Olimpia Milano vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 16:00

Projected 92-80

Projected total 171.8

Final 88-86

26-28 30-20 19-22 13-16

Position#3

Record4-2

FormLLLWL

Points / game91.3

Allowed / game82.2

Olimpia Milano 🏆

84%

16%

■ MIL 84%■ TRE 16%

Pythia win probability

Trento

Position#11

Record3-3

FormLLWLL

Points / game79.5

Allowed / game82.8

Lega ARound 7· Unipol Forum

Domestic2026-27

Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Trento

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Olimpia Milano face Trento on 8 November 2026 in the Lega Basket Serie A, with the model rating Milano as the clear favourite at 85% to win, reflecting their 4-2 record, 91.3 points per game and 82.2 points allowed per game, placing them 4th in the league. Milano have gone 2-1 at home, scoring 94.3 points per game and allowing 84.7, while Trento are 3-3 overall, 79.5 points per game and 82.8 allowed, and 2-1 on the road, 79.3 points per game and 77.0 allowed. The last five for each side are 1-4, with Milano's recent results including a 95-82 win over Cantu, and losses to Olympiacos 78-84 and Panathinaikos 75-80, and Trento's recent outings featuring a 79-90 loss to Basket Napoli, a 62-88 defeat by Maxima Roma, and a 94-92 win over Buducnost. Their head-to-head record stands at 10 meetings, Milano 6 wins to Trento's 4, with Trento's last meeting ending 84-74. Pythia projects a 93-81 score, 173.3 total points, a home line of -10.5 with a 55% chance of Milano covering, an over line of 168.5 with a 61% probability, and a 3% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on Milano's ability to sustain their offensive output against Trento's recent defensive resilience.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon

84.5%fair 1.18

Best odds1.14

Implied85.9%

Edge-1.5pp

Trento winLost

15.5%fair 6.43

Best odds7.00

Implied14.1%

Edge+1.5pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 07 Nov 07:12 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMilano

Date

Competition

Treviso

106-77

106

+29

112avg 82

H11/10

Lega A

Real Madrid

89-98

-9

77avg 82

H13/10

Euroleague

Dubai

97-101

101

-4

93avg 82

H15/10

Euroleague

Basket Napoli

98-82

+16

93avg 82

A18/10

Lega A

Barcelona

81-89

-8

76avg 82

H22/10

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

94-98 OT

-4

80avg 82

H25/10

Lega A

Panathinaikos

75-80

-5

66avg 82

A27/10

Euroleague

Olympiacos

78-84

-6

75avg 82

A30/10

Euroleague

Cantu

#16

95-82

+13

no box

A02/11

Lega A

Valencia

73-84

-11

no box

H05/11

Euroleague

27-28

33-11

20-21

26-17

25-21

15-32

27-31

22-14

23-29

26-27

19-27

29-18

18-25

23-13

25-23

32-21

21-23

19-21

24-27

17-18

22-20

30-17

15-22

14-22

19-18

18-22

24-20

14-20

19-25

25-19

17-25

17-15

23-27

28-20

21-17

23-18

15-24

22-16

22-11

14-33

176.1Avg total

88.6Scored

87.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	91.3	82.2	173.5	+9.2	67%
Season at home (3)	94.3	84.7	179.0	+9.7	67%
Season away (3)	88.3	79.7	168.0	+8.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	88.6	87.5	176.1	+1.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	85.6	168.6	-2.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	81.3	89.7	171.0	-8.4	0%
vs Similar (6)	86.2	87.8	174.0	-1.7	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	88.6	79.6	168.2	+9.0	76%

