PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Chemnitz vs Trento Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 16 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record4-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#27
Record2-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game89.0
EuropeEurocupRound 10· Messe Chemnitz
European cup2026
Meetings · Chemnitz v Trento
16 Dec 2026
CHE v TRE
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
CHE81
TRE67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trento win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#26
W
93-84
93
84
+9
88avg 75
H07/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
77avg 75
H10/10
BBL
Trento
#27
W
88-80
88
80
+8
75avg 75
A13/10
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
95-67
95
67
+28
88avg 75
H21/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#9
L
88-98
88
98
-10
87avg 75
A26/10
BBL
JL Bourg
#24
W
96-77
96
77
+19
92avg 75
H28/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#7
W
94-78
94
78
+16
no box
H31/10
BBL
Buducnost
#10
L
84-96
84
96
-12
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#13
L
90-99
90
99
-9
no box
A07/11
BBL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
90-112
90
112
-22
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-15
26-24
18-27
18-18
25-21
25-24
12-22
21-20
19-17
18-17
18-24
33-22
20-21
26-19
24-20
25-7
17-27
25-23
15-27
31-21
25-19
21-13
29-17
21-28
18-23
25-25
24-10
27-20
22-23
22-26
22-24
18-23
24-27
26-18
14-33
26-21
22-24
19-35
28-20
21-33
177.9Avg total
90.1Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.985.4173.3+2.457%
Season at home (4)93.585.0178.5+8.575%
Season away (3)80.386.0166.3-5.733%
Last 10 (10)90.187.8177.9+2.350%
Last 5 (5)90.892.4183.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.583.5160.0-7.030%
vs Similar (10)84.287.1171.3-2.930%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.785.0174.7+4.770%
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Udine
#8
W
74-66
74
66
+8
71avg 74
A10/10
Lega A
Chemnitz
#13
L
80-88
80
88
-8
75avg 74
H13/10
Eurocup
Varese
#6
W
87-85
87
85
+2
83avg 74
H18/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#24
L
79-90
79
90
-11
70avg 74
A21/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
L
81-87
81
87
-6
69avg 74
A24/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
W
94-92
94
92
+2
88avg 74
H27/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#4
L
62-88
62
88
-26
51avg 74
H01/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
no box
A08/11
Lega A
Tofas
#6
L
86-96
86
96
-10
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
15-12
16-17
20-16
17-19
17-18
24-18
22-33
23-17
26-24
23-21
15-23
24-19
21-34
15-22
19-15
26-22
19-16
19-24
17-25
23-16
24-34
20-17
27-25
10-13
16-15
17-22
19-38
21-24
18-13
15-28
25-25
28-26
20-30
22-19
16-13
24-21
20-23
22-23
20-29
167.8Avg total
80.8Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.189.0171.1-6.929%
Season at home (4)85.292.5177.8-7.225%
Season away (3)78.084.3162.3-6.333%
Last 10 (10)80.887.0167.8-6.230%
Last 5 (5)81.490.8172.2-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)83.487.8171.1-4.438%
vs Similar (12)82.585.6168.1-3.142%
vs Weaker (2)88.593.0181.5-4.50%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -4.2-4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -4.2-4.2
ChemnitzTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#26
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H07/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H10/10
BBL
Trento
#27
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A13/10
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H21/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#9
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A26/10
BBL
JL Bourg
#24
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H28/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#7
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H31/10
BBL
Buducnost
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A03/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#13
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A07/11
BBL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
41-59
41
59
-18
H11/11
Eurocup
89.7Avg total
45.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.584.0+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.939.784.6+5.264%-
Last 30 away (16)40.443.083.4-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)45.644.189.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.846.691.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.343.084.3-1.740%-
