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Trento vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 87-85
23-17 26-24 23-21 15-23
Position#11
Record2-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game79.0
Trento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#8
Record2-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game83.7
ItalyLega ARound 4· BLM Group Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Trento v Varese
18 Oct 2026
TRE87
VAR85
08 Feb 2026
TRE84
VAR78
13 Oct 2024
TRE106
VAR100
04 Feb 2024
TRE90
VAR84
22 Jan 2023
TRE90
VAR80
28 Jan 2022
TRE84
VAR90
22 Nov 2020
TRE74
VAR77
19 Apr 2020
TRE v VAR
upcoming
02 Feb 2019
TRE74
VAR71
10 Mar 2018
TRE82
VAR74
18 Dec 2016
TRE84
VAR68
15 Nov 2015
TRE89
VAR63
02 Mar 2015
TRE78
VAR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
87-84
87
84
+3
77avg 75
A19/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
102-85
102
85
+17
99avg 75
H22/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
81-90
81
90
-9
74avg 75
H24/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
95-106
95
106
-11
89avg 75
A26/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
83-78
83
78
+5
78avg 75
A26/09
Lega A
Neptunas
#26
W
76-73
76
73
+3
63avg 75
A29/09
Eurocup
Treviso
#5
L
90-93
90
93
-3
80avg 75
H03/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#31
L
81-94
81
94
-13
80avg 75
H06/10
Eurocup
Udine
#7
W
74-66
74
66
+8
71avg 75
A10/10
Lega A
Chemnitz
#13
L
80-88
80
88
-8
75avg 75
H13/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
21-25
19-15
21-22
23-14
28-24
31-25
20-22
27-30
15-19
12-27
27-14
28-28
27-30
24-18
16-30
26-18
20-25
16-18
21-17
21-15
15-21
23-15
17-22
16-22
20-28
28-20
26-23
22-28
13-22
26-19
20-25
23-21
15-12
16-17
20-16
17-19
17-18
24-18
22-33
170.6Avg total
84.9Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.379.0161.3+3.367%
Season at home (1)90.093.0183.0-3.00%
Season away (2)78.572.0150.5+6.5100%
Last 10 (10)84.985.7170.6-0.850%
Last 5 (5)80.282.8163.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)84.585.3169.8-0.850%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.784.3166.0-2.646%
vs Weaker (5)89.087.0176.0+2.060%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
L
89-90
89
90
-1
76avg 74
A04/04
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
91-90
91
90
+1
78avg 74
H12/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
96-100
96
100
-4
94avg 74
A19/04
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
84-75
84
75
+9
78avg 74
H26/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
85-104
85
104
-19
70avg 74
A10/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
50avg 74
H27/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
85-77
85
77
+8
78avg 74
A04/10
Lega A
Murcia
#4
L
58-85
58
85
-27
44avg 74
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#6
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 74
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
80avg 74
H13/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
33-23
18-22
18-20
24-20
27-22
12-25
28-23
19-20
25-26
26-30
26-24
19-18
26-13
13-24
26-20
17-27
21-22
31-29
16-26
21-26
18-21
19-21
11-22
24-17
16-21
30-24
15-15
8-16
14-23
20-27
16-19
19-15
21-23
21-20
24-26
27-26
25-11
12-27
18-21
170.4Avg total
82.4Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.783.7163.3-4.067%
Season at home (2)77.087.0164.0-10.050%
Season away (1)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.488.0170.4-5.640%
Last 5 (5)75.884.2160.0-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)82.789.1171.8-6.333%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.683.7168.3+0.957%
vs Weaker (1)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.8-1.8
TrentoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A19/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H22/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H24/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A26/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A26/09
Lega A
Neptunas
#26
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A29/09
Eurocup
Treviso
#5
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#31
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H06/10
Eurocup
Udine
#7
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A10/10
Lega A
Chemnitz
#13
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H13/10
Eurocup
86.1Avg total
42.0Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.843.584.3-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.842.981.8-4.142%-
Last 30 away (18)42.243.986.1-1.739%-
Last 10 (10)42.044.186.1-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.277.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.043.684.6-2.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.542.582.0-3.138%-
vs Weaker (5)44.045.889.8-1.860%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A04/04
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H12/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A19/04
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H26/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A10/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H27/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A04/10
Lega A
Murcia
#4
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H13/10
Champions League
83.9Avg total
42.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.582.9-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.941.683.5+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)38.943.382.3-4.433%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.583.9+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.878.4-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.244.185.3-2.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.641.180.6-1.543%-
vs Weaker (1)40.038.078.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.817.3
52.7%
54.3%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.011.8
36.9%
34.3%35.4
🏀 Free throws19.614.8
75.5%
74.6%14.8
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.6
51.5%
54.3%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.7
33.3%
34.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.815.4
70.6%
74.6%15.4
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
LWLLWWLLWW
Varese
LWLWLLWLWL
#11
League position
#8
-0.6
Net rating
-6.4
95.0
Offensive rating
90.1
95.6
Defensive rating
96.5
54.0%
Effective FG%
50.8%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.9%
3-point %
33.3%
61.2%
Assist %
65.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.0 · 90.1Defence95.6 · 96.5Shooting54.0% · 50.8%3-point %36.9% · 33.3%Ball care17.1% · 16.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Trento   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Trento wins
2
Varese wins
DateGameScore
08/02/26Trento v Varese84-78
25/10/25Varese v Trento74-85
09/02/25Varese v Trento79-92
13/10/24Trento v Varese106-100
04/02/24Trento v Varese90-84
22/10/23Varese v Trento84-85
22/01/23Trento v Varese90-80
16/10/22Varese v Trento91-94 OT
30/01/22Varese v Trento90-89
28/01/22Trento v Varese84-90
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/26HChemnitz80-88
10/10/26AUdine74-66
06/10/26HSlask Wroclaw81-94
03/10/26HTreviso90-93
29/09/26ANeptunas76-73
26/09/26AReggiana83-78
26/05/26AVirtus Bologna95-106
24/05/26HVirtus Bologna81-90
22/05/26HVirtus Bologna102-85
19/05/26AVirtus Bologna87-84
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/26HPeristeri82-85
10/10/26HTrieste85-84
07/10/26AMurcia58-85
04/10/26AScafati85-77
27/09/26HVirtus Bologna69-90
10/05/26AVirtus Bologna85-104
26/04/26HCremona84-75
19/04/26ACantu96-100
12/04/26HSassari91-90
04/04/26ATrieste89-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%0%100%
Points / game82.390.078.5
Allowed / game79.093.072.0
Point differential+3.3-3.0+6.5
Avg total161.3183.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game79.777.085.0
Allowed / game83.787.077.0
Point differential-4.0-10.0+8.0
Avg total163.3164.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna330100%93.781.3+12.3
2 Olimpia Milano43175%89.878.2+11.5
3 Basket Napoli43175%93.586.5+7.0
4 Venezia43175%90.586.5+4.0
5 Udine32167%79.373.7+5.7
6 Trento32167%82.379.0+3.3
7 Verona32167%85.785.0+0.7
8 Treviso32167%93.096.7-3.7
9 Varese32167%79.783.7-4.0
10 Reggiana31233%88.089.3-1.3
11 Maxima Roma31233%86.795.7-9.0
12 Tortona31233%85.798.0-12.3
13 BC Roma41325%98.894.8+4.0
14 Trieste3030%81.785.0-3.3
15 Cantu3030%79.089.7-10.7
16 Scafati3030%74.087.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento2326231587
Varese1724212385
← all games of the day
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