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Wurzburg vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 68-70
20-16 19-16 12-12 17-26
Position#4
Record2-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game74.8
Wurzburg
Germany
vs
Chemnitz 🏆
Germany
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game75.6
GermanyBBLRound 6· Tectake Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Wurzburg v Chemnitz
26 Oct 2026
WUR98
CHE88
06 Mar 2026
WUR81
CHE69
16 Mar 2025
WUR83
CHE90
04 Nov 2023
WUR68
CHE70
03 Feb 2023
WUR77
CHE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
78-81
78
81
-3
no box
A22/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
74-92
74
92
-18
63avg 67
H27/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
77-86
77
86
-9
67avg 67
A01/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
73-77
73
77
-4
61avg 67
H04/05
BBL
PS Karlsruhe
#22
W
93-81
93
81
+12
86avg 67
A23/09
German Cup
Hamburg
#10
W
88-58
88
58
+30
84avg 67
A01/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
60-78
60
78
-18
40avg 67
H06/10
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
59avg 67
H14/10
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
84-76
84
76
+8
76avg 67
H21/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
64-87
64
87
-23
48avg 67
A29/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
19-21
19-17
22-19
26-22
18-30
15-20
15-20
16-20
19-17
19-24
23-25
12-19
25-22
15-17
21-19
22-17
25-21
22-23
24-20
17-12
20-24
33-15
18-7
10-17
24-19
15-22
11-20
20-21
12-23
19-17
21-15
18-25
28-16
15-12
23-23
14-21
20-21
15-23
15-22
155.5Avg total
76.3Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.074.8148.8-0.850%
Season at home (2)72.077.0149.0-5.050%
Season away (2)76.072.5148.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)76.379.2155.5-2.930%
Last 5 (5)73.675.0148.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)67.581.4148.9-13.912%
vs Similar (17)79.881.8161.6-2.041%
vs Weaker (4)91.876.5168.2+15.2100%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
83-89
83
89
-6
79avg 78
H22/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
85-90
85
90
-5
81avg 78
A27/09
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
109-79
109
79
+30
101avg 78
H02/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
86-81
86
81
+5
83avg 78
A08/10
BBL
Giessen
#13
W
89-64
89
64
+25
82avg 78
H14/10
German Cup
Peja
#34
W
98-72
98
72
+26
97avg 78
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 78
H22/10
BBL
Spojnia Stargard
#24
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 78
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
74-65
74
65
+9
69avg 78
H28/10
BBL
Den Bosch
#40
W
77-66
77
66
+11
68avg 78
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
17-28
23-19
18-16
24-31
18-20
16-13
27-26
23-24
31-18
33-22
22-15
31-15
15-22
18-21
22-23
29-17
20-13
18-20
22-14
26-29
22-16
25-11
25-16
20-17
17-11
18-19
22-16
22-9
12-20
29-28
21-9
12-12
19-21
23-15
20-17
17-24
17-10
21-16
22-16
159.7Avg total
86.2Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.275.6161.8+10.680%
Season at home (3)86.769.0155.7+17.7100%
Season away (2)85.585.5171.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)86.273.5159.7+12.780%
Last 5 (5)82.066.4148.4+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.887.6164.4-10.912%
vs Similar (8)82.184.2166.4-2.125%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.573.8159.3+11.786%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +5.3+5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +5.3+5.3
WurzburgChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H27/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A01/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H04/05
BBL
PS Karlsruhe
#22
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A23/09
German Cup
Hamburg
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A01/10
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H06/10
BBL
Ulm
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H14/10
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H21/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A29/10
BBL
79.5Avg total
38.3Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.542.381.8-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.540.180.5+0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)38.544.583.0-6.120%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.279.5-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.876.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.241.676.9-6.425%-
vs Similar (17)39.742.682.3-2.929%-
vs Weaker (4)45.043.588.5+1.575%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H22/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A27/09
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H02/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A08/10
BBL
Giessen
#13
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H14/10
German Cup
Peja
#34
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H22/10
BBL
Spojnia Stargard
#24
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H28/10
BBL
Den Bosch
#40
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
80.0Avg total
41.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.683.6+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.542.184.6+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)41.541.082.5+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.380.0+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)36.833.870.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.245.486.6-4.125%-
vs Similar (8)43.044.487.4-1.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.937.879.6+4.164%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.8
49.0%
54.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.7
32.2%
35.4%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.814.6
73.7%
76.0%14.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.2
53.0%
54.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.5
35.1%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.514.5
70.7%
76.0%14.5
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
LWLLWWLLLL
Chemnitz
WWWWWWWWLL
#4
League position
#3
-4.2
Net rating
+16.2
102.3
Offensive rating
110.7
106.5
Defensive rating
94.5
48.7%
Effective FG%
52.8%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.0%
18.8%
Turnover %
18.2%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
35.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.2%
3-point %
35.1%
46.8%
Assist %
66.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 110.7Defence106.5 · 94.5Shooting48.7% · 52.8%3-point %32.2% · 35.1%Ball care18.8% · 18.2%Off. rebounds30.1% · 35.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Wurzburg wins
0
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
03/02/23Wurzburg v Chemnitz77-74
22/10/22Chemnitz v Wurzburg81-86
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23ABayern64-87
21/10/23HBasketball Braunschweig84-76
14/10/23HUlm72-76
06/10/23HLudwigsburg60-78
01/10/23AHamburg88-58
23/09/23APS Karlsruhe93-81
04/05/23HBasketball Braunschweig73-77
01/05/23AFrankfurt77-86
27/04/23HGottingen74-92
22/04/23ALudwigsburg78-81
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23ADen Bosch77-66
28/10/23HSyntainics MBC74-65
25/10/23ASpojnia Stargard84-66
22/10/23HGottingen77-63
18/10/23HPeja98-72
14/10/23HGiessen89-64
08/10/23ABasketball Braunschweig86-81
02/10/23HBamberg109-79
27/09/23AUlm85-90
22/05/23HBonn83-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game74.072.076.0
Allowed / game74.877.072.5
Point differential-0.8-5.0+3.5
Avg total148.8149.0148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chemnitz
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game86.286.785.5
Allowed / game75.669.085.5
Point differential+10.6+17.7+0.0
Avg total161.8155.7171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin54180%100.082.6+17.4
2 Bayern54180%87.473.8+13.6
3 Chemnitz54180%86.275.6+10.6
4 Oldenburg54180%88.282.6+5.6
5 Ulm54180%90.686.8+3.8
6 Vechta64267%91.083.8+7.2
7 Bonn53260%87.279.8+7.4
8 Ludwigsburg42250%85.577.0+8.5
9 Rostock42250%100.098.8+1.2
10 Wurzburg42250%74.074.8-0.8
11 Hamburg63350%79.284.2-5.0
12 Basketball Braunschweig52340%84.686.0-1.4
13 Bamberg41325%83.897.0-13.2
14 Gottingen41325%84.898.0-13.2
15 Heidelberg51420%88.895.2-6.4
16 Tubingen51420%86.296.0-9.8
17 Crailsheim Merlins51420%78.897.6-18.8
18 Syntainics MBC61517%80.889.7-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg2019121768
Chemnitz1616122670
← all games of the day
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