vs Similar (10)43.741.585.2+2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.639.982.5+2.760%-
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A10/10
Lega A
Chemnitz
#13
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H13/10
Eurocup
Varese
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H18/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#24
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A21/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A24/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#10
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H27/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#4
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H01/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A03/11
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A08/11
Lega A
Tofas
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H10/11
Eurocup
83.2Avg total
41.5Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.044.185.1-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.244.283.4-4.923%-
Last 30 away (17)42.344.186.4-1.841%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.783.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.083.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)41.343.985.2-2.631%-
vs Similar (12)40.344.384.7-4.033%-
vs Weaker (2)42.045.087.0-3.050%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.8
55.5%
54.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.5
31.7%
34.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.314.9
77.2%
75.6%14.9
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.0
48.2%
54.0%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.4
33.2%
34.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.215.1
74.8%
75.6%15.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LLLWWLWWLW
Trento
LLLLWLLWLW
#13
League position
#27
+4.0
Net rating
-5.3
94.5
Offensive rating
87.9
90.5
Defensive rating
93.1
52.0%
Effective FG%
48.9%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
16.6%
Turnover %
17.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.7%
3-point %
33.2%
60.4%
Assist %
66.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 87.9Defence90.5 · 93.1Shooting52.0% · 48.9%3-point %31.7% · 33.2%Ball care16.6% · 17.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Chemnitz wins
0
Trento wins
DateGameScore
13/10/26Trento v Chemnitz80-88
04/02/26Chemnitz v Trento81-67
18/11/25Trento v Chemnitz94-105
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HBasket Napoli90-112
07/11/26AVechta90-99
03/11/26ABuducnost84-96
31/10/26HLudwigsburg94-78
28/10/26HJL Bourg96-77
26/10/26AWurzburg88-98
21/10/26HSlask Wroclaw95-67
13/10/26ATrento88-80
10/10/26HBayern83-87
07/10/26HNeptunas93-84
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HTofas86-96
08/11/26AOlimpia Milano86-88
03/11/26ABasket Napoli79-90
01/11/26HMaxima Roma62-88
27/10/26HBuducnost94-92
24/10/26AScafati81-87
21/10/26AJL Bourg79-90
18/10/26HVarese87-85
13/10/26HChemnitz80-88
10/10/26AUdine74-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game87.993.580.3
Allowed / game85.485.086.0
Point differential+2.4+8.5-5.7
Avg total173.3178.5166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game82.185.278.0
Allowed / game89.092.584.3
Point differential-6.9-7.2-6.3
Avg total171.1177.8162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem770100%88.474.0+14.4
2 Basket Napoli770100%94.984.0+10.9
3 Bahcesehir Kol.76186%92.676.6+16.0
4 Aris76186%90.677.0+13.6
5 Tenerife76186%91.479.0+12.4
6 Tofas76186%91.782.9+8.9
7 PAOK75271%87.782.0+5.7
8 Manresa75271%88.183.3+4.9
9 London Lions74357%81.175.3+5.9
10 Buducnost74357%88.484.4+4.0
11 Maxima Roma74357%88.484.7+3.7
12 Le Mans74357%80.778.1+2.6
13 Chemnitz74357%87.985.4+2.4
14 Venezia73443%86.380.6+5.7
15 Ulm73443%87.687.4+0.1
16 Turk Telekom73443%80.680.9-0.3
17 Tortona73443%80.683.3-2.7
18 BC Roma73443%87.090.6-3.6
19 Siauliai73443%80.086.3-6.3
20 Rigas Zelli73443%78.685.3-6.7
21 Lietkabelis73443%73.781.7-8.0
22 Frankfurt73443%86.694.7-8.1
23 KK Bosna72529%79.981.9-2.0
24 JL Bourg72529%81.184.7-3.6
25 Cedevita Olimpija72529%74.979.0-4.1
26 Neptunas72529%84.790.3-5.6
27 Trento72529%82.189.0-6.9
28 Rostock72529%78.486.4-8.0
29 Cluj-Napoca72529%81.394.3-13.0
30 San Pablo Burgos71614%76.985.9-9.0
31 Slask Wroclaw71614%79.789.9-10.1
32 Balkan71614%67.480.6-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.