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Spojnia Stargard vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 66-84
9-22 20-12 28-29 9-21
Position#24
Record1-0
FormWWLWL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game72.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 2· Hala Miejska
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spojnia Stargard winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Spojnia StargardLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStargard
Date
Competition
Lublin
#13
L
99-106
99
106
-7
no box
H03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#4
L
77-84
77
84
-7
no box
A06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
no box
A08/05
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#4
L
82-93
82
93
-11
no box
H11/05
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
W
81-61
81
61
+20
71avg 74
A22/09
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
W
96-86
96
86
+10
98avg 74
A28/09
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
W
65-62
65
62
+3
53avg 74
H07/10
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
81-87
81
87
-6
77avg 74
H14/10
Energa Basket Liga
Den Bosch
#40
W
92-89
92
89
+3
89avg 74
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Torun
#12
L
73-84
73
84
-11
59avg 74
H22/10
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
21-24
29-27
28-30
21-15
10-24
25-19
21-26
18-23
22-22
17-26
21-20
29-23
21-23
17-29
15-18
23-12
18-21
14-16
26-12
32-20
28-27
20-13
16-26
20-15
7-18
25-12
13-17
23-21
15-20
20-18
23-28
26-29
21-20
26-16
19-24
18-20
23-26
19-21
13-17
166.7Avg total
82.4Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)92.089.0181.0+3.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)92.089.0181.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.484.3166.7-1.940%
Last 5 (5)81.481.6163.0-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)78.783.7162.3-5.067%
vs Similar (14)81.182.7163.8-1.643%
vs Weaker (12)89.884.7174.5+5.275%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#10
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 79
A07/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
63-94
63
94
-31
47avg 79
A17/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
78-95
78
95
-17
66avg 79
A19/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
83-89
83
89
-6
79avg 79
H22/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
85-90
85
90
-5
81avg 79
A27/09
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
109-79
109
79
+30
101avg 79
H02/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
86-81
86
81
+5
83avg 79
A08/10
BBL
Giessen
#13
W
89-64
89
64
+25
82avg 79
H14/10
German Cup
Peja
#34
W
98-72
98
72
+26
97avg 79
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 79
H22/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
16-18
18-14
27-20
11-22
22-16
15-39
15-17
20-24
20-25
15-22
23-24
25-26
17-28
23-19
18-16
24-31
18-20
16-13
27-26
23-24
31-18
33-22
22-15
31-15
15-22
18-21
22-23
29-17
20-13
18-20
22-14
26-29
22-16
25-11
25-16
20-17
17-11
18-19
22-16
165.0Avg total
84.9Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)98.072.0170.0+26.0100%
Season at home (1)98.072.0170.0+26.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.980.1165.0+4.860%
Last 5 (5)91.871.8163.6+20.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.887.6164.4-10.912%
vs Similar (10)81.383.0164.3-1.730%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.375.8163.2+11.583%
This opponent (Spojnia Stargard) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
Spojnia StargardChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Spojnia StargardLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lublin
#13
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#4
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A08/05
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#4
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H11/05
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A22/09
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A28/09
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H07/10
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H14/10
Energa Basket Liga
Den Bosch
#40
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Torun
#12
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H22/10
Energa Basket Liga
84.5Avg total
41.7Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.041.984.9+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.342.085.3+1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)42.841.784.5+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.742.884.5-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.285.8-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)38.344.783.0-6.30%-
vs Similar (14)41.641.683.2-0.143%-
vs Weaker (12)45.242.187.3+3.258%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A07/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A17/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A19/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H22/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A27/09