This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Trento

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormTrento

Date

Competition

Treviso

90-93

-3

80avg 75

H03/10

Lega A

Slask Wroclaw

#31

81-94

-13

80avg 75

H06/10

Eurocup

Udine

74-66

71avg 75

A10/10

Lega A

Chemnitz

#13

80-88

-8

75avg 75

H13/10

Eurocup

Varese

87-85

83avg 75

H18/10

Lega A

JL Bourg

#24

79-90

-11

70avg 75

A21/10

Eurocup

Scafati

#15

81-87

-6

69avg 75

A24/10

Lega A

Buducnost

#10

94-92

88avg 75

H27/10

Eurocup

Maxima Roma

62-88

-26

51avg 75

H01/11

Lega A

Basket Napoli

79-90

-11

no box

A03/11

Eurocup

16-22

20-28

28-20

26-23

22-28

13-22

26-19

20-25

23-21

15-12

16-17

20-16

17-19

17-18

24-18

22-33

23-17

26-24

23-21

15-23

24-19

21-34

15-22

19-15

26-22

19-16

19-24

17-25

23-16

24-34

20-17

27-25

10-13

16-15

17-22

19-38

21-24

18-13

15-28

25-25

168.0Avg total

80.7Scored

87.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	79.5	82.8	162.3	-3.3	50%
Season at home (3)	79.7	88.7	168.3	-9.0	33%
Season away (3)	79.3	77.0	156.3	+2.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	80.7	87.3	168.0	-6.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	89.4	168.4	-10.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	82.7	87.3	170.0	-4.6	38%
vs Similar (13)	82.8	85.5	168.4	-2.7	46%
vs Weaker (4)	86.0	90.5	176.5	-4.5	25%

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

Pythia expects about 172 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 170-174 (12%). The market's main line is 169.25.

Over/Under 164Actual: Over 164

Over 164

68.0%

@ 1.52+5.5pp

Under 164

32.0%

@ 2.50-5.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.52

Bet365

1.50

Under

Bet365

2.50

Over/Under 169.25 · main lineActual: Over 169.25

Over 169.25

55.0%

@ 1.81+5.0pp

Under 169.25

45.0%

@ 1.81-5.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.81

Under

1xBet

1.81

Over/Under 174Push

Over 174

44.0%

@ 2.35+4.4pp

Under 174

56.0%

@ 1.54-4.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.35

Under

Bet365

1.54

Marathon Be

1.48

📊 3. Team Totals

Olimpia Milano total 86.5Actual: Olimpia Milano over 86.5

Over 86.5

69.6%

@ 1.52+5.1pp

Under 86.5

30.4%

@ 2.55-5.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.36

Under

Betano

2.55

1xBet

2.48

Bet365

2.40

Olimpia Milano total 90.5 · main lineActual: Olimpia Milano under 90.5

Over 90.5

55.0%

@ 1.85+4.2pp

Under 90.5

45.0%

@ 1.91-4.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.85

Betano

1.83

Bet365

1.83

WilliamHill

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

Under

WilliamHill

1.91

Marathon Be

1.89

BetVictor

1.88

Betano

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Olimpia Milano total 94.5Actual: Olimpia Milano under 94.5

Over 94.5

39.6%

@ 2.65+3.1pp

Under 94.5

60.4%

@ 1.43-3.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.65

Betano

2.47

1xBet

2.29

Under

Bet365

1.43

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.41

Trento total 74.5Actual: Trento over 74.5

Over 74.5

70.1%

@ 1.47+7.8pp

Under 74.5

29.9%

@ 2.70-7.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.47

Bet365

1.41

1xBet

1.40

Under

Bet365

2.70

Betano

2.37

1xBet

2.32

Trento total 78.5 · main lineActual: Trento over 78.5

Over 78.5

55.2%

@ 2.00+6.9pp

Under 78.5

44.8%

@ 1.83-6.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

2.00

Marathon Be

1.94

Betano

1.93

BetVictor

1.91

Bet365

1.83

Under

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

Marathon Be

1.79

Betano

1.75

WilliamHill

1.73

Trento total 82.5Actual: Trento over 82.5

Over 82.5

39.6%

@ 2.65+4.1pp

Under 82.5

60.4%

@ 1.50-4.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.65

Bet365

2.50

1xBet

2.47

Under

Bet365

1.50

Betano

1.37

1xBet

1.36

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

Margin from Olimpia Milano's side (positive = Olimpia Milano win). Pythia's expected margin is +11.8; Olimpia Milano win by 1+ in 78% of simulations.

