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Saga vs Chiba Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 83-79
15-20 11-22 27-18 30-19
Position#12
Record18-15
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game81.9
Saga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#6
Record25-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game74.6
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Saga v Chiba
10 Feb 2027
SAGA v CHIB
upcoming
08 Nov 2026
SAGA v CHIB
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
SAGA76
CHIB95
31 Jan 2026
SAGA83
CHIB79
23 Oct 2024
SAGA74
CHIB79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chiba winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
W
79-64
79
64
+15
74avg 74
H20/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
90-74
90
74
+16
92avg 74
H21/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
81avg 74
A24/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
82-73
82
73
+9
73avg 74
A26/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
91-84
91
84
+7
93avg 74
A27/12
B League
Gunma
#5
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 74
H03/01
B League
Gunma
#5
L
51-81
51
81
-30
36avg 74
H04/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
85-73
85
73
+12
72avg 74
A24/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
79-73
79
73
+6
65avg 74
A25/01
B League
Shimane
#14
W
95-88
95
88
+7
98avg 74
H28/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
13-18
21-12
21-16
24-16
24-20
23-22
19-16
29-22
11-24
19-14
27-15
18-24
26-15
18-17
20-17
24-21
18-17
16-22
33-24
18-25
23-18
28-20
15-15
14-19
10-17
13-25
14-20
20-23
19-16
27-10
19-24
24-23
24-17
13-17
18-16
24-21
26-21
23-29
22-17
158.5Avg total
82.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)81.281.9163.2-0.755%
Season at home (18)80.981.7162.6-0.856%
Season away (15)81.782.2163.9-0.553%
Last 10 (10)82.276.3158.5+5.990%
Last 5 (5)78.878.6157.4+0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)72.185.2157.3-13.122%
vs Similar (12)87.482.0169.4+5.467%
vs Weaker (9)80.879.7160.4+1.167%
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#20
W
81-52
81
52
+29
88avg 78
H20/12
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
89-60
89
60
+29
96avg 78
H21/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
106-81
106
81
+25
108avg 78
A24/12
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
70avg 78
A27/12
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
77-93
77
93
-16
74avg 78
A28/12
B League
Toyama
#24
W
79-72
79
72
+7
71avg 78
H03/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
88-73
88
73
+15
91avg 78
H04/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
61-92
61
92
-31
41avg 78
H24/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
63-65
63
65
-2
56avg 78
H25/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
79-72
79
72
+7
74avg 78
H28/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-16
13-13
18-2
20-21
27-19
25-12
19-12
18-17
22-18
26-26
36-16
22-21
15-22
23-22
18-19
23-23
19-19
18-18
20-19
20-37
13-22
23-9
18-16
25-25
27-19
21-14
19-15
21-25
9-26
20-23
21-21
11-22
21-12
13-15
17-16
12-22
17-20
22-13
23-16
17-23
154.8Avg total
80.2Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)82.274.6156.7+7.676%
Season at home (18)82.471.7154.2+10.783%
Season away (15)81.878.0159.8+3.867%
Last 10 (10)80.274.6154.8+5.660%
Last 5 (5)74.074.8148.8-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.089.5167.5-11.50%
vs Similar (14)75.477.4152.8-1.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.969.0155.9+17.9100%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -4.7-4.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -4.7-4.7
SagaChiba
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H20/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H21/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A24/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A26/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A27/12
B League
Gunma
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H03/01
B League
Gunma
#5
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H04/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A24/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A25/01
B League
Shimane
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H28/01
B League
80.8Avg total
41.3Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.443.183.5-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.244.183.2-4.925%-
Last 30 away (14)41.742.183.8-0.457%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.580.8+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.080.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.642.880.3-5.222%-
vs Similar (12)42.642.885.4-0.250%-
