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Chemnitz vs Spojnia Stargard Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 97-75
19-19 22-17 34-14 22-25
Position#2
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game66.8
vs
Position#24
Record2-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game80.2
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5· Messe Chemnitz
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Spojnia Stargard winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
86-81
86
81
+5
83avg 79
A08/10
BBL
Giessen
#13
W
89-64
89
64
+25
82avg 79
H14/10
German Cup
Peja
#34
W
98-72
98
72
+26
97avg 79
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 79
H22/10
BBL
Spojnia Stargard
#24
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 79
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
74-65
74
65
+9
69avg 79
H28/10
BBL
Den Bosch
#40
W
77-66
77
66
+11
68avg 79
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#4
W
70-68
70
68
+2
64avg 79
A04/11
BBL
Peja
#34
W
99-63
99
63
+36
102avg 79
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Tubingen
#18
W
106-68
106
68
+38
104avg 79
A12/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-15
15-22
18-21
22-23
29-17
20-13
18-20
22-14
26-29
22-16
25-11
25-16
20-17
17-11
18-19
22-16
22-9
12-20
29-28
21-9
12-12
19-21
23-15
20-17
17-24
17-10
21-16
22-16
16-20
16-19
12-12
26-17
23-12
28-13
30-22
18-16
23-19
30-17
26-19
27-13
153.6Avg total
86.0Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.566.8156.2+22.8100%
Season at home (1)98.072.0170.0+26.0100%
Season away (3)86.765.0151.7+21.7100%
Last 10 (10)86.067.6153.6+18.4100%
Last 5 (5)85.266.0151.2+19.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.488.9168.3-9.414%
vs Similar (7)81.683.9165.4-2.329%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.772.1158.8+14.688%
This opponent (Spojnia Stargard) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spojnia StargardLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStargard
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
W
65-62
65
62
+3
53avg 75
H07/10
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
81-87
81
87
-6
77avg 75
H14/10
Energa Basket Liga
Den Bosch
#40
W
92-89
92
89
+3
89avg 75
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Torun
#12
L
73-84
73
84
-11
59avg 75
H22/10
Energa Basket Liga
Chemnitz
#2
L
66-84
66
84
-18
59avg 75
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#2
W
80-73
80
73
+7
69avg 75
H28/10
Energa Basket Liga
Peja
#34
L
79-83
79
83
-4
67avg 75
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lancut
#16
W
86-73
86
73
+13
87avg 75
A05/11
Energa Basket Liga
Den Bosch
#40
W
73-65
73
65
+8
72avg 75
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
W
106-98
106
98
+8
102avg 75
A10/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
7-18
25-12
13-17
23-21
15-20
20-18
23-28
26-29
21-20
26-16
19-24
18-20
23-26
19-21
13-17
9-22
20-12
28-29
9-21
26-16
24-19
15-15
15-23
19-26
22-14
21-16
17-27
25-12
18-16
21-27
22-18
15-21
17-14
16-16
25-14
27-26
31-25
25-18
23-29
159.9Avg total
80.1Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.580.2157.8-2.850%
Season at home (3)72.777.3150.0-4.733%
Season away (1)92.089.0181.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.179.8159.9+0.360%
Last 5 (5)84.878.4163.2+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)75.583.8159.2-8.250%
vs Similar (15)82.182.5164.6-0.547%
vs Weaker (10)87.083.5170.5+3.570%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +6.8+6.8Q4: -3.9-3.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +6.8+6.8Q4: -3.9-3.9
ChemnitzSpojnia Stargard
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A08/10
BBL
Giessen
#13
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H14/10
German Cup
Peja
#34
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H22/10
BBL
Spojnia Stargard
#24
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H28/10
BBL
Den Bosch
#40
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/11
BBL
Peja
#34
W
51-25
51
25
+26
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Tubingen
#18
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A12/11
BBL
75.1Avg total
41.5Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.783.3+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.241.784.8+1.554%-
Last 30 away (17)42.239.982.1+2.247%-
Last 10 (10)41.533.675.1+7.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.233.473.6+6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.145.989.0-2.729%-
vs Similar (7)42.343.986.1-1.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.537.179.6+5.462%-
This opponent (Spojnia Stargard) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spojnia StargardLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H07/10
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H14/10
Energa Basket Liga
Den Bosch
#40
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Torun
#12
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H22/10
Energa Basket Liga
Chemnitz
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#2
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H28/10
