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Chernomorets vs Rilski Sportist Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 88-87
17-19 20-24 22-20 29-24
Position#2
Record22-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game75.3
Chernomorets 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Rilski Sportist
Bulgaria
Position#1
Record21-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game75.1
BulgariaNBLRound 6· Boycho Branzov
Other2023-24
Meetings · Chernomorets v Rilski Sportist
07 Apr 2024
CHER88
RSP87
16 Mar 2024
CHER75
RSP73
16 Oct 2023
CHER74
RSP65
20 May 2023
CHER95
RSP90
18 May 2023
CHER84
RSP70
22 Oct 2022
CHER91
RSP98
14 Feb 2022
CHER68
RSP89
07 Nov 2020
CHER86
RSP100
12 Oct 2019
CHER75
RSP98
16 Apr 2016
CHER70
RSP95
30 Jan 2016
CHER88
RSP104
08 Feb 2015
CHER64
RSP84
22 Dec 2013
CHER83
RSP98
15 Apr 2013
CHER80
RSP86
09 Dec 2012
CHER93
RSP101
25 Apr 2012
CHER70
RSP102
13 Jan 2012
CHER79
RSP86
13 Feb 2011
CHER72
RSP65
05 Nov 2010
CHER96
RSP87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chernomorets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rilski Sportist winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChernomoretsBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChernomorets
Date
Competition
Shumen
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 79
H10/02
NBL
Levski
#7
W
90-79
90
79
+11
89avg 79
A16/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
68avg 79
A03/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
81-89
81
89
-8
68avg 79
A06/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
78-68
78
68
+10
72avg 79
H09/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#8
W
92-66
92
66
+26
90avg 79
H15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Rilski Sportist
#3
W
75-73
75
73
+2
73avg 79
H16/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#2
W
86-62
86
62
+24
82avg 79
A17/03
Bulgarian Cup
Balkan
#4
W
95-71
95
71
+24
92avg 79
A25/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 79
H01/04
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
18-18
28-17
20-27
19-21
30-25
21-11
20-22
25-20
18-18
16-17
19-25
26-15
20-28
18-30
17-16
20-18
18-19
29-12
11-19
12-19
22-12
27-12
31-23
20-22
17-8
17-19
21-24
22-9
16-11
23-13
25-29
22-18
30-14
20-24
23-15
25-27
29-23
14-14
19-16
159.8Avg total
84.7Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)85.075.3160.3+9.781%
Season at home (13)87.274.2161.3+13.0100%
Season away (14)83.076.3159.3+6.764%
Last 10 (10)84.775.1159.8+9.680%
Last 5 (5)87.070.4157.4+16.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)79.273.2152.3+6.067%
vs Weaker (23)86.175.1161.3+11.087%
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSportist
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#11
W
97-75
97
75
+22
92avg 78
A05/02
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
87-75
87
75
+12
85avg 78
A10/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
88-87
88
87
+1
82avg 78
H15/02
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
80-78
80
78
+2
69avg 78
H03/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
92-84
92
84
+8
85avg 78
H06/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
88-80
88
80
+8
87avg 78
H10/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
84-78
84
78
+6
75avg 78
H15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Chernomorets
#1
L
73-75
73
75
-2
60avg 78
A16/03
Bulgarian Cup
Cherno More
#11
W
107-60
107
60
+47
114avg 78
A23/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
79-86
79
86
-7
75avg 78
A31/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
32-27
18-15
17-16
26-26
19-14
26-19
16-16
20-20
25-22
20-23
23-22
20-25
18-18
17-16
25-19
20-23
28-21
27-18
17-22
22-19
24-19
22-23
20-19
24-18
20-14
16-26
24-20
22-20
8-17
19-17
24-21
19-14
23-13
29-9
36-24
26-23
20-22
22-20
11-21
165.3Avg total
87.5Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.475.1159.6+9.378%
Season at home (14)83.973.1157.0+10.793%
Season away (13)85.177.3162.4+7.862%
Last 10 (10)87.577.8165.3+9.780%
Last 5 (5)86.275.8162.0+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.075.0148.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (3)71.373.0144.3-1.767%
vs Weaker (25)85.575.8161.4+9.776%
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
ChernomoretsRilski Sportist
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChernomoretsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shumen
#6
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H10/02
NBL
Levski
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A16/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A03/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A06/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H09/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#8
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Rilski Sportist
#3
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H16/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#2
W
38-20
38
20
+18
A17/03
Bulgarian Cup
Balkan
#4
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A25/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H01/04