Spread Olimpia Milano -16Actual: Trento +16

MIL -16

35.0%

@ 2.62-2.5pp

TRE +16

65.0%

@ 1.51+2.5pp

Best 5 market prices

MIL

Bet365

2.62

Marathon Be

2.32

TRE

Marathon Be

1.51

Bet365

1.44

Spread Olimpia Milano -13 · main lineActual: Trento +13

MIL -13

45.4%

@ 2.05-3.9pp

TRE +13

54.6%

@ 1.88+3.9pp

Best 5 market prices

MIL

Bet365

2.05

Marathon Be

1.93

Pinnacle

1.93

TRE

Pinnacle

1.88

Marathon Be

1.85

Bet365

1.68

Spread Olimpia Milano -10Actual: Trento +10

MIL -10

56.4%

@ 1.68-2.2pp

TRE +10

43.6%

@ 2.27+2.2pp

Best 5 market prices

MIL

Bet365

1.68

Pinnacle

1.60

Marathon Be

1.58

TRE

Pinnacle

2.27

Marathon Be

2.23

Bet365

2.05

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Olimpia MilanoTrento

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.9	41.9	+0.2	47%	40%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	20.0	43.1	+3.1	67%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	21.7	40.7	-2.7	27%	33%
Last 10 (10)	21.2	24.0	45.2	-2.8	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.8	42.4	-3.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.7	22.9	42.6	-3.1	29%	57%
vs Similar (6)	20.5	22.3	42.8	-1.8	33%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.8	19.5	41.3	+2.2	59%	29%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.1	50%	57%
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.3	31%	31%
Last 30 away (17)	23.4	20.5	43.8	+2.9	65%	76%
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.4	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	38%	46%
vs Similar (13)	22.5	19.9	42.5	+2.6	62%	62%
vs Weaker (4)	22.2	23.2	45.5	-1.0	50%	75%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.75
Last 30 (30)	23.6	21.1	44.7	+2.6	53%	67%
Last 30 at home (15)	24.4	21.0	45.4	+3.4	53%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	21.1	44.0	+1.7	53%	60%
Last 10 (10)	23.9	19.8	43.7	+4.1	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	24.6	18.8	43.4	+5.8	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.7	22.7	43.4	-2.0	29%	57%
vs Similar (6)	22.7	19.7	42.3	+3.0	50%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	25.2	20.9	46.1	+4.3	65%	76%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.75
Last 30 (30)	19.0	23.2	42.2	-4.2	30%	43%
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	22.4	41.6	-3.2	38%	38%
Last 30 away (17)	18.8	23.8	42.6	-4.9	24%	47%
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.6	40.5	-2.7	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.4	42.0	-2.8	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.0	22.3	41.3	-3.3	31%	46%
vs Similar (13)	18.5	24.2	42.6	-5.7	23%	46%
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	22.8	43.5	-2.0	50%	25%

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Treviso

60-39

+21

H11/10

Lega A

Real Madrid

40-53

-13

H13/10

Euroleague

Dubai

49-56

-7

H15/10

Euroleague

Basket Napoli

41-38

A18/10

Lega A

Barcelona

40-44

-4

H22/10

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

52-37

+15

H25/10

Lega A

Panathinaikos

37-40

-3

A27/10

Euroleague

Olympiacos

44-44

A30/10

Euroleague

Cantu

#16

51-47

A02/11

Lega A

Valencia

37-40

-3

H05/11

Euroleague

88.9Avg total

45.1Scored

43.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.25
Last 30 (30)	44.7	41.9	86.6	+2.7	50%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	47.5	41.0	88.5	+6.5	67%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	41.9	42.9	84.7	-1.0	33%	40%
Last 10 (10)	45.1	43.8	88.9	+1.3	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	44.2	41.6	85.8	+2.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	40.4	45.6	86.0	-5.1	0%	43%
vs Similar (6)	43.2	42.0	85.2	+1.2	50%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	46.9	40.4	87.4	+6.5	71%	53%

This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Treviso

36-50

-14

H03/10

Lega A

Slask Wroclaw

#31

35-50

-15

H06/10

Eurocup

Udine

38-33

A10/10

Lega A

Chemnitz

#13

34-37

-3

H13/10

Eurocup

Varese

49-41

H18/10

Lega A

JL Bourg

#24

45-53

-8

A21/10

Eurocup

Scafati

#15

45-38

A24/10

Lega A

Buducnost

#10

47-50

-3

H27/10

Eurocup

Maxima Roma

26-28

-2

H01/11

Lega A

Basket Napoli

39-37

A03/11

Eurocup

81.1Avg total

39.4Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.25
Last 30 (30)	40.8	43.9	84.8	-3.1	37%	57%
Last 30 at home (13)	39.1	43.5	82.6	-4.5	31%	54%
Last 30 away (17)	42.2	44.2	86.4	-2.1	41%	59%
Last 10 (10)	39.4	41.7	81.1	-2.3	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	40.4	41.2	81.6	-0.8	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	40.0	43.2	83.2	-3.2	31%	54%
vs Similar (13)	41.0	44.1	85.1	-3.1	38%	62%
vs Weaker (4)	43.0	46.0	89.0	-3.0	50%	50%

