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Rilski Sportist vs CSKA Sofia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 92-84
20-23 28-21 27-18 17-22
Position#1
Record18-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game74.7
Rilski Sportist 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
CSKA Sofia
Bulgaria
Position#5
Record13-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game79.5
BulgariaNBLRound 2· Arena Samokov
Other2023-24
Meetings · Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia
17 Oct 2026
RSP114
CSKA76
06 Mar 2024
RSP92
CSKA84
13 Nov 2023
RSP79
CSKA78
26 May 2023
RSP71
CSKA88
29 Mar 2023
RSP86
CSKA89
29 Oct 2022
RSP84
CSKA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rilski Sportist winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Sofia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rilski SportistBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSportist
Date
Competition
Shumen
#6
W
98-87
98
87
+11
93avg 77
A29/12
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
69-64
69
64
+5
64avg 77
H07/01
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
82-70
82
70
+12
82avg 77
A13/01
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
86-85
86
85
+1
76avg 77
A17/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
90-63
90
63
+27
80avg 77
H20/01
NBL
Levski
#7
W
88-70
88
70
+18
91avg 77
H27/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
97-75
97
75
+22
92avg 77
A05/02
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
87-75
87
75
+12
85avg 77
A10/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
88-87
88
87
+1
82avg 77
H15/02
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
80-78
80
78
+2
69avg 77
H03/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
28-27
29-19
24-21
20-10
19-17
15-10
15-27
19-16
27-23
23-12
13-19
21-31
20-14
20-20
25-20
23-13
25-16
18-21
24-13
25-18
22-18
27-14
14-20
30-17
32-27
18-15
17-16
26-26
19-14
26-19
16-16
20-20
25-22
20-23
23-22
20-25
18-18
17-16
25-19
161.9Avg total
86.5Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.274.7158.0+8.578%
Season at home (12)82.871.7154.5+11.292%
Season away (11)83.678.1161.7+5.564%
Last 10 (10)86.575.4161.9+11.1100%
Last 5 (5)88.077.0165.0+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)71.373.0144.3-1.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)83.577.1160.7+6.467%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
93-74
93
74
+19
87avg 80
H22/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
82-76
82
76
+6
76avg 80
A29/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
74avg 80
H08/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
74avg 80
A14/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
85-86
85
86
-1
87avg 80
H17/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
74avg 80
H28/01
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
82-86
82
86
-4
72avg 80
A03/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
76-80
76
80
-4
69avg 80
A07/02
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
78-88
78
88
-10
71avg 80
H12/02
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
98-92
98
92
+6
94avg 80
A16/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
29-21
22-10
23-18
16-18
22-21
28-15
16-22
18-17
20-15
21-15
22-20
20-30
17-26
24-22
23-13
31-21
14-20
20-20
20-25
24-17
17-23
20-22
18-22
24-24
15-19
15-26
28-17
16-24
16-21
24-15
20-20
25-24
16-25
19-14
18-25
30-20
22-29
22-23
24-20
166.2Avg total
83.8Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.679.5165.1+6.159%
Season at home (11)85.977.0162.9+8.964%
Season away (11)85.482.0167.4+3.455%
Last 10 (10)83.882.4166.2+1.440%
Last 5 (5)82.686.0168.6-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)80.981.8162.8-0.933%
vs Similar (10)87.277.1164.3+10.180%
vs Weaker (8)88.878.9167.6+9.975%
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
Rilski SportistCSKA Sofia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shumen
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A29/12
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H07/01
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A13/01
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A17/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H20/01
NBL
Levski
#7
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H27/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
62-44
62
44
+18
A05/02
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A10/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H15/02
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H03/03
NBL
84.8Avg total
45.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.778.0+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.234.876.0+6.569%-
Last 30 away (14)39.341.180.4-1.843%-
Last 10 (10)45.639.284.8+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)47.441.088.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)34.332.066.3+2.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)41.038.379.3+2.759%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H22/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H08/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A14/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H17/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H28/01
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A03/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A07/02
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H12/02
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A16/02
NBL
85.1Avg total
41.1Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.081.9+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.339.983.2+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)40.740.080.7+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)41.144.085.1-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.045.286.2-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.740.279.9-0.650%-
vs Similar (10)43.238.581.7+4.760%-
vs Weaker (8)43.941.485.2+2.562%-
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.9
52.4%
54.3%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.6
38.4%
31.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.415.1
70.6%
71.1%15.1
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.7
52.2%
54.3%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.08.7
29.0%
31.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.013.6
71.6%
71.1%13.6
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rilski Sportist
WWWWWWWWWW
CSKA Sofia
WLLLLLLWWW
#1
League position
#5
+14.6
Net rating
+2.2
113.1
Offensive rating
108.4
98.4
Defensive rating
106.2
54.4%
Effective FG%
48.5%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
16.3%
Turnover %
16.1%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
36.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.4%
3-point %
29.0%
65.9%
Assist %
67.4%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 108.4Defence98.4 · 106.2Shooting54.4% · 48.5%3-point %38.4% · 29.0%Ball care16.3% · 16.1%Off. rebounds30.4% · 36.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)100% · 40%
■ Rilski Sportist   ■ CSKA Sofia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Rilski Sportist wins
3
CSKA Sofia wins
DateGameScore
17/01/24CSKA Sofia v Rilski Sportist85-86
13/11/23Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia79-78
28/05/23CSKA Sofia v Rilski Sportist86-72
26/05/23Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia71-88
29/03/23Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia86-89
16/01/23CSKA Sofia v Rilski Sportist76-82
29/10/22Rilski Sportist v CSKA Sofia84-72
Rilski Sportistlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HChernomorets80-78
15/02/24HSpartak Pleven88-87
10/02/24AYambol87-75
05/02/24ACherno More97-75
27/01/24HLevski88-70
20/01/24HAcademic Plovdiv90-63
17/01/24ACSKA Sofia86-85
13/01/24ABeroe82-70
07/01/24HBalkan69-64
29/12/23AShumen98-87
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/24ABeroe98-92
12/02/24HBalkan78-88
07/02/24ASpartak Pleven76-80
03/02/24AShumen82-86
28/01/24HChernomorets79-84
17/01/24HRilski Sportist85-86
14/01/24ACherno More84-91
08/01/24HLevski81-67
29/12/23AMinyor82-76
22/12/23HAcademic Plovdiv93-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rilski Sportist
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %78%92%64%
Points / game83.282.883.6
Allowed / game74.771.778.1
Point differential+8.5+11.2+5.5
Avg total158.0154.5161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%42%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)100% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%9%
CSKA Sofia
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW59%
HomeWWLLL64%
AwayWLLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%64%55%
Points / game85.685.985.4
Allowed / game79.577.082.0
Point differential+6.1+8.9+3.4
Avg total165.1162.9167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%55%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets2319483%85.075.0+10.0
2 Rilski Sportist2318578%83.274.7+8.5
3 Spartak Pleven2418675%88.378.8+9.5
4 Balkan2314961%81.978.4+3.5
5 CSKA Sofia2213959%85.679.5+6.1
6 Cherno More23101343%82.587.3-4.8
7 Yambol24101442%79.284.2-5.0
8 Shumen2381535%81.983.5-1.6
9 Beroe2381535%81.787.7-5.9
10 Levski2371630%73.678.2-4.7
11 Academic Plovdiv2371630%79.184.9-5.7
12 Minyor2471729%73.082.5-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rilski Sportist2028271792
CSKA Sofia2321182284
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