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Cherno More vs Academic Plovdiv Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 90-74
27-16 21-14 21-22 21-22
Position#3
Record9-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game83.2
Cherno More 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Academic Plovdiv
Bulgaria
Position#5
Record9-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game86.6
BulgariaNBLRound 21· DKS - Varna
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cherno More v Academic Plovdiv
26 Oct 2025
CHER91
ACAD85
09 Mar 2025
CHER90
ACAD74
30 Dec 2024
CHER91
ACAD90
03 Dec 2023
CHER93
ACAD87
29 Oct 2022
CHER105
ACAD88
22 Jan 2022
CHER65
ACAD83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cherno More winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Academic Plovdiv winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cherno MoreBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMore
Date
Competition
Beroe
#6
W
95-76
95
76
+19
95avg 74
A09/12
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
78-95
78
95
-17
64avg 74
A22/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
91-90
91
90
+1
85avg 74
H30/12
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
118-108 OT
118
108
+10
120avg 74
A04/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
82-77
82
77
+5
76avg 74
H13/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
70-91
70
91
-21
55avg 74
A19/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
107-82
107
82
+25
108avg 74
H25/01
NBL
Levski
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
77avg 74
A01/02
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
102-88
102
88
+14
97avg 74
H10/02
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
73-77
73
77
-4
71avg 74
A06/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
25-26
23-12
18-21
18-21
23-29
17-24
20-21
17-31
17-13
28-19
29-27
28-25
24-26
27-22
23-29
15-13
21-17
30-25
16-22
14-23
19-23
12-26
25-19
25-26
34-19
25-21
23-16
24-22
20-23
21-17
15-10
20-25
25-18
26-28
31-17
21-19
17-22
21-17
14-19
175.2Avg total
89.6Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)85.183.2168.4+1.953%
Season at home (8)91.481.1172.5+10.275%
Season away (9)79.685.1164.7-5.633%
Last 10 (10)89.685.6175.2+4.070%
Last 5 (5)86.482.0168.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.891.6169.4-13.821%
vs Similar (5)76.886.8163.6-10.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)91.781.5173.2+10.280%
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Academic PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Levski
#8
W
90-75
90
75
+15
91avg 80
A16/12
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
79-77
79
77
+2
78avg 80
H23/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
90-91
90
91
-1
84avg 80
A30/12
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
91-101
91
101
-10
80avg 80
H06/01
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
76-74
76
74
+2
76avg 80
A18/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
87-97
87
97
-10
77avg 80
H26/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
79-104
79
104
-25
70avg 80
A01/02
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
72-91
72
91
-19
62avg 80
A09/02
NBL
Levski
#8
L
80-91
80
91
-11
80avg 80
H01/03
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
103avg 80
A05/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
23-23
16-13
29-19
24-19
14-17
20-17
21-24
31-17
13-17
19-28
27-29
25-27
17-24
23-31
26-19
21-23
22-17
15-20
18-14
22-27
22-22
23-19
20-29
21-26
20-23
25-23
13-32
18-19
19-24
22-27
13-21
26-24
22-20
18-23
14-24
22-28
26-16
19-19
16-20
173.9Avg total
84.4Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.686.6169.2-3.950%
Season at home (9)85.383.7169.0+1.767%
Season away (9)79.989.4169.3-9.633%
Last 10 (10)84.489.5173.9-5.140%
Last 5 (5)83.695.4179.0-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.090.4170.4-10.422%
vs Similar (13)82.784.2166.8-1.554%
vs Weaker (7)94.182.1176.3+12.086%
This opponent (Cherno More) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -3.4-3.4
Cherno MoreAcademic Plovdiv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cherno MoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beroe
#6
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A09/12
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A22/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H30/12
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A04/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H13/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A19/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H25/01
NBL
Levski
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A01/02
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H10/02
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A06/03
NBL
87.4Avg total
43.6Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.143.182.1-4.023%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.041.181.1-1.136%-
Last 30 away (16)38.244.883.1-6.612%-