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Olimpia Milano win

MIL win

74.9%

@ 1.29-3.4pp

TRE win

25.1%

@ 4.34+3.4pp

1st half Spread Olimpia Milano -7 · main lineActual: Olimpia Milano -7

MIL -7

46.7%

@ 1.98-3.2pp

TRE +7

53.3%

@ 1.90+3.2pp

1st half Over/Under 84.25 · main lineActual: Over 84.25

Over

55.4%

@ 1.82+5.7pp

Under

44.6%

@ 1.80-5.7pp

Olimpia Milano 1st half total 45.5 · main lineActual: Olimpia Milano over 45.5

Over

52.7%

@ 1.87+3.1pp

Under

47.3%

@ 1.93-3.1pp

Trento 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Trento over 39.5

Over

52.1%

@ 2.01+5.6pp

Under

47.9%

@ 1.80-5.6pp

1st half: MIL + total 84.5

MIL & over

40.4%

@ 2.55+6.4pp

MIL & under

32.0%

@ 2.40-4.0pp

1st half: Draw + total 84.5

Draw & over

1.8%

@ 31.00-1.0pp

Draw & under

1.7%

@ 29.00-1.3pp

1st half: TRE + total 84.5

TRE & over

13.3%

@ 7.25+1.3pp

TRE & under

10.9%

@ 7.00-1.4pp

1st half Over/Under 85.5Actual: Over 85.5

Over

51.6%

@ 2.05+5.1pp

Under

48.4%

@ 1.78-5.1pp

1st half Spread Olimpia Milano -6Actual: Olimpia Milano -6

MIL -6

51.2%

@ 1.87-3.2pp

TRE +6

48.8%

@ 2.09+3.2pp

1st half Over/Under 82.5Actual: Over 82.5

Over

62.6%

@ 1.64+5.0pp

Under

37.4%

@ 2.20-5.0pp

1st half Spread Olimpia Milano -8.5Actual: Trento +8.5

MIL -8.5

40.5%

@ 2.07-3.4pp

TRE +8.5

59.5%

@ 1.67+3.4pp

1st half Over/Under 87.5Actual: Over 87.5

Over

44.0%

@ 2.30+3.1pp

Under

56.0%

@ 1.57-3.1pp

1st half Spread Olimpia Milano -5Actual: Olimpia Milano -5

MIL -5

55.7%

@ 1.80+3.7pp

TRE +5

44.3%

@ 1.95-3.7pp

1st half Over/Under 80.5Actual: Over 80.5

Over

69.6%

@ 1.50+6.6pp

Under

30.4%

@ 2.55-6.6pp

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Olimpia Milano (regulation)

MIL

72.4%

@ 1.28-0.3pp

Draw

3.5%

@ 26.00-1.5pp

TRE

24.2%

@ 4.12+1.6pp

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.8	41.3	-0.4	47%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	21.3	41.6	-0.9	27%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	20.4	40.9	+0.1	67%	47%
Last 10 (10)	21.4	22.4	43.8	-1.0	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.1	23.1	45.3	-1.0	43%	86%
vs Similar (6)	19.8	23.0	42.8	-3.2	33%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.9	19.1	39.1	+0.8	53%	29%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.2	53%	47%
Last 30 at home (13)	22.2	20.1	42.2	+2.1	69%	54%
Last 30 away (17)	19.2	20.5	39.6	-1.3	41%	41%
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.5	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.6	39.8	-5.4	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+0.9	62%	46%
vs Similar (13)	20.2	20.7	40.8	-0.5	54%	38%
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.0	25%	75%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.3	41.1	+0.6	63%	40%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	60%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.5	41.3	+0.2	67%	47%
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	16.4	21.6	38.0	-5.2	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.7	21.0	39.7	-2.3	43%	43%
vs Similar (6)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	50%	17%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.7	20.1	41.8	+1.6	76%	47%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	21.3	22.1	43.4	-0.9	43%	57%
Last 30 at home (13)	22.3	22.7	45.0	-0.4	46%	62%
Last 30 away (17)	20.5	21.7	42.2	-1.2	41%	53%
Last 10 (10)	21.0	24.8	45.8	-3.8	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	21.4	25.6	47.0	-4.2	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	21.9	24.3	46.2	-2.4	38%	69%
vs Similar (13)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.6	46%	38%
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	50%	75%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83.5
Last 30 (30)	41.3	41.1	82.4	+0.2	43%	40%
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	41.3	82.6	+0.1	47%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	41.3	40.9	82.2	+0.3	40%	33%
Last 10 (10)	42.2	42.0	84.2	+0.2	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	36.2	40.6	76.8	-4.4	20%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	40.9	44.1	85.0	-3.3	29%	57%
vs Similar (6)	40.8	43.0	83.8	-2.2	33%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	41.6	39.2	80.8	+2.5	53%	35%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83.5
Last 30 (30)	41.7	42.4	84.2	-0.7	53%	53%
Last 30 at home (13)	44.5	42.8	87.2	+1.7	69%	62%
Last 30 away (17)	39.6	42.2	81.8	-2.5	41%	47%
Last 10 (10)	41.3	45.6	86.9	-4.3	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	38.6	48.2	86.8	-9.6	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	42.7	44.2	86.8	-1.5	54%	62%
vs Similar (13)	40.8	40.8	81.6	+0.1	54%	38%
vs Weaker (4)	41.5	42.2	83.8	-0.8	50%	75%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