Energa Basket Liga
Peja
#34
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lancut
#16
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A05/11
Energa Basket Liga
Den Bosch
#40
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A10/11
Energa Basket Liga
79.8Avg total
40.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.982.9+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.140.681.8+0.544%-
Last 30 away (14)43.041.284.2+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.279.8+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.837.882.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.042.078.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (15)42.141.383.3+0.847%-
vs Weaker (10)43.440.684.0+2.860%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.8
52.7%
52.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.2
38.2%
33.8%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.412.8
73.6%
73.0%12.8
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spojnia Stargardtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spojnia Stargard: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.3
56.2%
52.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.7
31.3%
33.8%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.013.8
72.6%
73.0%13.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WWWWWWWWWW
Spojnia Stargard
WWWLWLLWLW
#2
League position
#24
+22.8
Net rating
+1.2
110.3
Offensive rating
107.0
87.5
Defensive rating
105.8
54.5%
Effective FG%
52.6%
43.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.4%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.2%
3-point %
31.3%
65.5%
Assist %
59.0%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 107.0Defence87.5 · 105.8Shooting54.5% · 52.6%3-point %38.2% · 31.3%Ball care19.0% · 17.4%Off. rebounds33.1% · 28.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)100% · 60%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Spojnia Stargard
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Chemnitz wins
0
Spojnia Stargard wins
DateGameScore
25/10/23Spojnia Stargard v Chemnitz66-84
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23ATubingen106-68
08/11/23APeja99-63
04/11/23AWurzburg70-68
01/11/23ADen Bosch77-66
28/10/23HSyntainics MBC74-65
25/10/23ASpojnia Stargard84-66
22/10/23HGottingen77-63
18/10/23HPeja98-72
14/10/23HGiessen89-64
08/10/23ABasketball Braunschweig86-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/23ADabrowa Gornicza106-98
08/11/23HDen Bosch73-65
05/11/23ALancut86-73
01/11/23HPeja79-83
28/10/23HTrefl Sopot80-73
25/10/23HChemnitz66-84
22/10/23HTorun73-84
18/10/23ADen Bosch92-89
14/10/23HLegia81-87
07/10/23HOstrow Wielkopolski65-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.598.086.7
Allowed / game66.872.065.0
Point differential+22.8+26.0+21.7
Avg total156.2170.0151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Spojnia Stargard
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game77.572.792.0
Allowed / game80.277.389.0
Point differential-2.8-4.7+3.0
Avg total157.8150.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz440100%89.566.8+22.8
2 Bilbao550100%85.468.0+17.4
3 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
4 Legia440100%87.575.8+11.8
5 Basket Zaragoza550100%87.076.8+10.2
6 Gottingen440100%88.279.0+9.2
7 Balkan330100%84.775.7+9.0
8 Manisa65183%81.875.0+6.8
9 Bahcesehir Kol.54180%88.879.2+9.6
10 Jonava54180%92.283.6+8.6
11 Nymburk43175%88.276.8+11.5
12 Varese43175%95.086.0+9.0
13 Leiden43175%56.849.2+7.5
14 Caledonia Gladiators43175%75.076.0-1.0
15 Rostock75271%87.476.9+10.6
16 FC Porto75271%86.479.6+6.9
17 Gravelines-Dunkerque32167%75.357.3+18.0
18 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
19 CSM Oradea53260%88.882.6+6.2
20 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
21 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%74.074.0+0.0
22 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
23 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
24 Levice42250%75.878.5-2.8
25 Spojnia Stargard42250%77.580.2-2.8
26 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
27 Sabah Baku84450%76.281.9-5.6
28 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
29 Peja42250%79.290.0-10.8
30 Trepca42250%64.275.8-11.5
31 AEK Larnaca52340%77.682.4-4.8
32 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
33 Sporting CP31233%85.088.7-3.7
34 Keravnos72529%80.982.4-1.6
35 Anwil Wloclawek41325%73.066.5+6.5
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Mornar Bar41325%71.878.0-6.2
38 Norrkoping41325%65.577.8-12.2
39 Bakken Bears51420%83.286.0-2.8
40 TSU51420%78.285.0-6.8
41 Karhu Basket51420%82.891.8-9.0
42 Kataja71614%76.385.3-9.0
43 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
44 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
45 Den Bosch4040%76.085.2-9.2
46 Brindisi3030%76.386.0-9.7
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu5050%61.683.4-21.8
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz1922342297
Spojnia Stargard1917142575
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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