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Basket Napoli vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 82-98
25-18 13-23 23-25 21-32
Position#2
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.3
Allowed / game82.7
Basket Napoli
Italy
vs
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record2-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game77.0
ItalyLega ARound 4· PalaBarbuto
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Basket Napoli v Olimpia Milano
18 Oct 2026
NAP82
MIL98
12 Jan 2026
NAP71
MIL77
31 Mar 2025
NAP95
MIL87
08 Oct 2023
NAP77
MIL68
08 Jan 2023
NAP87
MIL81
25 Sep 2021
NAP63
MIL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
97-125
97
125
-28
85avg 80
A19/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
84-74
84
74
+10
73avg 80
H25/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
69avg 80
A03/05
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
98-71
98
71
+27
92avg 80
H10/05
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#4
W
94-75
94
75
+19
94avg 80
A27/09
Lega A
JL Bourg
#24
W
84-76
84
76
+8
76avg 80
H30/09
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
W
99-93
99
93
+6
95avg 80
H03/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
W
93-75
93
75
+18
94avg 80
A06/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#16
W
99-80
99
80
+19
90avg 80
A11/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
86-82
86
82
+4
84avg 80
A14/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
16-34
18-37
36-25
10-17
20-20
29-8
25-29
26-24
22-18
15-21
17-28
16-21
26-15
29-22
27-13
21-18
24-24
26-12
23-21
19-17
28-20
18-13
19-26
23-34
27-15
26-28
23-16
25-19
28-14
22-18
18-24
20-19
29-22
17-20
33-19
22-18
18-19
21-24
25-21
175.6Avg total
91.4Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)97.382.7180.0+14.7100%
Season at home (1)99.093.0192.0+6.0100%
Season away (2)96.577.5174.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.484.2175.6+7.280%
Last 5 (5)92.281.2173.4+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.494.6174.0-15.10%
vs Similar ◀ (18)87.282.9170.1+4.356%
vs Weaker (5)92.281.2173.4+11.0100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
W
86-72
86
72
+14
82avg 82
A18/06
Lega A
Partizan
#11
L
76-92
76
92
-16
71avg 82
A25/09
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
W
83-79
83
79
+4
80avg 82
H27/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#15
W
87-85
87
85
+2
75avg 82
H29/09
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
L
76-86
76
86
-10
68avg 82
A02/10
Euroleague
Verona
#10
L
72-75
72
75
-3
66avg 82
A05/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
79-97
79
97
-18
79avg 82
A08/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#5
W
106-77
106
77
+29
112avg 82
H11/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#5
L
89-98
89
98
-9
77avg 82
H13/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#9
L
97-101
97
101
-4
93avg 82
H15/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
26-20
23-16
18-16
16-20
20-22
22-21
18-29
17-19
21-22
19-23
26-15
30-20
17-21
19-26
21-18
16-26
20-18
24-21
16-21
21-21
17-23
15-14
19-17
20-24
25-27
17-23
17-23
27-28
33-11
20-21
26-17
25-21
15-32
27-31
22-14
23-29
26-27
19-27
29-18
171.3Avg total
85.1Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.077.0164.0+10.067%
Season at home (2)94.578.0172.5+16.5100%
Season away (1)72.075.0147.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)85.186.2171.3-1.140%
Last 5 (5)88.689.6178.2-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.893.8180.7-7.017%
vs Similar ◀ (5)83.091.8174.8-8.820%
vs Weaker (19)89.480.5169.9+8.974%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.4+2.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.4+2.4
Basket NapoliOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A19/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H25/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A03/05
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H10/05
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A27/09
Lega A
JL Bourg
#24
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H30/09
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H03/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A06/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#16
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A11/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/10
Eurocup
86.4Avg total
44.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.883.4+1.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.038.180.1+3.973%-
Last 30 away (15)43.143.686.7-0.567%-
Last 10 (10)44.741.786.4+3.080%-