MIL win + total 169.5

🔒 Pro

TRE win + total 169.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: MIL leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: TRE leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (MIL:TRE): MIL wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Q4: Trento over 16.5	75.1%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Lost
Q2: Trento over 16.5	75.0%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
1st half: Trento over 34.5	77.7%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
Olimpia Milano over 82.5	81.6%	1.26	Bet365 1.28	Betano 1.24	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Won
Olimpia Milano over 79.5	88.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
Q1: Trento over 16.5	75.7%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
2nd half: Trento over 34.5	76.9%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Olimpia Milano over 78.5	90.0%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
2nd half: Olimpia Milano over 40.5	75.5%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Lost
Olimpia Milano over 80.5	86.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
2nd half: Trento over 35.5	72.4%	1.37	1xBet 1.37	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
Q4: Olimpia Milano over 19.5	74.4%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Lost
2nd half: Olimpia Milano over 41.5	71.1%	1.39	1xBet 1.39	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Lost
Q3: Olimpia Milano over 19.5	73.2%	1.35	1xBet 1.35	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Lost
1st half: Olimpia Milano over 40.5	78.3%	1.29	Bet365 1.32	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
1st half: Olimpia Milano over 38.5	85.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Trento over 73.5	73.5%	1.36	Betano 1.38	Bet365 1.37	1xBet 1.34	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Olimpia Milano over 81.5	84.0%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Trento over 72.5	76.7%	1.30	Betano 1.32	Bet365 1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Trento over 74.5	70.1%	1.43	Betano 1.47	Bet365 1.41	1xBet 1.40	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Q2: Olimpia Milano over 19.5	75.6%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
1st half: Olimpia Milano over 41.5	74.1%	1.35	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
1st half: Olimpia Milano over 39.5	82.2%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
1st half: Olimpia Milano over 36.5	91.2%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Olimpia Milano over 84.5	76.0%	1.33	Bet365 1.38	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
1st half: Olimpia Milano over 37.5	88.8%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Olimpia Milano over 76.5	92.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Olimpia Milano over 77.5	91.5%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Olimpia Milano over 74.5	95.1%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Olimpia Milano over 72.5	96.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Q3: Trento over 16.5	74.1%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Over 159.5	76.8%	1.32	Betano 1.32	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Olimpia Milano over 73.5	96.0%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Olimpia Milano over 75.5	94.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Olimpia Milano over 71.5	97.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
1st half: Over 74.5	86.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Over 153.5	86.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Over 158.5	78.6%	1.29	Betano 1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Over 161	74.4%	1.38	Marathon Bet 1.38	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Q1: Olimpia Milano over 19.5	76.3%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
1st half: Olimpia Milano over 34.5	94.8%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
1st half: Over 76.5	81.5%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Olimpia Milano over 83.5	78.9%	1.27	Bet365 1.31	Betano 1.23	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Olimpia Milano over 70.5	97.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Trento over 71.5	79.6%	1.26	Betano 1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Over 162.5	70.9%	1.44	Betano 1.45	Marathon Bet 1.44	Bet365 1.43	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
1st half: Olimpia Milano over 35.5	93.3%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
1st half: Trento over 35.5	73.3%	1.35	1xBet 1.36	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Over 161.5	72.9%	1.39	Marathon Bet 1.40	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.38	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
1st half: Over 78.5	76.0%	1.34	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Olimpia Milano over 68.5	98.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Over 162	72.3%	1.41	Marathon Bet 1.42	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Trento over 61.5	96.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Trento over 67.5	88.5%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Over 160.5	74.9%	1.35	Marathon Bet 1.36	Betano 1.36	Bet365 1.34	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Trento over 70.5	82.3%	1.21	Betano 1.22	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Olimpia Milano over 69.5	98.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Over 163	70.2%	1.46	Marathon Bet 1.46	Bet365 1.45	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Trento over 63.5	94.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Trento over 65.5	91.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Trento over 60.5	97.