Last 10 (10)43.643.887.4-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.844.087.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.143.879.9-7.67%-
vs Similar (5)37.444.882.2-7.40%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.641.786.3+2.960%-
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Academic PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Levski
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A16/12
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H23/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A30/12
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H06/01
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A18/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H26/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A01/02
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A09/02
NBL
Levski
#8
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H01/03
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A05/03
NBL
86.3Avg total
43.0Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.742.986.6+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.141.687.7+4.671%-
Last 30 away (16)41.644.085.6-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.386.3-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.645.889.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.344.684.9-4.222%-
vs Similar (13)42.542.084.5+0.546%-
vs Weaker (7)52.142.194.3+10.0100%-
This opponent (Cherno More) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cherno Moretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cherno More: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.7
56.2%
53.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.0
33.6%
32.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws23.317.0
73.0%
71.3%17.0
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Academic Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academic Plovdiv: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.3
58.0%
53.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.4
31.7%
32.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws24.217.8
73.6%
71.3%17.8
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cherno More
LWWWLWWWLW
Academic Plovdiv
WLLLLWLLWW
#3
League position
#5
+4.7
Net rating
-6.6
115.5
Offensive rating
107.7
110.8
Defensive rating
114.3
53.6%
Effective FG%
53.5%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
16.4%
Turnover %
18.9%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.39
33.6%
3-point %
31.7%
63.5%
Assist %
70.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 107.7Defence110.8 · 114.3Shooting53.6% · 53.5%3-point %33.6% · 31.7%Ball care16.4% · 18.9%Off. rebounds34.4% · 27.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Cherno More   ■ Academic Plovdiv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cherno More wins
7
Academic Plovdiv wins
DateGameScore
30/12/24Cherno More v Academic Plovdiv91-90
18/10/24Academic Plovdiv v Cherno More67-64
10/02/24Academic Plovdiv v Cherno More108-97
03/12/23Cherno More v Academic Plovdiv93-87
29/03/23Academic Plovdiv v Cherno More92-85
14/01/23Academic Plovdiv v Cherno More100-86
29/10/22Cherno More v Academic Plovdiv105-88
11/04/22Academic Plovdiv v Cherno More89-85
22/01/22Cherno More v Academic Plovdiv65-83
06/12/21Academic Plovdiv v Cherno More91-79
Cherno Morelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/25ABalkan73-77
10/02/25HBeroe102-88
01/02/25ALevski80-72
25/01/25HMinyor107-82
19/01/25ASpartak Pleven70-91
13/01/25HRilski Sportist82-77
04/01/25AShumen118-108 OT
30/12/24HAcademic Plovdiv91-90
22/12/24ABalkan78-95
09/12/24ABeroe95-76
Academic Plovdivlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25ABeroe100-94 OT
01/03/25HLevski80-91
09/02/25AMinyor72-91
01/02/25ASpartak Pleven79-104
26/01/25HRilski Sportist87-97
18/01/25AShumen76-74
06/01/25HBalkan91-101
30/12/24ACherno More90-91
23/12/24HBeroe79-77
16/12/24ALevski90-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cherno More
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL53%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%75%33%
Points / game85.191.479.6
Allowed / game83.281.185.1
Point differential+1.9+10.2-5.6
Avg total168.4172.5164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %12%12%11%
Academic Plovdiv
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW50%
HomeWWLLL67%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game82.685.379.9
Allowed / game86.683.789.4
Point differential-3.9+1.7-9.6
Avg total169.2169.0169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist1917289%92.674.8+17.8
2 Balkan1814478%87.580.2+7.3
3 Spartak Pleven1810856%87.283.4+3.8
4 Cherno More179853%85.183.2+1.9
5 Beroe1910953%87.589.3-1.8
6 Academic Plovdiv189950%82.686.6-3.9
7 Minyor1981142%83.688.8-5.2
8 Levski1941521%76.384.5-8.2
9 Shumen1921711%83.894.9-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cherno More2721212190
Academic Plovdiv1614222274
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