Pro
NAP win + total 177.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: TOR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: NAP leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (TOR:NAP): TOR wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.6
54.0%
54.4%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.5
34.0%
34.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.914.7
73.9%
74.5%14.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.5
57.3%
54.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.912.0
40.1%
34.5%36.0
🏀 Free throws21.515.0
69.8%
74.5%15.0
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WLLLWLLWLW
Basket Napoli
WLWWWWWWWL
#14
League position
#1
-5.3
Net rating
+9.3
97.6
Offensive rating
102.6
102.9
Defensive rating
93.4
52.8%
Effective FG%
58.6%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
13.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.0%
3-point %
40.1%
52.8%
Assist %
63.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 102.6Defence102.9 · 93.4Shooting52.8% · 58.6%3-point %34.0% · 40.1%Ball care13.8% · 16.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Tortona   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tortona wins
5
Basket Napoli wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26Basket Napoli v Tortona76-82
02/11/25Tortona v Basket Napoli87-76
04/05/25Tortona v Basket Napoli82-89
04/01/25Basket Napoli v Tortona92-83
10/03/24Tortona v Basket Napoli97-72
30/12/23Basket Napoli v Tortona81-76
23/04/23Basket Napoli v Tortona82-69
27/11/22Tortona v Basket Napoli74-73
19/03/22Tortona v Basket Napoli83-77
07/11/21Basket Napoli v Tortona82-79
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos89-79
18/10/26HMaxima Roma75-89
14/10/26AAris68-88
11/10/26AReggiana86-93
07/10/26HLe Mans89-83
04/10/26ABC Roma70-108
30/09/26ARigas Zelli84-86
27/09/26HVerona101-93
26/05/26AVenezia83-89
24/05/26HVenezia89-71
Basket Napolilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/26HTofas105-101 OT
18/10/26HOlimpia Milano82-98
14/10/26ASlask Wroclaw86-82
11/10/26ACantu99-80
06/10/26ABuducnost93-75
03/10/26HReggiana99-93
30/09/26HJL Bourg84-76
27/09/26AMaxima Roma94-75
10/05/26HUdine98-71
03/05/26AReggiana80-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game83.088.078.0
Allowed / game95.891.0100.5
Point differential-12.8-3.0-22.5
Avg total178.8179.0178.5
Over 177.2575%50%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game93.590.596.5
Allowed / game86.595.577.5
Point differential+7.0-5.0+19.0
Avg total180.0186.0174.0
Over 177.2575%100%50%
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna440100%97.281.8+15.5
2 Olimpia Milano43175%89.878.2+11.5
3 Basket Napoli43175%93.586.5+7.0
4 Venezia43175%90.586.5+4.0
5 Verona43175%87.884.0+3.8
6 Treviso43175%95.294.0+1.2
7 Trento53260%83.081.8+1.2
8 Varese53260%86.888.2-1.4
9 Udine42250%81.080.8+0.2
10 Maxima Roma42250%87.290.5-3.2
11 Trieste41325%84.281.8+2.5
12 Reggiana41325%86.290.5-4.2
13 Tortona41325%83.095.8-12.8
14 BC Roma51420%99.697.8+1.8
15 Scafati51420%78.490.0-11.6
16 Cantu4040%77.290.2-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona2621172690
Basket Napoli1922262592
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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