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Q1: Olimpia Milano over 14.5	95.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Q1: Olimpia Milano over 12.5	98.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Trento over 68.5	87.0%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Trento over 59.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Olimpia Milano over 85.5	72.9%	1.36	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.34	1xBet 1.30	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Trento over 62.5	95.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Q1: Olimpia Milano under 32.5	97.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Over 143.5	95.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Over 148.5	92.0%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Trento over 64.5	93.6%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Trento over 69.5	84.8%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Q1: Trento +7.5	73.2%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
2nd half: Trento +11.5	72.9%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Olimpia Milano +9.5	95.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Trento over 57.5	98.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Olimpia Milano under 110.5	96.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Olimpia Milano under 109.5	95.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Q1: Trento over 11.5	95.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Q4: Trento +7.5	73.8%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Olimpia Milano under 111.5	97.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Trento over 66.5	90.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Q1: Olimpia Milano over 16.5	90.7%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
1st half: Trento over 29.5	92.9%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Trento over 58.5	98.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Olimpia Milano -3	79.3%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	Marathon Bet 1.24	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Lost
Q1: Olimpia Milano under 30.5	93.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Q1: Over 36.5	82.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
1st half: Trento over 31.5	88.2%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Trento under 98.5	95.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Trento under 99.5	96.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Q1: Olimpia Milano over 18.5	82.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Olimpia Milano under 108.5	94.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Trento +22.5	82.3%	1.19	Betano 1.19	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
1st half: Over 79.5	72.9%	1.36	WilliamHill 1.36	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Q4: Olimpia Milano +1.5	72.6%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Lost
Olimpia Milano under 107.5	93.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Olimpia Milano +8.5	95.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Overtime: no	97.0%	1.02	WilliamHill 1.02	Betano 1.01	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Trento +32.5	95.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Q1: Trento over 15.5	81.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
1st half: Trento over 33.5	81.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Q1: Olimpia Milano under 28.5	86.1%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Trento under 96.5	94.1%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Q1: Over 38.5	74.1%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Q1: Trento over 13.5	90.3%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Trento under 97.5	95.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
2nd half: Olimpia Milano (regulation)	70.7%	1.35	1xBet 1.37	Betano 1.37	Marathon Bet 1.36	WilliamHill 1.30	-	+3.5pp	Won
Q1: Trento under 29.5	97.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Trento under 100.5	97.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Trento +30.5	94.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Olimpia Milano +4.5	90.8%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Olimpia Milano under 106.5	92.3%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Q1: Olimpia Milano or Trento	94.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Q1: Trento under 27.5	93.4%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Lost
Trento under 94.5	91.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Trento +31.5	94.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Olimpia Milano +7.5	94.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Trento +21.5	80.1%	1.20	Betano 1.22	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
1st half: Olimpia Milano under 55.5	90.9%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Lost
Trento +19.5	75.0%	1.29	Betano 1.31	Marathon Bet 1.29	Bet365 1.26	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Trento under 95.5	93.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Olimpia Milano under 105.5	90.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Q1: Under 48.5	78.1%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Lost
1st half: Trento under 49.5	91.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Olimpia Milano -1.5	82.7%	1.15	Betano 1.16	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
1st half: Olimpia Milano +4.5	87.0%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
1st half: Olimpia Milano +2.5	82.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Q1: Trento +8.5	77.7%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Q1: Olimpia Milano under 26.5	75.5%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Olimpia Milano -5	73.7%	1.27	Bet365 1.30	Marathon Bet 1.24	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Lost