Last 5 (5)47.839.487.2+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.644.984.4-5.343%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)42.339.781.9+2.672%-
vs Weaker (5)47.839.487.2+8.4100%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A18/06
Lega A
Partizan
#11
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A25/09
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H27/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#15
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H29/09
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A02/10
Euroleague
Verona
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A05/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A08/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#5
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H11/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#5
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H13/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#9
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H15/10
Euroleague
88.5Avg total
43.4Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.343.188.4+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.341.589.8+6.773%-
Last 30 away (15)42.344.787.0-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)43.445.188.5-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)46.448.695.0-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)45.248.393.5-3.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.850.489.2-11.60%-
vs Weaker (19)47.139.586.6+7.574%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.022.2
58.4%
54.3%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.8
38.7%
34.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.014.6
69.5%
74.6%14.6
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.9
53.2%
54.3%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.2
34.6%
34.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.717.7
81.6%
74.6%17.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
WWWWWWWLWL
Olimpia Milano
LLWLLLWWLW
#2
League position
#3
+8.7
Net rating
-1.3
103.3
Offensive rating
99.6
94.6
Defensive rating
100.9
58.3%
Effective FG%
52.7%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
14.7%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
38.7%
3-point %
34.6%
59.7%
Assist %
65.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 99.6Defence94.6 · 100.9Shooting58.3% · 52.7%3-point %38.7% · 34.6%Ball care14.7% · 15.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Basket Napoli wins
6
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
19/04/26Olimpia Milano v Basket Napoli125-97
12/01/26Basket Napoli v Olimpia Milano71-77
31/03/25Basket Napoli v Olimpia Milano95-87
26/10/24Olimpia Milano v Basket Napoli89-82
24/03/24Olimpia Milano v Basket Napoli86-84
18/02/24Olimpia Milano v Basket Napoli72-77
08/10/23Basket Napoli v Olimpia Milano77-68
19/04/23Olimpia Milano v Basket Napoli88-76
08/01/23Basket Napoli v Olimpia Milano87-81 OT
16/04/22Olimpia Milano v Basket Napoli90-67
Basket Napolilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/26ASlask Wroclaw86-82
11/10/26ACantu99-80
06/10/26ABuducnost93-75
03/10/26HReggiana99-93
30/09/26HJL Bourg84-76
27/09/26AMaxima Roma94-75
10/05/26HUdine98-71
03/05/26AReggiana80-91
25/04/26HTrento84-74
19/04/26AOlimpia Milano97-125
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/26HDubai97-101
13/10/26HReal Madrid89-98
11/10/26HTreviso106-77
08/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv79-97
05/10/26AVerona72-75
02/10/26ABaskonia76-86
29/09/26HVirtus Bologna87-85
27/09/26HTrieste83-79
25/09/26APartizan76-92
18/06/26AVenezia86-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.399.096.5
Allowed / game82.793.077.5
Point differential+14.7+6.0+19.0
Avg total180.0192.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game87.094.572.0
Allowed / game77.078.075.0
Point differential+10.0+16.5-3.0
Avg total164.0172.5147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Basket Napoli330100%97.382.7+14.7
2 Virtus Bologna330100%93.781.3+12.3
3 Venezia43175%90.586.5+4.0
4 Olimpia Milano32167%87.077.0+10.0
5 Udine32167%79.373.7+5.7
6 Trento32167%82.379.0+3.3
7 Verona32167%85.785.0+0.7
8 Treviso32167%93.096.7-3.7
9 Varese32167%79.783.7-4.0
10 Reggiana31233%88.089.3-1.3
11 Maxima Roma31233%86.795.7-9.0
12 Tortona31233%85.798.0-12.3
13 BC Roma41325%98.894.8+4.0
14 Trieste3030%81.785.0-3.3
15 Cantu3030%79.089.7-10.7
16 Scafati3030%74.087.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Napoli2513232182
Olimpia Milano1823253298
← all games of the day
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