vs Weaker (9)40.243.984.1-3.744%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#20
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H20/12
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H21/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A24/12
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A27/12
B League
Nagasaki
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A28/12
B League
Toyama
#24
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H03/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H04/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H24/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H25/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H28/01
B League
76.2Avg total
40.4Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.779.5+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.536.477.9+5.276%-
Last 30 away (13)42.239.581.7+2.638%-
Last 10 (10)40.435.876.2+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.234.671.8+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.540.578.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (14)38.940.379.2-1.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.334.880.1+10.586%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.0
52.3%
53.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.8
32.5%
33.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.816.1
81.3%
73.1%16.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.9
53.8%
53.1%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.6
30.4%
33.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.015.3
76.5%
73.1%15.3
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WWWLWWWWWW
Chiba
WLLWWLLWWW
#12
League position
#6
+7.9
Net rating
+6.4
108.8
Offensive rating
101.5
100.9
Defensive rating
95.1
50.6%
Effective FG%
50.2%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
44.9%
12.5%
Turnover %
14.3%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.5%
3-point %
30.4%
75.5%
Assist %
73.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 101.5Defence100.9 · 95.1Shooting50.6% · 50.2%3-point %32.5% · 30.4%Ball care12.5% · 14.3%Off. rebounds31.1% · 27.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Saga   ■ Chiba
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Saga wins
3
Chiba wins
DateGameScore
12/03/25Chiba v Saga85-71
23/10/24Saga v Chiba74-79
12/11/23Chiba v Saga78-72
11/11/23Chiba v Saga76-95
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/26HShimane95-88
25/01/26AAltiri Chiba79-73
24/01/26AAltiri Chiba85-73
04/01/26HGunma51-81
03/01/26HGunma84-78
27/12/25ABrave Thunders91-84
26/12/25ABrave Thunders82-73
24/12/25ADiamond Dolphins86-75
21/12/25HYokohama90-74
20/12/25HYokohama79-64
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/26HUtsunomiya Brex79-72
25/01/26HRyukyu63-65
24/01/26HRyukyu61-92
04/01/26HToyama88-73
03/01/26HToyama79-72
28/12/25ANagasaki77-93
27/12/25ANagasaki79-86
24/12/25AYokohama106-81
21/12/25HKyoto89-60
20/12/25HKyoto81-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW55%
HomeWWWLW56%
AwayWWWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331815
Win %55%56%53%
Points / game81.280.981.7
Allowed / game81.981.782.2
Point differential-0.7-0.8-0.5
Avg total163.2162.6163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%28%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chiba
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW76%
HomeWWLLW83%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331815
Win %76%83%67%
Points / game82.282.481.8
Allowed / game74.671.778.0
Point differential+7.6+10.7+3.8
Avg total156.7154.2159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%61%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)50% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki3328585%93.777.9+15.8
2 Diamond Dolphins3326779%83.772.4+11.3
3 Chiba3325876%82.274.6+7.6
4 Utsunomiya Brex3325876%85.478.6+6.8
5 Hokkaido3325876%88.283.2+5.0
6 Alvark33221167%81.077.6+3.4
7 Gunma33211264%83.475.0+8.4
8 Ryukyu33211264%82.275.8+6.4
9 SeaHorses Mikawa33211264%83.478.9+4.4
10 Sendai34201459%79.478.3+1.1
11 Hiroshima D.33191458%85.882.6+3.2
12 Saga33181555%81.281.9-0.7
13 Shimane33171652%83.181.8+1.3
14 NeoPhoenix33151845%82.382.7-0.3
15 Osaka33141942%80.781.8-1.1
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya33141942%77.081.5-4.5
17 Nagoya Fighting Eagles33132039%81.283.6-2.4
18 Yokohama33122136%78.181.8-3.7
19 Koshigaya Alphas33122136%72.179.7-7.6
20 Shiga33112233%80.387.2-6.8
21 Altiri Chiba34102429%78.984.1-5.3
22 Ibaraki Robots3392427%75.879.8-4.1
23 Toyama3392427%82.590.4-7.8
24 Kyoto3392427%71.081.1-10.1
25 Brave Thunders3382524%76.484.3-7.9
26 Akita3362718%72.684.7-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga1511273083
Chiba2022181979
← all games of the day
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