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H02/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A08/10
BBL
Giessen
#13
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H14/10
German Cup
Peja
#34
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H22/10
BBL
84.1Avg total
42.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.142.785.8+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.342.886.1+0.550%-
Last 30 away (16)42.942.685.6+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.484.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)46.836.483.2+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.245.486.6-4.125%-
vs Similar (10)43.344.587.8-1.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.239.483.6+4.875%-
This opponent (Spojnia Stargard) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spojnia Stargardtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spojnia Stargard: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.521.0
57.5%
52.2%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.7
33.3%
33.8%26.0
🏀 Free throws16.212.3
76.3%
73.0%12.3
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.2
53.0%
52.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.5
33.3%
33.8%28.5
🏀 Free throws23.717.0
71.7%
73.0%17.0
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spojnia Stargard
LWLWWWLLLL
Chemnitz
WWWWWLLLLW
#24
League position
#2
+3.9
Net rating
+5.7
110.7
Offensive rating
108.6
106.8
Defensive rating
102.9
54.4%
Effective FG%
51.7%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
18.3%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.3%
3-point %
33.3%
58.4%
Assist %
67.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 108.6Defence106.8 · 102.9Shooting54.4% · 51.7%3-point %33.3% · 33.3%Ball care15.8% · 18.3%Off. rebounds25.5% · 34.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Spojnia Stargard   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Spojnia Stargard wins
0
Chemnitz wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23HTorun73-84
18/10/23ADen Bosch92-89
14/10/23HLegia81-87
07/10/23HOstrow Wielkopolski65-62
28/09/23AGdynia96-86
22/09/23ACzarni Slupsk81-61
11/05/23HLegia82-93
08/05/23ALegia78-91
06/05/23ALegia77-84
03/05/23HLublin99-106
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23HGottingen77-63
18/10/23HPeja98-72
14/10/23HGiessen89-64
08/10/23ABasketball Braunschweig86-81
02/10/23HBamberg109-79
27/09/23AUlm85-90
22/05/23HBonn83-89
19/05/23ABonn78-95
17/05/23ABonn63-94
07/05/23AHeidelberg81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spojnia Stargard
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game92.0-92.0
Allowed / game89.0-89.0
Point differential+3.0-+3.0
Avg total181.0-181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Chemnitz
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game98.098.0-
Allowed / game72.072.0-
Point differential+26.0+26.0-
Avg total170.0170.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz110100%98.072.0+26.0
2 Legia110100%85.062.0+23.0
3 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
4 Varese110100%95.080.0+15.0
5 Manisa440100%84.871.5+13.2
6 Caledonia Gladiators110100%80.068.0+12.0
7 Balkan110100%88.078.0+10.0
8 Trepca220100%77.068.0+9.0
9 Basket Zaragoza330100%88.780.0+8.7
10 Leiden110100%77.069.0+8.0
11 Gottingen110100%86.081.0+5.0
12 Mornar Bar110100%80.075.0+5.0
13 AEK Larnaca220100%82.578.0+4.5
14 Bilbao110100%83.079.0+4.0
15 Sporting CP110100%83.079.0+4.0
16 Spojnia Stargard110100%92.089.0+3.0
17 Levice110100%93.091.0+2.0
18 Nymburk110100%89.088.0+1.0
19 FC Porto43175%84.578.2+6.2
20 Rostock32167%90.074.7+15.3
21 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
22 Sabah Baku53260%77.677.4+0.2
23 Bahcesehir Kol.21150%85.577.0+8.5
24 CSM Oradea21150%89.083.0+6.0
25 Jonava21150%92.087.5+4.5
26 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
27 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
28 TSU21150%72.073.0-1.0
29 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
30 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
31 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
32 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
33 Keravnos41325%80.277.8+2.5
34 Kataja41325%75.583.8-8.2
35 Den Bosch1010%89.092.0-3.0
36 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
37 Anwil Wloclawek1010%79.083.0-4.0
38 Brindisi1010%87.091.0-4.0
39 Alba Fehervar2020%78.585.5-7.0
40 Gravelines-Dunkerque1010%69.077.0-8.0
41 Bakken Bears2020%77.085.5-8.5
42 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
43 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
44 CSU Sibiu1010%68.080.0-12.0
45 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
46 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
47 Karhu Basket1010%88.0104.0-16.0
48 Norrkoping2020%61.579.0-17.5
49 Peja1010%72.098.0-26.0
50 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Spojnia Stargard92028966
Chemnitz2212292184
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