PythiaBasketballBETA
B League· LaLa arena TOKYO-BAY
On 18 November 2026 the B League will see Chiba host Akita, with Chiba the clear favourite as the Pythia model rates them 77% to win, a reflection of their 8-9 season record, 92.5 points per game and 96.0 allowed per game, and a 3-6 home record with 89.8 points scored and 98.3 allowed; their last five games show four wins and one loss, including a 106-94 home victory over Osaka, a 90-87 away win over Shiga and a 111-103 away win over Saga. Akita, meanwhile, sits 4-12 overall, 82.7 points per game and 90.4 allowed, with a 2-7 road record of 77.6 points scored and 87.9 allowed; they have lost their last five games, including defeats to Ibaraki Robots 83-95, Shinshu 96-101 and Levanga Hokkaido 118-123. In their ten meetings Chiba has won seven times, most recently beating Akita 97-59 on 11 March 2026. The Pythia model projects a 93-85 score for Chiba, a total of 177.4 points, a 77% chance of a home win and a 23% chance for Akita, with a 4% overtime probability. The home team line is 77% to cover. The game ends with Chiba's 93 points and Akita's 85.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (17) | 92.5 | 96.0 | 188.5 | -3.5 | 47% |
| Season at home (9) | 89.8 | 98.3 | 188.1 | -8.6 | 33% |
| Season away (8) | 95.6 | 93.4 | 189.0 | +2.2 | 62% |
| Last 10 (10) | 89.4 | 90.6 | 180.0 | -1.2 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 94.8 | 90.8 | 185.6 | +4.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 89.4 | 99.5 | 188.9 | -10.1 | 30% |
| vs Similar (9) | 85.2 | 88.1 | 173.3 | -2.9 | 44% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 94.7 | 81.6 | 176.4 | +13.1 | 91% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (16) | 82.7 | 90.4 | 173.1 | -7.7 | 25% |
| Season at home (7) | 89.3 | 93.6 | 182.9 | -4.3 | 29% |
| Season away (9) | 77.6 | 87.9 | 165.4 | -10.3 | 22% |
| Last 10 (10) | 89.1 | 95.8 | 184.9 | -6.7 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 93.0 | 102.0 | 195.0 | -9.0 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (26) | 76.6 | 87.8 | 164.4 | -11.2 | 19% |
| vs Similar (4) | 86.0 | 91.0 | 177.0 | -5.0 | 25% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 47.2 | 43.4 | 90.6 | +3.8 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 45.0 | 43.0 | 88.0 | +2.0 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 away (13) | 50.1 | 43.9 | 94.0 | +6.2 | 62% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.6 | 44.6 | 89.2 | +0.0 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.8 | 41.2 | 85.0 | +2.6 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 46.4 | 48.9 | 95.3 | -2.5 | 30% | - |
| vs Similar (9) | 42.3 | 44.8 | 87.1 | -2.4 | 33% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 51.9 | 37.3 | 89.2 | +14.6 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.9 | 43.9 | 82.8 | -5.0 | 30% | - |
| Last 30 at home (12) | 42.2 | 46.4 | 88.7 | -4.2 | 42% | - |
| Last 30 away (18) | 36.7 | 42.2 | 78.9 | -5.5 | 22% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.8 | 48.3 | 93.1 | -3.5 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 47.8 | 52.4 | 100.2 | -4.6 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (26) | 38.9 | 43.6 | 82.5 | -4.7 | 31% | - |
| vs Similar (4) | 39.0 | 45.8 | 84.8 | -6.8 | 25% | - |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.4 | 19.8 | 53.6% | 39.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.1 | 10.3 | 32.9% | 30.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.4 | 16.3 | 73.8% | 16.3 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.5 | 18.1 | 53.6% | 36.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.4 | 11.1 | 32.9% | 33.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.9 | 13.8 | 73.8% | 13.8 |
Chiba
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 | Chiba v Akita | 97-59 |
| 29/10/25 | Akita v Chiba | 50-69 |
| 27/04/25 | Chiba v Akita | 77-68 |
| 26/04/25 | Chiba v Akita | 80-65 |
| 03/11/24 | Akita v Chiba | 72-65 |
| 02/11/24 | Akita v Chiba | 82-89 |
| 05/05/24 | Akita v Chiba | 93-88 OT |
| 04/05/24 | Akita v Chiba | 72-88 |