Olimpia Milano under 101.5	82.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Olimpia Milano (regulation)	82.6%	1.14	Marathon Bet 1.14	1xBet 1.14	Betano 1.14	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
2nd half: Olimpia Milano win	73.1%	1.33	Betano 1.33	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Lost
1st half: Olimpia Milano under 53.5	85.2%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Lost
Trento under 92.5	88.7%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Trento under 93.5	90.3%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Trento +27.5	89.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Olimpia Milano -4	76.8%	1.23	Bet365 1.25	Marathon Bet 1.22	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Lost
Trento under 89.5	82.5%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Olimpia Milano under 104.5	89.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Q1: Olimpia Milano +3.5	82.3%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Olimpia Milano -3.5	77.5%	1.22	Bet365 1.23	Marathon Bet 1.21	Betano 1.21	-	-	+1.8pp	Lost
Q2: Olimpia Milano or Trento	95.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
1st half: Olimpia Milano +0.5	75.8%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Trento +20.5	77.6%	1.23	Betano 1.26	Marathon Bet 1.25	Bet365 1.18	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Trento under 90.5	84.8%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
1st half: Olimpia Milano under 54.5	88.3%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Lost
1st half: Trento +11.5	70.9%	1.31	1xBet 1.32	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Olimpia Milano under 103.5	86.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Trento +18.5	72.2%	1.31	Betano 1.36	Marathon Bet 1.34	Bet365 1.30	1xBet 1.24	-	+1.5pp	Won
Olimpia Milano -6	70.5%	1.31	Bet365 1.35	Marathon Bet 1.28	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Lost
Olimpia Milano -4.5	74.5%	1.25	Bet365 1.28	Betano 1.25	Marathon Bet 1.23	-	-	+1.5pp	Lost
1st half: Trento +15.5	83.7%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Q3: Trento under 22.5	70.8%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Olimpia Milano +3.5	89.3%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Olimpia Milano -5.5	71.4%	1.30	Bet365 1.34	Betano 1.30	Marathon Bet 1.27	-	-	+1.3pp	Lost
Olimpia Milano under 100.5	80.1%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Olimpia Milano under 102.5	85.1%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Trento +19	74.3%	1.29	Marathon Bet 1.31	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Q3: Olimpia Milano under 25.5	71.3%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
1st half: Olimpia Milano under 52.5	81.6%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Lost
Trento under 88.5	80.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
1st half: Trento under 47.5	86.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Lost
Q1: Trento under 25.5	86.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Lost
Q1: Olimpia Milano +1.5	74.1%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Lost
Under 193.5	90.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Trento +18	71.4%	1.34	Marathon Bet 1.36	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Trento under 91.5	86.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Trento +26.5	88.0%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Trento +25.5	87.9%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Won
Olimpia Milano -2.5	79.8%	1.18	Marathon Bet 1.22	Betano 1.17	Bet365 1.15	-	-	+0.2pp	Lost
Trento under 86.5	74.2%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
1st half: Trento under 45.5	79.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Lost
1st half: Trento +13.5	77.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
2nd half: Olimpia Milano under 49.5	70.5%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Q1: Trento under 23.5	76.0%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Lost
1st half: Olimpia Milano under 51.5	77.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Lost
1st half: Olimpia Milano (regulation)	72.4%	1.26	Bet365 1.28	1xBet 1.27	Marathon Bet 1.26	Betano 1.26	WilliamHill 1.25	-0.3pp	Won
Olimpia Milano +2.5	88.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
Olimpia Milano under 99.5	77.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-0.5pp	Won
1st half: Under 94.5	79.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-0.5pp	Lost
Trento under 87.5	77.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Won
Highest quarter: Olimpia Milano	70.1%	1.28	Bet365 1.34	Betano 1.22	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
Olimpia Milano under 98.5	74.3%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	-1.0pp	Won
Olimpia Milano under 97.5	71.1%	1.27	Bet365 1.29	Betano 1.24	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Won
Olimpia Milano win	84.5%	1.12	Marathon Bet 1.14	1xBet 1.14	Betano 1.13	WilliamHill 1.13	BetVictor 1.11	-1.5pp	Won
Under 188.5	84.3%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-1.8pp	Won
1st half: Olimpia Milano under 50.5	72.9%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	-1.8pp	Lost
1st half: Under 92.5	73.2%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	-2.1pp	Lost
Trento under 85.5	71.0%	1.25	Bet365 1.29	Betano 1.22	-	-	-	-2.1pp	Lost
Under 183.5	76.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-3.2pp	Won
1st half: Olimpia Milano win	74.9%	1.23	Bet365 1.29	Betano 1.23	BetVictor 1.22	Pinnacle 1.20	-	-3.4pp	Won
Olimpia Milano or draw	84.6%	1.07	Marathon Bet 1.07	-	-	-	-	-	Won
Trento +20	77.0%	1.26	Marathon Bet 1.26	-	-	-	-	-	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game