NBL
79.4Avg total
42.8Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.835.977.7+6.070%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.934.477.3+8.580%-
Last 30 away (15)40.837.378.1+3.560%-
Last 10 (10)42.836.679.4+6.290%-
Last 5 (5)43.032.675.6+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.337.778.0+2.767%-
vs Weaker (23)42.635.678.2+7.070%-
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#11
W
62-44
62
44
+18
A05/02
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A10/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H15/02
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H03/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H06/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H10/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Chernomorets
#1
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A16/03
Bulgarian Cup
Cherno More
#11
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A23/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A31/03
NBL
83.8Avg total
44.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.937.379.2+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.733.877.5+9.987%-
Last 30 away (15)40.140.981.0-0.753%-
Last 10 (10)44.639.283.8+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.877.4+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.037.067.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)34.332.066.3+2.333%-
vs Weaker (25)43.238.281.4+5.076%-
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chernomoretstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chernomorets: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.022.8
61.6%
54.3%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.3
31.6%
31.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.813.4
64.4%
71.1%13.4
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.6
55.5%
54.3%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.0
33.8%
31.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.815.3
77.3%
71.1%15.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chernomorets
WWWWWWLLWW
Rilski Sportist
LWLWWWWWWW
#2
League position
#1
+12.9
Net rating
+12.6
110.2
Offensive rating
114.3
97.3
Defensive rating
101.7
55.7%
Effective FG%
53.8%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.6%
3-point %
33.8%
57.9%
Assist %
59.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 114.3Defence97.3 · 101.7Shooting55.7% · 53.8%3-point %31.6% · 33.8%Ball care18.9% · 16.5%Off. rebounds31.7% · 32.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Chernomorets   ■ Rilski Sportist
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Chernomorets wins
3
Rilski Sportist wins
DateGameScore
16/03/24Chernomorets v Rilski Sportist75-73
03/03/24Rilski Sportist v Chernomorets80-78
23/12/23Rilski Sportist v Chernomorets69-67
16/10/23Chernomorets v Rilski Sportist74-65
20/05/23Chernomorets v Rilski Sportist95-90 OT
18/05/23Chernomorets v Rilski Sportist84-70
15/05/23Rilski Sportist v Chernomorets82-75
13/05/23Rilski Sportist v Chernomorets73-79
21/03/23Rilski Sportist v Chernomorets78-82 OT
15/03/23Rilski Sportist v Chernomorets72-87
Chernomoretslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/24HSpartak Pleven87-80
25/03/24ABalkan95-71
17/03/24ASpartak Pleven86-62
16/03/24HRilski Sportist75-73
15/03/24HCSKA Sofia92-66
09/03/24HCSKA Sofia78-68
06/03/24ACherno More81-89
03/03/24ARilski Sportist78-80
16/02/24ALevski90-79
10/02/24HShumen85-83
Rilski Sportistlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24ABalkan79-86
23/03/24ACherno More107-60
16/03/24AChernomorets73-75
15/03/24HAcademic Plovdiv84-78
10/03/24HSpartak Pleven88-80
06/03/24HCSKA Sofia92-84
03/03/24HChernomorets80-78
15/02/24HSpartak Pleven88-87
10/02/24AYambol87-75
05/02/24ACherno More97-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chernomorets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW81%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %81%100%64%
Points / game85.087.283.0
Allowed / game75.374.276.3
Point differential+9.7+13.0+6.7
Avg total160.3161.3159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%54%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (1)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rilski Sportist
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %78%93%62%
Points / game84.483.985.1
Allowed / game75.173.177.3
Point differential+9.3+10.7+7.8
Avg total159.6157.0162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%36%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)100% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets2722581%85.075.3+9.7
2 Rilski Sportist2721678%84.475.1+9.3
3 Spartak Pleven2820871%87.679.6+7.9
4 Balkan28181064%82.678.4+4.2
5 CSKA Sofia28141450%84.081.1+2.9
6 Yambol28121643%80.584.8-4.2
7 Shumen28111739%84.483.4+1.0
8 Levski28111739%74.477.1-2.8
9 Cherno More28111739%82.288.5-6.3
10 Academic Plovdiv28101836%80.784.6-3.9
11 Minyor2891932%75.482.4-7.0
12 Beroe2882029%81.091.1-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chernomorets1720222988
Rilski Sportist1924202487
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