| 10/04/24 | Akita v Chiba | 81-76 |
| 17/01/24 | Chiba v Akita | 105-73 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | Shiga | 90-87 |
| 10/11/26 | H | Osaka | 106-94 OT |
| 08/11/26 | A | Saga | 111-103 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Altiri Chiba | 89-87 OT |
| 01/11/26 | H | Toyama | 78-83 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Toyama | 93-100 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Osaka | 87-65 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Kyoto | 79-102 |
| 19/10/26 | H | Tokyo Sunrockers | 64-107 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Shimane | 97-78 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Ibaraki Robots | 83-95 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Shinshu | 96-101 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Levanga Hokkaido | 118-123 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Altiri Chiba | 83-102 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Altiri Chiba | 85-89 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Kyoto | 71-79 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Yokohama | 95-86 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Hiroshima D. | 84-98 |
| 19/10/26 | A | Alvark | 74-90 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Shinshu | 102-95 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWW | 47% |
| Home | LLLWW | 33% |
| Away | WLWWW | 62% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 17 | 9 | 8 |
| Win % | 47% | 33% | 62% |
| Points / game | 92.5 | 89.8 | 95.6 |
| Allowed / game | 96.0 | 98.3 | 93.4 |
| Point differential | -3.5 | -8.6 | +2.2 |
| Avg total | 188.5 | 188.1 | 189.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 18% | 22% | 12% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 60% (5) | 50% (2) | 67% (3) |
| Overtime % | 24% | 33% | 12% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 25% |
| Home | WLLLL | 29% |
| Away | WLLLL | 22% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 16 | 7 | 9 |
| Win % | 25% | 29% | 22% |
| Points / game | 82.7 | 89.3 | 77.6 |
| Allowed / game | 90.4 | 93.6 | 87.9 |
| Point differential | -7.7 | -4.3 | -10.3 |
| Avg total | 173.1 | 182.9 | 165.4 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 6% | 0% | 11% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 25% (4) | 0% (2) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Diamond Dolphins | 12 | 11 | 1 | 92% | 91.2 | 75.2 | +15.9 |
| 2 |  Hiroshima D. | 15 | 13 | 2 | 87% | 90.4 | 80.9 | +9.5 |
| 3 |  SeaHorses Mikawa | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 90.4 | 80.7 | +9.7 |
| 4 |  Alvark | 17 | 13 | 4 | 76% | 92.6 | 82.3 | +10.3 |
| 5 |  Sendai | 17 | 13 | 4 | 76% | 88.7 | 80.4 | +8.3 |
| 6 |  Gunma | 16 | 12 | 4 | 75% | 82.8 | 73.8 | +9.1 |
| 7 |  NeoPhoenix | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 87.5 | 82.7 | +4.8 |
| 8 | Tokyo Sunrockers | 17 | 11 | 6 | 65% | 89.9 | 80.3 | +9.6 |
| 9 | Levanga Hokkaido | 15 | 9 | 6 | 60% | 96.5 | 95.7 | +0.8 |
| 10 |  Toyama | 16 | 9 | 7 | 56% | 83.4 | 87.0 | -3.6 |
| 11 |  Kyoto | 15 | 8 | 7 | 53% | 83.4 | 79.5 | +3.9 |
| 12 |  Ibaraki Robots | 17 | 9 | 8 | 53% | 84.2 | 78.7 | +5.5 |
| 13 |  Ryukyu | 16 | 8 | 8 | 50% | 83.4 | 81.6 | +1.8 |
| 14 | Chiba | 17 | 8 | 9 | 47% | 92.5 | 96.0 | -3.5 |
| 15 |  Utsunomiya Brex | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47% | 81.9 | 83.6 | -1.7 |
| 16 |  Yokohama | 16 | 7 | 9 | 44% | 77.7 | 82.9 | -5.2 |
| 17 |  Shimane | 14 | 6 | 8 | 43% | 84.1 | 81.6 | +2.5 |
| 18 |  Altiri Chiba | 17 | 7 | 10 | 41% | 80.5 | 84.6 | -4.1 |
| 19 |  Shiga | 15 | 6 | 9 | 40% | 85.7 | 88.9 | -3.2 |
| 20 |  Shinshu | 17 | 6 | 11 | 35% | 83.9 | 86.8 | -2.9 |
| 21 |  Nagasaki | 17 | 6 | 11 | 35% | 77.1 | 81.9 | -4.8 |
| 22 |  Kobe | 15 | 4 | 11 | 27% | 80.0 | 86.5 | -6.5 |
| 23 |  Brave Thunders | 16 | 4 | 12 | 25% | 78.5 | 84.7 | -6.2 |
| 24 | Akita | 16 | 4 | 12 | 25% | 82.7 | 90.4 | -7.7 |
| 25 |  Saga | 14 | 1 | 13 | 7% | 78.2 | 95.2 | -17.0 |
| 26 |  Osaka | 16 | 1 | 15 | 6% | 70.1 | 90.9 | -20.9 |
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