46%

33%

21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.0	19.3	56.8%	54.3%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	9.9	36.0%	34.3%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	22.7	18.6	81.9%	74.6%	18.6

They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 80.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀42%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game

46%

33%

21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	17.0	48.2%	54.3%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.3	10.4	33.2%	34.3%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	20.2	15.1	74.8%	74.6%	15.1

They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.9	21.1	57.2%	54.3%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	9.3	35.5%	34.3%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	25.1	18.0	71.7%	74.6%	18.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	19.9	48.8%	54.3%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	9.3	35.2%	34.3%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	24.2	17.4	71.9%	74.6%	17.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	20.7	57.0%	54.3%	41.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	9.7	36.8%	34.3%	29.0
🏀 Free throws	19.9	16.1	80.6%	74.6%	16.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.8	19.1	53.4%	54.3%	38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	9.8	34.0%	34.3%	29.3
🏀 Free throws	17.8	13.8	77.5%	74.6%	13.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	19.8	52.8%	54.3%	39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	9.2	37.5%	34.3%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	21.0	15.6	74.6%	74.6%	15.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	19.0	53.2%	54.3%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	9.7	34.4%	34.3%	29.2
🏀 Free throws	22.1	16.2	73.4%	74.6%	16.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Olimpia Milano

LWLLLLWLLW

Trento

LLWLLWLWLL

League position

#11

-1.4

Net rating

-5.3

100.0

Offensive rating

87.9

101.4

Defensive rating

93.1

55.5%

Effective FG%

48.9%

55.5%

Opp. effective FG%

50.4%

16.5%

Turnover %

17.4%

0.37

Free-throw rate

0.30

36.0%

3-point %

33.2%

66.8%

Assist %

66.8%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ Olimpia Milano ■ Trento

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Olimpia Milano wins

Trento wins

Date	Game	Score
10/05/26	Trento v Olimpia Milano	84-74
07/12/25	Olimpia Milano v Trento	94-90
24/05/25	Olimpia Milano v Trento	89-82
22/05/25	Olimpia Milano v Trento	107-79
19/05/25	Trento v Olimpia Milano	70-67
17/05/25	Trento v Olimpia Milano	70-73
23/03/25	Olimpia Milano v Trento	89-87
16/02/25	Olimpia Milano v Trento	63-79
03/11/24	Trento v Olimpia Milano	91-57
19/05/24	Trento v Olimpia Milano	69-87

Olimpia Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/11/26	H	Valencia	73-84
02/11/26	A	Cantu	95-82
30/10/26	A	Olympiacos	78-84
27/10/26	A	Panathinaikos	75-80
25/10/26	H	Virtus Bologna	94-98 OT
22/10/26	H	Barcelona	81-89
18/10/26	A	Basket Napoli	98-82
15/10/26	H	Dubai	97-101
13/10/26	H	Real Madrid	89-98
11/10/26	H	Treviso	106-77

Trentolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/11/26	A	Basket Napoli	79-90
01/11/26	H	Maxima Roma	62-88
27/10/26	H	Buducnost	94-92
24/10/26	A	Scafati	81-87
21/10/26	A	JL Bourg	79-90
18/10/26	H	Varese	87-85
13/10/26	H	Chemnitz	80-88
10/10/26	A	Udine	74-66
06/10/26	H	Slask Wroclaw	81-94
03/10/26	H	Treviso	90-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano

Lega A 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	67%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	LWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	67%	67%	67%
Points / game	91.3	94.3	88.3
Allowed / game	82.2	84.7	79.7
Point differential	+9.2	+9.7	+8.7
Avg total	173.5	179.0	168.0
Over 169.25	67%	67%	67%
Win by 10+	50%	33%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	17%	33%	0%

Trento

Lega A 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	50%
Home	LWL	33%
Away	WWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	50%	33%	67%
Points / game	79.5	79.7	79.3
Allowed / game	82.8	88.7	77.0
Point differential	-3.3	-9.0	+2.3
Avg total	162.3	168.3	156.3
Over 169.25	33%	67%	0%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Virtus Bologna	6	5	1	83%	96.7	86.8	+9.8
2	Basket Napoli	6	5	1	83%	94.2	86.2	+8.0
3	Treviso	6	5	1	83%	93.2	88.8	+4.3
4	Maxima Roma	7	5	2	71%	88.1	83.7	+4.4
5	Olimpia Milano	6	4	2	67%	91.3	82.2	+9.2
6	Varese	6	4	2	67%	88.8	88.2	+0.7
7	Trieste	7	4	3	57%	94.4	88.4	+6.0
8	Venezia	7	4	3	57%	87.9	88.6	-0.7
9	Udine	6	3	3	50%	80.8	80.2	+0.7
10	Verona	6	3	3	50%	89.7	90.5	-0.8
11	Trento	6	3	3	50%	79.5	82.8	-3.3
12	BC Roma	7	2	5	29%	100.1	99.3	+0.9
13	Reggiana	7	2	5	29%	81.7	83.7	-2.0
14	Tortona	6	1	5	17%	83.2	93.5	-10.3
15	Scafati	6	1	5	17%	80.3	92.2	-11.8
16	Cantu	7	0	7	0%	76.9	90.9	-14.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Olimpia Milano	26	30	19	13	88
Trento	28	20	22	16	86

← all games of the day

Olimpia Milano vs Trento Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Total points distribution

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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